A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Bayesian model improves cure fraction estimation in survival analysis.
Proposes a deep neural network for predicting survival times with cure fractions.
A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is efficient in terms of data manipulation costs which makes it accessible even to…
New model identifies cell-specific genes for cancer prognosis.
New method optimizes processes under constraints using bivariate Gaussian models.
The calibration of a measurement device is crucial for every scientific experiment, where a signal has to be inferred from data. We present CURE, the calibration uncertainty renormalized estimator, to reconstruct a signal and simultaneously the instrument's calibration from the same data without knowing the exact calib…
This paper argues, first, that a major problem in the planning of large infrastructure projects is the high level of misinformation about costs and benefits that decision makers face in deciding whether to build, and the high risks such misinformation generates. Second, it explores the causes of misinformation and risk…
CURE extracts relations without supervision by clustering similar entity pairs.
Study identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts in youth.
To cure the lack of predictive power of general relativity Geroch proposed to complete the theory with an additional postulate that only "hole-free" spacetimes are permitted. I argue that this postulate is too strong -- it prohibits even the Minkowski space.
New gauge condition fixes metric divergence in hyperbolic monopole spaces.
Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman must be commended for their clear identification of causes and cures to the planning fallacy in "Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions" (HBR July 2003). Their look at overoptimism, anchoring, competitor neglect, and the outside view in forecasting is highly …
We reconsider the multivariate Kyle model in a risk-neutral setting with a single, perfectly informed rational insider and a rational competitive market maker, setting the price of n correlated securities. We prove the unicity of a symmetric, positive definite solution for the impact matrix and provide insights on its …
Rare diseases affect a relatively small number of people, which limits investment in research for treatments and cures. Developing an efficient method for rare disease detection is a crucial first step towards subsequent clinical research. In this paper, we present a semi-supervised learning framework for rare disease …
Although shill bidding is a common auction fraud, it is however very tough to detect. Due to the unavailability and lack of training data, in this study, we build a high-quality labeled shill bidding dataset based on recently collected auctions from eBay. Labeling shill biding instances with multidimensional features i…
Divide-and-conquer method speeds sparse factorization for large matrices.
This essay suggests that a proper assessment of the presently unfolding financial crisis, and its cure, requires going back at least to the late 1990s, accounting for the cumulative effect of the ITC, real-estate and financial derivative bubbles. We focus on the deep loss of trust, not only in Wall Street, but more imp…
We introduce a mixture model for censored durations (C-mix), and develop maximum likelihood inference for the joint estimation of the time distributions and latent regression parameters of the model. We consider a high-dimensional setting, with datasets containing a large number of biomedical covariates. We therefore p…
A new model avoids the PH assumption for right-censored survival data.
We present a framework for automatically structuring and training fast, approximate, deep neural surrogates of stochastic simulators. Unlike traditional approaches to surrogate modeling, our surrogates retain the interpretable structure and control flow of the reference simulator. Our surrogates target stochastic simul…
Nowadays, Internet is a primary source of attaining health information. Massive fake health news which is spreading over the Internet, has become a severe threat to public health. Numerous studies and research works have been done in fake news detection domain, however, few of them are designed to cope with the challen…
Development of interpretable machine learning models for clinical healthcare applications has the potential of changing the way we understand, treat, and ultimately cure, diseases and disorders in many areas of medicine. These models can serve not only as sources of predictions and estimates, but also as discovery tool…
Paper tackles distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common neurodegenerative disease in older people. Despite considerable efforts to find a cure for AD, there is a 99.6% failure rate of clinical trials for AD drugs, likely because AD patients cannot easily be identified at early stages. This project investigated machine learning app…
Cervical spondylosis (CS) is a common chronic disease that affects up to two-thirds of the population and poses a serious burden on individuals and society. The early identification has significant value in improving cure rate and reducing costs. However, the pathology is complex, and the mild symptoms increase the dif…
Geometric flows help solve the swampland problem by preserving Einstein equations.
The transparent cornea is the window of the eye, facilitating the entry of light rays and controlling focusing the movement of the light within the eye. The cornea is critical, contributing to 75% of the refractive power of the eye. Keratoconus is a progressive and multifactorial corneal degenerative disease affecting …
GGFPS improves model performance by sampling molecules more efficiently.
Sufficient physical activity and restful sleep play a major role in the prevention and cure of many chronic conditions. Being able to proactively screen and monitor such chronic conditions would be a big step forward for overall health. The rapid increase in the popularity of wearable devices provides a significant new…
Flexible co-data learning improves clinical prediction models.
Paper proposes machine learning model for early Alzheimer's diagnosis.
Barren plateaus are not an average-case phenomenon, but a highly non-unique problem.
The ability to compare two degenerate probability distributions (i.e. two probability distributions supported on two distinct low-dimensional manifolds living in a much higher-dimensional space) is a crucial problem arising in the estimation of generative models for high-dimensional observations such as those arising i…
Parkinson's Disease (PD) is a neurodegenerative disease that currently does not have a cure. In order to facilitate disease management and reduce the speed of symptom progression, early diagnosis is essential. The current clinical, diagnostic approach is to have radiologists perform human visual analysis of the degener…
This paper examines three independent explanatory variables and their relation with cost overrun in order to decide whether this is different for Dutch infrastructure projects compared to worldwide findings. The three independent variables are project type (road, rail, and fixed link projects), project size (measured i…
Optimizes loan recovery timing across various portfolios.
Background: Choosing the most performing method in terms of outcome prediction or variables selection is a recurring problem in prognosis studies, leading to many publications on methods comparison. But some aspects have received little attention. First, most comparison studies treat prediction performance and variable…
A new model combines deep learning and Gaussian Processes with hyperdata learning.
Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a developmental disorder that often impairs a child's normal development of the brain. According to CDC, it is estimated that 1 in 6 children in the US suffer from development disorders, and 1 in 68 children in the US suffer from ASD. This condition has a negative impact on a person's …
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth US$59 billion. The study shows with very high statistical significance that forecasters gener…
We address feature interpretation and reproducibility issues in dense nets, proposing a modified loss function.
Improved KAN model explains brain dynamics through edge learning and synaptic strength.
The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.
The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.
Gauge Flow Models use a learnable Gauge Field in Generative Flow Models.
The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.
Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.
Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.