Study geometric flows with varying parameters and prove continuous dependence.
problem Continuous dependence of flows on parameters in geometric settings.
method Derived suitable topologies for vector fields and flows, proved new continuous dependence.
result Proved continuous dependence of flows on parameters in a general topological space.
Uniform proof for Ricci flows on complete manifolds.
problem Proving short-time existence, uniqueness, and continuous dependence for Ricci flows.
method Using Koch-Lamm framework and tensor heat kernel estimates, with a new continuous dependence estimate.
result Uniform proof of short-time existence, uniqueness, and continuous dependence for Ricci flows.
New measure assesses predictive dependence between continuous variables, capturing non-functional relationships.
problem Quantifying the joint dependence between continuous random variables.
method Introduces a novel, fully non-parametric measure bounded [0,1] that assesses predictive accuracy loss.
result The measure captures a wide range of relationships, including non-functional ones, and is interpretable.
Monotone aggregation of dependent random vectors has an absolutely continuous distribution under certain conditions.
problem Monotone aggregation of dependent random vectors
method Coordinatewise monotonicity and uniform lower-increment conditions
result One-dimensional push-forwards of dependent random vectors have an absolutely continuous distribution
A new method for portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
problem Path-dependent portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
method Path-by-path framework, self-financing concept, partial differential equation, continuous-time algorithms.
result General explicit solution for wealth evolution in generic markets.
Continuous curve evolution depends on initial shape on sphere.
problem Evolution of a curve on a sphere by curvature flow.
method Study of curve evolution using curvature flow and level-set flow.
result Evolution depends continuously on initial curve in Fréchet distance.
We examine the dependence of the deformation obtained by bending quasi-Fuchsian structures on the bending lamination. We show that when we consider bending quasi-Fuchsian structures on a closed surface, the conditions obtained by Epstein and Marden to relate weak convergence of arbitrary laminations to the convergence …
Proposes continuous graph neural networks to capture long-range dependencies.
problem Capturing long-range dependencies in graph data.
method Defines continuous dynamics for graph neural networks using diffusion-based methods.
result Proposed continuous graph neural networks are effective and deeper networks can capture long-range dependencies.
Investment strategies for rank-dependent utility agents are derived in a continuous-time market.
problem Time inconsistency in rank-dependent utility models.
method Study of consistent planners seeking intra-personal equilibrium strategies.
result Explicit final wealth profile replicating equilibrium strategies, with scaling function derived.
New bounds on continuous random variables' right-tail probabilities.
problem Finding precise upper and lower limits for right-tail probabilities of continuous random variables.
method Developed new bounds based on PDF, first derivative, and two parameters.
result The new bounds are tight for various continuous random variables.
New framework for detecting data drift in continuous time.
problem Drift in data distribution over time.
method Probability theoretical framework for continuous time drift.
result New efficient drift detection method and decomposition of data.
We concerns here with the continuity on the geometry of the second Riemannian L^p-Sobolev best constant B_0(p,g) associated to the AB program. Precisely, for 1 <= p <= 2, we prove that B_0(p,g) depends continuously on g in the C^2-topology. Moreover, this topology is sharp for p = 2. From this discussion, we deduce som…
TCMI assesses mutual dependence of continuous variables without parametric assumptions.
problem Estimating mutual information from continuous distributions.
method TCMI extends mutual information to continuous variables using cumulative distributions.
result TCMI facilitates feature selection and ranking of variable sets.
New RNN model handles long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series.
problem Handling long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series data.
method Designing ODE-LSTMs that separate memory from continuous-time state.
result ODE-LSTMs outperform other RNN-based models on non-uniformly sampled data with long-term dependencies.
