Conversion prediction plays an important role in online advertising since Cost-Per-Action (CPA) has become one of the primary campaign performance objectives in the industry. Unlike click prediction, conversions have different types in nature, and each type may be associated with different decisive factors. In this pap…
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48 results for “conversion prediction”
Improved conversion rate prediction in online advertising using self-supervised pre-training.
problem Data sparsity and calibration issues in predicting conversions given clicks.
method Self-supervised pre-training on all conversion events to enrich CVR prediction model without compromising calibration.
result Improvements in offline training and online A/B tests, with full deployment to Yahoo native advertising system.
Extracting Structured Data from Physician-Patient Conversations By Predicting Noteworthy Utterancescs.LG
The paper extracts structured data from physician-patient conversations, reducing clerical burden.
problem Mining insights from physician-patient conversations for electronic health record documentation.
method Created a dataset of transcripts and summaries, extracted noteworthy utterances, and improved model performance.
result Extracting noteworthy utterances significantly boosts model performance for recognizing diagnoses and RoS abnormalities.
Prospective display advertising poses a great challenge for large advertising platforms as the strongest predictive signals of users are not eligible to be used in the conversion prediction systems. To that end efforts are made to collect as much information as possible about each user from various data sources and to …
Nowadays, a lot of scientific efforts are concentrated on the diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) applying deep learning methods to neuroimaging data. Even for 2017, there were published more than a hundred papers dedicated to AD diagnosis, whereas only a few works considered a problem of mild cognitive impairments (…
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
problem Predicting user conversion likelihood from visited URLs.
method Introduced URL embedding models and evaluated conversion prediction models.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of URL embedding models for conversion prediction.
Predicting conversion rates (CVRs) in display advertising (e.g., predicting the proportion of users who purchase an item (i.e., a conversion) after its corresponding ad is clicked) is important when measuring the effects of ads shown to users and to understanding the interests of the users. There is generally a time de…
In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate (CVR), meaning the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, is a fundamental task for estimating the value of displaying an advertisement to a user. There are two main challenges in CVR prediction due to delayed feedback. First,…
Online purchase decisions in organizations can go through a complex journey with multiple agents involved in the decision making process. Depending on the product being purchased, and the organizational structure, the process may involve employees who first conduct market research, and then influence decision makers wh…
Estimates conversion probabilities from click sequences with privacy constraints.
problem Training models in advertising with limited direct click-conversion links.
method Formalizes learning from attribution sets, constructs unbiased estimator, applies Empirical Risk Minimization.
result Empirical Risk Minimization achieves generalization guarantees and robustness against prior errors.
DHEN improves CVR prediction for ads with multitask learning and auxiliary loss.
problem Predicting conversion rates in ad-recommendation systems.
method DHEN integrates multiple feature-crossing modules and uses a multitask learning framework, ablation studies, and self-supervised auxiliary loss.
result DHEN achieves state-of-the-art performance in CVR prediction.
In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate, that is, the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, such as purchasing goods is fundamental in estimating the value of displaying the advertisement. However, there is a relatively long time delay between a click and its resul…
Most machine learning classifiers give predictions for new examples accurately, yet without indicating how trustworthy predictions are. In the medical domain, this hampers their integration in decision support systems, which could be useful in the clinical practice. We use a supervised learning approach that combines E…
In digital advertising, Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR) are very important metrics for evaluating ad performance. As a result, ad event prediction systems are vital and widely used for sponsored search and display advertising as well as Real-Time Bidding (RTB). In this work, we introduce an enhanced …
Predicting click and conversion probabilities when bidding on ad exchanges is at the core of the programmatic advertising industry. Two separated lines of previous works respectively address i) the prediction of user conversion probability and ii) the attribution of these conversions to advertising events (such as clic…
Recently we see a rising number of methods in the field of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence. To our surprise, their development is driven by model developers rather than a study of needs for human end users. The analysis of needs, if done, takes the form of an A/B test rather than a study of open questions. To answe…
An automated metric to evaluate dialogue quality is vital for optimizing data driven dialogue management. The common approach of relying on explicit user feedback during a conversation is intrusive and sparse. Current models to estimate user satisfaction use limited feature sets and employ annotation schemes with limit…
New method constructs confidence sets for GLMs via game theory.
problem Developing reliable confidence intervals for GLM parameters.
method Reduction to sequential prediction games with low regret.
result Online-to-confidence-set conversions provide new types of intervals.
