Business Architecture (BA) plays a significant role in helping organizations understand enterprise structures and processes, and align them with strategic objectives. However, traditional BAs are represented in fixed structure with static model elements and fail to dynamically capture business insights based on interna…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “data-driven insights”
Bayesian nonparametrics improves data-driven risk optimization under distributional uncertainty.
problem Improving out-of-sample performance in machine learning models due to distributional uncertainty.
method Combining Bayesian nonparametric theory and decision-theoretic preferences to propose a robust optimization criterion.
result The proposed robust optimization procedure provides favorable statistical guarantees and tractable approximations.
Interpretable ML helps discover insights from big data.
problem Validating data-driven discoveries from complex datasets.
method Statistical and machine learning techniques for interpretable models.
result Challenges in validating data-driven discoveries remain.
Framework adds human knowledge to AI decisions to improve outcomes.
problem Conflict between AI recommendations and human insights.
method Develops a framework for integrating human knowledge as a guardrail for AI decisions.
result Human knowledge can improve AI decisions, especially in specific pitfalls.
A new data-driven model forecasts electricity prices efficiently.
problem Forecasting electricity prices using traditional methods.
method Integrates data-driven and fundamental models, learns from historical data.
result Significantly improves forecasting accuracy compared to existing models.
The optimization of composition and processing to obtain materials that exhibit desirable characteristics has historically relied on a combination of scientist intuition, trial and error, and luck. We propose a methodology that can accelerate this process by fitting data-driven models to experimental data as it is coll…
Study uses LLMs to automate data insights discovery.
problem Extracting relevant insights from large data sets.
method Capture the Flag principle, LLMs, reasoning, code generation.
result LLMs can recognize meaningful data insights.
We consider deep feedforward neural networks with rectified linear units from a signal processing perspective. In this view, such representations mark the transition from using a single (data-driven) linear representation to utilizing a large collection of affine linear representations tailored to particular regions of…
Advancing DeFi Analytics: Efficiency Analysis with Decentralized Exchanges Comparison Serviceq-fin.TR
DECS tool assesses swap rates of DEXes and Fusion outperforms competitors.
problem Lack of unbiased swap rate comparisons in decentralized finance.
method Swap transaction monitoring and simulation techniques.
result 1inch Classic and Fusion consistently outperform competitors in swap rates.
Decoding Financial Health in Kenyas' Medical Insurance Sector: A Data-Driven Cluster Analysisq-fin.CP
Study clusters Kenyan medical insurance companies based on financial performance and reporting consistency.
problem Identifying financial health and reporting consistency in Kenyan medical insurance companies.
method Advanced clustering techniques (KMeans, DTW) on financial ratios and time series data.
result Four distinct clusters identified, each representing different financial performance and reporting consistency combinations.
Minimizing the Weighted Number of Tardy Jobs: Data-Driven Heuristic for Single-Machine Schedulingcs.LG
A heuristic minimizes tardy jobs' total weight on single-machine scheduling.
problem Minimizing tardy jobs' total weight on single-machine scheduling.
method Data-driven heuristic combining machine learning and problem-specific characteristics.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art in optimality gap and adaptability.
Study reveals hidden infections and infection dynamics from early data.
problem Understanding early infection dynamics and hidden infections in COVID-19.
method Data-driven machine learning analysis focusing on infection counts over time.
result Significant asymptomatic infections, 10-day lag, and strong infectious force.
New insights into bias-variance tradeoff for data-driven optimization under local misspecification.
problem Understanding the relative performance of SAA, IEO, and ETO under local misspecification.
method Developed a local misspecification perspective using contiguity theory in statistics.
result Explicit expressions for decision bias and geometric understanding of variance.
A main challenge of data-driven sciences is how to make maximal use of the progressively expanding databases of experimental datasets in order to keep research cumulative. We introduce the idea of a modeling-based dataset retrieval engine designed for relating a researcher's experimental dataset to earlier work in the …
Pipeline learns topological features for protein stability prediction.
problem Predicting protein stability using topological features.
method Data-driven method to learn topological features, comparing with expert features.
result Topological features achieve 92%-99% of SME-based models' performance.
