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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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138276414552 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for costly sampling

Study optimizes data collection from biased, costly sources to minimize risk.

problem Estimating population means and group-conditional means from multiple sources with varying costs and biases.
method Develops a sampling plan that maximizes effective sample size, paired with a post-stratification estimator.
result Achieves budgeted minimax optimal risk for estimating population means and group-conditional means.

PROBE optimizes best-arm identification with cheap proxies, improving sample complexity.

problem Fixed-confidence best-arm identification with costly rewards and correlated cheap proxies.
method PROBE uses control-variate adjustment and phase elimination to learn residual variance online.
result PROBE achieves oracle sample complexity up to a constant factor and additive calibration cost.

Novel method reduces costly model evaluations in inference problems.

problem Efficiently approximating complex, costly model integrals.
method Compressed Monte Carlo (CMC) scheme for selecting model evaluations.
result Empirical evidence of method's performance in astronomy and remote sensing.

We apply our statistically deterministic machine learning/clustering algorithm *K-means (recently developed in https://ssrn.com/abstract=2908286) to 10,656 published exome samples for 32 cancer types. A majority of cancer types exhibit mutation clustering structure. Our results are in-sample stable. They are also out-o…

2017-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method to find costly high-confidence errors in black box models.

problem Finding rare high-confidence errors missed by random sampling.
method Adversarial perturbation-guided search technique to find errors at rates greater than expected given model confidence.
result Our Adversarial Distance search discovers high-confidence errors at a rate greater than expected given model confidence.

Thompson sampling provides a solution to bandit problems in which new observations are allocated to arms with the posterior probability that an arm is optimal. While sometimes easy to implement and asymptotically optimal, Thompson sampling can be computationally demanding in large scale bandit problems, and its perform…

2014-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Classification with Costly Features (CwCF) is a classification problem that includes the cost of features in the optimization criteria. Individually for each sample, its features are sequentially acquired to maximize accuracy while minimizing the acquired features' cost. However, existing approaches can only process da…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach improves Shapley value estimation efficiency.

problem Efficiently estimating Shapley values in machine learning models.
method Bayesian experimental design using Gaussian process surrogate and adaptive coalition selection.
result Consistently improves sample efficiency in low-budget settings.

This paper proposes a new randomized strategy for adaptive MCMC using Bayesian optimization. This approach applies to non-differentiable objective functions and trades off exploration and exploitation to reduce the number of potentially costly objective function evaluations. We demonstrate the strategy in the complex s…

2011-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sample efficiency in reinforcement learning with deep Gaussian processes.

problem Efficiently learn to control actions with limited interaction data.
method Deep Gaussian processes that simulate dynamics with depth and prior knowledge.
result Significantly improved early sample efficiency across various tasks, including half-cheetah control.

ACE improves counterfactual explanations with fewer model queries.

problem Inefficient sampling for counterfactual explanations in machine learning models.
method Adaptive sampling combining Bayesian estimation and stochastic optimization.
result ACE achieves superior evaluation efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Lazier ABCstat.CO

ABC algorithms involve a large number of simulations from the model of interest, which can be very computationally costly. This paper summarises the lazy ABC algorithm of Prangle (2015), which reduces the computational demand by abandoning many unpromising simulations before completion. By using a random stopping decis…

2015-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of learning from a similarity matrix (such as spectral clustering and lowd imensional embedding), when computing pairwise similarities are costly, and only a limited number of entries can be observed. We provide a theoretical analysis using standard notions of graph approximation, significantly …

2014-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a method to accurately quantify neural network uncertainty without sampling.

problem Uncertainty quantification in neural networks for reliability and robustness.
method Sample-free moment propagation technique for mean vectors and covariance matrices.
result Analytic solution for covariance of nonlinear activation functions.

Regulations impose idiosyncratic capital and funding costs for holding derivatives. Capital requirements are costly because derivatives desks are risky businesses; funding is costly in part because regulations increase the minimum funding tenor. Idiosyncratic costs mean no single measure makes derivatives martingales f…

2013-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) provide an elegant and versatile way to sample sets of items that balance the point-wise quality with the set-wise diversity of selected items. For this reason, they have gained prominence in many machine learning applications that rely on subset selection. However, sampling from a …

2019-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are distributions over sets of items that model diversity using kernels. Their applications in machine learning include summary extraction and recommendation systems. Yet, the cost of sampling from a DPP is prohibitive in large-scale applications, which has triggered an effort towar…

2017-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method estimates expectations from subtractive mixture models without sampling.

problem Estimating expectations from multimodal distributions using SMMs.
method Difference representation of SMMs to create unbiased IS estimator (ΔextExΔ ext{Ex}).
result Demonstrates that ΔextExΔ ext{Ex} can achieve comparable estimation quality to auto-regressive sampling but is faster.

Decentralized stochastic gradient method emerges as a promising solution for solving large-scale machine learning problems. This paper studies the decentralized Markov chain gradient descent (DMGD) algorithm - a variant of the decentralized stochastic gradient methods where the random samples are taken along the trajec…

2019-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We give complete algorithms and source code for constructing statistical risk models, including methods for fixing the number of risk factors. One such method is based on eRank (effective rank) and yields results similar to (and further validates) the method set forth in an earlier paper by one of us. We also give a co…

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

VT-DIS improves sampling from Boltzmann distributions with minimal overhead.

problem Bias in Monte Carlo estimates from score-based diffusion models.
method Variance-Tuned Diffusion Importance Sampling (VT-DIS) adapts noise covariance to correct bias.
result VT-DIS achieves effective sample sizes of 80%, 35%, and 3.5% on benchmarks, using less computational budget.

Adaptive stepsizing improves sampling in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Scalable sampling of posterior distributions in Bayesian neural networks.
method SA-SGLD, employing time rescaling to adapt stepsize dynamically.
result SA-SGLD achieves more accurate posterior sampling than SGLD.

The problem of optimizing unknown costly-to-evaluate functions has been studied for a long time in the context of Bayesian Optimization. Algorithms in this field aim to find the optimizer of the function by asking only a few function evaluations at locations carefully selected based on a posterior model. In this paper,…

2012-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Energy-efficient sampling for machine learning using magnetic tunnel junctions.

problem Costly and inefficient random sampling in machine learning.
method Energy-efficient algorithm using stochastic magnetic tunnel junctions for uniform Float16 sampling.
result Higher energy efficiency than state-of-the-art algorithms, with a minimum factor of 9721.

In most real-world settings such as recommender systems, finance, and healthcare, collecting useful information is costly and requires an active choice on the part of the decision maker. The decision-maker needs to learn simultaneously what observations to make and what actions to take. This paper incorporates the info…

2016-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization tackles mixed discrete-continuous problems with Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing problems with both discrete and continuous variables using costly simulations.
method Relaxing discrete variables into continuous latent variables, using Bayesian optimization, and incorporating compatibility constraints with Lagrangians.
result Comparative analysis of different mixed Bayesian optimization approaches.