We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multi-variate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which are at the same time lo…
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48 results for “correlated components”
Correlated component analysis as proposed by Dmochowski et al. (2012) is a tool for investigating brain process similarity in the responses to multiple views of a given stimulus. Correlated components are identified under the assumption that the involved spatial networks are identical. Here we propose a hierarchical pr…
The statistical dependencies which independent component analysis (ICA) cannot remove often provide rich information beyond the linear independent components. It would thus be very useful to estimate the dependency structure from data. While such models have been proposed, they usually concentrated on higher-order corr…
We show that the last few components in principal component analysis of the correlation matrix of a group of stocks may contain useful financial information by identifying highly correlated pairs or larger groups of stocks. The results of this type of analysis can easily be included in the information an investor uses …
We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible with uncorrelated random price changes. We then identify the principal components o…
We study power-law correlations properties of the Google search queries for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) component stocks. Examining the daily data of the searched terms with a combination of the rescaled range and rescaled variance tests together with the detrended fluctuation analysis, we show that the searche…
Spectral denoising recovers meaningful network structure from noisy financial correlations.
problem Noise in empirical correlation matrices from financial returns obscures genuine interactions.
method Spectral decomposition to separate structured and random components.
result Structured networks derived from 10-16 eigenmodes exhibit stronger core-periphery organization and scale-free degree distributions.
This work explains how maximizing latent correlations across multiple data views helps in identifying shared and private components.
problem Understanding how to identify shared and private components in multiview data.
method An intuitive generative model of multiview data is adopted, and latent correlation maximization is shown to guarantee the extraction of shared components.
result Latent correlation maximization guarantees the extraction of shared components across views and disentangles private information.
CAKD framework optimizes knowledge transfer by focusing on influential components of distillation.
problem Balancing and optimizing knowledge transfer in distillation models.
method Decouple KL divergence into BCD, SCD, and WCD; prioritize influential components.
result CAKD framework consistently outperforms baseline across diverse models and datasets.
Paper breaks down risk contribution into inherent and correlation risk components.
problem Understanding the sources of risk in portfolio contributions.
method Leave-one-out decomposition approach to separate inherent and correlation risk contributions.
result The decomposition reveals distinct contributions of position volatility and correlation to portfolio risk.
We propose a penalized orthogonal-components regression (POCRE) for large p small n data. Orthogonal components are sequentially constructed to maximize, upon standardization, their correlation to the response residuals. A new penalization framework, implemented via empirical Bayes thresholding, is presented to effecti…
New method relaxes PCA orthogonality constraints using explained variance of correlated components.
problem Difficulty in using PCA for sparse design due to orthogonality constraints and non-differentiable penalty.
method Introduce expvar(Y) to measure variance explained by correlated components, relax orthogonality constraints.
result Two expvar(Y) definitions suitable for block PCA formulations without orthogonality constraints.
msPCA solves sparse PCA for multiple components efficiently.
problem Sparse principal component analysis with multiple components.
method Alternating maximization algorithm for sparse loading vectors, with orthogonality or zero correlation constraints.
result Achieves high variance explained with sparse components and controlled feasibility violations.
We analyzed cross-correlations between price fluctuations of global financial indices (20 daily stock indices over the world) and local indices (daily indices of 200 companies in the Korean stock market) by using random matrix theory (RMT). We compared eigenvalues and components of the largest and the second largest ei…
We present a new method for the separation of superimposed, independent, auto-correlated components from noisy multi-channel measurement. The presented method simultaneously reconstructs and separates the components, taking all channels into account and thereby increases the effective signal-to-noise ratio considerably…
A new method for real-time CCA on streaming data.
problem Finding correlated features in online data streams.
method Sliding Window Informative Canonical Correlation Analysis (SWICCA) using streaming PCA.
result SWICCA provides real-time CCA components in high dimensions with theoretical guarantees.
