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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for cycling behavior

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The proposed model is aimed to reveal important patterns in the behavior of a simplified financial system. The patterns could be detected as regular cycles consisting of debt bubbles and crises. Financial cycles have a well defined structure and form periodic sequences along the axis of credit expansion while retaining…

2016-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A microscopic approach to macroeconomic features is intended. A model for macroeconomic behavior under heterogeneous spatial economic conditions is reviewed. A birth-death lattice gas model taking into account the influence of an economic environment on the fitness and concentration evolution of economic entities is nu…

2004-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we seek to incorporate into the macroeconomic framework a dynamic stock market model …

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The determinants of the velocity of money have been examined based on life-cycle hypothesis. The velocity of money can be expressed by reciprocal of the average value of holding time which is defined as interval between participating exchanges for one unit of money. This expression indicates that the velocity is govern…

2005-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative model predicts menstrual cycle lengths accounting for self-tracking artifacts.

problem Uncertainty in self-tracked health data due to user adherence.
method Hierarchical, generative model using machine learning.
result Model yields state-of-the-art performance in predicting menstrual cycle lengths.

This paper uses spectrum analysis to understand price behavior in the Indian stock market.

problem Understanding price formation and discovery in the Indian stock market.
method Adapting mathematical physics theories and spectrum analysis to decompose price cycles.
result Decomposing price cycles helps in understanding the effect of information on price formation and discovery.

Random braids that are formed by multiplying randomly chosen permutation braids are studied by analyzing their behavior under Garside's weighted decomposition and cycling. Using this analysis, we propose a polynomial-time algorithm to the conjugacy problem that is successful for random braids in overwhelming probabilit…

2006-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New filling functions for groups with coefficients show different asymptotic behavior.

problem Difficulty in filling loops with surfaces in Cayley graphs.
method Defining homological filling functions with coefficients and proving their differences.
result Filling functions for nn-cycles with coefficients in different groups have distinct asymptotic behavior.

Generating an image from its description is a challenging task worth solving because of its numerous practical applications ranging from image editing to virtual reality. All existing methods use one single caption to generate a plausible image. A single caption by itself, can be limited, and may not be able to capture…

2018-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.

problem Understanding and managing consumer behavior in high-dimensional data.
method Non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) to extract multi-timescale expenditure patterns.
result Consumption patterns are characterized based on spending behavior over different timescales.

AdaBoost is one of the most popular ML algorithms. It is simple to implement and often found very effective by practitioners, while still being mathematically elegant and theoretically sound. AdaBoost's interesting behavior in practice still puzzles the ML community. We address the algorithm's stability and establish m…

2012-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Exploration is a key problem in reinforcement learning, since agents can only learn from data they acquire in the environment. With that in mind, maintaining a population of agents is an attractive method, as it allows data be collected with a diverse set of behaviors. This behavioral diversity is often boosted via mul…

2020-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This research creates efficient models for cyclo-stationary systems using generative methods.

problem Efficiently modeling systems with periodic forcing.
method Score-based generative modeling for reduced-order models.
result Accurately reproduces statistical properties and temporal correlations of cyclo-stationary time series.

Study uses deep learning to predict stock trends with superior performance.

problem Predicting short-term equity trends with high accuracy.
method Dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) integrating technical signals and deep learning.
result Deep learning model outperforms linear baselines in multi-factor stock selection.

Odd crossing numbers and even rotation numbers for cycles in plane immersions.

problem Analyzing crossing and rotation numbers of cycles in plane immersions of graphs.
method Generic immersions and Legendrian embeddings of graphs, focusing on cycles of specific lengths.
result Sum of rotation numbers of all 5-cycles is even, and sum of crossing numbers is odd.

We address the issue of limit cycling behavior in training Generative Adversarial Networks and propose the use of Optimistic Mirror Decent (OMD) for training Wasserstein GANs. Recent theoretical results have shown that optimistic mirror decent (OMD) can enjoy faster regret rates in the context of zero-sum games. WGANs …

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

To date, most studies on spam have focused only on the spamming phase of the spam cycle and have ignored the harvesting phase, which consists of the mass acquisition of email addresses. It has been observed that spammers conceal their identity to a lesser degree in the harvesting phase, so it may be possible to gain ne…

2013-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This work introduces novel methods to identify and compare cycles across topological objects.

problem Identifying and comparing topological features, particularly cycles, across different topological objects.
method Two complementary approaches: dendrogram-based merge-tree algorithms and Stratified Gradient Sampling.
result Transformed cycle matching into hierarchical clustering and topological optimization framework.

This paper identifies the unique efficient cycle for most hyperbolic manifolds but not for the figure-8 knot complement.

problem Identifying the unique efficient cycle for hyperbolic manifolds.
method Analyzing the limit of fundamental cycles and their 1\ell^1-norm convergence.
result The uniqueness of the efficient cycle is proven for most hyperbolic manifolds but not for the figure-8 knot complement.

Gauss diagrams' properties can change with Hamiltonian cycle choice.

problem The impact of Hamiltonian cycle choice on Gauss diagrams.
method Examined realizable and unrealizable Gauss diagrams, and proved preservation of realizability under certain Hamiltonian cycle changes.
result Properties of Gauss diagrams can vary with Hamiltonian cycle choice.

New algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.

problem Learning causal structures with cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
method Characterizing when graphs determine the same model, using quadratic and cubic polynomial relations, and a strategy of decorrelating cycles and multivariate regression.
result Consistent and computationally efficient algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles.

Credit expansion led to stronger household leverage cycles during the U.S. business cycle.

problem Understanding the role of credit supply in the U.S. business cycle.
method Causal evidence from 1999-2010 U.S. business cycle data.
result Credit expansion, particularly in private-label mortgages, caused stronger household leverage cycles.

In the current article we study complex cycles of higher multiplicity in a specific polynomial family of holomorphic foliations in the complex plane. The family in question is a perturbation of an exact polynomial one-form giving rise to a foliation by Riemann surfaces. In this setting, a complex cycle is defined as a …

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Smooth approximation of integral cycles mod 2 in Riemannian manifolds.

problem Approximating mod 2 integral cycles by smooth submanifolds.
method Approximation of mod 2 integral cycles by smooth submanifolds with controlled singularities.
result Every mod 2 integral cycle can be approximated by a smooth submanifold with a controlled singular set.

Constructs an explicit cycle in arithmetic group cohomology.

problem Cohomology of SLn(Z)_n(\mathbb{Z}) at virtual cohomological dimension.
method Geometric rigidity of Voronoi tessellations and abstract framework for polyhedral tessellations.
result Explicit canonical cycle in top-dimensional homology of Voronoi complex.

Using Kontsevich's identification of the homology of the Lie algebra l_infty with the cohomology of Out(F_r), Morita defined a sequence of 4k-dimensional classes mu_k in the unstable rational homology of Out(F_{2k+2}). He showed by a computer calculation that the first of these is non-trivial, so coincides with the uni…

2004-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a notion of vanishing Maslov index for lagrangian varifolds and lagrangian integral cycles in a Calabi-Yau manifold. We construct mass-decreasing flows of lagrangian varifolds and lagrangian cycles which satisfy this condition. The flow of cycles converges, at infinite time, to a sum of special lagrangian …

2016-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.

problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.

By generalizing the measurements on the game experiments of mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, we study the dynamical pattern in a representative dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE). The DSGE model describes the entanglements of the three variables (output gap [yy], inflation [ππ] and nominal interest rate [$…

2014-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