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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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21436485 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for covariate-response relationship

New method provides valid confidence intervals for spatial associations.

problem Limited insight into covariate-response relationships in spatial settings.
method Lipschitz-driven uncertainty quantification for spatial association.
result Valid frequentist confidence intervals for associations in spatial settings.

Proposes using external data to improve predictions in medical applications with limited samples.

problem Small sample sizes and complex covariate-response relationships in medical data.
method Integrates external co-data into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) using an empirical Bayes framework.
result Improves prediction accuracy compared to standard BART, especially for nonlinear relationships.

Active-set algorithm improves Cox regression for shape-restricted covariates.

problem Improving Cox regression for shape-restricted covariates.
method Shape-restricted inference using active-set optimization for spline basis expansion.
result Active-set algorithm produces accurate linear covariate effect estimates.

New method models covariates and responses without parametric assumptions using manifold learning.

problem Losing explanatory power for responses in standard factor models applied to covariates alone.
method Anisotropic diffusion maps for learning low-dimensional embeddings.
result Kalman filtering in diffusion-map coordinates improves joint covariate-response prediction.

Optimization algorithm CoCo improves causal inference from diverse data.

problem Identifying true causal relationships from data with spurious associations.
method CoCo optimizes for causal inference using environments with invariant causal relationships.
result CoCo provides more accurate causal estimates and predictions.

This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis provides sharp results on the ``out-of-sample'' prediction error, as opposed to…

2011-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider high dimensional sparse regression, and develop strategies able to deal with arbitrary -- possibly, severe or coordinated -- errors in the covariance matrix XX. These may come from corrupted data, persistent experimental errors, or malicious respondents in surveys/recommender systems, etc. Such non-stochas…

2013-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework improves robustness in nonlinear regression models.

problem Measurement error, model misspecification, and distributional misspecification in regression analyses.
method Joint Dirichlet process prior on latent covariate-response distribution, updating with posterior pseudo-samples.
result Improved stability and consistency in estimators under increasing measurement error.

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

Paper proposes inference method for high-dimensional censored quantile regression.

problem Identifying heterogeneous effects of high-dimensional genetic biomarkers on survival outcomes.
method Combines low-dimensional model estimates based on multi-sample splittings and variable selection.
result Proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically follows a Gaussian process.

LoCEC classifies user relationships in large social networks, addressing sparsity issues.

problem Sparse relationship feature and label data in real social platforms.
method Local Community-based Edge Classification (LoCEC) framework with three-phase processing.
result Effective and efficient classification of user relationships in large-scale networks.

Proposes a method to generate realistic counterfactuals by learning relationships.

problem Counterfactual explanations often ignore intrinsic relationships between data attributes.
method Uses a variational auto-encoder to learn relationships and perturb the latent space.
result The model preserves relationships and generates realistic counterfactuals.

Modeling lead-lag relationship between two text corpora for improved topic modeling.

problem Recognizing the relationship between multiple text corpora for better topic modeling.
method Proposed a jointly dynamic topic model and embedding extension for large-scale text corpus.
result The proposed model can well recognize the lead-lag relationship between two text corpora and improve topic learning.

New method evaluates financial graphs for stock trend forecasting.

problem Lack of dynamic stock relationship graphs and evaluation methods.
method SPNews dataset and novel evaluation methods independent of downstream tasks.
result Evaluation methods can differentiate between various financial relationship graphs.

Previous models for learning entity and relationship embeddings of knowledge graphs such as TransE, TransH, and TransR aim to explore new links based on learned representations. However, these models interpret relationships as simple translations on entity embeddings. In this paper, we try to learn more complex connect…

2017-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Shifu2 discovers advisor-advisee relationships in collaboration networks.

problem Discovering hidden advisor-advisee relationships in scientific collaboration networks.
method Network Representation Learning (NRL) model, considering both network structure and node/edge semantics.
result Improved stability and effectiveness compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on Pearson's correlation coefficient and thus intraday lead-lag relationships associated wi…

2014-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on the relationship between explanations and predictions in machine learning models.

problem Understanding the relationship between explanations and predictions in machine learning models.
method Causal inference to measure treatment effect on hyperparameters and inputs.
result The relationship between explanations and predictions is far from ideal, especially in high-performing models.

