Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

25.0%50.0%75.0%100.0% · Sep 199319922001200920172026
48 results for covariance kernel

New non-separable covariance kernels for spatiotemporal data derived from harmonic oscillator physics.

problem Capturing complex spatiotemporal dependencies in Gaussian processes.
method Hybrid spectral method based on the harmonic oscillator, deriving explicit covariance kernels.
result Explicit non-separable covariance kernels with space-time interactions.

The paper analyzes how Gaussian kernel parameters affect posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.

problem Understanding the influence of Gaussian kernel parameters on posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
method Geometric analysis and a posteriori error estimation techniques from adaptive finite element methods.
result The bandwidth parameter and spatial distribution of observations significantly influence posterior covariance and its matrix.

This paper improves computational efficiency in kernel ridge regression under covariate shift.

problem Covariate shift in nonparametric regression.
method Random projections in RKHS to reduce computational demands.
result Significant computational savings can be achieved without compromising learning performance under covariate shift.

The paper analyzes how re-weighting helps in reducing variance in high-dimensional kernel methods under covariate shifts.

problem The challenge of high-dimensional kernel methods under covariate shifts and the role of re-weighting.
method Derives asymptotic expansion of high-dimensional kernels under covariate shifts, analyzes bias-variance decomposition, and characterizes the regularized kernel.
result Re-weighting helps in decreasing variance and can be seen as a data-dependent regularization.

Novel neural GP kernels learn stable, flexible covariance structures.

problem Scalable and flexible covariance kernels for Gaussian processes.
method Directly learn kriging coefficients and conditional standard deviations using deep neural architectures exploiting permutation-equivariant structure.
result Improved training stability and data efficiency with expressive, non-stationary kernels.

A new model DKMPP integrates covariates and uses an integration-free method for spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Training intractable deep spatio-temporal point processes with multimodal covariates.
method DKMPP uses a deep kernel to model complex relationships and an integration-free score matching method.
result DKMPP and score-based estimators outperform baseline models in spatio-temporal point processes.

Kernel εε-Greedy optimizes multi-armed bandits with covariates for sub-linear regret.

problem Optimizing multi-armed bandits with covariates in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
method Online weighted kernel ridge regression estimator for mean reward function estimation.
result Achieves sub-linear regret rate and optimal T\sqrt{T} regret rate under margin condition.

We study the problem of structured output learning from a regression perspective. We first provide a general formulation of the kernel dependency estimation (KDE) problem using operator-valued kernels. We show that some of the existing formulations of this problem are special cases of our framework. We then propose a c…

2012-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This monograph develops the theory of covariant Schrödinger semigroups acting on sections of vector bundles over noncompact Riemannian manifolds from scratch. Contents: I. Sobolev spaces on vector bundles II. Smooth heat kernels on vector bundles III. Basis differential operators in Riemannian manifolds IV. Some specif…

2018-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New kernel models multi-output Gaussian processes accurately.

problem Challenges in modelling cross-covariances for multiple-output Gaussian processes.
method Replaced Gaussian components with block components of finite bandwidth in spectral mixture kernel.
result First multi-output generalization of spectral mixture kernel that can approximate any stationary multi-output kernel to arbitrary precision.

Active data collection improves convergence rates in operator learning.

problem Improving convergence rates in operator learning with linear target and stochastic input.
method Active data collection strategies with mean-zero stochastic process and continuous covariance kernels.
result Achieves arbitrarily fast error convergence rates with eigenvalue decay of covariance kernels.

We propose a method for feature selection that employs kernel-based measures of independence to find a subset of covariates that is maximally predictive of the response. Building on past work in kernel dimension reduction, we show how to perform feature selection via a constrained optimization problem involving the tra…

2017-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The expressive power of Gaussian processes depends heavily on the choice of kernel. In this work we propose the novel harmonizable mixture kernel (HMK), a family of expressive, interpretable, non-stationary kernels derived from mixture models on the generalized spectral representation. As a theoretically sound treatmen…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops efficient inference for noise heterogeneity in machine learning models.

problem Downstream procedures based on residuals can be biased in additive noise models.
method Semiparametrically efficient inference using a novel Hilbert-valued one-step estimator.
result Constructs tests and confidence intervals for residual independence and goodness of fit.

Optimally tackles covariate shift in RKHS-based nonparametric regression.

problem Covariate shift in nonparametric regression over RKHS.
method Two families of covariate shift problems defined using likelihood ratios. Minimax rate-optimal estimators for KRR and reweighted KRR.
result KRR is minimax rate-optimal and strictly sub-optimal compared to naive estimator under covariate shift.

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a general and analytically tractable way of modeling complex time-varying, nonparametric functions. The Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) system constructs natural-language description of time-series data by treating unknown time-series data nonparametrically using GP with …

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method for kernel ridge regression under covariate shift using pseudo-labels.

problem Learning a regression function with small mean squared error over a target distribution with labeled data from a different feature distribution.
method Split labeled data into two subsets, conduct kernel ridge regression on each, use imputation model to fill missing labels, and select the best candidate model.
result Non-asymptotic excess risk bounds demonstrate effective adaptation to target distribution and covariate shift.

