Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

3467101134 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for covariate partition

ConvNets improve nonstationary covariance estimation for large-scale spatial data.

problem Estimating nonstationary spatial covariance functions on large scales.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets) for subregion identification and selection.
result Enhanced accuracy in parameter estimation using ConvNet-based partitioning.

Causal trees struggle with accuracy in estimating treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal treatment effects using recursive decision trees.
method Adaptive recursive partitioning with and without sample splitting.
result Causal tree estimators can have uniform-norm errors decreasing more slowly than any power of the sample size.

Localized transfer learning improves nonparametric regression performance.

problem Improving nonparametric regression performance on target tasks.
method Localized transfer learning framework that models heterogeneity and partition covariate space into cells.
result Sharp minimax rates show local transfer mitigates the curse of dimensionality.

Study on estimating Gaussian mean from coarse data, resolving identifiability and computational efficiency questions.

problem Estimating the mean of a Gaussian distribution from coarse data (sets containing true samples rather than exact values).
method Analyzes the conditions for mean identifiability and computable estimation under convex partitions.
result Resolves the identifiability and computational efficiency questions for Gaussian mean estimation from coarse data.

CDL index improves clustering validation for non-convex data.

problem Selecting clustering algorithms and hyperparameters without labeled data.
method CDL uses compactness, centers, and covariances to compute a probabilistic description length bound.
result CDL outperforms conventional CVIs on synthetic and image benchmarks.

We study the problem of learning to choose from m discrete treatment options (e.g., news item or medical drug) the one with best causal effect for a particular instance (e.g., user or patient) where the training data consists of passive observations of covariates, treatment, and the outcome of the treatment. The standa…

2016-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the problem of estimating multiple related Gaussian graphical models from a pp-dimensional dataset consisting of different classes. Our work is based upon the formulation of this problem as group graphical lasso. This paper proposes a novel hybrid covariance thresholding algorithm that can effecti…

2015-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to improve learning when training data is not representative.

problem Improving supervised learning when training data is not representative (covariate shift).
method Conditioning on propensity scores to balance covariates within strata.
result Significantly improved target prediction and AUC (0.958) on supernovae classification challenge.

Bayesian framework for model uncertainty identifies complex heterogeneity without strong assumptions.

problem Identifying complex heterogeneity in factorial data with varying covariates.
method Rashomon Partition Sets (RPS) using l0 prior for robust model uncertainty.
result RPS provides a robust set of models capturing complex heterogeneity without strong assumptions.

Framework for domain adaptation using pseudo-labels from unlabeled data.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in target domain with covariate shift.
method Kernel GLMs with labeled and pseudo-labeled data, using imputation model for target data.
result Non-asymptotic excess-risk bounds for effective labeled sample size.

GPU-accelerated particle methods outperform neural samplers in LFT benchmarks.

problem High-dimensional multimodal sampling problems in lattice field theory.
method GPU-accelerated particle Monte Carlo methods (Sequential Monte Carlo and nested sampling).
result These methods match or outperform neural samplers in sample quality and wall-clock time.

We consider a multi-armed bandit problem in a setting where each arm produces a noisy reward realization which depends on an observable random covariate. As opposed to the traditional static multi-armed bandit problem, this setting allows for dynamically changing rewards that better describe applications where side inf…

2011-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study addresses covariate mismatch in federated learning, improving model accuracy.

problem Learning from clients with different feature sets in federated learning.
method Developed two approaches for linear prediction under covariate mismatch: plug-in estimator and impute-then-regress strategy.
result Proposed methods provide asymptotic and finite-sample learning rates, improving model accuracy.

A new method estimates conditional canonical correlations using random forests.

problem Estimating relationships between two sets of variables given covariates.
method Random Forest with Canonical Correlation Analysis (RFCCA)
result RFCCA provides accurate canonical correlation estimations and well-controlled Type-1 error.

DRUM transfers cardiac arrest models across registries with missing covariates.

problem Clinical prediction models fail when key training covariates are unavailable at deployment.
method DRUM transfers models to target populations with structurally missing covariates, optimizing worst-case predictive performance over unknown target distributions.
result DRUM yields better-calibrated predictions and improved clinical classification performance across sites.

Probabilistic learning for binary classification with categorical variables.

problem Binary classification with categorical covariates.
method Probabilistic analysis and two algorithms for learning boolean functions.
result Effective learning of boolean functions from binary data.