The majority of conversations a dialogue agent sees over its lifetime occur after it has already been trained and deployed, leaving a vast store of potential training signal untapped. In this work, we propose the self-feeding chatbot, a dialogue agent with the ability to extract new training examples from the conversat…
In (Yang et al. 2016), a hierarchical attention network (HAN) is created for document classification. The attention layer can be used to visualize text influential in classifying the document, thereby explaining the model's prediction. We successfully applied HAN to a sequential analysis task in the form of real-time m…
Hybrid approach combines user feedback and machine learning for predicting user satisfaction.
problem Measuring user satisfaction in large-scale conversational agent systems.
method Fusion of explicit user feedback and predictions from two machine-learned models trained on different data types.
result Hybrid approach significantly improves user satisfaction predictions.
Group discussions are essential for organizing every aspect of modern life, from faculty meetings to senate debates, from grant review panels to papal conclaves. While costly in terms of time and organization effort, group discussions are commonly seen as a way of reaching better decisions compared to solutions that do…
Study uses time series analysis to predict player churn and conversion in games.
problem Predicting player churn and conversion in free-to-play games.
method State Space time series approach with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Unobserved Components models.
result Unobserved Components approach fails to detect marketing campaigns and predicts abandonment poorly.
Task-oriented dialog presents a difficult challenge encompassing multiple problems including multi-turn language understanding and generation, knowledge retrieval and reasoning, and action prediction. Modern dialog systems typically begin by converting conversation history to a symbolic object referred to as belief sta…
This paper proposes a non-parallel many-to-many voice conversion (VC) method using a variant of the conditional variational autoencoder (VAE) called an auxiliary classifier VAE (ACVAE). The proposed method has three key features. First, it adopts fully convolutional architectures to construct the encoder and decoder ne…
Improving Mild Cognitive Impairment Prediction via Reinforcement Learning and Dialogue Simulationcs.LG
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a prodromal phase in the progression from normal aging to dementia, especially Alzheimers disease. Even though there is mild cognitive decline in MCI patients, they have normal overall cognition and thus is challenging to distinguish from normal aging. Using transcribed data obtained …
The DeepSurv model predicts purchase timing better than other survival models.
problem Predicting the exact purchase timing of consumers.
method Survival models (Kernel SVM, DeepSurv, Survival Random Forest, MTLR) were compared using various consumer attributes.
result DeepSurv model outperformed other models in predicting purchase completion.
Study proposes a multi-agent framework to mitigate bias in sentiment analysis.
problem Bias in sentiment analysis models.
method Integrates multiple LLMs, incorporates dialogue sessions, and uses probabilistic prediction.
result KCS+IBC reduces entropy and increases variance, suggesting improved balance between aggregation and diversity.
Customers are usually exposed to online digital advertisement channels, such as email marketing, display advertising, paid search engine marketing, along their way to purchase or subscribe products( aka. conversion). The marketers track all the customer journey data and try to measure the effectiveness of each advertis…
We investigated the training of a shared model for both text-to-speech (TTS) and voice conversion (VC) tasks. We propose using an extended model architecture of Tacotron, that is a multi-source sequence-to-sequence model with a dual attention mechanism as the shared model for both the TTS and VC tasks. This model can a…
Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.
problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.
FasterVoiceGrad speeds up VC by 6-7x with novel distillation.
problem Slow iterative sampling in diffusion-based VC models.
method Adversarial diffusion conversion distillation (ADCD) to create a faster one-step model.
result 6.6-6.9 and 1.8x faster on GPU and CPU, respectively.
