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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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163326489652 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for content popularity prediction

Proposes D2D-LSTM for predicting mobile social network content diffusion paths.

problem Lack of accurate content popularity prediction considering time and location in mobile social networks.
method D2D-LSTM, a deep neural network combining user social features and files features.
result Significantly improved prediction accuracy (up to 85.858%) and faster convergence (less than 100 steps).

Cascades of information-sharing are a primary mechanism by which content reaches its audience on social media, and an active line of research has studied how such cascades, which form as content is reshared from person to person, develop and subside. In this paper, we perform a large-scale analysis of cascades on Faceb…

2016-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

How is popularity gained online? Is being successful strictly related to rapidly becoming viral in an online platform or is it possible to acquire popularity in a steady and disciplined fashion? What are other temporal characteristics that can unveil the popularity of online content? To answer these questions, we lever…

2019-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, deep learning models play more and more important roles in contents recommender systems. However, although the performance of recommendations is greatly improved, the "Matthew effect" becomes increasingly evident. While the head contents get more and more popular, many competitive long-tail contents are diffi…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Content based image retrieval, a technique which uses visual contents of image to search images from large scale image databases according to users' interests. This paper provides a comprehensive survey on recent technology used in the area of content based face image retrieval. Nowadays digital devices and photo shari…

2014-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we ask two questions: 1. Can we predict the type of community interested in a news article using only features from the article content? and 2. How well do these models generalize over time? To answer these questions, we compute well-studied content-based features on over 60K news articles from 4 communit…

2018-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

SLUG method detects bias and out-of-distribution content in generative models.

problem Generative models can underrepresent certain groups and fail on out-of-distribution data.
method SLUG: A new uncertainty quantification method for VAEs combining Laplace approximations and stochastic trace estimators.
result SLUG's UQ score correlates with bias and out-of-distribution content.

Quizlet is the most popular online learning tool in the United States, and is used by over 2/3 of high school students, and 1/2 of college students. With more than 95% of Quizlet users reporting improved grades as a result, the platform has become the de-facto tool used in millions of classrooms. In this paper, we expl…

2018-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Twitter, a popular social network, presents great opportunities for on-line machine learning research. However, previous research has focused almost entirely on learning from passively collected data. We study the problem of learning to acquire followers through normative user behavior, as opposed to the mass following…

2015-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework predicts earnings announcements using press release content, surpassing earnings surprises.

problem Predicting stock returns based on earnings press releases.
method Compared traditional and BERT-based embeddings of press releases, finding content as informative as earnings surprises.
result FinBERT yields highest predictive power for earnings announcement returns.

PreBit predicts Bitcoin price movements using social media and financial data.

problem Predicting extreme price movements of Bitcoin due to its volatility and speculative trading.
method Hybrid model combining FinBERT embeddings of Twitter content with candlestick data and technical indicators.
result The hybrid model can predict significant market movements with a profitable trading strategy.

Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

problem Determining the informational value of financial YouTube channels.
method Analyzing 3PROTV's content and its impact on stock market performance and sentiment.
result 3PROTV's content, particularly negative sentiment, predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

Paper presents content-based models for game recommendation in cold start scenarios.

problem Cold start problem in game recommendation where new games and players have no historical data.
method Uses survey data to develop content-based interaction models that generalize to new games, players, and both.
result Content models outperform collaborative filtering in predicting new interactions.

DCMIX learns channel importance for high content imaging.

problem Lack of channel importance information in deep learning-based image analysis.
method Image blending concepts with alpha compositing for arbitrary channels.
result DCMIX learns biologically relevant channel importance without sacrificing prediction performance.

The use of computational methods to evaluate aesthetics in photography has gained interest in recent years due to the popularization of convolutional neural networks and the availability of new annotated datasets. Most studies in this area have focused on designing models that do not take into account individual prefer…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Topological anomaly scores predict return curves in S&P 500 stocks

problem Detecting anomalies in financial time series
method BallMapper, decoder-conditional VAE, Function-on-Function regression
result Anomaly history carries predictive content for return curves

On many social networking web sites such as Facebook and Twitter, resharing or reposting functionality allows users to share others' content with their own friends or followers. As content is reshared from user to user, large cascades of reshares can form. While a growing body of research has focused on analyzing and c…

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Transforms web content for better visibility in AI-driven search engines.

problem Disruption of traditional SEO by generative AI search engines.
method Fine-tunes a BART-base transformer on synthetically generated training data.
result Significant improvements in ROUGE-L and BLEU scores, and substantial visibility gains in generative search responses.

Social network analysis (SNA), which is a research field describing and modeling the social connection of a certain group of people, is popular among network services. Our topic words analysis project is a SNA method to visualize the topic words among emails from Obama.com to accounts registered in Columbus, Ohio. Base…

2014-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning to predict soil organic carbon content in northern Iran.

problem Estimating soil organic carbon content for understanding soil functions.
method Applied machine learning algorithms including DNN, SVM, ANN, etc., with genetic algorithm feature selection.
result DNN model showed highest accuracy with low prediction error and uncertainty.

Spaced repetition is a technique for efficient memorization which uses repeated, spaced review of content to improve long-term retention. Can we find the optimal reviewing schedule to maximize the benefits of spaced repetition? In this paper, we introduce a novel, flexible representation of spaced repetition using the …

2017-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling dynamic user interests using neural matrix factorization.

problem Challenging extraction of valuable insights from unstructured, high-dimensional, and dynamic online content data.
method Combines matrix factorization with neural networks to model nonlinear user and content factors.
result Accurately identifies nuanced and coherent consumption patterns of Boston Globe readers over five years.

New deep architecture improves head motion prediction in 360° videos.

problem Predicting user head motion in 360-degree videos using past positions and video content.
method Re-examined existing deep-learning approaches, identified flaws, and designed a new TRACK architecture.
result TRACK achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming competitors by up to 20 percent.

Recently, link prediction has attracted more attentions from various disciplines such as computer science, bioinformatics and economics. In this problem, unknown links between nodes are discovered based on numerous information such as network topology, profile information and user generated contents. Most of the previo…

2018-07-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper argues that normalized mutual information is biased in clustering and community detection.

problem Bias in normalized mutual information for clustering and community detection.
method Introducing a modified version of mutual information to correct for information content and spurious dependence.
result The modified mutual information leads to different conclusions about which algorithms are best for community detection.

Predicting the click-through rate of an advertisement is a critical component of online advertising platforms. In sponsored search, the click-through rate estimates the probability that a displayed advertisement is clicked by a user after she submits a query to the search engine. Commercial search engines typically rel…

2017-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates watermarked content proportions in mixed-source texts.

problem Optimally estimating the proportion of watermarked content in texts with mixed sources.
method Casting the problem as estimating a proportion parameter in a mixture model based on pivotal statistics.
result Proposes efficient estimators for watermark proportion and shows their accuracy through evaluations.

Improves accuracy and fairness in prediction systems with multiple domain experts.

problem Designing unbiased and accurate deferral systems with multiple experts.
method Proposes a framework for learning a classifier and deferral system that chooses to defer to multiple human experts.
result Significantly improves accuracy and fairness of final predictions compared to baselines.

This research investigates reliable local explanations for machine listening models.

problem Generating reliable local explanations for machine listening models.
method Investigates the sensitivity of SoundLIME explanations to input perturbations and proposes a novel method for identifying suitable content types.
result SoundLIME explanations are sensitive to the content in occluded input regions, and the average magnitude of input mel-spectrogram bins is the most suitable content type for temporal explanations.