We propose a novel approach that allows to calculate Hilbert transform based complex correlation for unevenly spaced data. This method is especially suitable for high frequency trading data, which are of a particular interest in finance. Its most important feature is the ability to take into account lead-lag relations …
We explore the effect of past market movements on the instantaneous correlations between assets within the futures market. Quantifying this effect is of interest to estimate and manage the risk associated to portfolios of futures in a non-stationary context. We apply and extend a previously reported method called the P…
Improved sample complexity for Gaussian Mixture Models using Pair Correlation Factor.
problem Understanding the sample complexity of Gaussian Mixture Models.
method Introducing Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) to measure clustering of component means and improving sample complexity bounds.
result The Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) more accurately determines the difficulty of parameter recovery in Gaussian Mixture Models.
Mutually interacting components form complex systems and the outputs of these components are usually long-range cross-correlated. Using wavelet leaders, we propose a method of characterizing the joint multifractal nature of these long-range cross correlations, a method we call joint multifractal analysis based on wavel…
New method uses conformal prediction for time series forecasting, accounting for temporal correlation.
problem Uncertainty quantification in temporally correlated time series data.
method Time series decomposition with component-wise conformal prediction.
result The method provides customized prediction intervals for different temporal components.
It is known that the implied volatility skew of FX options demonstrates a stochastic behavior which is called stochastic skew. In this paper we create stochastic skew by assuming the spot/instantaneous variance correlation to be stochastic. Accordingly, we consider a class of SLV models with stochastic correlation wher…
We investigate the two components of the total daily return (close-to-close), the overnight return (close-to-open) and the daytime return (open-to-close), as well as the corresponding volatilities of the 2215 NYSE stocks from 1988 to 2007. The tail distribution of the volatility, the long-term memory in the sequence, a…
SPPCSO addresses multicollinearity in high-dimensional data, improving model stability and predictive accuracy.
problem Multicollinearity in high-dimensional data leads to unstable estimation and reduced predictive accuracy.
method SPPCSO integrates principal component regression and L1 regularization to adaptively adjust shrinkage factors.
result SPPCSO achieves stable and reliable estimation in high-noise settings, distinguishing signal variables from noise.
Scaling Limits of Bivariate Nearly-Unstable Hawkes Processes and Applications to Rough Volatilitymath.PR
Study of coupled Hawkes processes with rough-volatility limits.
problem Understanding coupled Hawkes processes with rough-volatility limits.
method Proving weak convergence of rescaled intensity vector to stochastic Volterra equations.
result Limiting components exhibit different degrees of roughness and cross-decorrelation law.
Paper uses HPCA for better stock correlation modeling.
problem Challenges in modeling cross-sectional correlations between thousands of stocks.
method Hierarchical Principal Component Analysis (HPCA) and statistical clustering.
result HPCA provides better cross-sectional correlations than classic PCA.
Complex systems are composed of mutually interacting components and the output values of these components are usually long-range cross-correlated. We propose a method to characterize the joint multifractal nature of such long-range cross correlations based on wavelet analysis, termed multifractal cross wavelet analysis…
Portfolio allocation and risk management make use of correlation matrices and heavily rely on the choice of a proper correlation matrix to be used. In this regard, one important question is related to the choice of the proper sample period to be used to estimate a stable correlation matrix. This paper addresses this qu…
This article investigates the correlation structure of the global crude oil market using the daily returns of 71 oil price time series across the world from 1992 to 2012. We identify from the correlation matrix six clusters of time series exhibiting evident geographical traits, which supports Weiner's (1991) regionaliz…
In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back correlation. Two ways have been proposed for such a strategy : either pure correl…
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) provides a tool to characterize time series in terms of its implicit components oscillating at different time-scales. We apply this decomposition to intraday time series of the following three financial indices: the S\&P 500 (USA), the IPC (Mexico) and the VIX (volatility index US…
Given a matrix of observed data, Principal Components Analysis (PCA) computes a small number of orthogonal directions that contain most of its variability. Provably accurate solutions for PCA have been in use for a long time. However, to the best of our knowledge, all existing theoretical guarantees for it assume that …
Structure of international trade hypergraphsphysics.soc-ph
Study the structure of international trade through hypergraphs.
problem Understanding the complex relationships in international trade networks.
method Analyzing the mean hyperdegree of adjacent vertices and decomposing correlation properties.
result Identifies bias in trade relationships not visible in pairwise networks.
Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle correlated multivariate time series input, and (ii) forecast the targeted temporal sequ…
We study stock market instability by using cross-correlations constructed from the return time series of 366 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from January 5, 1998 to December 30, 2013. To investigate the dynamical evolution of the cross-correlations, cross-correlation matrices are calculated with a rolling win…
Blind source separation (BSS) is a very popular technique to analyze multichannel data. In this context, the data are modeled as the linear combination of sources to be retrieved. For that purpose, standard BSS methods all rely on some discrimination principle, whether it is statistical independence or morphological di…
New method embeds correlation networks to reveal underlying time series patterns.
problem Analyzing correlation networks derived from time series data.
method Spectral embedding of noisy correlation networks, leveraging Fourier basis elements.
result Spectral embedding recovers true vertex-level latent representations under suitable assumptions.
We consider worker skill estimation for the single-coin Dawid-Skene crowdsourcing model. In practice, skill-estimation is challenging because worker assignments are sparse and irregular due to the arbitrary and uncontrolled availability of workers. We formulate skill estimation as a rank-one correlation-matrix completi…
How does one find dimensions in multivariate data that are reliably expressed across repetitions? For example, in a brain imaging study one may want to identify combinations of neural signals that are reliably expressed across multiple trials or subjects. For a behavioral assessment with multiple ratings, one may want …
We study the dynamic interactions and structural changes in global financial indices in the years 1998-2012. We apply a principal component analysis (PCA) to cross-correlation coefficients of the stock indices. We calculate the correlations between principal components (PCs) and each asset, known as PC coefficients. A …
Researchers prove it's impossible to partially recover graph alignments in certain conditions.
problem Recovering vertex correspondence between two random graphs with correlated edges.
method Used the probabilistic method to build automorphisms between tree components of a subcritical Erdös-Rényi graph.
result Proved an impossibility result for partial recovery in the sparse regime with constant average degree and correlation.
We analyze the spectral properties of correlation matrices between distinct statistical systems. Such matrices are intrinsically non symmetric, and lend themselves to extend the spectral analyses usually performed on standard Pearson correlation matrices to the realm of complex eigenvalues. We employ some recent random…
Multi-modal data collections, such as corpora of paired images and text snippets, require analysis methods beyond single-view component and topic models. For continuous observations the current dominant approach is based on extensions of canonical correlation analysis, factorizing the variation into components shared b…
CausalCOMRL improves RL task representations by integrating causal relationships, enhancing generalizability.
problem Spurious correlations in context-based offline meta-reinforcement learning.
method CausalCOMRL integrates causal representation learning to uncover and incorporate causal relationships among task components.
result CausalCOMRL achieves better performance on meta-reinforcement learning benchmarks.
We analyzed multifractal properties of 5-minute stock returns from a period of over two years for 100 highly capitalized American companies. The two sources: fat-tailed probability distributions and nonlinear temporal correlations, vitally contribute to the observed multifractal dynamics of the returns. For majority of…
We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior turns out to depend on the correlation between the components, and the explicit s…
New method improves deep CCA by modeling private components conditionally independent of common factors.
problem Discovering latent co-variation in multiview datasets with weak common factors.
method Proposes a novel formulation that models private components conditionally independent of common factors.
result Validates the approach with synthetic and real datasets, showing improved identification of common factors.
We study Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in a setting where a part of the corrupting noise is data-dependent and, as a result, the noise and the true data are correlated. Under a bounded-ness assumption on the true data and the noise, and a simple assumption on data-noise correlation, we obtain a nearly optimal samp…