Bayesian model predicts emotion from fitness tracker heartbeat data.
problem Predicting emotional valence from consumer fitness tracker heartbeat data.
method End-to-end Bayesian deep learning model using PPG data.
result Peak F1 score of 0.7 for emotional valence classification.
Existence of incomplete Radner equilibrium with endogenous noise tracker.
problem Existence of incomplete Radner equilibrium in a model with endogenous noise tracker.
method Proved existence through a coupled system of ODEs, reduced to two coupled ODEs.
result Endogenous noise tracker leads to higher aggregate welfare for large stock supply.
Commercial activity trackers are set to become an essential tool in health research, due to increasing availability in the general population. The corresponding vast amounts of mostly unlabeled data pose a challenge to statistical modeling approaches. To investigate the feasibility of deep learning approaches for unsup…
In this paper we outline initial concepts for an immune inspired algorithm to evaluate price time series data. The proposed solution evolves a short term pool of trackers dynamically through a process of proliferation and mutation, with each member attempting to map to trends in price movements. Successful trackers fee…
A new tracking method using expert selection and feature fusion.
problem Efficient visual tracking with multiple component trackers.
method Pre-event selection of experts based on past performance and feature fusion.
result Superior performance compared to ensembled trackers on public datasets.
Develops a theory linking managers' disclosures to market pricing.
problem Linking managers' earnings guidance to market pricing.
method Mathematical theory of managerial disclosure in asset pricing.
result Foundational approach for understanding disclosure impacts.
This work enables privacy-preserving model learning from single samples per client.
problem Learning from devices with only one sample each, especially in early rounds.
method Injects a single, calibrated noisy perturbation to transform data, then aggregates and processes for unbiased gradient update.
result Enables accurate, privacy-preserving model learning from devices with limited data.
The paper optimizes asset selection for index trackers and enhanced trackers with varying cardinality constraints.
problem Optimizing asset selection for index trackers and enhanced trackers with cardinality constraints.
method Divided into two steps: asset pre-selection and asset weight estimation. Used eight pre-selection procedures with different combinations of selection methods and regression types.
result Out-of-sample tracking errors are roughly proportional to 1/sqrt(cardinality). OLS is more effective than LAD, BE marginally more effective than FS, and (n) marginally more effective than (c).
PiVoT improves real-time multi-object detection and tracking in clutter.
problem Challenges in multi-object detection and tracking from noisy point clouds.
method Variational inference for fast, clutter-resilient multi-object tracking.
result Substantial performance improvement over existing Bayesian trackers.
In large-scale statistical learning, data collection and model fitting are moving increasingly toward peripheral devices---phones, watches, fitness trackers---away from centralized data collection. Concomitant with this rise in decentralized data are increasing challenges of maintaining privacy while allowing enough in…
Dynamic Influence Tracker measures changing sample importance during model training.
problem Static influence measurements during training overlook how sample importance varies over time.
method Dynamic Influence Tracker (DIT) captures time-varying sample influence across arbitrary time windows.
result DIT reveals distinct learning phases with shifting priorities and detects corrupted samples more efficiently.
This study examines how fashion consumption affects self-confidence and buying behavior in Iranian consumers.
problem Understanding the role of self-confidence in fashion buying behavior.
method A questionnaire was used to collect data from 400 consumers in Tehran's clothing market. Structural equations and factor analysis were employed to test the model.
result Interest in fashion, personal taste, utilitarianism, and new products positively impact self-confidence, and self-confidence positively impacts fashion buying behavior.
We explore solutions for automated labeling of content in bug trackers and customer support systems. In order to do that, we classify content in terms of several criteria, such as priority or product area. In the first part of the paper, we provide an overview of existing methods used for text classification. These met…
A new method for tracking objects using diverse templates.
problem Improving visual tracking performance and robustness.
method Proposes a framework that uses additional object templates and a new diversity measure in siamese feature space.
result Achieves strong empirical results on tracking benchmarks, improving performance and robustness.
Automates size normalization for fashion items.
problem Reduce merchandise returns in e-commerce.
method Uses sales data to automate size mapping.
result Automated size mappings comparable to human-generated ones.
A new credit scoring method using Gaussian Mixture Models.
problem Differentiating good from bad borrowers in credit scoring.
method Gaussian Mixture Models for consumer classification.
result The model performs comparably to others and avoids overfitting.
Paper characterizes MDM for consumer choice modeling and prediction.
problem Modeling consumer choice behavior with parsimonious models.
method Establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for MDM consistency.
result Characterization leads to exact set of representable choice probabilities.
SPO optimizes LLMs by eliminating group-based baselines and variance issues.
problem Frequent degenerate groups and synchronization barriers in group-based policy optimization methods.
method Single-stream Policy Optimization (SPO) replaces per-group baselines with a persistent, KL-adaptive value tracker and global advantage normalization.
result SPO converges more smoothly and attains higher accuracy than GRPO, improving maj@32 by +3.4 pp across five math benchmarks.