We propose a novel calibration method for computer simulators, dealing with the problem of covariate shift. Covariate shift is the situation where input distributions for training and test are different, and ubiquitous in applications of simulations. Our approach is based on Bayesian inference with kernel mean embeddin…

2018-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends Gaussian process theory to Banach spaces.

problem Extending Gaussian process theory to Banach spaces.
method Investigates the connection between Gaussian processes and Gaussian random elements in reproducing kernel Banach spaces.
result Characterizes positive definite functions that arise from covariance operators in Banach space setting.

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift problem, we derive high probability confidence bounds for the kernel mean matching (…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for domain adaptation using pseudo-labels from unlabeled data.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in target domain with covariate shift.
method Kernel GLMs with labeled and pseudo-labeled data, using imputation model for target data.
result Non-asymptotic excess-risk bounds for effective labeled sample size.

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…

2013-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian deep neural networks converge to processes with α-stable marginals under infinite variance weights.

problem Representation learning in deep kernel processes is hindered by deterministic covariance kernels.
method Showed convergence to α-stable processes with conditionally Gaussian representations in infinite-width networks.
result Conditional random covariance kernels can be recursively linked, even if the process is α-stable.

A new kernel-based nonconformity score improves multivariate prediction regions.

problem Tackling the challenge of compressing multivariate residual vectors into scalars while preserving geometric structure.
method Introducing a Multivariate Kernel Score (MKS) that decomposes into an anisotropic MMD, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees and convergence rates.
result The MKS produces prediction regions that explicitly adapt to geometric structure, reducing volume compared to ellipsoidal baselines.

New kernels from ELU and GELU networks reveal non-trivial fixed points.

problem Understanding fixed-point dynamics in deep neural networks with ELU and GELU activations.
method Deriving covariance functions and analyzing fixed-point dynamics of ELU and GELU networks.
result ELU and GELU networks exhibit non-trivial fixed-point dynamics, explaining implicit regularization in overparameterized models.

A streaming algorithm estimates quadratic covariation from financial data efficiently.

problem Estimating quadratic covariation from ultra-high-frequency financial data with limited memory.
method Formulated multi-scale, realized kernel, pre-averaging, and modulated realized covariance estimators with fixed bandwidth.
result Fixed bandwidth estimators require higher bandwidth for positive semidefiniteness.

New method for causal inference with observed covariates improves learning rates.

problem Causal inference with observed covariates in nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introduces novel Fourier measure for partial smoothing and adapts kernel lengthscales for anisotropic smoothness.
result Upper and lower learning rates for KIV-O show interpolation between NPIV and NPR rates.

We analyze the size of the dictionary constructed from online kernel sparsification, using a novel formula that expresses the expected determinant of the kernel Gram matrix in terms of the eigenvalues of the covariance operator. Using this formula, we are able to connect the cardinality of the dictionary with the eigen…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Kernel measures similarity of nonlinear causal structures in heterogeneous populations.

problem Learning causal structure in populations with diverse underlying structures.
method Distance covariance-based kernel for measuring similarity of causal structures.
result Kernel enables clustering of homogeneous subpopulations for causal structure learning.

Estimates covariance matrices with correlations between samples.

problem Estimating large-dimensional covariance matrices with correlated samples.
method Generalized Marcenko-Pastur equation and Ledoit-Peche shrinkage estimator using random matrix theory and free probability. Developed an efficient algorithm based on Ledoit-Wolf kernel estimation.
result Efficient algorithm for estimating large covariance matrices with correlations.

Kernel ridge regression for causal inference with missing data.

problem Estimating treatment effects with missing data in selected samples.
method Kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects.
result Uniform consistency and finite sample rates for continuous treatment, root-n consistency for discrete treatment.

The paper analyzes covariate shift in nonparametric regression with Markovian data.

problem Covariate shift in regression problems with Markovian data.
method Extension of nonparametric convergence rates to Markovian dependence structures, using Hölder smoothness assumptions and similarity measures.
result Precise convergence rates for Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimators under specific Markovian conditions.

The paper introduces a new framework to assess generative model uncertainty.

problem Lack of a theoretical framework for assessing generative models' generalization and uncertainty.
method Bias-variance-covariance decomposition for kernel scores, with unbiased and consistent estimators.
result Kernel-based variance and entropy for uncertainty estimation are more predictive than existing methods.

The paper improves sample reweighting methods for adapting to covariate shifts.

problem Improving accuracy in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces when data distributions differ.
method Combining known error bounds for reweighted kernel regression in RKHS to show reduced sample size needed for accuracy.
result Under weak smoothness conditions, fewer samples are needed for the same accuracy as standard supervised learning.