Business cycles tend to comove across countries. However, standard models that attribute comovement to propagation of exogenous shocks struggle to generate a level of comovement that is as high as in the data. In this paper, we consider models that produce business cycles endogenously, through some form of non-linear d…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “cycle synchronization”
The sectoral synchronization observed for the Japanese business cycle in the Indices of Industrial Production data is an example of synchronization. The stability of this synchronization under a shock, e.g., fluctuation of supply or demand, is a matter of interest in physics and economics. We consider an economic syste…
We propose a general framework for solving the group synchronization problem, where we focus on the setting of adversarial or uniform corruption and sufficiently small noise. Specifically, we apply a novel message passing procedure that uses cycle consistency information in order to estimate the corruption levels of gr…
Synchronization in a market model with time delaysphysics.soc-ph
Study on synchronization in financial markets with time delays.
problem Understanding market dynamics and synchronization in financial systems with time delays.
method Examined a system of coupled non-linear delay-differential equations, linearized for small delays, and analyzed collective dynamics using bifurcation diagrams and numerical solutions.
result Demonstrated that limit cycles can be maintained in coupled N-asset models with appropriate parameterization, leading to market synchronization.
This paper proposes a TL method for SOH estimation of lithium-ion batteries.
problem Accurately estimating battery SOH to prevent unexpected failures.
method Temporal synchronization and distribution similarity analysis for transfer learning.
result The proposed method achieves a root mean squared error of 0.0034, improving accuracy by 77%.
Novel method solves group synchronization with robust corruption tolerance.
problem Group synchronization with high corruption tolerance.
method Quadratic programming formulation exploiting cycle consistency.
result Global minimum recovers corruption levels under mild conditions.
We have analyzed the Indices of Industrial Production (Seasonal Adjustment Index) for a long period of 240 months (January 1988 to December 2007) to develop a deeper understanding of the economic shocks. The angular frequencies estimated using the Hilbert transformation, are almost identical for the 16 industrial secto…
Novel higher-order group synchronization for noisy local measurements on hypergraphs.
problem Synchronizing higher-order local measurements on hyperedges to global estimates on nodes.
method Message passing algorithm for global synchronization of higher-order measurements.
result Higher-order method outperforms standard pairwise synchronization methods in certain applications.
New method synchronizes graphs with probability measures on rotations.
problem Synchronizing graphs with measure-valued edges over rotations.
method Formulated as maximization of cycle-consistency in probability measures over rotations, using Sinkhorn divergences.
result Proposes a nonparametric Riemannian particle optimization approach converging to global optimum under certain conditions.
Study limits of circadian synchronization under different light signals.
problem Disruption of circadian rhythms due to misalignment with external light signals.
method Matrix-free approach for locating periodic steady states, numerical continuation, bifurcation diagrams, unsupervised learning.
result Limits of circadian synchronization to external light signals of different frequency and duty cycle.
The paper develops a method to sparsify magnetic Laplacians using multi-type spanning forests.
problem Sparsifying magnetic Laplacians for large and dense graphs.
method Sampling multi-type spanning forests using a determinantal point process.
result The method provides statistical guarantees for estimating the connection Laplacian.
New algorithm improves PPS for multi-object matching.
problem Efficiently synchronize partial permutations for multi-object matching.
method Proposed CEMP-Partial algorithm for partial permutation synchronization (PPS). Uses sparse matrix operations and nonconvex weighted projected power method.
result Proves CEMP-Partial can exactly classify corrupted and clean partial permutations under adversarial corruption.
New method uses neural networks for accurate angle estimation in noisy conditions.
problem Accurately estimate angles from noisy measurements in various applications.
method Directed Graph Neural Networks (GNNSync) for end-to-end trainable framework.
result GNNSync achieves competitive performance, even at high noise levels.
In this paper a neural network heuristic dynamic programing (HDP) is used for optimal control of the virtual inertia based control of grid connected three phase inverters. It is shown that the conventional virtual inertia controllers are not suited for non inductive grids. A neural network based controller is proposed …
Hybrid approach for large-scale network synchronization using KF and PTP.
problem Synchronization of large-scale networks in 5G.
method Combines Kalman Filtering and PTP for pairwise synchronization, and Factor Graphs and Belief Propagation for end-to-end synchronization.
result Error in offset estimation remains below 5 ns in simulations.