To construct flexible nonlinear predictive distributions, the paper introduces a family of softplus function based regression models that convolve, stack, or combine both operations by convolving countably infinite stacked gamma distributions, whose scales depend on the covariates. Generalizing logistic regression that…

2016-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region. Unlike existing local partitioned GP approaches, we introduce a technique for patc…

2017-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In the classical Gaussian SVM classification we use the feature space projection transforming points to normal distributions with fixed covariance matrices (identity in the standard RBF and the covariance of the whole dataset in Mahalanobis RBF). In this paper we add additional information to Gaussian SVM by considerin…

2014-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper challenges the use of decision trees for pointwise inference due to slow convergence rates.

problem The slow convergence rates of decision trees in uniform norm, especially with non-vanishing probability.
method Demonstrates the limitations of adaptive recursive partitioning and shows how random forests can improve performance.
result Decision trees can fail to achieve polynomial rates of convergence in uniform norm, even with pruning.

Abstract M5 branes on ADE singularities yields BPS spectrum and partition functions.

problem Determine the BPS spectrum and partition functions for M5 branes on ADE singularities.
method Analyze 6d N=(1,0)\mathcal{N}=(1,0) SCFTs on geometric backgrounds, using contributions from BPS strings and particles.
result Explicit expressions for BPS string and particle contributions to partition functions.

A method for non-parametric conditional distribution estimation using CRPS-optimal binning.

problem Non-parametric conditional distribution estimation.
method Partitioning covariate-sorted observations into bins to minimize LOO-CRPS, selecting K by K-fold cross-validation of test CRPS.
result Produces narrower prediction intervals with near-nominal coverage compared to split-conformal competitors.

Efficient algorithms for kk-means clustering frequently converge to suboptimal partitions, and given a partition, it is difficult to detect kk-means optimality. In this paper, we develop an a posteriori certifier of approximate optimality for kk-means clustering. The certifier is a sub-linear Monte Carlo algorithm b…

2017-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Generalizes underlap coefficient for multivariate group separation.

problem Quantifying distributional separation across groups in statistical learning.
method Generalizes underlap coefficient (UNL) to multivariate settings, studies its relationship with Bayes risk and mutual information, proposes an efficient importance sampling estimator.
result UNL as a measure of dependence between group labels and variables of interest, interpretable measure of partition-covariate dependence in clustering.

New method targets relative risk heterogeneity in clinical trials.

problem Identifying treatment effects across subgroups with absolute risk differences.
method Modified causal forests using a novel node-splitting procedure based on relative risk.
result Relative risk causal forests can capture heterogeneity not detected by absolute risk methods.

Binscatter is a popular method for visualizing bivariate relationships and conducting informal specification testing. We study the properties of this method formally and develop enhanced visualization and econometric binscatter tools. These include estimating conditional means with optimal binning and quantifying uncer…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a theory for random forests, separating variance components and providing methods for estimating prediction intervals.

problem Understanding the variance and uncertainty in random forest predictions.
method Design-based theory, Monte Carlo averaging, PASR resampling.
result The floor of prediction uncertainty is positive and persists even without observation overlap, providing conservative prediction intervals.

The Random Projection Tree structures proposed in [Freund-Dasgupta STOC08] are space partitioning data structures that automatically adapt to various notions of intrinsic dimensionality of data. We prove new results for both the RPTreeMax and the RPTreeMean data structures. Our result for RPTreeMax gives a near-optimal…

2010-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Generalizes underlap coefficient for multivariate group separation.

problem Quantifying distributional separation across groups in statistical learning.
method Generalizes underlap coefficient (UNL) to multivariate variables, establishes key properties, interprets as dependence measure, proposes efficient estimator.
result Highlights the UNL's utility in clustering for evaluating group structure dependence on covariates.

While studying response trajectory, often the population of interest may be diverse enough to exist distinct subgroups within it and the longitudinal change in response may not be uniform in these subgroups. That is, the timeslope and/or influence of covariates in longitudinal profile may vary among these different sub…

2013-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

BPR matches NN accuracy in crop classification while being more transparent.

problem Lack of auditability and alignment with domain knowledge in neural networks for high-dimensional climate data.
method Bagged polynomial regression with random projections (BPR), averaging many low-degree polynomial models.
result BPR matches neural networks in accuracy but is more transparent.