Study proposes hybrid machine learning models for crop yield prediction.
problem Crop yield prediction for food security.
method Hybrid machine learning models (ANN-ICA and ANN-GWO).
result ANN-GWO model outperformed ANN-ICA in crop yield prediction.
Understanding and accurately predicting within-field spatial variability of crop yield play a key role in site-specific management of crop inputs such as irrigation water and fertilizer for optimized crop production. However, such a task is challenged by the complex interaction between crop growth and environmental and…
Deep learning model predicts crop yields using CNN-RNN.
problem Challenges in predicting crop yields due to multiple factors.
method CNN-RNN framework using environmental and management data.
result CNN-RNN model outperformed other methods by 9-8% RMSE.
Deep learning predicts crop prices with improved accuracy.
problem Accurate prediction of agricultural crop prices for better decision-making.
method Innovative deep learning approach using GNNs and CNN models.
result At least 20% better performance than previous literature.
Framework generates realistic crop images for growth modeling.
problem Modeling crop growth over time with precision and detail.
method Two-stage framework: image prediction and growth estimation models.
result Framework accurately predicts crop images with varying conditions.
A reliable and accurate forecasting model for crop yields is of crucial importance for efficient decision-making process in the agricultural sector. However, due to weather extremes and uncertainties, most forecasting models for crop yield are not reliable and accurate. For measuring the uncertainty and obtaining furth…
Deep learning predicts crop yield integrating genotype and weather data.
problem Improving crop yield prediction for diverse climates.
method Long Short Term Memory - Recurrent Neural Network model with temporal attention mechanism.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional methods for yield prediction.
VDTW improves cross-year crop mapping accuracy.
problem Cross-year crop mapping accuracy is poor with existing methods.
method Vector Dynamic Time Warping (VDTW) for multi-year classification.
result VDTW achieves 99.85% and 99.74% overall accuracies for same and cross years, respectively.
Developed deep learning models to predict crop yields across diverse environments.
problem Precise crop yield prediction for improved agricultural practices and climate resilience.
method Integrated weather data, used CNN-DNN and CNN-LSTM-DNN models, applied GEM method.
result Achieved superior performance in crop yield prediction with reduced RMSE and MAE.
Eradicating hunger and malnutrition is a key development goal of the 21st century. We address the problem of optimally identifying seed varieties to reliably increase crop yield within a risk-sensitive decision-making framework. Specifically, we introduce a novel hierarchical machine learning mechanism for predicting c…
Study predicts doubling of U.S. maize insurance claims due to climate change.
problem Climate change increases U.S. maize loss probability, impacting insurance claims.
method Neural Network Monte Carlo simulations to predict crop loss metrics.
result Doubling of annual probability of maize Yield Protection insurance claims by mid-century.
Crop yield is a highly complex trait determined by multiple factors such as genotype, environment, and their interactions. Accurate yield prediction requires fundamental understanding of the functional relationship between yield and these interactive factors, and to reveal such relationship requires both comprehensive …
In the semantic segmentation of street scenes the reliability of the prediction and therefore uncertainty measures are of highest interest. We present a method that generates for each input image a hierarchy of nested crops around the image center and presents these, all re-scaled to the same size, to a neural network …
Machine learning models accurately predict maize yield but less so for nitrate loss.
problem Predicting maize yield and nitrate loss for decision-making.
method Evaluation of five machine learning algorithms as meta-models for a cropping systems simulator.
result Random forests most accurately predicted maize yield and nitrate loss.
The paper presents a method to improve trust in deep learning models for crop and weed classification.
problem Lack of user trust in deep learning models for precision agriculture due to their complexity and uncertainty.
method Group-conditional conformal prediction via quantile regression calibration.
result The proposed method provides valid statistical guarantees on the predictive performance of deep learning models.
First European crop map created using satellite data.
problem Need for detailed parcel-level crop type mapping for EU.
method Used Sentinel-1 radar observations and LUCAS in-situ data.
result 80.3% overall accuracy for 19 crop types, highest for rape and turnip rape.
Project forecasts crop prices to help Indian farmers choose optimal crops for better ROI.
problem Indian farmers struggle to choose crops that fetch decent profits due to lack of scientific decision-making.
method Price forecasting to create an optimal portfolio of crops for better ROI.
result Data-driven decision-making for crop selection leads to higher estimated ROI.