We analyze how an observer synchronizes to the internal state of a finite-state information source, using the epsilon-machine causal representation. Here, we treat the case of exact synchronization, when it is possible for the observer to synchronize completely after a finite number of observations. The more difficult …
Service-induced congestion in memory-constrained LLM serving
problem Service-induced congestion in memory-constrained large language model (LLM) serving
method Developing a discrete-time dynamical model of memory-constrained LLM inference
result The system converges to a unique worst-case limit cycle that is asymptotically stable outside a Lebesgue-measure-zero exact-capture set, with throughput losses as large as 50%.
New algorithm uses PSO to optimize DNN training parameters in distributed systems.
problem Reducing synchronization frequency in DNN training leads to poor convergence.
method Integrates PSO into distributed training to automatically compute new parameters.
result Proposed algorithm outperforms synchronous methods in distributed DNN training.
ShadowSync: Performing Synchronization in the Background for Highly Scalable Distributed Trainingcs.LG
ShadowSync separates background synchronization for scalable distributed training.
problem Reducing synchronization overhead in distributed training for high scalability.
method Separates synchronization from training and runs it in the background.
result Achieves both high throughput and excellent model quality at scale.
Predicting the State of Synchronization of Financial Time Series using Cross Recurrence Plotsq-fin.ST
Study predicts synchronization state of financial time series using cross-recurrence plots.
problem Predicting the state of synchronization of financial time series.
method Cross-correlation analysis and deep learning framework for predicting synchronization state based on cross-recurrence plots.
result Satisfactory performance in predicting synchronization state for certain pairs of stocks.
This paper proposes a general model for synchronized crowding behavior. An order parameter is introduced to quantify the level of synchronization which is shown a function of percentage of agents in reactive state. Further, synchronization is shown to be driven by the most active agents with the highest volatility. A t…
Efficiently estimates rotations with corrupted data.
problem Rotation synchronization under high corruption and noise.
method Message passing algorithm with reweighted least squares.
result Superior performance over state-of-the-art methods.
Study optimizes estimation of orthogonal and rotation matrices from noisy data.
problem Estimating orthogonal and rotation matrices from noisy data.
method Iterative polar decomposition algorithm initialized by spectral methods.
result Algorithm achieves optimal error rate of $(1+o(1)) rac{σ^2 d(d-1)}{2np}$.
Solves complex clustering and rotation synchronization problem.
problem Challenges in classifying and synchronizing rotated objects into multiple categories.
method Semidefinite programming relaxations to solve the joint problem of community detection and synchronization.
result Exact recovery of community detection and synchronization when extending stochastic block model.
Spectral method for joint community detection and group synchronization.
problem Jointly detecting communities and synchronizing orthogonal groups in graphs.
method Spectral decomposition followed by CPQR factorization.
result Near-optimal guarantees for exact and stable recovery of cluster memberships and orthogonal transforms.
Study financial markets using synchronization measures and clustering algorithms.
problem Analyze high-frequency trading dynamics and market states.
method Ordinal pattern series, information-theoretic synchronization measure, clustering algorithms, Markov model.
result Identify two coherent seasons of centralized and decentralized synchronicity.
Spectral methods achieve near-optimal performance in orthogonal and permutation group synchronization.
problem Recovering group elements from pairwise measurements in computer vision.
method Spectral methods applied with the leave-one-out technique.
result Near-optimal performance bounds for orthogonal and permutation group synchronization established.
Networks of coupled dynamical systems provide a powerful way to model systems with enormously complex dynamics, such as the human brain. Control of synchronization in such networked systems has far reaching applications in many domains, including engineering and medicine. In this paper, we formulate the synchronization…
Machine learning predicts synchronization transitions in unknown systems.
problem Predicting synchronization transitions in systems with unknown equations.
method Developed a 'parameter-aware' machine learning scheme using reservoir computing or echo state networks.
result Machine learning accurately predicts synchronization transitions, including hysteresis loops.
New method linearizes nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
problem Predicting global synchronization in nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
method Latent dynamic filters learned through supervised matrix factorization.
result Latent dynamics filters enable effective prediction of global synchronization.
New approach predicts stock price synchronization using RNNs and LSTMs.
problem Forecasting synchronization of stock prices in the Indian market.
method Utilizing recurrence plots and CRQA for non-linear analysis, RNNs and LSTMs for prediction.
result Accuracy of 0.98 and F1 score of 0.83 in predicting stock price synchronization.
