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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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63126189252 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for decision regions

Previous work has questioned the conditions under which the decision regions of a neural network are connected and further showed the implications of the corresponding theory to the problem of adversarial manipulation of classifiers. It has been proven that for a class of activation functions including leaky ReLU, neur…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that for neural network functions that have width less or equal to the input dimension all connected components of decision regions are unbounded. The result holds for continuous and strictly monotonic activation functions as well as for the ReLU activation function. This complements recent results on approxima…

2018-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes CPO framework for robust decision-making with explainable uncertainty regions.

problem Overly conservative uncertainty regions in data-driven optimization lead to suboptimal decisions.
method Conformal-Predict-Then-Optimize (CPO) framework using conditional generative models and visual summaries.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and explainability in decision-making.

The lack of interpretability remains a barrier to the adoption of deep neural networks. Recently, tree regularization has been proposed to encourage deep neural networks to resemble compact, axis-aligned decision trees without significant compromises in accuracy. However, it may be unreasonable to expect that a single …

2019-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper defines ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions and approximates them for unbalanced data.

problem Need probabilistic guarantees for reliable predictions in machine learning.
method Formalizes ε-Safe Decision Regions, proves their form for exponential family distributions, and develops Multi Cost SVM for unbalanced data.
result Formal definition and analytical determination of ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions.

New insights into how neural networks classify data.

problem Understanding the topological structure of decision regions in ReLU networks.
method Defining generic and transversal ReLU networks, and using linear complexes to identify obstructions.
result Generic, transversal ReLU networks have at most one bounded connected component in their decision regions.

CREDO assesses decision optimality under uncertainty without assuming a model.

problem Uncertainty in decision-making without reliable quantification of optimality.
method CREDO uses the inverse feasible region and conformal prediction balls to estimate decision optimality probability.
result CREDO provides accurate, efficient, and reliable evaluations of decision optimality.

End-to-end pipeline for data-driven decision making in mixed-integer optimization.

problem Data-driven decision making in mixed-integer optimization with uncertainty.
method Exploiting mixed-integer optimization-representability of machine learning methods, characterizing decision trust regions, and ensembling multiple models.
result Framework generates high-quality prescriptions and controls model robustness.

The goal of this paper is to analyze the geometric properties of deep neural network classifiers in the input space. We specifically study the topology of classification regions created by deep networks, as well as their associated decision boundary. Through a systematic empirical investigation, we show that state-of-t…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on inventory management under uncertainty using smooth ambiguity preference.

problem Managing inventory under Knightian uncertainty with smooth ambiguity preference.
method Demonstrates continuous-time smooth ambiguity as the infinitesimal limit of Kalman-Bucy filtering with recursive robust utility. Solves forward-backward stochastic differential equations with quadratic growth to determine cost function. Derives value function and optimal control policy using variational inequalities and viscosity solutions. Transforms problem into two-dimensional singular control.
result Ambiguity drives decision-makers to act earlier, reducing the continuation region.

DFFL tackles federated learning with heterogeneous objectives and constraints.

problem Federated learning with clients having different objectives and feasible regions.
method Derived heterogeneity bounds for cost-vector distances and support-function/shape-distance terms. Lifted pointwise bounds to local-versus-federated excess-risk comparison.
result Federation is beneficial when the statistical advantage of pooling exceeds a client-specific heterogeneity penalty.

A central challenge in reinforcement learning is discovering effective policies for tasks where rewards are sparsely distributed. We postulate that in the absence of useful reward signals, an effective exploration strategy should seek out {\it decision states}. These states lie at critical junctions in the state space …

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In data-limited settings, stochastic policies can outperform deterministic ones in bandit problems.

problem Making reliable decisions with limited data in bandit problems.
method Designing TRUST, an algorithm that uses localization laws and relative pessimism.
result TRUST achieves comparable sample complexity to LCB on minimax problems but is significantly lower on few-sample problems.

Decision trees are a popular technique in statistical data classification. They recursively partition the feature space into disjoint sub-regions until each sub-region becomes homogeneous with respect to a particular class. The basic Classification and Regression Tree (CART) algorithm partitions the feature space using…

2015-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Construction of tight confidence regions and intervals is central to statistical inference and decision making. This paper develops new theory showing minimum average volume confidence regions for categorical data. More precisely, consider an empirical distribution p^\widehat{\boldsymbol{p}} generated from nn iid real…

2020-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep reinforcement learning (DeepRL) agents surpass human-level performance in many tasks. However, the direct mapping from states to actions makes it hard to interpret the rationale behind the decision-making of the agents. In contrast to previous a-posteriori methods for visualizing DeepRL policies, in this work, we …

2018-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how learning algorithms affect and are affected by data manipulation.

problem Characterizing the closed-loop behavior of learning algorithms in the presence of decision-dependent data.
method Analyzes repeated risk minimization as perturbed gradient flows of performative risk minimization, considering multiple local minimizers.
result Characterizes the region of attraction for various equilibria and introduces performative alignment.