Proposes LSR-IGRU for improved stock trend prediction.

problem Challenges in stock price prediction due to complex relationships and nonlinear dynamics.
method Long short-term relationships matrix and improved GRU input for better temporal and relationship integration.
result Significantly improved accuracy in predicting stock trend changes.

For analysis of a high-dimensional dataset, a common approach is to test a null hypothesis of statistical independence on all variable pairs using a non-parametric measure of dependence. However, because this approach attempts to identify any non-trivial relationship no matter how weak, it often identifies too many rel…

2015-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a method to reveal task relationships in multi-task learning models using sparse graphs.

problem Understanding the underlying task relationships in multi-task learning models.
method Proposes a bilevel formulation of multi-task learning that induces sparse graphs.
result The method improves interpretability of multi-task learning models without sacrificing generalization performance.

Proposes C2RM to mine cross-cryptocurrency relationships for better Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Limited consideration of historical relationships and interactions between cryptocurrencies for Bitcoin price prediction.
method C2RM module using Dynamic Time Warping for lead-lag relationship extraction and aggregation.
result Improves existing price prediction methods by significant performance improvement.

SMART combines decision trees and MARS for better regression modeling.

problem High variance in decision trees for continuous relationships, poor performance in MARS for discontinuities.
method SMART uses a decision tree to identify subsets with distinct continuous relationships, then applies MARS to fit these relationships independently.
result SMART improves regression performance over state-of-the-art methods in capturing discontinuities and continuous relationships.

This paper presents a novel multitask multiple kernel learning framework that efficiently learns the kernel weights leveraging the relationship across multiple tasks. The idea is to automatically infer this task relationship in the \textit{RKHS} space corresponding to the given base kernels. The problem is formulated a…

2016-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Double autoencoder Ae2IAe^2I improves missing value imputation in recommender systems.

problem Imputing missing values in tables using row-row and column-column relationships.
method Simultaneously uses row-row and column-column relationships through a double autoencoder.
result Ae2IAe^2I outperforms state-of-the-art models in recommender systems.

The existence of time-lagged cross-correlations between the returns of a pair of assets, which is known as the lead-lag relationship, is a well-known stylized fact in financial econometrics. Recently some continuous-time models have been proposed to take account of the lead-lag relationship. Such a model does not follo…

2017-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Time-series data is being increasingly collected and stud- ied in several areas such as neuroscience, climate science, transportation, and social media. Discovery of complex patterns of relationships between individual time-series, using data-driven approaches can improve our understanding of real-world systems. While …

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Rhino learns causal relationships from time series data with history-dependent noise.

problem Discovering causal relationships from time series data with non-linear relations, instantaneous effects, and history-dependent noise.
method Combines vector auto-regression, deep learning, and variational inference.
result Demonstrates better causal relationship discovery performance compared to baselines.

Bayesian model reduces stock volatility by identifying key cointegrated relationships.

problem Constructing low volatility stock portfolios from a large number of stocks.
method High dimensional Bayesian cointegration estimation.
result Portfolios with reduced volatility and persistence of cointegration relationships.

We introduce a guide to help deep learning practitioners understand and manipulate convolutional neural network architectures. The guide clarifies the relationship between various properties (input shape, kernel shape, zero padding, strides and output shape) of convolutional, pooling and transposed convolutional layers…

2016-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Method detects lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.

problem Discovering lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
method Clustering-driven methodology using sliding window and various clustering techniques.
result Robust lead-lag estimates across clusters enhance consistent relationships identification.

Proposes a partially linear structure to capture nonlinear relationships in mixture of experts models.

problem Suboptimal estimates due to linearity assumption in mixture of experts models.
method Introduces a partially linear structure that incorporates unspecified functions to capture nonlinear relationships.
result Establishes the identifiability of the proposed model under mild conditions and introduces a practical estimation algorithm.

Mining relationships between treatment(s) and medical problem(s) is vital in the biomedical domain. This helps in various applications, such as decision support system, safety surveillance, and new treatment discovery. We propose a deep learning approach that utilizes both word level and sentence-level representations …

2018-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