BPR matches NN accuracy in crop classification while being more transparent.
problem Lack of auditability and alignment with domain knowledge in neural networks for high-dimensional climate data.
method Bagged polynomial regression with random projections (BPR), averaging many low-degree polynomial models.
result BPR matches neural networks in accuracy but is more transparent.
Crop yield forecasting is the methodology of predicting crop yields prior to harvest. The availability of accurate yield prediction frameworks have enormous implications from multiple standpoints, including impact on the crop commodity futures markets, formulation of agricultural policy, as well as crop insurance ratin…
Method uses aggregate crop statistics to improve satellite-based crop type mapping.
problem Limited field-level crop labels for training satellite-based maps.
method Corrects classifier by accounting for shifts in crop type composition and feature means.
result Substantial improvements in overall classification accuracy, reducing misclassifications by 21.9% on average.
The paper classifies U.S. crop types using hyperspectral satellite imagery.
problem Classifying crop types from hyperspectral satellite imagery.
method Gaussian Bayesian models and neural networks applied to NASA data.
result Bayesian methods outperform standard LDA and QDA.
Remote sensing satellites capture the cyclic dynamics of our Planet in regular time intervals recorded in satellite time series data. End-to-end trained deep learning models use this time series data to make predictions at a large scale, for instance, to produce up-to-date crop cover maps. Most time series classificati…
In developing countries like India agriculture plays an extremely important role in the lives of the population. In India, around 80\% of the population depend on agriculture or its by-products as the primary means for employment. Given large population dependency on agriculture, it becomes extremely important for the …
The paper proposes a soil pH prediction method using nearest fields.
problem Expensive soil sampling and testing in precision agriculture.
method Spatial radius queries and regression techniques in data mining.
result Predicted soil pH values achieved high accuracy (R_2 values of 0.718 and MAE values of 0.29).
XAI identifies key time steps for early crop classification.
problem Early crop classification with high accuracy and timeliness.
method Training a baseline model with LRP to identify important time steps.
result Identified a 21st April 2019 to 9th August 2019 timeframe with 0.75% accuracy loss.
This paper shows how rotating, cropping, and translating images improves a reinforcement learning agent's ability to generalize.
problem Reinforcement learning agents struggle to generalize to slight variations of their training environments.
method The authors investigate the impact of rotation, translation, and cropping on the input representation of reinforcement learning agents.
result Cropped, translated, and rotated observations lead to better generalization in reinforcement learning agents.
Study uses deep learning to predict mycotoxin levels in Irish oats.
problem Predicting mycotoxin contamination in Irish oats to improve crop quality and safety.
method Investigated neural networks and transfer learning models for multi-response prediction.
result Transfer learning model TabPFN provided the best performance.
The paper uses Tukey g-and-h neural networks for non-Gaussian data regression.
problem Regression with non-Gaussian data.
method Training neural networks to predict Tukey g-and-h distribution parameters via negative log-likelihood minimization.
result Efficiency demonstrated in simulated and real-world datasets.
Paper detects anomalies in wheat and rapeseed crops using satellite data.
problem Detecting anomalies in crop development at parcel-level.
method Unsupervised outlier detection using SAR and multispectral features.
result Best performance with a 10% outlier ratio, achieving 94.1% true positives for rapeseed and 95.5% for wheat.
CROP verifies clean prefixes in reasoning traces, improving downstream repair accuracy.
problem Uncertainty in reasoning traces prevents full certification of entire responses.
method CROP selects a calibrated threshold to certify the longest prefix with low risk proxies.
result CROP improves downstream repair accuracy by preserving valid reasoning and discarding misleading suffixes.
Intelligent control for greenhouses using deep reinforcement learning.
problem Uncertain nonlinear system of greenhouse environment control.
method Model Embedded Deep Reinforcement Learning (MEDRL) with computer vision and crop growth models.
result Precision and convenience in precise control of greenhouse environment.
A neural collaborative filtering method predicts corn hybrid yield performance.
problem Predicting yield performance of untested hybrid combinations in plant breeding.
method Ensemble of matrix factorization and neural networks.
result The model significantly outperformed other models in the Syngenta Crop Challenge.
