PAMA learns covariate importance for better matching in observational studies.
problem Poor performance of conventional matching methods when covariates differ in relevance.
method PAMA is a semi-supervised framework that learns covariate importance from paired data and optimizes a weighted quadratic score.
result PAMA outperforms standard methods, particularly in high-dimensional settings and under model misspecification.
Improved graph matching using covariates for network data integration.
problem Matching networks without unique identifiers.
method Two novel covariate-assisted seeded graph matching methods.
result Improved alignment accuracy through covariate information.
Bayesian approach models match and non-match score distributions over continuous covariates.
problem Complex evaluation of model performance over continuous covariates in biometric verification.
method Generative model of score distributions, mixture models, local basis functions, Bayesian inference.
result Accurate and effective method for studying model performance over continuous covariates.
We introduce new families of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM) for training Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). Our IPMs are based on matching statistics of distributions embedded in a finite dimensional feature space. Mean and covariance feature matching IPMs allow for stable training of GANs, which we will call M…
We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. Matching methods are heavily used in the social sciences due to their interpretability, but most matching methods do not pass basic sanity checks: they fail when irrelevant variables are …
The paper addresses the selection of synthetic data for improving classifier performance, focusing on the role of covariance shift.
problem The effectiveness of synthetic data in improving classifier performance is questioned, and the specific properties affecting this performance are unclear.
method The paper uses high-dimensional regression to analyze synthetic data selection, focusing on the covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions.
result The covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions affects the generalization error of classifiers, but the mean shift does not.
Unified theory for causal inference using various methods.
problem Estimating causal effects in ATE estimation.
method Riesz regression, covariate balancing, DRE, TMLE, matching estimator.
result Unified theory integrating multiple methods for ATE estimation.
A new model DKMPP integrates covariates and uses an integration-free method for spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Training intractable deep spatio-temporal point processes with multimodal covariates.
method DKMPP uses a deep kernel to model complex relationships and an integration-free score matching method.
result DKMPP and score-based estimators outperform baseline models in spatio-temporal point processes.
New method uses optimal transport for better covariate matching in causal effect estimation.
problem Estimating causal effects in observational studies with high-dimensional covariates.
method Multimarginal unbalanced optimal transport for interpretable matching.
result Method provides interpretable weights and competitive performance with k-nearest neighbors.
A classical problem in causal inference is that of matching, where treatment units need to be matched to control units based on covariate information. In this work, we propose a method that computes high quality almost-exact matches for high-dimensional categorical datasets. This method, called FLAME (Fast Large-scale …
Community detection or clustering is a fundamental task in the analysis of network data. Many real networks have a bipartite structure which makes community detection challenging. In this paper, we consider a model which allows for matched communities in the bipartite setting, in addition to node covariates with inform…
In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift problem, we derive high probability confidence bounds for the kernel mean matching (…
Gaussian and bootstrap methods improve ATE estimator accuracy.
problem Improving the accuracy of Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimators.
method Gaussian approximation and bootstrap procedures.
result Precise bounds on ATE estimator accuracy quantifying key parameters.
A new estimator combines KMM and NR to robustly correct covariate shift.
problem Correcting sampling biases in learning problems with different distributions.
method Integrates residuals of nonparametric regression with kernel mean matching reweighting.
result Proposed estimator outperforms or matches existing rates for KMM and NR.
Generative models often fail to preserve joint structure despite matching marginals.
problem Generative models fail to capture complex dependencies beyond univariate marginals.
method Introduced D_Sigma(P,Q) = ||Sigma_P - Sigma_Q||_F to measure covariance-level dependence fidelity.
result Covariance-level divergence can lead to structural instability in downstream inference.
Improves BBVI for high-dimensional Gaussian approximations by using low-rank approximations.
problem Scalability issues with BBVI for high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian approximations.
method Extends BaM framework to handle full covariance matrices by integrating patch step for low-rank parameterization.
result Shows improved efficiency and scalability on synthetic and real-world high-dimensional inference problems.
