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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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247495742989 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for deep distributional

Improved likelihood estimation for singular distributions using deep models.

problem Estimating singular distributions using deep generative models.
method Data perturbation to avoid singularity issues in likelihood estimation.
result Consistent estimation of target distribution with desirable rates.

Deep metric learning employs deep neural networks to embed instances into a metric space such that distances between instances of the same class are small and distances between instances from different classes are large. In most existing deep metric learning techniques, the embedding of an instance is given by a featur…

2019-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks forecast financial return distributions accurately.

problem Forecasting probability distributions of financial returns.
method Used 1D CNN and LSTM architectures with custom loss functions to optimize distribution parameters.
result LSTM with skewed Student's t distribution outperformed classical models in multiple evaluation metrics.

Paper proposes a new method for designing materials using deep learning.

problem Designing high-performance material distributions from given distributions.
method Iterative process of selecting, generating, and merging material distributions using a deep generative model.
result The method improves material performance through iterative refinement.

Combining Bayesian deep learning and split conformal prediction affects out-of-distribution coverage.

problem Improving out-of-distribution coverage in multiclass image classification.
method Combining Bayesian deep learning with split conformal prediction methods.
result Combining methods can reduce out-of-distribution coverage in some cases.

Stable processes emerge as limits of deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions.

problem Understanding the behavior of deep neural networks as they become infinitely wide.
method Analyzing fully connected feed-forward deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions and showing the limit as a stable process.
result The infinite wide limit of the network is a stable process with multivariate stable distributions.

This work evaluates uncertainty in deep Gaussian processes.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) and Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) evaluated on regression and classification tasks.
result DSPPs provide strong in-distribution calibration but are less robust under distribution shift compared to ensembles.

Paper introduces DQPOPE for estimating return distributions in reinforcement learning.

problem Estimating the entire return distribution from off-policy data.
method Deep quantile process regression for distributional off-policy evaluation.
result DQPOPE achieves statistical advantages by estimating full return distribution with same sample size.

Improved variational approximation for deep Wishart process models.

problem Improving predictive performance of deep Wishart process models.
method Generalizing the Bartlett decomposition of the Wishart distribution to allow linear combinations of rows and columns.
result Better predictive performance achieved with minimal additional computation cost.

Deep ensembles outperform deep ensembles of Bayesian neural networks on in-distribution data.

problem Improving model calibration and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Systematic investigation of deep ensembles of Bayesian Neural Networks across various datasets and architectures.
result Deep ensembles consistently outperform deep ensembles of Bayesian neural networks on in-distribution data.

Deep neural networks can generate any 2D distribution with high accuracy.

problem Generating accurate high-dimensional distributions from random noise.
method A deep neural network with a space-filling property of sawtooth functions.
result The network can approximate any 2D Lipschitz-continuous distribution arbitrarily closely.

Deep networks adapt to function regularity and data distribution.

problem Understanding deep learning's adaptability to function regularity and data distribution.
method Developed nonparametric approximation and estimation theories for a broad class of functions using deep ReLU networks.
result Deep neural networks are adaptive to different regularity of functions and nonuniform data distributions.

A new method for deep Wishart processes improves kernel-based models.

problem Inference in deep Wishart processes is challenging due to the need for flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices.
method Developed a novel approach to flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices using the Bartlett decomposition of the Wishart probability density. Used this to create an approximate posterior for the DWP.
result Improved performance of inference in the DWP compared to DGP with equivalent prior.

Deep networks can approximate high-dimensional distributions from low-dimensional ones.

problem Approximating high-dimensional distributions from low-dimensional ones.
method Proved neural networks can transform low-dimensional distributions to high-dimensional ones with arbitrary closeness measured by Wasserstein distances and maximum mean discrepancy.
result Upper bounds of the approximation error are obtained in terms of the width and depth of neural network.

Study of deep Stable neural networks with various activation functions.

problem Characterizing the infinitely wide limits of deep Stable neural networks.
method Investigation of large-width properties of deep Stable NNs with a generalized central limit theorem for heavy tails.
result Extension of characterization to a broader class of activation functions, including sub-linear, asymptotically linear, and super-linear functions.