Adaptive synchronization improves deep reinforcement learning performance.
problem Fixed step size synchronization can cause loss of properly learned networks.
method Adaptive synchronization based on recent agent behavior.
result Adaptive synchronization leads to better performance in games.
KuramotoGNN uses Kuramoto model to prevent over-smoothing in graph neural networks.
problem Over-smoothing in graph neural networks where node features become indistinguishable.
method Integrates Kuramoto model to prevent phase synchronization and instead achieve frequency synchronization.
result KuramotoGNN reduces over-smoothing on various graph deep learning tasks.
New MAB model for online caching costs.
problem Learning costs of cached items online.
method Synchronization bandits, MirrorSync algorithm.
result Adversarial regret of for MirrorSync.
The paper studies how noise synchronizes tokens in deep transformer models.
problem Understanding synchronization in deep learning models with noise.
method Proves convergence to a stochastic particle system and identifies the limiting SDE.
result The limiting model displays synchronization by noise and exponential dissipation of interaction energy.
Paper presents a probabilistic framework for diffusion synchronization.
problem Improper application of heuristics leads to suboptimal results in diffusion synchronization.
method Develops a probabilistic framework to analyze and adapt correlation models for each specific task.
result Achieves better results by identifying optimal correlation models per task.
We extend a recent synchronization analysis of exact finite-state sources to nonexact sources for which synchronization occurs only asymptotically. Although the proof methods are quite different, the primary results remain the same. We find that an observer's average uncertainty in the source state vanishes exponential…
Paper addresses group synchronization with incomplete measurements and proves linear convergence of GPM.
problem Orthogonal group synchronization with incomplete measurements and additive noise.
method Generalized power method (GPM) with local error bound analysis.
result Linear convergence of GPM to a global maximizer under general additive noise model.
Researchers compare two GAN models for lip-synchronization tasks.
problem Improving the quality of generated lip-sync videos.
method Reimplemented and trained two GAN models (LipGAN and L1WGAN-GP) on the GRID dataset.
result L1WGAN-GP outperformed LipGAN in generating more realistic lip-sync videos.
The bulk synchronous parallel (BSP) is a celebrated synchronization model for general-purpose parallel computing that has successfully been employed for distributed training of machine learning models. A prevalent shortcoming of the BSP is that it requires workers to wait for the straggler at every iteration. To amelio…
We study the quantum synchronization between a pair of two-level systems inside two coupled cavities. By using a digital-analog decomposition of the master equation that rules the system dynamics, we show that this approach leads to quantum synchronization between both two-level systems. Moreover, we can identify in th…
NS-RGS improves orthogonal group synchronization with faster convergence.
problem Orthogonal group synchronization from pairwise measurements.
method Newton-Schulz iteration for Riemannian gradient optimization.
result NS-RGS achieves linear convergence and near-optimal accuracy.
Synchronization Model for Stock Market Asymmetryphysics.soc-ph
The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this, we introduce a market model consisting of randomly fluctuating stocks that occas…
Extends angular synchronization to heterogeneous groups, improving accuracy in multiple applications.
problem Recovering angles from noisy pairwise measurements in a heterogeneous setting.
method Probabilistic generative model and spectral algorithm with robustness analysis.
result Spectral algorithm provides improved recovery accuracy in various parameter regimes.
Detects synchronized behavior in streaming data.
problem Tracking synchronized behavior in time-stamped tuples.
method AugSplicing algorithm for streaming dense block detection.
result Effective and robust in detecting anomalous behavior.
Synchronization and Control in Intrinsic and Designed Computation: An Information-Theoretic Analysis of Competing Models of Stochastic Computationcond-mat.stat-mech
We adapt tools from information theory to analyze how an observer comes to synchronize with the hidden states of a finitary, stationary stochastic process. We show that synchronization is determined by both the process's internal organization and by an observer's model of it. We analyze these components using the conve…
A probing scheme is considered with an accessible and controllable qubit, used to probe an out-of equilibrium system consisting of a second qubit interacting with an environment. Quantum spontaneous synchronization between the probe and the system emerges in this model and, by tuning the probe frequency, can occur both…
DS-Sync improves distributed DNN training efficiency by 94% with minimal accuracy loss.
problem Network bottlenecks in distributed DNN training.
method Divide workers into non-overlapping groups for independent synchronization, then shuffle workers among groups iteratively.
result DS-Sync achieves up to 94% improvement in training time with minimal accuracy loss.