Study evaluates early-stage cybersecurity firms' performance using Crunchbase data.
problem Assessing performance of early-stage cybersecurity startups.
method Empirical analysis of 19 cybersecurity sectors using Crunchbase data.
result Significant variations in capital raised and post-money valuations across cybersecurity sectors.
Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.
problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.
Green startups in Italy survive longer than non-green ones.
problem Survival of innovative startups in Italy.
method Comparative analysis of green vs. non-green startups in Italy, 2009-2018.
result Green startups are more than twice as likely to survive than non-green ones.
Thanks to the recent availability of comprehensive and detailed online databases of startup companies, it has become possible to more directly investigate startup ecosystems i.e. startup populations in specific regions. In this paper, we analyze the emergence of 20+ such ecosystems in Europe and the USA, with a specifi…
Enhances VC startup success predictions using graph augmented time series models.
problem Challenges in predicting startup success due to limited financial data and subjective forecasts.
method Integrates inter-company relationships into time series analysis using GraphRAG.
result Significantly outperforms previous models in startup success predictions.
Deep learning helps identify promising startups.
problem Identifying successful startups amidst many.
method Literature review and synthesis of DL-based startup evaluation methods.
result Deep learning shows promise in startup success prediction.
We address the issue of the factors driving startup success in raising funds. Using the popular and public startup database Crunchbase, we explicitly take into account two extrinsic characteristics of startups: the competition that the companies face, using similarity measures derived from the Word2Vec algorithm, as we…
YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.
problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.
In this paper we propose a quadratic programming model that can be used for calculating the term structure of electricity prices while explicitly modeling startup costs of power plants. In contrast to other approaches presented in the literature, we incorporate the startup costs in a mathematically rigorous manner with…
Predicting startup success using Crunchbase data and deep learning.
problem Predicting startup success in a volatile entrepreneurial ecosystem.
method Novel deep learning model integrating funding metrics, founder features, and industry category.
result Achieved 14 times capital growth and identified high-potential startups.
We consider the problem of evaluating the quality of startup companies. This can be quite challenging due to the rarity of successful startup companies and the complexity of factors which impact such success. In this work we collect data on tens of thousands of startup companies, their performance, the backgrounds of t…
Biotech IPOs in Q1 2021: advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP key.
problem Identifying traits of biotech startups that go public.
method Database of biotech IPOs, analysis of leadership, technology, clinical trials, and financing.
result Advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP are important for biotech startups.
This paper compares token and equity financing for startups.
problem Understanding differences in return rates between token and equity financing.
method Developed a three-period model to analyze liquidity and return differences.
result Entrepreneurs can achieve higher payoffs by issuing tokens, especially for risk-averse investors with liquidity needs.
Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.
problem Understanding market reactions to cybersecurity incidents.
method Examined daily stock price movements of companies disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
result Companies tend to experience negative price reactions after disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
Study reveals which startup valuation factors are most critical.
problem Understanding the complex factors influencing startup valuations.
method Hierarchical prediction models using decision trees and random forests.
result Identifies which factors most significantly impact startup valuations.
Model for optimal cybersecurity investment considering clustered cyberattacks.
problem Optimal investment in cybersecurity to reduce system vulnerability under clustered cyberattacks.
method Developed a continuous-time stochastic model using a Hawkes process, extended Gordon-Loeb model, solved as a Markovian stochastic optimal control problem.
result Investment policies that account for attack clustering lead to more effective and responsive strategies, improving upon static and Poisson-based approaches.
In the domain of technology startups, biotechnology has often been considered as specific. Their unique technology content, the type of founders and managers they have, the amount of venture capital they raise, the time it takes them to reach an exit as well as the technology clusters they belong to are seen as such un…
A new method to value IPOed companies.
problem Valuing companies after IPO.
method Growth Average U1 method.
result Benchmark stocks using linear extrapolation of revenues and profits.
Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.
problem Forecasting startup success metrics like funding, patenting, IPOs.
method Developed interpretable machine learning framework, used preprocessing, class imbalance handling, and compared multiple models.
result Achieved high AUROC values for patent, funding, and exit predictions.
Paper introduces a framework for managing cyber risk with insurance and cybersecurity models.
problem Pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk, especially for capital allocation.
method Combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade models for comprehensive cyber risk assessment. Facilitates informed capital allocation through a two-pillar framework.
result Demonstrates the necessity of comprehensive cost-benefit analysis for budget-constrained companies.
Paper uses ensemble learning for IoT cybersecurity anomaly detection.
problem Anomaly detection in IoT data is challenging due to heterogeneous device types.
method Bayesian hyperparameter optimisation for ensemble learning.
result Ensemble learning with Bayesian optimisation improves anomaly detection accuracy.
Introduces an artificial cyber lab to test and identify cyber resilience measures.
problem Systemic cyber risks and their control methods.
method Classical contagion models and artificial cyber lab simulations.
result Identified two classes of measures: security- and topology-based interventions.
Machine learning techniques are currently used extensively for automating various cybersecurity tasks. Most of these techniques utilize supervised learning algorithms that rely on training the algorithm to classify incoming data into different categories, using data encountered in the relevant domain. A critical vulner…
Develops a Bonus-Malus model for cyber risk insurance to incentivize cybersecurity.
problem Lack of effective insurance strategies to incentivize cybersecurity.
method Proposes a Bonus-Malus model and a mathematical model with a numerical algorithm.
result Demonstrates how a Bonus-Malus system resolves moral hazard and benefits the insurer.
Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.
problem Quantifying geoeconomic power and technological sovereignty through venture capital data.
method Economic complexity methods applied to venture capital portfolios and RVA metrics.
result Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity Tools, and Medtech have the highest concentration of specialization among high-GCI countries.
Startups is a popular phenomenon that has a significant impact on global economy growth, innovation and society development. However, there is still insufficient understanding about startups, particularly, how to start a new business in the relation to consequent performance. Toward this knowledge, we have performed an…
This work develops agents to learn generalizable policies for dynamic network environments.
problem Real-world network topologies change due to attackers, defenders, or system failures, leading to failures in adaptive ACD systems.
method Developing agents to learn generalizable policies across dynamic network environments.
result Agents can learn robust policies for dynamic network topologies and diverse attackers.
TinyML models detect RF and cyber threats in spacecraft with low latency.
problem Detecting cyber-RF threats in autonomous spacecraft with low latency.
method Analysis of classical models (RF, LR, SVM, MLP) for latency-accuracy trade-offs.
result Logistic Regression achieves microsecond-level inference with minimal accuracy loss.
Designed to compete with fiat currencies, bitcoin proposes it is a crypto-currency alternative. Bitcoin makes a number of false claims, including: solving the double-spending problem is a good thing; bitcoin can be a reserve currency for banking; hoarding equals saving, and that we should believe bitcoin can expand by …
This paper optimizes cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
problem Optimizing cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
method Combining strategic behavior of players with contagion dynamics, a method is extended to determine optimal resource allocation based on simple network metrics weighted by risk profiles.
result The asymmetry between attacker and defender valuations drives optimal attack and defense strategies, shaping system resilience.
Paper tackles cybersecurity attack detection with an ensemble approach.
problem Challenges in multi-class classification for cyber security breaches.
method Designing a multi-node multi-class classification ensemble approach.
result Proposed approach outperforms full-data approach in multi-node data-censoring cases.
The paper shows supply chain features improve cyber risk prediction.
problem Predicting cyber risk from supply chain attributes.
method Machine learning, external supply chain features, AUC improvement.
result Supply chain network features improve AUC by 2.3%.
Online-iForest detects anomalies in streaming data efficiently.
problem Offline anomaly detection methods are impractical for streaming contexts.
method Online-iForest tracks evolving data processes in real-time without periodic retraining.
result Online-iForest outperforms all competitors in efficiency.
