Due to the popularity of context-awareness in the Internet of Things (IoT) and the recent advanced features in the most popular IoT device, i.e., smartphone, modeling and predicting personalized usage behavior based on relevant contexts can be highly useful in assisting them to carry out daily routines and activities. …
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48 results for “context prediction”
BehavDT: A Behavioral Decision Tree Learning to Build User-Centric Context-Aware Predictive Modelcs.LG
This paper formulates the problem of building a context-aware predictive model based on user diverse behavioral activities with smartphones. In the area of machine learning and data science, a tree-like model as that of decision tree is considered as one of the most popular classification techniques, which can be used …
Neural Processes (NPs) (Garnelo et al 2018a;b) approach regression by learning to map a context set of observed input-output pairs to a distribution over regression functions. Each function models the distribution of the output given an input, conditioned on the context. NPs have the benefit of fitting observed data ef…
Timer-XL predicts multidimensional time series using a unified Transformer approach.
problem Unified time series forecasting across various tasks and contexts.
method Decoder-only Transformers with a universal TimeAttention mechanism and deft position embedding.
result State-of-the-art performance across multiple forecasting benchmarks.
This work introduces a method to decompose uncertainty in in-context learning for large language models.
problem Understanding the sources of uncertainty in in-context learning for large language models.
method Variational uncertainty decomposition framework without sampling from latent parameter posterior.
result Quantitative and qualitative validation of decomposed epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.
Transformers can approximate posterior predictive distributions through in-context learning.
problem Bayesian prediction tasks, especially beyond point predictions.
method Gradient descent algorithm targeting posterior predictive mean and variance, followed by nonlinear mappings.
result Transformers can implement algorithms to approximate posterior predictive distributions.
New language model shows context length impacts generation quality and reasoning ability.
problem Analyzing the impact of context length and reasoning on autoregressive generation.
method Introduced synthetic hierarchical languages, used an exact k-gram ansatz, derived asymptotic predictions, and validated empirically.
result Reasoning models with limited context can generate sequences from the true language, improving exponentially over standard models.
New analysis shows transformer models can't learn effectively.
problem Transformer models learning in context can't achieve general predictive accuracy.
method Empirical evidence and mathematical analysis of transformer architecture limitations.
result Transformers cannot achieve general predictive accuracy due to architectural limitations.
A new method uses gene interaction networks to predict gene functions.
problem Predicting gene functions from gene interactions.
method Context graph kernel approach in a machine learning framework.
result The proposed method outperforms linkage-assumption-based methods.
Model predicts political ideology using context vectors to mitigate bias and scarcity.
problem Scarcity and selection bias in political ideology prediction.
method Proposes a statistical model decomposing embeddings into context and position vectors, training an end-to-end model for deployment.
result Model can predict ideological labels even with minimal biased data, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Unified Bayesian model explains in-context learning and activation steering in LLMs.
problem Understanding and controlling the behavior of large language models (LLMs) through prompts and activations.
method Developed a Bayesian model to explain and predict the effects of in-context learning and activation steering.
result Unified model predicts distinct phases and sudden shifts in LLM behavior, explaining prior empirical phenomena.
This study uses ICL to efficiently generate robust confidence intervals for noisy regression tasks.
problem Uncertainty quantification for in-context learning in noisy regression tasks.
method Proposes a method based on conformal prediction to construct prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage.
result Conformal prediction with in-context learning (CP with ICL) achieves robust and scalable uncertainty estimates.
Neural Machine Translation (NMT) generates target words sequentially in the way of predicting the next word conditioned on the context words. At training time, it predicts with the ground truth words as context while at inference it has to generate the entire sequence from scratch. This discrepancy of the fed context l…
Out of nearly 70,000 bills introduced in the U.S. Congress from 2001 to 2015, only 2,513 were enacted. We developed a machine learning approach to forecasting the probability that any bill will become law. Starting in 2001 with the 107th Congress, we trained models on data from previous Congresses, predicted all bills …
This paper learns graph node representations using global context prediction.
problem Efficiently learning useful node representations from unlabeled graph data.
method Randomly selects node pairs, trains a neural net to predict contextual positions.
result Our approach outperforms many unsupervised methods and sometimes supervised ones.
