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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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16324864 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for data-dependent predictors

Bayesian neural networks explore rare fluctuations for better feature learning.

problem Understanding rare but dominant fluctuations in Bayesian neural networks.
method Large-deviation theory and joint optimization over predictors and internal kernels.
result Posterior rate function optimization reveals data-dependent kernel selection.

Adaptive kernels from neural networks improve model performance.

problem Improving neural network performance through adaptive kernels.
method Deriving adaptive kernels from infinite-width neural networks using feature learning and gradient flow training.
result Adaptive kernels achieve lower test loss compared to traditional kernels.

We consider using an ensemble of binary classifiers for transductive prediction, when unlabeled test data are known in advance. We derive minimax optimal rules for confidence-rated prediction in this setting. By using PAC-Bayes analysis on these rules, we obtain data-dependent performance guarantees without distributio…

2015-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates KRR risk from training data for various kernels and hyperparameters.

problem Predicting the generalization error of Kernel Ridge Regression.
method Introduces SCT and KARE to approximate KRR risk from training data.
result KARE provides an excellent approximation of KRR risk and helps select good kernels.

The Lasso is a computationally efficient regression regularization procedure that can produce sparse estimators when the number of predictors (p) is large. Oracle inequalities provide probability loss bounds for the Lasso estimator at a deterministic choice of the regularization parameter. These bounds tend to zero if …

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Conformal Alignment ensures trustworthy outputs from foundation models.

problem Ensuring outputs from foundation models align with human values in high-stakes tasks.
method A framework that trains an alignment predictor using reference data to select trustworthy outputs.
result Conformal Alignment accurately identifies trustworthy outputs via lightweight training over moderate reference data.

Paper presents new training methods for neural networks with tighter risk certificates.

problem Training probabilistic neural networks with tighter risk certificates.
method Derived from PAC-Bayes bounds, two training objectives implemented for the first time in neural networks.
result Competitive test set errors and non-vacuous risk bounds with tighter values than previous results.

Analyzes the complexity of linear hypothesis sets using Rademacher complexity.

problem Understanding the complexity of linear hypothesis sets for various norms.
method Tight analysis of empirical Rademacher complexity for linear hypothesis classes with bounded weights.
result Improved bounds on Rademacher complexity for linear hypothesis sets, matching or improving existing results.

Study how depth affects inference in deep Bayesian neural networks.

problem Understanding how depth impacts inference in overparameterized linear Bayesian neural networks.
method Interpreting finite deep linear Bayesian neural networks as scale mixtures of Gaussian process predictors.
result Advances analytical understanding of how depth affects inference in a simple class of Bayesian neural networks.

We reformulate data-dependent constraints to ensure they are always met with high probability.

problem Ensuring fairness and stability in machine learning models with data-dependent constraints.
method Calibrated reformulation of constraints to guarantee satisfaction with a specified probability.
result Our method guarantees that fairness constraints are met at test time with high probability.

We present a study of generalization for data-dependent hypothesis sets. We give a general learning guarantee for data-dependent hypothesis sets based on a notion of transductive Rademacher complexity. Our main result is a generalization bound for data-dependent hypothesis sets expressed in terms of a notion of hypothe…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

PAC-Bayesian theory applied to data-dependent hypothesis sets yields uniform generalization bounds.

problem Proving uniform generalization bounds for data-dependent hypothesis sets.
method Applying PAC-Bayesian framework on 'random sets' and considering data-dependent hypothesis sets.
result Data-dependent uniform generalization bounds are proven, providing tighter and unified results.

Paper introduces data-dependent SSP for private linear and logistic regression.

problem Private linear and logistic regression with better performance.
method Data-dependent sufficient statistic perturbation (SSP) for linear and logistic regression.
result Data-dependent SSP outperforms state-of-the-art methods for linear and logistic regression.

The paper shows robustness and generalization are closely connected via data-dependent bounds.

problem Connecting robustness and generalization in machine learning.
method Data-dependent generalization bounds that reduce dependence on covering number and hypothesis space.
result Proves robustness implies generalization, with near-exponential improvements in various situations.

The study improves representation learning bounds using data-dependent Gaussian mixtures.

problem Improving generalization in representation learning.
method Established bounds using relative entropy and MDL of latent variables.
result The approach significantly improves generalization over existing methods.

Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.

problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.

The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization bounds on data-dependent posteriors. Using this flexibility, however, is difficult,…

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm achieves data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.

problem Achieving best-of-both-worlds guarantees with data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.
method Optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader algorithm with new optimistic Q-function estimators and transition bonus.
result First-order, second-order, and path-length bounds with polylog(T) regret in the stochastic regime.

Fast robust subspace tracking in sparse data-dependent noise with near-optimal delay.

problem Robustly tracking time-varying subspaces in the presence of sparse outliers.
method Introduces a fast mini-batch robust ST solution under mild assumptions.
result Provably correct subspace tracking with near-optimal delay and same time complexity as simple PCA.

Enhances SDR via Hellinger correlation for better data dependency understanding.

problem Improving sufficient dimension reduction in single-index models.
method Developed a new method using Hellinger correlation for detecting the dimension reduction subspace.
result Significantly enhances and outperforms existing SDR methods through deeper data dependency understanding.

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified up to unknown constants. In practice, however, this oracle tuning parameter is …

2013-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper establishes a generalization bound for gradient flow using a data-dependent kernel.

problem Understanding the generalization properties of gradient-based optimization methods.
method Establishes a generalization bound for gradient flow through a data-dependent kernel called the loss path kernel (LPK).
result The LPK captures the entire training trajectory and leads to tighter generalization guarantees.

In this paper, we consider the problem of prediction with expert advice in dynamic environments. We choose tracking regret as the performance metric and develop two adaptive and efficient algorithms with data-dependent tracking regret bounds. The first algorithm achieves a second-order tracking regret bound, which impr…

2019-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves multi-task regression performance using approximations of full-conformal prediction.

problem Jointly solve multiple regression tasks with better performance than individual tasks.
method Design an approximating prediction region in RKHS for full-conformal multi-task regression.
result The approximating prediction region improves upon split-conformal prediction on synthetic data.

Neural networks learn task-specific features, influenced by nonlinearity.

problem Understanding the nature of task-dependent feature learning in neural networks.
method Investigation of fully-connected, wide neural networks using Bayesian framework.
result The nature of internal representations depends on neuronal nonlinearity, leading to analog, redundant, or sparse coding schemes.

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a partition. The estimator predicts the empirical conditional expectation over the cel…

2019-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework evaluates privacy cost of non-private pre-processing in DP pipelines.

problem Privacy cost of non-private data-dependent pre-processing in DP machine learning pipelines.
method Establishes upper bounds on overall privacy guarantees using Smooth DP and bounded sensitivity.
result Explicit overall privacy guarantees for various pre-processing algorithms.

PriorGrad improves speech synthesis models by using data-dependent adaptive priors.

problem Inefficiency in denoising diffusion models due to mismatch between prior and data distributions.
method Proposes PriorGrad, an adaptive prior derived from data statistics based on conditional information.
result PriorGrad achieves faster convergence and superior performance in speech synthesis models.

The Adam algorithm has become extremely popular for large-scale machine learning. Under convexity condition, it has been proved to enjoy a data-dependant O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret bound where TT is the time horizon. However, whether strong convexity can be utilized to further improve the performance remains an open problem…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces new bounds linking data compressibility to generalization error.

problem Establishing data-dependent generalization bounds.
method Variable-size compressibility framework linking generalization error to compression rate of input data.
result New bounds depend on empirical data measure, subsuming existing PAC-Bayes and intrinsic dimension bounds.

In this paper, we consider the problem of recovering a graph that represents the statistical data dependency among nodes for a set of data samples generated by nodes, which provides the basic structure to perform an inference task, such as MAP (maximum a posteriori). This problem is referred to as structure learning. W…

2018-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We present algorithms for topic modeling based on the geometry of cross-document word-frequency patterns. This perspective gains significance under the so called separability condition. This is a condition on existence of novel-words that are unique to each topic. We present a suite of highly efficient algorithms based…

2013-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of forecasting conditional probabilities of the next event given the past is considered in a general probabilistic setting. Given an arbitrary (large, uncountable) set C of predictors, we would like to construct a single predictor that performs asymptotically as well as the best predictor in C, on any data.…

2016-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