A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Designs new functionals for ranking joint probability distributions based on correlations.
New method detects intrinsic cross-correlations in non-stationary time series affected by common factors.
In this paper we use wavelet concepts to show that correlation coefficient between two financial data's is not constant but varies with scale from high correlation value to strongly anti-correlation value This studies is important because correlation coefficient is used to quantify degree of independence between two va…
The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient measures such as the means and covariances of the respective log returns. Here, we dev…
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have emerged as a rich source of genetic clues into disease biology, and they have revealed strong genetic correlations among many diseases and traits. Some of these genetic correlations may reflect causal relationships. We developed a method to quantify causal relationships betwe…
When assets are correlated, benefits of investment diversification are reduced. To measure the influence of correlations on investment performance, a new quantity - the effective portfolio size - is proposed and investigated in both artificial and real situations. We show that in most cases, the effective portfolio siz…
An average instantaneous cross-correlation function is introduced to quantify the interaction of the financial market of a specific time. Based on the daily data of the American and Chinese stock markets, memory effect of the average instantaneous cross-correlations is investigated over different price return time inte…
We discuss some methods to quantitatively investigate the properties of correlation matrices. Correlation matrices play an important role in portfolio optimization and in several other quantitative descriptions of asset price dynamics in financial markets. Specifically, we discuss how to define and obtain hierarchical …
We quantify how co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets. To disentangle the continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, and study the influence of co-jumps on correlations, we propose a new wavelet-based estimator. The proposed estimation framework is able to localize the co-jumps very precisely th…
Study evaluates feature ranking methods' faithfulness in ML models, improving with dimensionality reduction.
Many research fields codify their findings in standard formats, often by reporting correlations between quantities of interest. But the space of all testable correlates is far larger than scientific resources can currently address, so the ability to accurately predict correlations would be useful to plan research and a…
The study identifies spurious correlations in high-dimensional regression and quantifies their impact.
We consider a financial market where the asset price follows a fractional Brownian motion. We introduce a family of investment strategies, and quantify profit possibilities for both persistent and antipersistant markets.
We present a method to compensate statistical errors in the calculation of correlations on asynchronous time series. The method is based on the assumption of an underlying time series. We set up a model and apply it to financial data to examine the decrease of calculated correlations towards smaller return intervals (E…
Paper introduces -Perfect to estimate model-human correlation in subjective datasets.
We construct a price impact model between stocks in a correlated market. For the price change of a given stock induced by the short-run liquidity of this stock itself and of the information about other stocks, we introduce a self- and a cross-impact function of the time lag. We model the average cross-response function…
The detrended cross-correlation coefficient has recently been proposed to quantify the strength of cross-correlations on different temporal scales in bivariate, non-stationary time series. It is based on the detrended cross-correlation and detrended fluctuation analyses (DCCA and DFA, respectively) and c…
New method uses VAEs to generate financial correlation matrices for credit portfolio VaR analysis.
Forecast future volatilities and correlations based on current trends.
Study uses topological signatures to quantify financial market complexity.
The correlation function of a financial index of the New York stock exchange, the S&P 500, is analyzed at 1 min intervals over the 13-year period, Jan 84 -- Dec 96. We quantify the correlations of the absolute values of the index increment. We find that these correlations can be described by two different power laws wi…
Study quantifies systemic risk in DeFi using network analysis.
New study shows FTRL mechanism works with correlated events.
We propose a modified time lag random matrix theory in order to study time lag cross-correlations in multiple time series. We apply the method to 48 world indices, one for each of 48 different countries. We find long-range power-law cross-correlations in the absolute values of returns that quantify risk, and find that …
Study shows disentanglement models learn correlations from data, impacting fairness.
New method improves convergence of spatial filters in neural networks.
Study quantifies how LLMs capture higher-order statistical structure using cumulant expansion.
New measures quantify dependence between variables without distribution estimation.
Locally private algorithm improves online federated learning with correlated noise.
We uncover a new anomaly in asset pricing that is linked to the remuneration: the more a company spends on salaries and benefits per employee, the better its stock performs, on average. Moreover, the companies adopting similar remuneration policies share a common risk, which is comparable to that of the value premium. …
Previous studies indicate that nonlinear properties of Gaussian time series with long-range correlations, , can be detected and quantified by studying the correlations in the magnitude series , i.e., the ``volatility''. However, the origin for this empirical observation still remains unclear, and the exact …
Study analyzes stock market correlations using multivariate distributions.
Proposes a framework for quantifying aleatoric uncertainty in image restoration.
Effects connected with the world globalization affect also the financial markets. On a way towards quantifying the related characteristics we study the financial empirical correlation matrix of the 60 companies which both the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones (DJ) industrial average comprised during the year…
Most data is multi-dimensional. Discovering whether any subset of dimensions, or subspaces, of such data is significantly correlated is a core task in data mining. To do so, we require a measure that quantifies how correlated a subspace is. For practical use, such a measure should be universal in the sense that it capt…
Paper relaxes differential privacy for correlated features, improving privacy-utility trade-off.
Financial empirical correlation matrices of all the companies which both, the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones comprised during the time period 1990-1999 are studied using a time window of a limited, either 30 or 60, number of trading days. This allows a clear identification of the resulting correlations. O…
Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.
TimeTrail detects financial fraud patterns through temporal correlation analysis.
A novel application of the correlation matrix formalism to study dynamics of the financial evolution is presented. This formalism allows to quantify the memory effects as well as some potential repeatable intradaily structures in the financial time-series. The present study is based on the high-frequency Deutsche Aktie…
Entropy measure quantifies volatility correlation and risk diversity in asset portfolios.
New tool detects 'fleeting modes' causing excess risk in financial markets.
The paper compares LOCO and Shapley values for feature importance, highlighting their limitations and suggesting improvements.
Proposes a new method to estimate variable importance in black box models, mitigating correlation effects.
Correlation filters (CFs) are a class of classifiers that are attractive for object localization and tracking applications. Traditionally, CFs have been designed in the frequency domain using the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), where correlation is efficiently implemented. However, existing CF designs do not account …
Complex systems are typically represented by large ensembles of observations. Correlation matrices provide an efficient formal framework to extract information from such multivariate ensembles and identify in a quantifiable way patterns of activity that are reproducible with statistically significant frequency compared…
Logit-link models reveal socio-temporal effects on microfinance delinquency.
Study shows past market trends reduce or increase correlations between futures contracts.