Environmental stresses such as drought and heat can cause substantial yield loss in agriculture. As such, hybrid crops that are tolerant to drought and heat stress would produce more consistent yields compared to the hybrids that are not tolerant to these stresses. In the 2019 Syngenta Crop Challenge, Syngenta released…
New method uses UAV imagery and ML to map crops and weeds.
problem Mapping crops and weeds at high resolution.
method Machine Learning algorithms trained on expert-masked images.
result Maps with >90% identification efficiency at 5m altitude.
Tall wheatgrass outperforms rye in energy and environmental metrics, marginally improving economic viability.
problem Finding sustainable alternatives for marginal agricultural areas.
method Economic assessment using profit margin and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for energy and environmental performance.
result Tall wheatgrass shows better environmental and energy performance with reduced inputs and lower energy consumption.
Land use classification of low resolution spatial imagery is one of the most extensively researched fields in remote sensing. Despite significant advancements in satellite technology, high resolution imagery lacks global coverage and can be prohibitively expensive to procure for extended time periods. Accurately classi…
Unsupervised deep learning detects and localizes crop leaf diseases.
problem Automated detection and localization of crop diseases.
method Three types of autoencoders (CAE, CVAE, VQ-VAE) applied to an open-source dataset.
result VQ-VAE autoencoder outperforms in image reconstruction, anomaly removal, detection, and localization.
New method improves conformal prediction for machine learning models.
problem Improving the efficiency and informativeness of conformal prediction models.
method Introduces Penalized Inverse Probability (PIP) and Regularized PIP (RePIP) nonconformity score functions.
result PIP-based conformal classifiers strike a good balance between informativeness and efficiency.
We present Breizhcrops, a novel benchmark dataset for the supervised classification of field crops from satellite time series. We aggregated label data and Sentinel-2 top-of-atmosphere as well as bottom-of-atmosphere time series in the region of Brittany (Breizh in local language), north-east France. We compare seven r…
This paper presents a method to automatically generate high-quality prediction intervals for neural networks.
problem Accurate uncertainty quantification for deep learning models in real-world applications.
method Dual neural network approach with a novel loss function to balance prediction interval width and coverage.
result Our method produces significantly narrower prediction intervals with higher probability coverage compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Paper uses robust GMM to reconstruct missing data in Sentinel-2 images for crop monitoring.
problem Missing data in remote sensing images, especially from multispectral and SAR sensors.
method Robust Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) with outlier detection using isolation forest.
result Robust GMM outperforms standard GMM in reconstructing imputed values, reducing errors.
Neural network model improves leaf spectral reflectance prediction for grapevines.
problem Inaccurate modeling of grapevine leaf spectral reflectance from traits.
method Multi-head attention neural network trained on grapevine-specific data.
result Model achieved high accuracy (R^2=0.84, NRMSE=1.52%) and outperformed PROSPECT-PRO.
A looming question that must be solved before robotic plant phenotyping capabilities can have significant impact to crop improvement programs is scalability. High Throughput Phenotyping (HTP) uses robotic technologies to analyze crops in order to determine species with favorable traits, however, the current practices r…
Data mining involves the systematic analysis of large data sets, and data mining in agricultural soil datasets is exciting and modern research area. The productive capacity of a soil depends on soil fertility. Achieving and maintaining appropriate levels of soil fertility, is of utmost importance if agricultural land i…
Model predicts one-year NDVI for Four Corners region.
problem Long-term forecasting of vegetation conditions using climate attributes.
method Two-phase machine learning model using historical climate data.
result Open-source tools outperform alternative methods for NDVI forecasts.
Early classification improves satellite-based crop type identification.
problem Accurate early identification of crop types from satellite imagery.
method End-to-end trainable recurrent neural network with an additional stopping probability based on previously seen data.
result The model can distinguish crop types before the end of the vegetative period.
Botswana's agricultural credit scheme is unsustainable and needs reform.
problem The current scheme is unsustainable and based on flawed actuarial principles.
method Proposes a new subsidy and premium rate setting method considering non-drought years.
result A sustainable agricultural credit guarantee scheme is recommended.
Paper presents a machine learning framework for corn yield forecasting.
problem Accurate and timely prediction of corn yields in the US Corn Belt.
method Machine learning ensembles considering complete and partial in-season weather data.
result Ensemble models outperform individual models, achieving best prediction accuracy.