We present a systematic study of causality theory on Lorentzian manifolds with continuous metrics. Examples are given which show that some standard facts in smooth Lorentzian geometry, such as light-cones being hypersurfaces, are wrong when metrics which are merely continuous are considered. We show that existence of t…
Neural networks with integer weights approximate continuous functions efficiently.
problem Approximating continuous functions using neural networks with integer weights.
method Integrates superexpressive activation functions and integer weights.
result Convergence rate of order n2β+d−2βlog2n for neural network regression. Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which represents a finite state continuous time Markov process whose transition model is…
This paper develops a mathematical framework for the analysis of continuous-time trading strategies which, in contrast to the classical setting of continuous-time mathematical finance, does not rely on stochastic integrals or other probabilistic notions. Our purely analytic framework allows for the derivation of a path…
A new copula, the checkerboard copula, maximizes entropy and preserves dependence.
problem Choosing copula for non-continuous marginal distributions.
method Introducing the checkerboard copula, maximizing Shannon entropy.
result Checkerboard copula maximizes entropy and preserves dependence.
Modeling dependent defaults with multivariate Cox processes.
problem Capturing dependence in default times.
method Multivariate generalized Cox process with càdlàg, increasing processes.
result Closed-form expressions for joint survival probabilities.
Study shows continuous evolution of curves in Fréchet distance.
problem Continuous evolution of curves under curvature flow.
method Curvature flow and level-set flow, analyzed in Fréchet distance.
result Evolution of curves depends continuously on initial curve.
Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a diffusion equation with a diffusion coefficient that inversely depends on the dat…
Proves conditions for Fourier transforms in rank 1 symmetric spaces.
problem Understanding Fourier transform bounds in symmetric spaces.
method Proves sufficient and necessary conditions using Lipschitz and Fourier type integral conditions.
result Establishes bounds for Fourier transforms in rank 1 symmetric spaces with specific moduli of continuity.
Improved GRU model with weighted time-delay feedback for long-term dependencies.
problem Modeling long-term dependencies in sequential data.
method Introducing a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with a weighted time-delay feedback mechanism.
result τ-GRU outperforms state-of-the-art models on various tasks.
A new method detects and displays pairwise dependence between variates.
problem Detecting and visualizing dependence between variates of different types.
method Recursive random binning with approximations to Pearson's statistic.
result The method is well-calibrated and powerful against common test alternatives.
CFTM uses fractional Brownian motion for dynamic topic modeling.
problem Identifying long-term dependency or roughness in topic and word distributions over time.
method Continuous Time Fractional Topic Model (cFTM) incorporating fractional Brownian motion.
result cFTM captures long-term dependency or roughness in topic and word distributions.
Study robust utility maximization with uncertain continuous semimartingales.
problem Maximizing utility in continuous time under model uncertainty.
method Duality and conjugate problems for logarithmic, exponential, and power utilities.
result Existence of optimal portfolios for various utilities.
Study continuity and Hölder estimates for solutions on Stein spaces.
problem Continuity and Hölder estimates for solutions to degenerate complex Monge-Ampère equations.
method Prove continuity up to the boundary and local Hölder estimates on the regular locus.
result Local Hölder estimates on the regular locus for solutions to degenerate complex Monge-Ampère equations.
We present a dynamical many-body theory of money in which the value of money is a time dependent ``strategic variable'' that is chosen by the individual agents. The value of money in equilibrium is not fixed by the equations, and thus represents a continuous symmetry. The dynamics breaks this continuous symmetry by fix…
This paper improves the robustness of risk estimation for financial positions.
problem Ensuring robustness of risk measures in the presence of data noise.
method Proposes a quantitative approach using the Fortet-Mourier metric to quantify the variation of true probability measures.
result Derives explicit error bounds for discrepancies between laws of estimators based on true and perturbed data.
A major difficulty of solving continuous POMDPs is to infer the multi-modal distribution of the unobserved true states and to make the planning algorithm dependent on the perceived uncertainty. We cast POMDP filtering and planning problems as two closely related Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) processes, one over the real…
New insights into continual learning with task similarity.
problem Challenges in learning similar tasks without interference.
method Linear teacher-student model with latent structure.
result High input feature similarity with low readout similarity is catastrophic.
