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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for data covariance

The paper explores using historical data to improve clinical trial analysis by optimizing covariate weights.

problem Limited covariates in small clinical trials reduce the effectiveness of analysis.
method Leverage historical data to pre-specify covariate weights as a composite covariate.
result A composite covariate improves the cost/benefit ratio and reduces overfitting in small clinical trials.

New methods estimate covariance for matrix data without assuming fixed size or specific distributions.

problem Estimating covariance for high-dimensional matrix data without distributional assumptions.
method Unified framework for bandable covariance estimation with rank one approximation, robust to heavy-tailed data.
result Proposed estimators are rate-optimal and perform well in simulations and real applications.

Better signal detection in undersampled data using joint and cross covariances.

problem Detecting shared signals in high-dimensional data with limited samples.
method Analysis of three covariance matrices: individual, cross, and joint.
result Joint and cross covariance matrices detect signals earlier than individual covariances.

CovNet models covariance for multidimensional functional data efficiently.

problem Estimating covariance for functional data over multidimensional domains.
method Covariance Networks (CovNet) for efficient modeling and estimation.
result CovNet can approximate any covariance up to desired precision efficiently.

Statistical modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena often requires selecting a covariance matrix from a covariance class. Yet standard parametric covariance families can be insufficiently flexible for practical applications, while non-parametric approaches may not easily allow certain kinds of prior knowledge to be incorp…

2020-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Vanilla SGD learns SIM from anisotropic data without explicit covariance estimation.

problem Learning SIM from anisotropic Gaussian inputs.
method Vanilla Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) trained on SIM with anisotropic input.
result Vanilla SGD adapts to anisotropic data's covariance structure.

The paper addresses the selection of synthetic data for improving classifier performance, focusing on the role of covariance shift.

problem The effectiveness of synthetic data in improving classifier performance is questioned, and the specific properties affecting this performance are unclear.
method The paper uses high-dimensional regression to analyze synthetic data selection, focusing on the covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions.
result The covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions affects the generalization error of classifiers, but the mean shift does not.

Proposes a robust method for predicting missing outcomes in covariate shift adaptation.

problem Predicting missing outcomes in test data with covariate shift.
method Doubly robust estimator for covariate shift adaptation via importance weighting, incorporating an additional estimator for the regression function.
result Shows robustness against density-ratio estimation errors, maintaining consistency if either estimator is consistent.

A new GNN architecture called coVariance neural network (VNN) improves stability and transferability of covariance matrix analysis.

problem Stability and transferability issues in covariance matrix analysis.
method Developed coVariance neural network (VNN) that operates on sample covariance matrices.
result VNN is more stable and transferable than PCA-based approaches.

Study shows pretraining and finetuning can effectively tackle covariate shift in linear regression.

problem Linear regression under covariate shift where source and target distributions differ but conditional distribution remains similar.
method Pretraining on source data and finetuning on target data using online SGD.
result Transfer learning with O(N2)O(N^2) source data is as effective as supervised learning with NN target data.

Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.

STVNN models spatiotemporal data using covariance matrices.

problem Challenges in modeling spatiotemporal interactions in multivariate time series.
method Introduces SpatioTemporal coVariance Neural Network (STVNN) that operates on sample covariance matrix and uses joint spatiotemporal convolutions.
result STVNN is stable to online estimation uncertainties and outperforms temporal PCA.

Proposes using external data to improve predictions in medical applications with limited samples.

problem Small sample sizes and complex covariate-response relationships in medical data.
method Integrates external co-data into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) using an empirical Bayes framework.
result Improves prediction accuracy compared to standard BART, especially for nonlinear relationships.

There has been a lot of work fitting Ising models to multivariate binary data in order to understand the conditional dependency relationships between the variables. However, additional covariates are frequently recorded together with the binary data, and may influence the dependence relationships. Motivated by such a d…

2012-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric families of low-rank covariances improve flexibility and tractability in high dimensions.

problem Interpolating and identifying covariance matrices in high dimensions with limited data.
method Differential geometric construction of low-rank covariance families, interpolation on manifolds, and distance minimization for identification.
result Differential geometric covariance families offer significant flexibility and computational tractability.