Anti-phishing aims to detect phishing content/documents in a pool of textual data. This is an important problem in cybersecurity that can help to guard users from fraudulent information. Natural language processing (NLP) offers a natural solution for this problem as it is capable of analyzing the textual content to per…
Model quantifies cyber-attacks' impact on firms and insurers.
problem Impact of cyber-attacks on firms' revenues and insurers' portfolios.
method Stochastic SIR model coupled with granular firm growth model.
result Predicts insurer needs to compensate up to two days of revenue in a 100-day incident.
To be prepared against cyberattacks, most organizations resort to security information and event management systems to monitor their infrastructures. These systems depend on the timeliness and relevance of the latest updates, patches and threats provided by cyberthreat intelligence feeds. Open source intelligence platf…
Survey of machine learning methods for Windows malware classification.
problem Difficulties in malware classification through data collection, labeling, feature creation, and selection.
method Review of current methods and challenges in malware classification.
result Discussion of constraints and unaddressed problems for machine learning in cybersecurity.
UN-AVOIDS visualizes and detects anomalies without needing labeled data.
problem The need for a unified framework to visualize and detect anomalies.
method UN-AVOIDS is an unsupervised, nonparametric approach that transforms data into a new space (NCDF) for both visualization and detection.
result UN-AVOIDS assigns invariant anomalous scores and achieves high AUC in detecting anomalies.
Study uses web search data to analyze tech startups growth.
problem Analyzing growth dynamics of tech startups.
method Utilized Google Trends data for 241 US-based tech startups.
result Web search traffic correlates positively with tech startup growth.
AutoYara generates effective Yara rules faster than humans.
problem Developing high-quality Yara rules for malware families is labor-intensive.
method Leverages biclustering on large n-grams to automate Yara rule generation.
result AutoYara reduces analyst workload by 44-86% and matches human performance.
The ever-growing big data and emerging artificial intelligence (AI) demand the use of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) methods. Cybersecurity also benefits from ML and DL methods for various types of applications. These methods however are susceptible to security attacks. The adversaries can exploit the tra…
New framework uses conformal predictions for robust, scalable machine learning classification.
problem Developing robust and reliable machine learning models for classification.
method Introducing scalable classifiers linked to statistical order theory and probabilistic learning theory, defining a score function and conformal safety set.
result Demonstrated practical implications in cybersecurity for identifying DNS tunneling attacks.
This paper surveys ML applications in SG for cyberattacks.
problem Cyberattacks in smart grid due to advanced technologies.
method Comprehensive review of existing research in cyberattacks detection and mitigation.
result Machine learning is effective in detecting and mitigating cyberattacks.
Noise analysis detects backdoors in DNNs quickly.
problem Detecting backdoors in DNNs trained on compromised data.
method Noise-infused image titration curves to quantify robustness and detect backdoors.
result DNNs with backdoors are more sensitive to noise and reveal their targets.
Machine learning-based IDSs in ICS are vulnerable to adversarial attacks that can bypass them.
problem Adversarial attacks on machine learning-based IDSs in ICS can lead to undetected cyber attacks.
method Used Jacobian-based Saliency Map attack to generate adversarial samples and explored adversarial training to improve model robustness.
result Classification performance of supervised models decreased by 16-20 percentage points with adversarial samples, but improved with adversarial training.
Stream deinterleaving is an important problem with various applications in the cybersecurity domain. In this paper, we consider the specific problem of deinterleaving DNS data streams using machine-learning techniques, with the objective of automating the extraction of malware domain sequences. We first develop a gener…
A federated graph learning approach improves EV charging demand forecasting while protecting against cyberattacks.
problem Cybersecurity risk and data heterogeneity in EV charging demand forecasting.
method Federated Graph Neural Network (GNN) model with global attention mechanism and credit-based function.
result Enhanced robustness and prediction accuracy in EV charging demand forecasting.