Cost-benefit analysis often assumes accurate estimates, but this study finds significant inaccuracies.
arXiv research
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Paper presents a faster method for computing cost of equity and performing comparable company analysis.
SCaLE tackles dynamic regret in noisy bandit feedback with switching costs.
Study analyzes cost-benefit of CBM for unmanned systems.
SADCBO optimizes contextual variables by balancing relevance and cost.
A new procedure for learning cost-sensitive SVM(CS-SVM) classifiers is proposed. The SVM hinge loss is extended to the cost sensitive setting, and the CS-SVM is derived as the minimizer of the associated risk. The extension of the hinge loss draws on recent connections between risk minimization and probability elicitat…
Using elementary arguments, we show how to derive -error bounds for the approximation of frictionless wealth process in markets with proportional transaction costs. For utilities with bounded risk aversion, these estimates yield lower bounds for the frictional value function, which pave the way for its as…
New method reduces regret and communication costs in federated Q-learning.
Researchers analyze the relationship between ML cost functions and the C-index in survival analysis.
Previous studies into the budget constraint of portfolio optimization problems based on statistical mechanical informatics have not considered that the purchase cost per unit of each asset is distinct. Moreover, the fact that the optimal investment allocation differs depending on the size of investable funds has also b…
New method synthesizes and analyzes probability measures using entropy-regularized optimal transport.
Study portfolio selection with exogenous and endogenous transaction costs using deep learning.
The paper provides bounds on estimation error in a distributed online learning setting.
Comparison of decision curve analysis and cost curves for model evaluation.
New framework improves cost-benefit analysis of policies.
Traditionally, practitioners initialize the {\tt k-means} algorithm with centers chosen uniformly at random. Randomized initialization with uneven weights ({\tt k-means++}) has recently been used to improve the performance over this strategy in cost and run-time. We consider the k-means problem with semi-supervised inf…
CARROT optimizes LLM routing by choosing the cheapest and most accurate model.
The notion of expense in Bayesian optimisation generally refers to the uniformly expensive cost of function evaluations over the whole search space. However, in some scenarios, the cost of evaluation for black-box objective functions is non-uniform since different inputs from search space may incur different costs for …
Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.
We revisit the optimal investment and consumption problem with proportional transaction costs. We prove that both the value function and the slopes of the lines demarcating the no-trading region are analytic functions of cube root of the transaction cost parameter. Also, we can explicitly calculate the coefficients of …
The multimodal web elements such as text and images are associated with inherent memory costs to store and transfer over the Internet. With the limited network connectivity in developing countries, webpage rendering gets delayed in the presence of high-memory demanding elements such as images (relative to text). To ove…
Efficient algorithm for unknown linear systems with convex costs.
Optimizes portfolios with costs, showing existence of optimal strategies.
We employ perturbation analysis technique to study multi-asset portfolio optimisation with transaction cost. We allow for correlations in risky assets and obtain optimal trading methods for general utility functions. Our analytical results are supported by numerical simulations in the context of the Long Term Growth Mo…
Paper analyzes liquidity for everlasting options in DeFi, offering strategies to reduce costs.
New method minimizes regret in AMDP with high probability.
Learning sparse combinations is a frequent theme in machine learning. In this paper, we study its associated optimization problem in the distributed setting where the elements to be combined are not centrally located but spread over a network. We address the key challenges of balancing communication costs and optimizat…
Develops an actor-critic algorithm for risk-sensitive Markov decision processes.
In the present work, the optimal portfolio minimizing the investment risk with cost is discussed analytically, where this objective function is constructed in terms of two negative aspects of investment, the risk and cost. We note the mathematical similarity between the Hamiltonian in the mean-variance model and the Ha…
Two major financial market complexities are transaction costs and uncertain volatility, and we analyze their joint impact on the problem of portfolio optimization. When volatility is constant, the transaction costs optimal investment problem has a long history, especially in the use of asymptotic approximations when th…
This study provides an independent, outside-in estimate of the cost and schedule risks of nuclear waste storage projects. Based on a reference class of 216 past, comparable projects, risk of cost overrun was found to be 202% or less, with 80% certainty, i.e., 20% risk of an overrun above 202%. Based on a reference clas…
This paper tackles near-optimal adversarial RL with switching costs, providing algorithms and matching lower bounds.
Study optimal investment and consumption strategies with various transaction costs.
The paper extends cost-efficiency analysis to incomplete markets.
New protocol reduces communication costs for heterogeneous bandits over complex networks.
FrugalML optimizes API selection for cost and accuracy.
State of the art online learning procedures focus either on selecting the best alternative ("best arm identification") or on minimizing the cost (the "regret"). We merge these two objectives by providing the theoretical analysis of cost minimizing algorithms that are also delta-PAC (with a proven guaranteed bound on th…
In this note we sketch an initial tentative approach to funding costs analysis and management for contracts with bilateral counterparty risk in a simplified setting. We depart from the existing literature by analyzing the issue of funding costs and benefits under the assumption that the associated risks cannot be hedge…
We introduce simple cost and risk proxy metrics that can be attached to Treasury issuance strategy to complement analysis of the resulting portfolio weighted-average maturity (WAM). These metrics are based on mapping issuance fractions to their long-term, asymptotic portfolio implications for cost and risk under mechan…
We study optimal investment problems under the framework of cumulative prospect theory (CPT). A CPT investor makes investment decisions in a single-period financial market with transaction costs. The objective is to seek the optimal investment strategy that maximizes the prospect value of the investor's final wealth. W…
Two-layer networks struggle with high frequencies due to numerical and computational limitations.
We consider a market impact game for risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a mean-variance functional of their costs or to maximize the expected exponential u…
Study the cost of overfitting in noisy KRR models.
The article first describes characteristics of major infrastructure projects. Second, it documents a much neglected topic in economics: that ex ante estimates of costs and benefits are often very different from actual ex post costs and benefits. For large infrastructure projects the consequence is cost overruns, benefi…
The aim of this work is to extend the capital growth theory developed by Kelly, Breiman, Cover and others to asset market models with transaction costs. We define a natural generalization of the notion of a numeraire portfolio proposed by Long and show how such portfolios can be used for constructing growth-optimal inv…
We present an expansion for portfolio optimization in the presence of small, instantaneous, quadratic transaction costs. Specifically, the magnitude of transaction costs has a coefficient that is of the order small, which leads to the optimization problem having an asymptotically-singular Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman eq…
We consider an agent who invests in a stock and a money market account with the goal of maximizing the utility of his investment at the final time T in the presence of a proportional transaction cost. The utility function considered is power utility. We provide a heuristic and a rigorous derivation of the asymptotic ex…
Enhances Random Forest for imbalanced functional data classification.