HAD-Net forecasts glucose levels with insights into insulin and carbs diffusion.
problem Inaccurate predictions in glucose level forecasting without context understanding.
method Hybrid model combining deep learning and physiological models, using recurrent attention network.
result Achieves competitive performance in glucose level forecasting with plausible diffusion insights.
Interpretable Data-driven Methods for Subgrid-scale Closure in LES for Transcritical LOX/GCH4 Combustionphysics.flu-dyn
Study assesses data-driven and physics-based SGS models for transcritical combustion.
problem Challenges in simulating high-pressure combustion systems due to complex fluid behaviors.
method Comparison of physics-based and random forest machine learning models in turbulent transcritical non-premixed flames.
result Random forest models can effectively model subgrid stresses, providing insight into their formation.
Conversion of raw data into insights and knowledge requires substantial amounts of effort from data scientists. Despite breathtaking advances in Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI), data scientists still spend the majority of their effort in understanding and then preparing the raw data for ML/AI. Th…
MaxEnt framework recovers standard model selection procedures and identifies the most generalizable model.
problem Model selection and characterization in data-scientific approaches.
method Starting from linear system of phenomenological constraints, asymptotically derive the distribution over all viable distributions.
result MaxEnt distribution is the most typical among all viable distributions and supports hypothesis testing in a fully-data driven manner.
DAUM networks improve weather forecasting with attention and multistream features.
problem Improving weather forecasting accuracy using deep learning.
method Proposes DAUM networks combining tensorial unistream and multistream representations with attention mechanisms.
result Adding self-attention blocks enhances forecasting performance.
Proposes robust assortment optimization from observational data.
problem Real-world scenarios often violate assumptions of stable customer preferences and correct choice models.
method Develops a robust framework that accounts for potential distributional shifts in customer choice behavior.
result Uncovered the notion of ``robust item-wise coverage'' as the minimal data requirement for sample-efficient robust assortment learning.
This paper explores how NLP enhances insurance data analysis.
problem Traditional insurance data limitations and need for alternative data.
method Application of NLP techniques to transform and analyze unstructured text data.
result NLP techniques improve insurance data analysis and risk assessment.
A new matrix factorization method for high-dimensional data.
problem Exploiting sparse structures in complex data for better interpretability.
method Bayesian shrinkage priors and flexible sparse patterns modeled through row and column dependencies.
result Demonstrated practical advantages through simulation and soccer heatmap analysis.
Enhances topology optimization with multiclass microstructures using latent variable Gaussian process.
problem Lack of an inherent ordering or distance measure between different classes of microstructures.
method Extended latent-variable Gaussian process (LVGP) models to multi-response LVGP (MR-LVGP) models for metamaterials.
result Improved performance through consistent load-transfer paths for micro- and macro-structures.
GAMLA learns manifold structures with auto-encoding for global insights.
problem Limited global insight and lack of interpretable analytical descriptions in manifold learning.
method Two-round auto-encoding process to derive character and complementary representations.
result GAMLA provides global and analytical descriptions of smooth manifolds.
Localization of unknown faults in industrial systems is a difficult task for data-driven diagnosis methods. The classification performance of many machine learning methods relies on the quality of training data. Unknown faults, for example faults not represented in training data, can be detected using, for example, ano…
Tensor networks help learn complex physical laws from data.
problem Identifying non-linear dynamical laws from complex physical systems.
method Tensor network parameterizations and rank-adaptive optimization.
result Optimal tensor network models can be learned from data.
The abstract discusses open data resources for studying and controlling the spread of COVID-19.
problem Understanding and controlling the spread of COVID-19.
method Identification and description of open data resources and data-driven methodologies.
result Identification of variables and open data resources for analyzing COVID-19.
Paper develops adaptive models for robust energy forecasting with missing data.
problem Operational models assume complete data; missing data can degrade forecast accuracy.
method Adaptive robust optimization and adversarial machine learning for missing data.
result Proposed models perform well even with short-term missing data and significantly outperform imputation with longer-term missing data.
Data-driven RL solves Merton's expected utility problem via policy randomization.
problem Maximizing expected utility in an incomplete market with unknown primitives.
method Policy randomization in continuous-time reinforcement learning.
result RL algorithms solve Merton's problem without estimating model primitives.