We propose a real-time context-aware learning system along with the architecture that runs on the mobile devices, provide services to the user and manage the IoT devices. In this system, an application running on mobile devices collected data from the sensors, learned about the user-defined context, made predictions in…
GOAT learns multiple node representations from graph structure alone.
problem Context-free graph representation learning limits model performance.
method Inspired by gossip and mutual attention, GOAT learns multiple node representations.
result GOAT outperforms 12 SOTA baselines on link prediction and clustering tasks.
Transformer learns context and regularization for ICL in inverse problems.
problem Learning context and effective regularization for transformer-based in-context learning (ICL) in inverse problems.
method Introduced a linear transformer to learn inverse mapping from contextual examples to weight vectors, addressing rank-deficient problems.
result Transformer implicitly learns a prior distribution and effective regularization strategy, outperforming traditional methods.
Generative AI can solve in-context learning problems using a martingale perspective.
problem Estimating when a conditional generative model can solve an in-context learning problem.
method Bayesian interpretation, ancestral sampling, generative predictive p-value.
result Developed a method to assess the suitability of CGMs for ICL problems using generative predictive p-values.
Algorithm improves decision-making with partially observed contexts using pretrained models.
problem Improving decision-making with partially observed contexts in online linear contextual bandits.
method PULSE-UCB algorithm that uses pretrained models trained on auxiliary data to impute missing features.
result Achieves near-optimal performance in i.i.d. context case with Hölder-smooth missing features.
New algorithm reduces regret in noisy context bandits.
problem Online decision-making with noisy context predictions.
method Extends classical statistics measurement error model to online decision-making.
result Achieves sublinear regret guarantees under mild conditions.
Mobile context determination is an important step for many context aware services such as location-based services, enterprise policy enforcement, building or room occupancy detection for power or HVAC operation, etc. Especially in enterprise scenarios where policies (e.g., attending a confidential meeting only when the…
Context2Name: A Deep Learning-Based Approach to Infer Natural Variable Names from Usage Contextscs.SE
Most of the JavaScript code deployed in the wild has been minified, a process in which identifier names are replaced with short, arbitrary and meaningless names. Minified code occupies less space, but also makes the code extremely difficult to manually inspect and understand. This paper presents Context2Name, a deep le…
Acute respiratory infections have epidemic and pandemic potential and thus are being studied worldwide, albeit in many different contexts and study formats. Predicting infection from symptom data is critical, though using symptom data from varied studies in aggregate is challenging because the data is collected in diff…
Enhances neural processes to learn from multiple related datasets.
problem Improving predictions from datasets with shared similarities.
method Developed the in-context in-context learning pseudo-token TNP (ICICL-TNP) to condition on both sets of datapoints and sets of datasets.
result Demonstrated the importance and effectiveness of in-context in-context learning.
Conservative Likelihood Ratio Estimator for Infrequent Data Slightly above a Frequency Thresholdstat.ML
Proposes a conservative LR estimator for infrequent data near a frequency threshold.
problem Overestimation of likelihood ratios for infrequent data near a frequency threshold.
method Conservative likelihood ratio estimator for frequencies slightly above a threshold.
result Improves prediction accuracy in named entity context prediction.
A method for learning a context latent vector to improve generalization in model-based RL.
problem Learning a global dynamics model that can generalize across different dynamics.
method Decomposes learning a global dynamics model into two stages: learning a context latent vector and predicting next states.
result Achieves superior generalization across various simulated robotics and control tasks.
Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.
problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.
New model predicts drug effects across various cell types using causal imputation.
problem Predict drug effects across different cell types given limited data.
method Introduces a novel SCM-based model class with latent factor structure and uses Synthetic Interventions estimator.
result Method outperforms other matrix completion approaches in drug repurposing dataset.
Enhances LLMs for predicting stock movements by considering news dissemination and context.
problem Lack of consideration for news dissemination and insufficient contextual data in LLMs for stock price prediction.
method Clusters news for reach assessment, enriches prompts with specific data and instructions, fine-tunes an LLM using the dataset.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 8% compared to existing methods.
The study explores how Transformers predict the next token in a sequence.
problem Understanding the mechanism behind Transformers' autoregressive learning ability.
method Exploring the approximation ability of Transformers for next-token prediction through specific instances and a causal kernel descent method.
result Transformer models can learn context-dependent functions for next-token prediction based on past and current observations.