Proposes a new method to adapt to covariate shifts in supervised learning.
problem Covariate shift in training and testing samples with different marginal distributions.
method Minimax risk classification (MRC) approach that weights both training and testing samples.
result Significantly enhanced classification performance in synthetic and empirical experiments.
Lower bounds on private estimation of Gaussian covariance matrices.
problem Private estimation of Gaussian covariance matrices under various parameter regimes.
method Stein-Haff identity and fingerprinting lemma extensions.
result Lower bounds match existing upper bounds in the widest known parameters.
CW-Gen models improve probabilistic time series forecasting by incorporating prior information.
problem Challenges in probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts.
method CW-Gen framework that incorporates prior information through conditional whitening. JMCE learns conditional mean and covariance, improving sample quality.
result CW-Gen consistently enhances predictive performance, capturing non-stationary dynamics and inter-variable correlations more effectively than prior-free approaches.
Exact minimax risk derived for linear prediction with sample covariance analysis.
problem Understanding the minimax risk in linear prediction under various covariate distributions.
method Exact minimax risk analysis, leveraging statistical leverage scores and PAC-Bayes techniques.
result The minimax risk is of order d/(n−d+1) for any covariate distribution, nearly matching the risk for Gaussian design. The paper presents a novel approach to direct covariance function learning for Bayesian optimisation, with particular emphasis on experimental design problems where an existing corpus of condensed knowledge is present. The method presented borrows techniques from reproducing kernel Banach space theory (specifically m-k…
Improved robust regression with clean covariates achieves better rates than Huber's model.
problem Robust regression under adaptive contamination of responses with clean covariates.
method Exploiting clean covariates to construct an estimator achieving better rates than Huber's model.
result Improved estimation rate even with constant contamination, achieving consistency.
Study improves covariance estimation for SGD under Markovian data, matching best rates.
problem Improving covariance estimation for SGD in Markovian data settings.
method Online overlapping batch-means covariance estimator for SGD under Markovian sampling.
result Established convergence rates for covariance estimation under Markovian sampling.
The un-reduction procedure introduced previously in the context of Mechanics is extended to covariant Field Theory. The new covariant un-reduction procedure is applied to the problem of shape matching of images which depend on more than one independent variable (for instance, time and an additional labelling parameter)…
A new method for adapting to label shifts using class probability matching.
problem Adapting to label shifts where class probabilities differ between source and target domains.
method Class Probability Matching using Kernel Methods (CPMKM) framework.
result CPMKM outperforms existing methods on real datasets.
The process of un-reduction, a sort of reversal of reduction by the Lie group symmetries of a variational problem, is explored in the setting of field theories. This process is applied to the problem of curve matching in the plane, when the curves depend on more than one independent variable. This situation occurs in a…
In this contribution we describe an approach to evolve composite covariance functions for Gaussian processes using genetic programming. A critical aspect of Gaussian processes and similar kernel-based models such as SVM is, that the covariance function should be adapted to the modeled data. Frequently, the squared expo…
Simple private estimators for mean and covariance outperform existing methods.
problem Private estimation of mean and covariance at small sample sizes.
method Differentially private estimators for multivariate sub-Gaussian data.
result Asymptotic error rates match theoretical bounds and outperform previous methods.
CRUMB: Efficient Prior Fitted Network Inference via Distributionally Matched Context Batching
problem Inference of tabular foundation models with large training datasets
method CRUMB (Clustered Retrieval Using Minimised-MMD Batching)
result CRUMB outperforms state-of-the-art context selection strategies on the TabArena benchmark
This paper improves error estimation in covariate shift by incorporating target information.
problem Error estimation is inaccurate in covariate shift scenarios.
method Proposes a redefinition of importance using target information for better error estimation.
result Incorporating target information leads to more accurate error estimation, especially with KLIEP.