Proposes FarmHazard model for hazard regression with correlated covariates.

problem Model selection challenges in high-dimensional data with correlated covariates.
method Factor-Augmented Regularized Model for Hazard Regression (FarmHazard) that learns latent factors and idiosyncratic components.
result Proves model selection and estimation consistency under mild conditions.

This paper introduces a new data-driven methodology for estimating sparse covariance matrices of the random coefficients in logit mixture models. Researchers typically specify covariance matrices in logit mixture models under one of two extreme assumptions: either an unrestricted full covariance matrix (allowing correl…

2020-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks improve geospatial data analysis by relaxing linearity assumptions.

problem Traditional geospatial analysis assumes linear models, limiting flexibility.
method Embedding neural networks within traditional geostatistical models for non-linear mean functions.
result NN-GLS algorithm provides consistent and scalable predictions for irregular spatial data.

A new model integrates covariates with grade of membership analysis for better latent structure recovery.

problem Improving latent structure recovery in multivariate categorical data analysis.
method Covariate-assisted grade of membership model exploiting shared low-rank simplex geometry.
result Auxiliary covariates can provably improve latent structure recovery, leading to faster convergence rates.

New estimator handles covariate shift with closed-form solution and super-efficiency.

problem Handling covariate shift in missing data and causal inference problems.
method Minimum Wasserstein distance estimation framework.
result Closed-form expression and super-efficiency relative to semiparametric efficient estimator.

Study on linear regression with dependent covariates, proving universality and error characterization.

problem Linear regression with dependent covariates in high-dimensional settings.
method Analysis of ridge regression performance, Gaussian universality theorem, spectral properties of covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic performance of ridge regression is invariant under non-Gaussian covariates with preserved mean and covariance.

PAMA learns covariate importance for better matching in observational studies.

problem Poor performance of conventional matching methods when covariates differ in relevance.
method PAMA is a semi-supervised framework that learns covariate importance from paired data and optimizes a weighted quadratic score.
result PAMA outperforms standard methods, particularly in high-dimensional settings and under model misspecification.

Estimates covariance matrices for matrix-variate data via core covariance geometry.

problem Estimating covariance matrices for matrix-variate data with partial isotropy.
method Fixed-rank core covariance geometry, partial-isotropy rank-r core shrinkage estimator.
result The geometry of the space of rank-r cores is a smooth manifold.

Paper quantizes heavy-tailed data for near optimal estimation rates.

problem Estimating parameters from heavy-tailed data with quantization.
method Truncate and dither data, then uniformly quantize; achieves near minimax rates.
result Near optimal estimation rates achievable with quantized data.

Active data collection improves convergence rates in operator learning.

problem Improving convergence rates in operator learning with linear target and stochastic input.
method Active data collection strategies with mean-zero stochastic process and continuous covariance kernels.
result Achieves arbitrarily fast error convergence rates with eigenvalue decay of covariance kernels.

SDR outperforms IDR in multimodal data analysis, especially with fewer samples.

problem Understanding and optimizing data efficiency in multimodal representation learning.
method Generative linear model to synthesize multimodal data, comparing IDR and SDR methods.
result Linear SDR methods yield higher-quality, more succinct reduced-dimensional representations with smaller datasets.

FVNNs use graph convolutions on fair covariance estimates to improve fairness in machine learning.

problem Data-driven methods can encode biases in sample covariance matrices, leading to unfair treatment of different subpopulations.
method FVNNs perform graph convolutions on fair covariance estimates and use a fairness regularizer in the loss function.
result FVNNs provide a flexible model that is intrinsically fairer than PCA approaches and can handle low sample regimes.

Study nonparametric covariance function estimation for noisy data.

problem Estimating covariance function from discrete noisy data in high dimensions.
method Adaptive learning-based estimators, including deep learning.
result Established oracle inequality and convergence rates for deep learning estimators.

ConvNets improve nonstationary covariance estimation for large-scale spatial data.

problem Estimating nonstationary spatial covariance functions on large scales.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets) for subregion identification and selection.
result Enhanced accuracy in parameter estimation using ConvNet-based partitioning.

Improved algorithm for conditional linear regression with heterogeneous covariances.

problem Identifying a linear predictor for a fraction of data with varying covariances.
method Polynomial time algorithm using Disjunctive Normal Form (DNF) to identify a condition and linear predictor.
result Removed requirement for similar covariances in each condition term, improving algorithm applicability.