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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3774110147 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for covariate balancing

The paper argues for using Neyman orthogonal score for balancing in debiased machine learning.

problem Debiased machine learning requires a proper approach to balance covariates.
method The paper advocates for using Riesz regression with basis functions of X for balancing.
result Covariate balancing is only valid when the score-relevant regression error is a function of covariates alone.

New method balances covariates for stable causal survival effect estimation.

problem Estimating causal survival effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring.
method Covariate-balancing approach to empirically stable and asymptotically efficient estimation.
result Validated theoretical results in synthetic and semi-synthetic data.

Dynamic treatment effects estimated over time using covariate balancing.

problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with dynamic treatments.
method Dynamic covariate balancing with potential local projections.
result Established inferential guarantees for the proposed method.

The paper proposes a new method for covariate balancing using IPM to improve causal inference.

problem Covariate imbalance in causal inference weighting methods, especially when models are not correctly specified.
method The integral probability metric (IPM) is used to determine optimal weights for treated and control groups.
result The proposed method can be consistent without specifying either the propensity score or outcome regression model.

A new algorithm speeds up rerandomization for better experiment balance.

problem Achieving optimal covariate balance in randomized experiments.
method Metropolis-Hastings framework with sampling-importance resampling.
result PSRSRR achieves significant speedups while maintaining statistical guarantees.

Cross-balancing improves causal inference by balancing features with outcome data.

problem Balancing features for valid causal inference when outcome data is available.
method Cross-balancing using sample splitting to separate feature construction and weight estimation errors.
result Cross-balancing produces consistent, asymptotically normal, and efficient estimators under mild conditions.

SVM used for estimating treatment effects without confounding.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in the presence of confounding variables.
method Adapts SVM classifier as a kernel-based weighting procedure to balance covariates and estimate causal effects.
result SVM provides a continuous relaxation of the quadratic integer program for balancing covariates and maximizing effective sample size.

Differentially private method for estimating individualized treatment rules.

problem Estimating individualized treatment rules while preserving privacy.
method Differentially private two-stage empirical risk minimization (DP-2ERM).
result Improved privacy-utility trade-off demonstrated through simulations and applications.

The purpose of this paper is to extend the Green-Naghdi-Rivlin balance of energy method to continua with microstructure. The key idea is to replace the group of Galilean transformations with the group of diffeomorphisms of the ambient space. A key advantage is that one obtains in a natural way all the needed balance la…

2008-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for causal inference with complex treatment compositions.

problem Estimating causal effects with compositional treatments.
method Kernel-based covariate functional balancing approach.
result Achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency without requiring consistent estimation of weights.

Improves representation learning for individual treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects with high accuracy.
method Introduces a structure keeper to maintain correlation between baseline covariates and representations, trains a discriminator to balance representation and information loss.
result Proposed SMRL algorithm minimizes treatment estimation error and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

Study proposes a new method to estimate bias-correction term for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating the bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
method Directly estimating the bias-correction term by minimizing Bregman divergence.
result Automatic covariate balancing property achieved through specific model choices.

We introduce a new normalization technique that exhibits the fast convergence properties of batch normalization using a transformation of layer weights instead of layer outputs. The proposed technique keeps the contribution of positive and negative weights to the layer output balanced. We validate our method on a set o…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.

problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.

TV-SurvCaus improves causal inference for dynamic treatments in survival analysis.

problem Estimating causal effects of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes.
method Representation balancing techniques extended to time-varying treatment regimes with survival outcomes.
result TV-SurvCaus outperforms existing methods in estimating individualized treatment effects with time-varying covariates and treatments.

Kernel balancing weights are generalized as KRRR, providing better confidence intervals for treatment effects.

problem Lack of generalization error, correct feature specification, and limited to average effects.
method Interpreting kernel balancing weights as KRRR, relaxing feature specification, and extending Gaussian approximation.
result KRRR provides strong generalization properties and justifies confidence sets for causal functions.

Unified framework for debiased machine learning using Riesz representer and Bregman divergence.

problem Estimating causal and structural parameters in machine learning.
method Generalized Riesz regression for fitting Riesz representer via Bregman divergence minimization.
result Automatic covariate balancing and Neyman orthogonality properties for debiased estimation.