A theoretical performance analysis of the graph neural network (GNN) is presented. For classification tasks, the neural network approach has the advantage in terms of flexibility that it can be employed in a data-driven manner, whereas Bayesian inference requires the assumption of a specific model. A fundamental questi…
New method uses machine learning to analyze catalyst reactions.
problem Understanding complex reaction mechanisms in catalytic materials.
method Combining transient kinetics and machine learning.
result Correct estimates of micro-kinetic coefficients and mechanism.
New insights into learning for blind inverse problems with theoretical guarantees.
problem Learning in blind inverse problems where both signal and operator are unknown.
method Data-driven approaches using Linear Minimum Mean Square Estimators (LMMSEs) with theoretical analysis.
result Established equivalences with Tikhonov-regularized formulations and derived finite-sample error bounds.
With the rise of deep neural networks for quantum chemistry applications, there is a pressing need for architectures that, beyond delivering accurate predictions of chemical properties, are readily interpretable by researchers. Here, we describe interpretation techniques for atomistic neural networks on the example of …
We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of gated neural networks that automatically learn to divide-and-conquer the problem …
MIP-GNN uses graph neural networks to predict variable biases for MIP solvers.
problem Improving combinatorial optimization through data-driven insights.
method Encoding MILP interactions as graphs, training a graph neural network to predict variable biases, and guiding the MIP solver with these predictions.
result Significant improvements in solving binary MILPs compared to default settings of state-of-the-art solvers.
Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.
problem Generating accurate synthetic populations without personal data.
method Constraint-programming framework encoding aggregated statistics and structural relations.
result Exact control of demographic profiles without requiring microdata.
This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.
problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.
This article outlines a method for automatically generating models of dynamic decision-making that both have strong predictive power and are interpretable in human terms. This is useful for designing empirically grounded agent-based simulations and for gaining direct insight into observed dynamic processes. We use an e…
Machine learning predicts molecular crystal stability.
problem Predicting the stability of molecular crystals.
method Supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques to classify and predict lattice energy.
result Data-driven assessment of chemical groups' contribution to crystal stability.
Fuzzy prediction sets generalize binary predictions to include elements at varying confidence levels.
problem Binary prediction sets are limited; fuzzy prediction sets offer richer guarantees.
method Generalize prediction sets to fuzzy sets, showing they are e-values with merging properties.
result Optimal e-values lead to optimal fuzzy prediction sets, including optimal conformal prediction.
Despite recent advances in regularisation theory, the issue of parameter selection still remains a challenge for most applications. In a recent work the framework of statistical learning was used to approximate the optimal Tikhonov regularisation parameter from noisy data. In this work, we improve their results and ext…
PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.
problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.
The paper discusses scalable learning for wireless data-driven systems.
problem Expanding data volume and model complexity limit centralized learning solutions.
method Discusses scalable architecture and local learning strategies.
result Promising research directions in scalable data-driven wireless communications.
Data-driven model shows deep learning weights behave like a liquid.
problem Understanding the structure of deep neural network optimization landscapes.
method Statistical mechanics framework to model high-dimensional weight spaces.
result Deep networks' weight spaces are well-connected, not hierarchical, unlike shallow networks.
The paper addresses frequentist regret of Linear Thompson Sampling in stochastic linear bandits.
problem The frequentist regret of Linear Thompson Sampling (LinTS) is worse than its Bayesian counterpart.
method The paper proves the fundamental nature of the frequentist regret bound for LinTS and proposes a data-driven version of LinTS to achieve minimax optimal frequentist regret.
result The frequentist regret bound for LinTS is , which is the best possible under certain conditions.
We present a new data-driven benchmark system to evaluate the performance of new MCMC samplers. Taking inspiration from the COCO benchmark in optimization, we view this task as having critical importance to machine learning and statistics given the rate at which new samplers are proposed. The common hand-crafted exampl…
This paper reviews recent advances in the field of optimization under uncertainty via a modern data lens, highlights key research challenges and promise of data-driven optimization that organically integrates machine learning and mathematical programming for decision-making under uncertainty, and identifies potential r…