Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.

problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.

Study uses Open Banking data to estimate customer value, showing potential 21% increase.

problem Limited CLV estimation using single-entity data.
method Introduces PCLV framework using Open Banking data for comprehensive customer value estimation.
result Open Banking data can estimate PCLV per competitor, showing a 21.06% increase over Actual CLV.

In many structured prediction problems, complex relationships between variables are compactly defined using graphical structures. The most prevalent graphical prediction methods---probabilistic graphical models and large margin methods---have their own distinct strengths but also possess significant drawbacks. Conditio…

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Fashion preference is a fuzzy concept that depends on customer taste, prevailing norms in fashion product/style, henceforth used interchangeably, and a customer's perception of utility or fashionability, yet fashion e-retail relies on algorithmically generated search and recommendation systems that process structured d…

2018-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new clustering framework optimizes customer search data for personalized travel recommendations.

problem Personalized travel recommendations based on customer search data.
method Multi-objective optimization-based clustering ensemble framework.
result Optimizes diversity in clustering ensemble search space and automatically determines the number of clusters.

In this work, we describe practical lessons we have learned from successfully using contextual bandits (CBs) to improve key business metrics of the Microsoft Virtual Agent for customer support. While our current use cases focus on single step einforcement learning (RL) and mostly in the domain of natural language proce…

2019-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In e-commerce, content quality of the product catalog plays a key role in delivering a satisfactory experience to the customers. In particular, visual content such as product images influences customers' engagement and purchase decisions. With the rapid growth of e-commerce and the advent of artificial intelligence, tr…

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Customer retention campaigns increasingly rely on predictive models to detect potential churners in a vast customer base. From the perspective of machine learning, the task of predicting customer churn can be presented as a binary classification problem. Using data on historic behavior, classification algorithms are bu…

2017-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial institutions use LSTM models to predict customer goals.

problem Predicting customer goals and actions in financial services.
method Used LSTM models with state-space graph embeddings on historical customer traces.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of LSTM models in predicting customer goals and actions.

Customer momentum is a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers.

problem Understanding the relationship between a firm's returns and its customers' past returns.
method Examined customer momentum using a long-short equally-weighted decile portfolio and Fama-French factor models.
result Customer momentum generates significant monthly returns and is statistically significant.

Net-Promoter Score (NPS) is now ubiquitous as an easily-collected market research metric, having displaced many serious market research processes. Unfortunately, this has been its sole success. It possesses few, if any, of the characteristics that might be regarded as highly desirable in a high-level market research me…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to aggregate customer engagement data for better ranking of e-commerce results.

problem Cold start problem and under-representation of new or under-impressed products in e-commerce search results.
method Aggregates customer engagements within a day for the same query as input training data for machine learning models.
result Training models on aggregated data leads to better ranking of new and under-impressed products.

The paper proposes a new method for product recommendation that considers revenue contributions and user similarity.

problem High dimensionality and sparsity in user-item data, especially in terms of revenue contributions.
method The approach encodes revenue contributions in the user-item matrix and computes customer similarity using suitable distance measures.
result The method segments users based on revenue-based similarity and supports recommendations aligned with profitability objectives.

Market research is generally performed by surveying a representative sample of customers with questions that includes contexts such as psycho-graphics, demographics, attitude and product preferences. Survey responses are used to segment the customers into various groups that are useful for targeted marketing and commun…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Real-world machine learning applications often have complex test metrics, and may have training and test data that are not identically distributed. Motivated by known connections between complex test metrics and cost-weighted learning, we propose addressing these issues by using a weighted loss function with a standard…

2018-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Genealogy research is the study of family history using available resources such as historical records. Ancestry provides its customers with one of the world's largest online genealogical index with billions of records from a wide range of sources, including vital records such as birth and death certificates, census re…

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data, preferences, and other information that might be useful for building loyalty programs …

2018-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Silent abandonment reduces contact center efficiency by 5%-15%.

problem Measuring customer abandonment and patience in text-based contact centers is challenging due to uncertainty.
method Developed methodologies to identify silent-abandonment customers and estimate customer patience using text analysis and queueing models.
result Silent abandonment accounts for 30%-67% of customer abandonments and reduces system efficiency by 5%-15%.

Paper benchmarks and customizes energy forecasting methods.

problem Energy forecasting challenges and differences from traditional time series.
method Collected large-scale load datasets and renewable energy datasets. Developed feature engineering and customized loss functions.
result Comprehensive evaluation of 21 forecasting methods in energy datasets.

Proposes a variational autoencoder for long-term customer revenue forecasting.

problem Predicting long-term customer revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with flexible latent representation.
result Improves upon latest benchmarks in multiple real-world datasets.

This paper converts NACE classification into embeddings to preserve hierarchical structure.

problem Preserving hierarchical structure in NACE classification while reducing dimensions.
method Custom metrics for hierarchical structure retention; state-of-the-art models and dimensionality reduction.
result The proposed approach effectively preserves hierarchical structures in NACE classification.

Ebay uses forecasting and simulation to decide when to disable a vendor.

problem Determining the optimal time to disable a vendor to avoid customer loss.
method Data-driven approach involving multiplicative seasonality model, Monte Carlo simulation, and linear model.
result Identifies the best time to disable a vendor to minimize customer loss.

We study a general problem of allocating limited resources to heterogeneous customers over time under model uncertainty. Each type of customer can be serviced using different actions, each of which stochastically consumes some combination of resources, and returns different rewards for the resources consumed. We consid…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