We analyze geometrical structures necessary to represent bulk and surface interactions of standard and substructural nature in complex bodies. Our attention is mainly focused on the influence of diffuse interfaces on sharp discontinuity surfaces. In analyzing this phenomenon, we prove the covariance of surface balances…

2004-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using CAR designs with additional covariates.

problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in CAR designs with additional covariates.
method Flexible distribution regression framework that incorporates additional covariates using machine learning methods.
result The proposed estimator attains the semiparametric efficiency bound for distributional treatment effects under CAR.

SPARKLE handles high-dimensional covariates for online decision-making.

problem Complex reward-covariate relationships in high-dimensional settings.
method SPARKLE uses a sparse additive reward model with doubly penalized estimator and adaptive screening.
result SPARKLE achieves sublinear regret bound logarithmic in covariate dimensionality.

New method learns decisions from collective preferences without individual covariates.

problem Making decisions online without individual covariates.
method Collaborative filtering, matrix completion bandit, ε-greedy policy, online gradient descent, inverse propensity weighting.
result Method outperforms benchmarks and reveals new discoveries.

sgboost reduces variable selection bias in boosting with balanced group selection.

problem Reduces variable selection bias in boosting algorithms.
method Simulation-based approach to balance selection frequencies of base-learners.
result Demonstrates efficacy through simulations and flexible group variable selection.

A new IPM uses ReLU networks to measure probability discrepancies.

problem Measuring the difference between two probability distributions in high dimensions.
method Proposes a new parametric IPM using ReLU neural networks to optimize and distinguish between distributions.
result The proposed IPM has good convergence rates and can be used as a surrogate for other IPMs.

Proposes a method to improve learning when training data is not representative.

problem Improving supervised learning when training data is not representative (covariate shift).
method Conditioning on propensity scores to balance covariates within strata.
result Significantly improved target prediction and AUC (0.958) on supernovae classification challenge.

DiPriMe forests use private medians to create balanced tree splits for privacy-protected data.

problem Privacy concerns in training random forests due to multiple data queries.
method Proposes DiPriMe forests, which use a private median to generate balanced splits, ensuring differential privacy.
result DiPriMe forests achieve high utility while maintaining differential privacy, as shown both theoretically and empirically.

Efficiently solves large portfolio optimization problems by reducing and sparsifying covariance matrices.

problem Large and dense covariance matrices limit efficient portfolio optimization.
method Dimension reduction and increased sparsity based on machine learning predictions.
result Improved portfolio performance and reduced runtime compared to full dense covariance matrices.

Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this efficient frontier which optimally balances her desire for excess expected return …

2009-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A new model integrates covariates with grade of membership analysis for better latent structure recovery.

problem Improving latent structure recovery in multivariate categorical data analysis.
method Covariate-assisted grade of membership model exploiting shared low-rank simplex geometry.
result Auxiliary covariates can provably improve latent structure recovery, leading to faster convergence rates.

In this contribution we present an intrinsic description of time-variant Port Hamiltonian systems as they appear in modeling and control theory. This formulation is based on the splitting of the state bundle and the use of appropriate covariant derivatives, which guarantees that the structure of the equations is invari…

2012-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel characterization of augmented balancing weights combining outcome and weighting models.

problem Improving estimation accuracy in machine learning models with balancing weights.
method Characterization of augmented balancing weights as linear models, extending to ridge and lasso regression.
result Equivalence and closed-form expressions for specific model choices, providing insights into performance.

New scalable method balances hospital profit status and heart attack outcomes.

problem Balancing covariate distributions and minimizing weight dispersion in large datasets.
method Combines kernel basis expansion and convex optimization for efficient and flexible weighting.
result For-profit hospitals use interventional cardiology similarly to other hospitals but have higher mortality and readmission rates.

BICauseTree improves causal effect estimation by identifying clusters and balancing treatment allocation.

problem Improving interpretability and transparency in causal effect models from observational data.
method Hierarchical bias-driven stratification using decision trees with a customized objective function.
result BICauseTree provides interpretable causal effect estimation and is comparable to existing methods.

Hybrid ResNet and RMT improve covariance matrix estimation for cryptocurrency portfolios.

problem Noisy, non-Gaussian financial data leads to unstable covariance matrices.
method Combines RMT regularization and ResNet learning for data-driven corrections.
result Hybrid estimator outperforms traditional methods in portfolio optimization.

CInA method uses attention to improve causal inference.

problem Challenges in causal inference, especially in complex tasks.
method CInA method utilizes self-supervised causal learning with multiple unlabeled datasets and transformer-type architecture.
result CInA effectively generalizes to out-of-distribution datasets and various real-world datasets.