Researchers improve deep ensemble forecast aggregation methods.

problem Aggregating forecast distributions from deep ensembles for better predictive performance.
method Comprehensive analysis of twelve benchmark data sets, comparing probability- and quantile-based aggregation methods for three neural network-based approaches.
result A general quantile aggregation framework for deep ensembles improves predictive performance in various settings.

In this paper, we propose a novel method for generating a synthetic dataset obeying Gaussian distribution. Compared to the commonly used benchmark datasets with unknown distribution, the synthetic dataset has an explicit distribution, i.e., Gaussian distribution. Meanwhile, it has the same characteristics as the benchm…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses challenges in edge deep learning for IoT, proposing new directions.

problem Challenges in large-scale deep learning adoption for IoT devices.
method Unified view targeting three research directions: federated learning, data-independent deployment, and communication-aware inference.
result A network-centric approach is needed for edge intelligence.

Single deep model detects out-of-distribution data with single forward pass.

problem Detecting out-of-distribution data points in neural networks.
method Deterministic uncertainty quantification (DUQ) using gradient penalty for reliable detection.
result Single model outperforms or matches ensemble methods in out-of-distribution detection.

The TensorFlow Distributions library implements a vision of probability theory adapted to the modern deep-learning paradigm of end-to-end differentiable computation. Building on two basic abstractions, it offers flexible building blocks for probabilistic computation. Distributions provide fast, numerically stable metho…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes deep Stable neural networks, showing convergence rates under different growth settings.

problem Analyzing the behavior of deep Stable neural networks as width increases.
method Large-width asymptotic analysis and convergence rates for fully connected feed-forward deep Stable NNs.
result The rescaled deep Stable NN converges weakly to a Stable SP under joint growth, with sup-norm convergence rates established.

This paper removes the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.

problem Removing the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
method Assuming iid parameters distributed according to a stable distribution, the paper shows that the infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
result The infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network, under suitable scaling, is a multivariate stable stochastic process.

The paper proposes deep normalization to improve speaker recognition performance.

problem Non-Gaussian and non-homogeneous distributions of deep speaker vectors negatively impact speaker recognition.
method Proposes a deep normalization approach based on a novel discriminative normalization flow (DNF) model.
result DNF-based normalization delivers substantial performance gains and strong generalization capability.

Deep neural networks can approximate any target probability distribution given certain conditions.

problem Approximating complex probability distributions with deep neural networks.
method Proving the existence of a deep neural network mapping that approximates a target distribution under various integral probability metrics.
result Upper bounds on the size of the neural network in terms of dimension and approximation error for different metrics.

RelaySum improves decentralized deep learning by uniformly distributing data across workers.

problem Handling data heterogeneity in decentralized deep learning.
method RelaySum uses spanning trees to distribute information exactly uniformly across all workers with finite delays.
result RelaySum is independent of data heterogeneity and scales to many workers, enabling highly accurate decentralized deep learning.

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal via the use of the Poisson and binomial probability distributions. We evaluate …

2017-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Metrics assess uncertainty structure and distribution for regression models.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional and nonlinear regression tasks.
method Two bounded comparison metrics for uncertainty structure and distribution.
result DNNs and DNOs provide encouraging uncertainty metric values in high dimensions.

In this work, we introduce a novel probabilistic representation of deep learning, which provides an explicit explanation for the Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) in three aspects: (i) neurons define the energy of a Gibbs distribution; (ii) the hidden layers of DNNs formulate Gibbs distributions; and (iii) the whole architec…

2019-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Reduces data leakage in distributed deep learning models.

problem Prevents reconstruction of sensitive raw data patterns during client communications.
method Reduces distance correlation between raw data and learned representations.
result Resilient to reconstruction attacks while maintaining model accuracy.

Efficiently maximizes AUC with deep nets, reducing communication rounds.

problem Maximizing AUC with deep neural networks in a distributed setting.
method Communication-efficient distributed optimization algorithm for non-convex concave AUC maximization.
result Achieves linear speedup with significantly fewer communication rounds.

Bayesian deep ensembles improve prediction accuracy in various settings.

problem Improving prediction accuracy of deep ensembles in out-of-distribution settings.
method Introducing a randomised, untrainable function to each ensemble member, enabling a posterior predictive distribution interpretation.
result Bayesian deep ensembles make more conservative predictions and outperform standard ensembles in various tasks.