New rule reduces exploration regret to logarithmic, improving bad episode handling.

problem Improving exploration regret in average reward MDPs.
method Replacing Doubling Trick with Vanishing Multiplicative rule in EVI-based algorithms.
result Regret is logarithmic under the new rule, significantly better than linear.

In this paper we propose a synergistic melting of neural networks and decision trees (DT) we call neural decision trees (NDT). NDT is an architecture a la decision tree where each splitting node is an independent multilayer perceptron allowing oblique decision functions or arbritrary nonlinear decision function if more…

2017-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes sparse local and regional counterfactual rules for robust recourses.

problem Challenges in counterfactual explanations, especially stability, synthesis, and implementation.
method Probabilistic framework using Random Forest to derive sparse local and regional counterfactual rules.
result Effective recourses derived from high-density regions, providing sparse and robust counterfactual rules.

Agents collaboratively learn optimal policies in MDPs with limited capabilities.

problem Learning optimal policies in MDPs with heterogeneous agents and limited communication.
method Introduced concepts of leakage probabilities and proposed Federated-Q protocol (FedQ) for collaborative learning.
result FedQ protocol effectively aggregates knowledge and modifies learning problems for further training.

A new model predicts spatio-temporal data using adaptive decision trees and point processes.

problem Predicting spatio-temporal data with real-life applications.
method Hawkes process, adaptive decision tree, joint optimization algorithm.
result Significant improvement in predictions compared to standard methods.

Maxout networks show similar complexity issues as ReLU networks.

problem Understanding the complexity of maxout networks and decision boundaries.
method Analyzing the parameter space and decision boundaries, obtaining lower bounds, and investigating initialization procedures.
result Maxout networks exhibit a wide range of complexity, similar to ReLU networks.

New model accounts for scale variation and noise in pairwise comparisons.

problem Nonreciprocal pairwise comparisons in decision analysis.
method Additive model with structured matrix and random perturbation.
result Explicit estimators and probability assessments of admissible ranking regions.

Attribution methods provide insights into the decision-making of machine learning models like artificial neural networks. For a given input sample, they assign a relevance score to each individual input variable, such as the pixels of an image. In this work we adapt the information bottleneck concept for attribution. B…

2020-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to identify critical regions in neural networks using adversarial attacks.

problem Capturing uncertainty in neural networks near decision boundaries.
method Adversarial attack method to derive uncertainty from input perturbations.
result The proposed method outperforms other uncertainty methods in capturing model uncertainty.

The paper develops methods for constructing confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.

problem Building distribution-free confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.
method Resampling test and empirical risk minimization approach for model classes with finite pseudo-dimensions and inverse Lipschitz parameterizations.
result Strong uniform consistency and exponential probably approximately correct bounds on the L2L_2 sizes of the regions.

Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.

problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.

The predict-then-optimize framework is fundamental in many practical settings: predict the unknown parameters of an optimization problem, and then solve the problem using the predicted values of the parameters. A natural loss function in this environment is to consider the cost of the decisions induced by the predicted…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.

problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.

This paper tackles fair same-day delivery service by optimizing regional service rates.

problem Fairness in same-day delivery service for different neighborhoods.
method Partition service area into regions, use multi-objective Markov decision process and deep Q-learning.
result Our approach maximizes fairness across all regions while maintaining overall service rate.

Study integrates reliability constraints into generation planning models.

problem Challenges in integrating reliability constraints with generation planning models.
method Leverages a weighted oblique decision tree (WODT) technique to embed reliability verification constraints.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in achieving reliable and optimal planning solutions.

This paper proposes a new method to improve adversarial robustness of DNNs by focusing on semantic information.

problem Vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial attacks.
method Region adversarial training (RAT) that generates a single adversarial perturbation carrying semantic information.
result RAT greatly improves adversarial robustness with a small dataset and defends against FGSM attacks.

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.

Local robustness ensures that a model classifies all inputs within an 2\ell_2-ball consistently, which precludes various forms of adversarial inputs. In this paper, we present a fast procedure for checking local robustness in feed-forward neural networks with piecewise-linear activation functions. Such networks partit…

2020-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