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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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255176101 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for decision-level relevance

This paper challenges the current metrics used for evaluating long-term forecasting models.

problem Current metrics focus on pointwise error reduction, ignoring structural properties.
method Proposes a multi-dimensional evaluation approach that includes statistical fidelity, structural coherence, and decision-level relevance.
result Current progress in forecasting may reflect specialization in benchmark configurations rather than deeper understanding of temporal dynamics.

DVA framework attributes value of predictive models to features, configurations, and interactions.

problem Lack of explanation for how predictive models influence operational decisions.
method Shapley-based cooperative game theory applied to predict-then-optimize systems.
result DVA can guide targeted interventions to align model beliefs with operational performance.

In this study, we investigated multi-modal approaches using images, descriptions, and titles to categorize e-commerce products on Amazon. Specifically, we examined late fusion models, where the modalities are fused at the decision level. Products were each assigned multiple labels, and the hierarchy in the labels were …

2019-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Different optimizer choices lead to different financial model predictions.

problem The impact of optimizer choice on neural network models in financial time series.
method Analysis of large-scale volatility forecasting for S&P 500 stocks using various model-training-pipeline pairs.
result Optimizer choice reshapes non-linear response profiles and temporal dependence in financial models, leading to different functional outcomes.

A lot of attention has been devoted to multimedia indexing over the past few years. In the literature, we often consider two kinds of fusion schemes: The early fusion and the late fusion. In this paper we focus on late classifier fusion, where one combines the scores of each modality at the decision level. To tackle th…

2012-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

In the past few years, a lot of attention has been devoted to multimedia indexing by fusing multimodal informations. Two kinds of fusion schemes are generally considered: The early fusion and the late fusion. We focus on late classifier fusion, where one combines the scores of each modality at the decision level. To ta…

2014-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a new method for better price prediction using machine learning and metaheuristics.

problem Challenges in predicting prices due to correlated variables and computational efficiency.
method Introduces a novel decision fusion approach combining Elastic Net and MOPSO for variable selection and prediction.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional approaches in terms of accuracy and efficiency.

CVAE detects weak complex signals in maritime radar, improving detection over classical methods.

problem Detecting weak complex-valued signals in non-Gaussian, range-varying interference.
method Complex-valued Variational AutoEncoder (CVAE) trained on clutter-plus-noise, whitening, ANMF fusion.
result CVAE yields higher detection probability Pd at matched false-alarm rate Pfa, especially with whitening.

System detects relevant financial news and predictions from unstructured text.

problem Manual extraction of relevant financial information from news is cumbersome and error-prone.
method Topic modeling with LDA, co-reference resolution, multi-paragraph segmentation, and temporal analysis.
result ROUGE-L values for relevant text and predictions/forecasts were 0.662 and 0.982, respectively.

This paper improves image retrieval accuracy through novel relevance feedback methods.

problem Improving image retrieval accuracy in Content-Based Image Retrieval (CBIR).
method Novel addition to feature re-weighting and classification techniques, focusing on 0-th iteration improvement.
result Significantly improved retrieval accuracy from relevance feedback.

The increasing occurrence of ordinal data, mainly sociodemographic, led to a renewed research interest in ordinal regression, i.e. the prediction of ordered classes. Besides model accuracy, the interpretation of these models itself is of high relevance, and existing approaches therefore enforce e.g. model sparsity. For…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We improve neural network explainability by bypassing batch normalization.

problem Lack of transparency in neural networks.
method Layer-wise Relevance Propagation with a method to include normalization layers.
result Heatmaps are more accurate for convolutional layers with our method.

Methodology to measure lag relevance in time series models.

problem Measuring lag relevance in machine learning models for univariate time series.
method Ghost variables, Shapley values, additive importance measures, auto-relevance and partial auto-relevance functions, one-step forecast.
result Calculated relevance measures successfully demonstrate expected lag structure in almost all cases.

Improves relevancy of black-box anomaly detectors with user feedback.

problem Users often ignore many detected anomalies, requiring a method to identify and prioritize relevant ones.
method Uses user feedback to adjust anomaly selection process based on identified anomaly types.
result Significant improvements in precision and recall over various anomaly detectors.

Deep Relevance Regularization improves neural network performance in tumor typing.

problem Confounding factors hinder neural network performance in multi-laboratory imaging mass spectrometry data.
method Introduces Deep Relevance Regularization to restrict neural network focus.
result Deep Relevance Regularization robustifies neural networks and improves interpretability.

Recommender systems, medical diagnosis, network security, etc., require on-going learning and decision-making in real time. These -- and many others -- represent perfect examples of the opportunities and difficulties presented by Big Data: the available information often arrives from a variety of sources and has divers…

2015-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles feature selection for ordinal regression, considering feature redundancies and privileged information.

problem Discovering relevant factors in ranked data with potentially redundant features and privileged information.
method Develops feature relevance bounds for linear ordinal regression, considering feature redundancies and privileged information.
result Identifies all strongly and weakly relevant features and their type of relevance.

In this paper, we tackle the problem of explanations in a deep-learning based model for recommendations by leveraging the technique of layer-wise relevance propagation. We use a Deep Convolutional Neural Network to extract relevant features from the input images before identifying similarity between the images in featu…

2018-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Dimensional reduction of high dimensional data can be achieved by keeping only the relevant eigenmodes after principal component analysis. However, differentiating relevant eigenmodes from the random noise eigenmodes is problematic. A new method based on the random matrix theory and a statistical goodness-of-fit test i…

2008-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Pixel-wise relevance method shows how CNNs classify faces, varying across datasets and tasks.

problem Interpreting black-box CNN face recognition models.
method Layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) applied to VGG-16 models trained for face recognition.
result Relevance maps are generally stable across random initializations and tasks, but less so across pretraining datasets.

The paper revisits and improves on a Bayesian relevance vector machine method for small sample sizes.

problem Statistical modeling with small sample sizes relative to the number of covariates.
method Introduces a new class of global-local priors and provides theoretical properties.
result Results on posterior consistency and contraction rates are provided.

Federated learning method selects relevant data to improve model accuracy.

problem Noisy and irrelevant data negatively impacts model training in federated learning.
method Use a benchmark model to evaluate and select relevant data subsets from each client.
result Up to 25% improvement in model accuracy compared to training with all data.

Proposes UICR to improve novelty in recommendation systems without sacrificing relevance.

problem Balancing relevance and novelty in recommendation systems is challenging, especially for long-tail items.
method Introduces uncertainty modeling in the matching stage and multi-task modeling of model and index uncertainty.
result Improves novelty without sacrificing relevance, as shown by experimental results and online A/B tests.