A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper introduces a method for forecasting corporate sales growth using multiple reference variables.
Detailed empirical studies of publicly traded business firms have established that the standard deviation of annual sales growth rates decreases with increasing firm sales as a power law, and that the sales growth distribution is non-Gaussian with slowly decaying tails. To explain these empirical facts, a theory is dev…
The paper proposes a method to improve sales forecasts by selecting optimal reference classes.
Keywords: corporate finance, Wrocław University of Economics, net profit margin lub net sales profitability
Study finds sales forecasters overreact to extreme news.
We analyze a database comprising quarterly sales of 55624 pharmaceutical products commercialized by 3939 pharmaceutical firms in the period 1992--2001. We study the probability density function (PDF) of growth in firms and product sales and find that the width of the PDF of growth decays with the sales as a power law w…
AI-driven sales prioritization boosts renewal bookings by 8.08%.
We analyze an exhaustive data-set of new-cars monthly sales. The set refers to 10 years of Spanish sales of more than 6500 different car model configurations and a total of 10M sold cars, from January 2007 to January 2017. We find that for those model configurations with a monthly market-share higher than 0.1% the sale…
Generative AI predicts economic activity from corporate transcripts.
China integrates ESG into corporate strategy for sustainable growth.
Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently. In this paper CPU sales forecasting of Intel Corporation, a multinational semico…
We propose a novel approach and an empirical procedure to test direct contagion of growth rate in a trade credit network of firms. Our hypotheses are that the use of trade credit contributes to contagion (from many customers to a single supplier - "many to one" contagion) and amplification (through their interaction wi…
Company mergers and acquisitions are often perceived to act as catalysts for corporate growth in free markets systems: it is conventional wisdom that those activities lead to better and more efficient markets. However, the broad adoption of this perception into corporate strategy is prone to result in a less diverse an…
This paper discusses the potential impacts of the so-called `initial coin offerings', and of several developments based on distributed ledger technology (`DLT'), on corporate governance. While many academic papers focus mainly on the legal qualification of DLT and crypto-assets, and most notably in relation to the pote…
The process of liquidity provision in financial markets can result in prolonged exposure to illiquid instruments for market makers. In this case, where a proprietary position is not desired, pro-actively targeting the right client who is likely to be interested can be an effective means to offset this position, rather …
The relationship between the size and the variance of firm growth rates is known to follow an approximate power-law behavior where is the firm size and is an exponent weakly dependent on . Here we show how a model of proportional growth which treats firms as classes compos…
Optimizes real estate prices with dynamic strategies.
The addition of wealth-attained advantage (WAA) to the Yard-Sale Model (YSM) of asset exchange has been demonstrated to induce wealth condensation. In a model of WAA for which the bias is a continuous function of the wealth difference of the transacting agents, the condensation was shown to arise from a second-order ph…
This study enhances sales forecasts by integrating market indicators into forecasting models.
Study assesses environmental management accounting practices in Bangladesh.
We propose a continuous-time stock-flow consistent model for inventory dynamics in an economy with firms, banks, and households. On the supply side, firms decide on production based on adaptive expectations for sales demand and a desired level of inventories. On the demand side, investment is determined as a function o…
Optimizes e-commerce traffic sales by incorporating hidden costs into auction mechanisms.
An analytic model is presented that considers the evolution of a market of durable goods. The model suggests that after introduction goods spread always according to a Bass diffusion. However, this phase will be followed by a diffusion process for durable consumer goods governed by a variation-selection-reproduction me…
A new microeconomic model is presented that aims at a description of the long-term unit sales and price evolution of homogeneous non-durable goods in polypoly markets. It merges the product lifecycle approach with the price dispersion dynamics of homogeneous goods. The model predicts a minimum critical lifetime of non-…
This paper analyzes the connection between innovation activities of companies -- implemented before crisis -- and their performance -- measured at time of crisis. The companies listed in the STAR Market Segment of the Italian Stock Exchange are analyzed. Innovation is measured through the level of investments in total …
I explain the root of persistent failure of efforts to remove tax-induced distortions of economic incentives. It lies in FUNDAMENTAL IMPOSSIBILITY of objectively evaluating tax base. Distortions can be entirely avoided in the sector of publicly traded corporations. Evaluation can be bypassed by taxing it in shares (to …
Credit expansion led to stronger household leverage cycles during the U.S. business cycle.
Consider an ephemeral sale-and-repurchase of a security resulting in the same position before the sale and after the repurchase. A sale-and-repurchase is a wash sale if these transactions result in a loss within calendar days. Since a portfolio is essentially the same after a wash sale, any tax advantage from …
The study examines how board diversity and CSR committee composition affect corporate governance and financial performance.
Study shows houses appreciated more during pandemic due to speculation, not just price uncertainty.
We address the question of the growth of firm size. To this end, we analyze the Compustat data base comprising all publicly-traded United States manufacturing firms within the years 1974-1993. We find that the distribution of firm sizes remains stable for the 20 years we study, i.e., the mean value and standard deviati…
Paper proposes a machine learning method to predict sale efficacy.
To investigate the actual phenomena of transport on a complex network, we analysed empirical data for an inter-firm trading network, which consists of about one million Japanese firms and the sales of these firms (a sale corresponds to the total in-flow into a node). First, we analysed the relationships between sales a…
The paper uses CPI growth rates to improve LGD predictions for CRE loans.
CCR-CNN uses CNN to predict corporate credit ratings from financial data.
The paper proposes a ML workflow for B2B sales prediction.
Study shows corporate governance improves stock liquidity with noise traders' participation.
The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the network of correlations to reveal the changing relationships among the financial,…
This paper improves sales forecasting on Tmall using Fourier decomposition and Tweedie distribution optimization.
Corporate venture capital is in the midst of a renaissance. The end of 2015 marked all-time highs both in the number of corporate firms participating in VC deals and in the amount of capital being deployed by corporate VCs. This paper explores, rather than defines, how these firms find success in the wake of this sudde…
Sales data in a commodity market (supermarket sales to consumers) has been analysed by studying the fluctuation spectrum and noise correlations. Three related products (ketchup, mayonnaise and curry sauce) have been analysed. Most noise in sales is caused by promotions, but here we focus on the fluctuations in baseline…
Framework integrates financial and annual report data for better corporate credit ratings.
Study finds it hard to establish common factor pricing in corporate bonds.
CAI automates extraction and validation of corporate GHG emission metrics.
New approach optimizes sales process for B2B businesses.
Study finds corporate boards with women appoint more women, leading to better profitability.
Sales forecast is an essential task in E-commerce and has a crucial impact on making informed business decisions. It can help us to manage the workforce, cash flow and resources such as optimizing the supply chain of manufacturers etc. Sales forecast is a challenging problem in that sales is affected by many factors in…
Any research on strategies for reaching business excellence aims at revealing the appropriate course of actions any executive should consider. Thus, discussions take place on how effective a performance measurement system can be estimated, or/and validated. Can one find an adequate measure (i) on the performance result…