We study optimal covariate balance for causal inferences from observational data when rich covariates and complex relationships necessitate flexible modeling with neural networks. Standard approaches such as propensity weighting and matching/balancing fail in such settings due to miscalibrated propensity nets and inapp…
Recent work suggests that some auto-encoder variants do a good job of capturing the local manifold structure of the unknown data generating density. This paper contributes to the mathematical understanding of this phenomenon and helps define better justified sampling algorithms for deep learning based on auto-encoder v…
Develops locally private methods for nonparametric contextual bandits.
problem Privacy concerns in sequential decision-making on sensitive data.
method Uniform-confidence-bound-type estimator and jump-start scheme.
result Minimax optimality of proposed methods supported by lower bounds.
GANs mode collapse solved with Bures distance.
problem GANs mode collapse or mode dropping.
method Use Bures distance to match real and fake batch diversity in feature space.
result Diversity matching reduces mode collapse and improves sample quality.
DARTS optimizes covariate selection in trials with limited data.
problem Limited budget for high-dimensional pretreatment data.
method Dynamic Adaptive Rerandomization via Thompson Sampling (DARTS).
result DARTS efficiently concentrates budget on informative features.
New method calibrates models under covariate shifts.
problem Calibration of models can be lost under covariate shifts.
method Importance sampling based approach.
result Efficacy demonstrated on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Efficiently learns mixtures of Gaussians without separation assumptions.
problem Learning mixtures of Gaussian distributions without assuming separation.
method Reduction to score matching and use of diffusion models.
result Constructs a sampler for the target mixture with polynomial runtime and sample complexity.
Matched Machine Learning combines machine learning and matching for causal inference.
problem Non-interpretable methods for causal inference.
method Combines machine learning and matching for interpretable causal inference.
result Performs as well as black-box machine learning methods and better than existing matching methods.
WS diffusion models handle anisotropic Gaussian noise better than conventional methods.
problem Handling anisotropic Gaussian noise in imaging inverse problems.
method Whitened Score (WS) diffusion models based on stochastic differential equations.
result WS DMs outperform conventional DMs on anisotropic Gaussian noise.
A geometric theory explains loss functions for robust representation learning.
problem Treats robustness, domain adaptation, and sensor drift as separate literatures.
method Estimates covariance Sigma_task and uses it to pin Jacobian penalties.
result Proves optimality and necessity of range coverage for penalty matrices.
Efficiently matches subgraphs in noisy data without node labels.
problem Subgraph isomorphism in noisy, real-valued graphs.
method Two-step approach: extract topology, then expand matches.
result Realistically sub-linear computational efficiency, robustness to noise.
We introduce three novel semi-parametric extensions of probabilistic canonical correlation analysis with identifiability guarantees. We consider moment matching techniques for estimation in these models. For that, by drawing explicit links between the new models and a discrete version of independent component analysis …
A new method for training diffusion models using likelihood matching.
problem Training efficient and accurate diffusion models.
method Likelihood Matching approach, quasi-likelihood approximation, score and Hessian estimation.
result Consistent matching of first two transitional moments between diffusion steps.
We consider a covariate shift problem where one has access to several different training datasets for the same learning problem and a small validation set which possibly differs from all the individual training distributions. This covariate shift is caused, in part, due to unobserved features in the datasets. The objec…
FSRM method improves treatment effect estimation from observational data.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data with missing counterfactual outcomes and selection bias.
method FSRM method based on deep representation learning and matching, which maps covariate space into a selective, nonlinear, and balanced representation space.
result FSRM method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in estimating treatment effects.
Paper optimizes private PCA for covariance estimation in statistics.
problem Private estimation of covariance matrices and principal components.
method Developed differentially private estimators for spiked covariance model.
result Established minimax rates of convergence for principal components and covariance matrix estimation.
New method uses latent variables to estimate treatment effects from single-arm trials.
problem Estimating treatment effects from single-arm trials due to lack of external control groups.
method Latent-variable modeling with amortized variational inference for patient matching and direct effect estimation.
result Improved performance in direct treatment effect estimation and effect estimation via patient matching compared to previous methods.
Theoretical limits of deep residual networks show consistent covariance structures.
problem Understanding the limits of deep residual networks.
method Analyzing the behavior of deep residual networks with skip connections as width and depth approach infinity.
result Theoretical analysis confirms that the covariance structure remains consistent regardless of the order of width and depth.