Retaining premium players is key to the success of free-to-play games, but most of them do not start purchasing right after joining the game. By exploiting the exceptionally rich datasets recorded by modern video games--which provide information on the individual behavior of each and every player--survival analysis tec…
We propose a flexible framework that deals with both singer conversion and singers vocal technique conversion. The proposed model is trained on non-parallel corpora, accommodates many-to-many conversion, and leverages recent advances of variational autoencoders. It employs separate encoders to learn disentangled latent…
A new TTS method uses diffusion and VAE for better speech synthesis.
problem Improving text-to-speech synthesis for better speech quality and robustness.
method Combines diffusion probabilistic model and variational autoencoder for latent variable conversion.
result The method is robust to poor orthography and alignment errors.
FedConPE improves conversational recommender systems efficiency and privacy.
problem Efficiently eliciting user preferences in interactive systems with heterogeneous clients.
method Phase elimination-based federated conversational bandit algorithm with adaptive key term construction.
result Minimizes uncertainty across all dimensions in feature space and offers improved efficiency and privacy.
Increases in global food prices have led to widespread hunger and social unrest---and an imperative to understand their causes. In a previous paper published in September 2011, we constructed for the first time a dynamic model that quantitatively agreed with food prices. Specifically, the model fit the FAO Food Price I…
Contextual bandit algorithms provide principled online learning solutions to balance the exploitation-exploration trade-off in various applications such as recommender systems. However, the learning speed of the traditional contextual bandit algorithms is often slow due to the need for extensive exploration. This poses…
An automated metric to evaluate dialogue quality is vital for optimizing data driven dialogue management. The common approach of relying on explicit user feedback during a conversation is intrusive and sparse. Current models to estimate user satisfaction use limited feature sets and rely on annotation schemes with low …
The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The focus of this paper is the development of a computationally efficient, accurate, a…
CycleGAN-VC3 improves CycleGAN-VCs for mel-spectrogram conversion.
problem Ambiguity in CycleGAN-VC/VC2 effectiveness for mel-spectrogram conversion.
method Proposes CycleGAN-VC3 with time-frequency adaptive normalization (TFAN).
result CycleGAN-VC3 outperforms or matches CycleGAN-VC2 for mel-spectrogram conversion.
A new algorithm for conversational recommendation systems using dueling bandits in GLMs.
problem Limited user feedback in existing conversational bandit methods.
method Integrates dueling bandits with relative feedback in generalized linear models.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of ConDuel's efficacy.
Schedule-free SGD is optimal for nonconvex optimization problems.
problem Nonconvex optimization in neural networks.
method Developed a general framework for online-to-nonconvex conversion, which converts schedule-free SGD into an effective nonconvex optimization algorithm.
result Schedule-free SGD achieves optimal iteration complexity for nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization problems.
Improved autoencoder for F0-consistent voice conversion.
problem Non-parallel many-to-many voice conversion with prosodic information leakage.
method Conditional autoencoder with information-constraining bottlenecks.
result Controlled F0 contour and improved speech quality.
This paper uses neural networks to predict stock prices more accurately.
problem Current stock analysis methods are inaccurate.
method Dynamic neural networks to identify stock price patterns.
result Neural networks outperform traditional stock analysis methods.
A fast voice conversion method using diffusion models.
problem One-shot many-to-many voice conversion.
method Diffusion probabilistic modeling with Fast Maximum Likelihood Sampling Scheme.
result Superior quality compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Proposes a new voice conversion model that preserves pitch patterns.
problem Preserving pitch patterns while changing speaker identity.
method Variational-autoencoder-based model with an auxiliary network.
result Ensures the conversion result correctly reflects specified F0/timbre information.
We present a voice conversion solution using recurrent sequence to sequence modeling for DNNs. Our solution takes advantage of recent advances in attention based modeling in the fields of Neural Machine Translation (NMT), Text-to-Speech (TTS) and Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR). The problem consists of converting be…