AXI assesses bank funding costs transparently, improving loan pricing and reducing financial risk.
arXiv research
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We present a dialogue on Counterparty Credit Risk touching on Credit Value at Risk (Credit VaR), Potential Future Exposure (PFE), Expected Exposure (EE), Expected Positive Exposure (EPE), Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA), DVA Hedging, Closeout conventions, Netting clauses, Collateral …
Quantum SVT reduces credit risk analysis costs.
Method debiases alternative data for fair credit underwriting.
Optimizes credit index option hedging with reinforcement learning.
Study compares CDS databases and finds discrepancies due to various factors.
Training classification models on imbalanced data tends to result in bias towards the majority class. In this paper, we demonstrate how variable discretization and cost-sensitive logistic regression help mitigate this bias on an imbalanced credit scoring dataset, and further show the application of the variable discret…
A new activation function improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced datasets.
Over-the-counter derivatives have contributed significantly to the effectiveness and efficiency of the international financial system but also entail significant counterparty credit risk. Collateralization is one of the most important and widespread credit risk mitigation techniques used in derivatives transactions. Ho…
This study analyzes how carbon pricing affects credit risk measures in a portfolio.
This paper presents a new model for pricing financial derivatives subject to collateralization. It allows for collateral arrangements adhering to bankruptcy laws. As such, the model can back out the market price of a collateralized contract. This framework is very useful for valuing outstanding derivatives. Using a uni…
The research presented in this work is motivated by some recent papers regarding hedging and valuation of financial securities subject to funding costs, collateralization and counterparty credit risk. Our goal is to provide a sound theoretical underpinning for some results presented in these papers by developing a unif…
The importance of collateralization through the change of funding cost is now well recognized among practitioners. In this article, we have extended the previous studies of collateralized derivative pricing to more generic situation, that is asymmetric and imperfect collateralization with the associated counter party c…
Machine learning has automated much of financial fraud detection, notifying firms of, or even blocking, questionable transactions instantly. However, data imbalance starves traditionally trained models of the content necessary to detect fraud. This study examines three separate factors of credit card fraud detection vi…
Paper applies NEAT for dynamic credit evaluation using streaming data.
We explain a persistent cost-of-carry spread in EUA market and suggest ECB policy change.
The paper explores fairness in credit scoring using machine learning.
After the release of the final accounting standards for impairment in July 2014 by the IASB, banks will face the next significant methodological challenge after Basel 2. In this paper, first methodological thoughts are presented, and ways how to approach underlying questions are proposed. It starts with a detailed disc…
Quantum MC simulations generate financial risk distributions efficiently.
The study calculates securities lending haircuts and indemnification costs.
This paper benchmarks monotone-constrained models for credit PD across datasets and finds constraints are mostly costless.
New tontine model with transaction costs for retirees.
In this paper, we reveal the attenuation mechanism of anchor of the commodity money from the perspective of logistics warehousing costs, and propose a novel Decayed Commodity Money (DCM) for the store of value across time and space. Considering the logistics cost of commodity warehousing by the third financial institut…
Credit (CVA), Debit (DVA) and Funding Valuation Adjustments (FVA) are now familiar valuation adjustments made to the value of a portfolio of derivatives to account for credit risks and funding costs. However, recent changes in the regulatory regime and the increases in regulatory capital requirements has led many banks…
We discuss and clarify the XVA modelling framework specified in the paper "MVA by replication and regression" (Risk Magazine, May 2015) for including bilateral credit risk and funding costs in derivative pricing, and in doing so we rectify two key errors in the valuation adjustments accounting for costs of capital and …
Analyzes valuation of derivative claims with asymmetric funding costs and WWR.
Model predicts default risk based on company's financial forecasts and credit conditions.
This study improves credit risk management using advanced reinforcement learning.
In order to scale transaction rates for deployment across the global web, many cryptocurrencies have deployed so-called "Layer-2" networks of private payment channels. An idealized payment network behaves like a Credit Network, a model for transactions across a network of bilateral trust relationships. Credit Networks …
Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the difference between the value of the default-free and credit-risky derivative portfolio, which can be regarded as the cost of the credit hedge. Default probabilities are therefore needed, as input parameters to the valuation. When liquid CDS are available, then implied probabilities …
The paper proposes a method to detect credit card fraud using sparse Gaussian approximations.
This paper addresses credit valuation adjustment with a new closeout convention.
Paper finds political networks reduce bond issuance costs in China.
We study the semilinear partial differential equation (PDE) associated with the non-linear BSDE characterizing buyer's and seller's XVA in a framework that allows for asymmetries in funding, repo and collateral rates, as well as for early contract termination due to counterparty credit risk. We show the existence of a …
We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete-time markets with dividend-paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no-arbitrage condition under the efficient friction assumption is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral measure. We derive dual repre…
The credit crisis and the ongoing European sovereign debt crisis have highlighted the native form of credit risk, namely the counterparty risk. The related Credit Valuation Adjustment, (CVA), Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA), Liquidity Valuation Adjustment (LVA) and Replacement Cost (RC) issues, jointly referred to in t…
Monotonic neural additive models simplify machine learning for credit scoring.
Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a determining factor in measuring their health. Current models of company financial healt…
Proposes a method to infer the distributional impacts of predictive models on stakeholders.
This work reduces DIM computation costs by training neural networks on single MC paths.
We develop an arbitrage-free framework for consistent valuation of derivative trades with collateralization, counterparty credit gap risk, and funding costs, following the approach first proposed by Pallavicini and co-authors in 2011. Based on the risk-neutral pricing principle, we derive a general pricing equation whe…
Improved hardness results for clearing payments in financial networks with CDSs.
The paper explains the fair basis in bond-CDS trading during financial crises.
Examines how extending home loan durations affects French households financially.
We present a dialogue on Funding Costs and Counterparty Credit Risk modeling, inclusive of collateral, wrong way risk, gap risk and possible Central Clearing implementation through CCPs. This framework is important following the fact that derivatives valuation and risk analysis has moved from exotic derivatives managed…
Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely monitor its net worth as well as market conditions, and one of its important concerns …
We develop a unified valuation theory that incorporates credit risk (defaults), collateralization and funding costs, by expanding the replication approach to a generality that has not yet been studied previously and reaching valuation when replication is not assumed. This unifying theoretical framework clarifies the re…
A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is efficient in terms of data manipulation costs which makes it accessible even to…