Bayesian Attention Networks compress data by focusing on key training samples.
problem Lossless data compression for efficiency.
method Bayesian Attention Networks with attention factors and latent space.
result Efficient prediction using a few correlated training samples.
Study improves keyword forecasting in earnings-call prediction markets.
problem Accurately predicting future keyword mentions in earnings calls.
method Experiments on earnings-call mention markets, varying context and market probability, introducing MCP.
result Mixture of market probability and MCP yields the best forecasts.
Nowadays, mobile telephony interruptions in our daily life activities are common because of the inappropriate ringing notifications of incoming phone calls in different contexts. Such interruptions may impact on the work attention not only for the mobile phone owners but also the surrounding people. Decision tree is th…
In many mobile health interventions, treatments should only be delivered in a particular context, for example when a user is currently stressed, walking or sedentary. Even in an optimal context, concerns about user burden can restrict which treatments are sent. To diffuse the treatment delivery over times when a user i…
GSNE improves house price predictions by embedding geo-spatial context.
problem Lack of contextual information in house price prediction models.
method Geo-Spatial Network Embedding (GSNE) using graph neural networks.
result GSNE embeddings consistently improve house price prediction performance.
The paper connects counterfactual fairness to robust prediction and group fairness using causal context.
problem The challenge of ensuring fairness in AI systems when counterfactuals cannot be directly observed.
method Using causal context to bridge counterfactual fairness, robust prediction, and group fairness.
result Counterfactual fairness is equivalent to group fairness metrics in specific contexts.
Tabular in-context learners perform well on biomolecular tasks, but performance depends on the representation used.
problem Predicting biomolecular properties from limited labeled data.
method Evaluating tabular in-context learners on protein fitness regression and small-molecule classification tasks.
result Tabular in-context learners are competitive for protein fitness regression but not for small-molecule classification.
Home entertainment systems feature in a variety of usage scenarios with one or more simultaneous users, for whom the complexity of choosing media to consume has increased rapidly over the last decade. Users' decision processes are complex and highly influenced by contextual settings, but data supporting the development…
Contextualizing financial news improves stock price predictions.
problem Predicting stock prices from financial news requires understanding historical context.
method Proposed a method using a large language model for main articles and a small model for historical context.
result Historical context significantly improves model performance across methods and time horizons.
VectorNet predicts car behavior using vectorized HD maps and agent dynamics.
problem Predicting behavior in multi-agent systems with self-driving cars.
method VectorNet uses hierarchical graph neural networks on vectorized representations of HD maps and agent trajectories.
result VectorNet achieves comparable or better performance than state-of-the-art methods while using fewer parameters and less computational power.
Blood glucose value prediction is an important task in diabetes management. While it is reported that glucose concentration is sensitive to social context such as mood, physical activity, stress, diet, alongside the influence of diabetes pathologies, we need more research on data and methodologies to incorporate and ev…
Gradient descent biases linear models in next-token prediction towards data entropy.
problem Optimization bias in next-token prediction models.
method Analysis of gradient descent on linear models with sparse conditional distributions.
result Gradient descent selects parameters that equate token logits differences to log-odds in the data subspace.
CAZSL learns to generalize physical interactions from context.
problem Designing models that can generalize over unknown objects during manipulation.
method Context-aware zero-shot learning using Siamese network architecture, embedding space masking, and regularization.
result CAZSL models can generalize to different parameters or features of interacting objects.
New approach predicts tokens in context, explaining how ICL emerges.
problem Limited understanding of in-context learning emergence.
method Auto-regressive next-token prediction (AR-NTP) with prompt token-dependency and a two-level expectation.
result ICL emerges from the generalization of sequences and topics.
Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.
problem Lack of bankruptcy prediction model in Mozambique banking sector.
method Linear Discriminant Analysis method, using financial indicators.
result Model accurately predicted 84% of bank failures 1 year before Central Bank intervention.
Smooth handling of pedestrian interactions is a key requirement for Autonomous Vehicles (AV) and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS). Such systems call for early and accurate prediction of a pedestrian's crossing/not-crossing behaviour in front of the vehicle. Existing approaches to pedestrian behaviour predictio…
We introduce a stochastic contextual bandit model where at each time step the environment chooses a distribution over a context set and samples the context from this distribution. The learner observes only the context distribution while the exact context realization remains hidden. This allows for a broad range of appl…