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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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21426283 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for custom explanations

DECE visualizes machine learning decisions with counterfactual explanations.

problem Making machine learning models transparent and explainable.
method Interactive visualization system supporting counterfactual explanations at instance- and subgroup-levels.
result DECE enables users to explore and understand machine learning model decisions.

Study predicts customer data sharing in Open Banking and explains key factors.

problem Predicting and explaining customer data sharing in Open Banking environments.
method Hybrid data balancing strategy with ADASYN and NEARMISS, XGBoost models, SHAP, CART.
result 91.39% accuracy for inflow and 91.53% for outflow predictions, revealing influential features.

Financial decisions impact our lives, and thus everyone from the regulator to the consumer is interested in fair, sound, and explainable decisions. There is increasing competitive desire and regulatory incentive to deploy AI mindfully within financial services. An important mechanism towards that end is to explain AI d…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops transparent global models consistent with local explanations.

problem Creating globally interpretable models that align with local explanations from black-box models.
method Custom boolean features from sparse local contrastive explanations are used to train a globally transparent model.
result Custom transparent models have higher local consistency compared to other strategies.

Modified BP attribution methods often ignore later layers' information, leading to misleading explanations.

problem Misleading explanations from modified BP methods ignoring later layers' information.
method Analysis of 9 modified BP methods including Deep Taylor Decomposition, LRP, Excitation BP, PatternAttribution, DeepLIFT, Deconv, RectGrad, Guided BP.
result Only DeepLIFT does not ignore later layers' information, providing a faithful explanation.

Remote explainability is impossible for single explanations, showing discriminatory features.

problem Remote explainability for machine learning models is challenging due to the lack of transparency.
method Analogy with club bouncer and proof of impossibility of remote explainability for single explanations.
result Remote explainability for single explanations is impossible, as shown by an attack that hides discriminatory features.

CrystalCandle creates user-friendly explanations for machine learning models.

problem Low trust in predictive models due to lack of interpretability.
method End-to-end pipeline for model interpretation, including Model Importer, Interpreter, Narrative Generator, and Exporter.
result CrystalCandle leads to higher adoption rates and improved downstream metrics.

Data-aware activation function customization reduces neural network error.

problem Current neural networks lack consideration for specific activation functions.
method Linear algebraic explanation and Diaconis-Shahshahani Approximation Theorem criteria for activation functions.
result Using an even activation function like seagull can reduce neural network error by orders of magnitude.

QUACKIE creates a new benchmark for NLP interpretability.

problem Evaluating NLP interpretability methods is challenging due to biased ground truths.
method Formulated a custom classification task from question-answering datasets, generating unbiased ground truths.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of current interpretability methods on the new benchmark.

This paper explores good practices for AI explainability in finance.

problem Complex financial models lack transparency and interpretability.
method Exploring good practices for deploying explainability in AI-based financial systems.
result Developing effective XAI tools for the financial industry.

Financial institutions use LSTM models to predict customer goals.

problem Predicting customer goals and actions in financial services.
method Used LSTM models with state-space graph embeddings on historical customer traces.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of LSTM models in predicting customer goals and actions.

Customer momentum is a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers.

problem Understanding the relationship between a firm's returns and its customers' past returns.
method Examined customer momentum using a long-short equally-weighted decile portfolio and Fama-French factor models.
result Customer momentum generates significant monthly returns and is statistically significant.

Paper proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.

problem Complex money laundering schemes and regulatory constraints hinder AML analysis and information sharing.
method Proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.
result Demonstrates improved AML analysis and information sharing through Poincaré embeddings.

Paper proposes a method to aggregate customer engagement data for better ranking of e-commerce results.

problem Cold start problem and under-representation of new or under-impressed products in e-commerce search results.
method Aggregates customer engagements within a day for the same query as input training data for machine learning models.
result Training models on aggregated data leads to better ranking of new and under-impressed products.

Study uses Open Banking data to estimate customer value, showing potential 21% increase.

problem Limited CLV estimation using single-entity data.
method Introduces PCLV framework using Open Banking data for comprehensive customer value estimation.
result Open Banking data can estimate PCLV per competitor, showing a 21.06% increase over Actual CLV.

Market research is generally performed by surveying a representative sample of customers with questions that includes contexts such as psycho-graphics, demographics, attitude and product preferences. Survey responses are used to segment the customers into various groups that are useful for targeted marketing and commun…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data, preferences, and other information that might be useful for building loyalty programs …

2018-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Silent abandonment reduces contact center efficiency by 5%-15%.

problem Measuring customer abandonment and patience in text-based contact centers is challenging due to uncertainty.
method Developed methodologies to identify silent-abandonment customers and estimate customer patience using text analysis and queueing models.
result Silent abandonment accounts for 30%-67% of customer abandonments and reduces system efficiency by 5%-15%.

DALC customizes LSTM models for detectors in large-scale traffic networks.

problem Fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Formulated as a finite Markov decision process, introduced ALC algorithm for automatic customization, and developed DALC for distributed customization.
result DALC provides higher prediction accuracy than Apache Spark MLlib approaches.

Proposes a variational autoencoder for long-term customer revenue forecasting.

problem Predicting long-term customer revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with flexible latent representation.
result Improves upon latest benchmarks in multiple real-world datasets.

Ebay uses forecasting and simulation to decide when to disable a vendor.

problem Determining the optimal time to disable a vendor to avoid customer loss.
method Data-driven approach involving multiplicative seasonality model, Monte Carlo simulation, and linear model.
result Identifies the best time to disable a vendor to minimize customer loss.

We study a general problem of allocating limited resources to heterogeneous customers over time under model uncertainty. Each type of customer can be serviced using different actions, each of which stochastically consumes some combination of resources, and returns different rewards for the resources consumed. We consid…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