We study contextual bandit learning with an abstract policy class and continuous action space. We obtain two qualitatively different regret bounds: one competes with a smoothed version of the policy class under no continuity assumptions, while the other requires standard Lipschitz assumptions. Both bounds exhibit data-…
DynForest R package predicts outcomes with time-dependent predictors.
problem Handling time-dependent predictors in random forest models.
method Random forests with time-dependent predictors summarized using flexible linear mixed models.
result DynForest can predict continuous, categorical, and survival outcomes.
In this paper we provide a characterization of intrinsic Lipschitz graphs in the sub-Riemannian Heisenberg groups in terms of their distributional gradients. Moreover, we prove the equivalence of different notions of continuous weak solutions to the equation φ_y+ [φ^{2}/2]_t=w, where w is a bounded function depending o…
Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice of a random number generator. The aim of this paper is to provide the tools for…
New criteria distinguish cause from effect in data, overcoming statistical limitations.
problem Determining causal direction from statistical dependence alone.
method Intuitive criteria based on simplicity of prediction, tested on synthetic data.
result Criteria accurately distinguish cause from effect in various scenarios.
Continuous-time analysis shows SGD with noise prefers flat minima.
problem Optimizing neural networks using SGD with noise.
method Continuous-time model for SGD with noise analysis.
result Optimization prefers flat minima in certain noise regimes.
Training-free model learns SDE dynamics without training, accelerating parameter studies.
problem High computational cost of simulating parameter-dependent SDEs.
method Training-free conditional diffusion model with joint kernel-weighted Monte Carlo estimator.
result Accurate approximation of conditional distributions across varying parameter values.
Probabilistic proof of smooth boundaries in optimal stopping problems.
problem Continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems.
method Local probabilistic arguments for a wider range of conditions.
result First probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability under general conditions.
New CTRL algorithm adapts to varying problem difficulty.
problem Adapting to varying levels of problem difficulty in CTRL.
method MLE with a general function approximator, estimating state marginal density.
result Regret bound scales with reward variance and measurement resolution, independent of measurement strategy.
New model predicts network events better than existing ones.
problem Existing models can't capture complex network structures.
method Proposed MULCH model using multivariate Hawkes processes.
result MULCH model outperforms other models in predictions and generation.
On a smooth complete Riemannian spin manifold with smooth compact boundary, we demonstrate that the Atiyah-Singer Dirac operator DB in L2 depends Riesz continuously on L∞ perturbations of local boundary conditions B. The Lipschitz bound for the map ${…
We prove that the Atiyah-Singer Dirac operator Dg in L2 depends Riesz continuously on L∞ perturbations of complete metrics g on a smooth manifold. The Lipschitz bound for the map ${\mathrm g} \to {\mathrm D}_{\mathrm g}(1 + {\mathrm D}_{\mathrm g}^2)^{…
EVCL combines VCL and EWC to prevent forgetting new tasks.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in continual learning.
method Hybrid model integrating VCL and EWC.
result Consistently outperforms baselines in learning new tasks.
Measuring dependence between two random variables is very important, and critical in many applied areas such as variable selection, brain network analysis. However, we do not know what kind of functional relationship is between two covariates, which requires the dependence measure to be equitable. That is, it gives sim…
The paper interprets policy-gradient algorithms using continuation theory.
problem Optimizing nonconvex functions in reinforcement learning.
method Formulates policy optimization as optimization by continuation, interprets policy-gradient algorithms as implicitly optimizing deterministic policies.
result Exploration in policy-gradient algorithms is seen as computing a continuation of the return of the policy.
The principle of convergence stability for geometric flows is the combination of the continuous dependence of the flow on initial conditions, with the stability of fixed points. It implies that if the flow from an initial state g0 exists for all time and converges to a stable fixed point, then the flows of solutions…