GOLOMB improves dialogue state tracking for unseen services.
problem Improving dialogue state tracking for multiple services and APIs.
method GOLOMB uses a BERT-based model that queries dialogue history with slot descriptions and values.
result GOLOMB achieves a joint goal accuracy of 53.97% on the SGD dataset.
This work presents an empirical study of the evolution of the consumer expenditure distribution in India during 1982-2007. We have used the National Sample Survey Organization data and analysed the expenditure distribution for the urban and rural sectors. It is found that this distribution is a mixture of two distribut…
We have developed an efficient algorithm for the maximum likelihood joint tracking and association problem in a strong clutter for GMTI data. By using an iterative procedure of the dynamic logic process "from vague-to-crisp," the new tracker overcomes combinatorial complexity of tracking in highly-cluttered scenarios a…
The task of dialog management is commonly decomposed into two sequential subtasks: dialog state tracking and dialog policy learning. In an end-to-end dialog system, the aim of dialog state tracking is to accurately estimate the true dialog state from noisy observations produced by the speech recognition and the natural…
FastSGT improves accuracy in BERT-based DST for SGD datasets.
problem Dialog State Tracking in goal-oriented dialogue systems.
method BERT-based model with two carry-over procedures and multi-head attention.
result Significantly improved accuracy compared to baseline model.
Recommenders have become widely popular in recent years because of their broader applicability in many e-commerce applications. These applications rely on recommenders for generating advertisements for various offers or providing content recommendations. However, the quality of the generated recommendations depends on …
The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis technique is employed to analyze the time series of gold consumer price index (CPI) and the market trend of three world's highest gold consuming countries, namely China, India and Turkey for the period: 1993-July 2013. Various multifractal variables, such as the generaliz…
The study optimizes free trial lengths to boost subscriptions and consumer loyalty.
problem Optimizing free trial lengths to maximize customer acquisition and retention.
method A large-scale field experiment with personalized policy design and evaluation.
result Personalized free trial policies outperform uniform trial lengths.
Fawkes protects images from unauthorized facial recognition models.
problem Unauthorized training of facial recognition models poses privacy risks.
method Fawkes adds imperceptible pixel-level changes (cloaks) to images before release.
result Fawkes can protect images from misidentification by 95% and 80% even when clean images are leaked.
Ultrasound (US) is the most widely used fetal imaging technique. However, US images have limited capture range, and suffer from view dependent artefacts such as acoustic shadows. Compounding of overlapping 3D US acquisitions into a high-resolution volume can extend the field of view and remove image artefacts, which is…
Wide-AdGraph detects ads and trackers using a graph of resource requests.
problem Detecting and blocking ad trackers to protect user privacy.
method Combining a large-scale graph of resource requests from multiple websites to train a machine learning algorithm.
result High accuracy (96.1% biased, 90.9% unbiased) in detecting ads and trackers.
We have studied statistical characteristics of five share price time series. For each stock price, we estimated a best fit quantitative model for the monthly closing price as based on the decomposition into two defining consumer price indices selected from a large set of CPIs. It was found that there are two pairs of s…
RED-2400 is a public benchmark of trading events from a Solana exchange, labeled by algorithmic rejection.
problem Analyzing algorithmically-rejected trading events for insights into market dynamics.
method Public dataset of 6,660 algorithmically-rejected trading events, linked to post-rejection price and liquidity trajectories.
result First window of a planned series of datasets extending the time horizon and enabling regime-stratified analysis.
Bayesian nonparametric models improve tracking in cluttered environments.
problem Robust tracking of moving targets in high clutter environments.
method Employing Bayesian nonparametric models to estimate target and clutter measurements.
result Improved tracking performance and effectiveness in high clutter environments.
A text mining approach is proposed based on latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) to analyze the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) consumer complaints. The proposed approach aims to extract latent topics in the CFPB complaint narratives, and explores their associated trends over time. The time trends will then be…
Analyzes new economic paradigm for non-independent consumer choices.
problem Non-independent consumer choices due to firm supply and consumer information.
method Develops a new mathematical framework for economic systems.
result New paradigm for economic system description is necessary.
Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.
problem Understanding and managing consumer behavior in high-dimensional data.
method Non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) to extract multi-timescale expenditure patterns.
result Consumption patterns are characterized based on spending behavior over different timescales.
Study uses EEG and ML to predict movie ratings with 72% accuracy.
problem Predicting consumer preferences for movie trailers.
method EEG and machine learning techniques to analyze brain responses to movie trailers.
result Predicted movie ratings with 72% accuracy.
In this work we investigate intra-day patterns of activity on a population of 7,261 users of mobile health wearable devices and apps. We show that: (1) using intra-day step and sleep data recorded from passive trackers significantly improves classification performance on self-reported chronic conditions related to ment…
Detects systematic anomalies in consumer complaints using NLP.
problem Detecting small, frequent anomalies in consumer complaints.
method NLP conversion of narratives, followed by anomaly detection algorithm.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of NLP for detecting systematic anomalies.
Consumer Demand Response (DR) is an important research and industry problem, which seeks to categorize, predict and modify consumer's energy consumption. Unfortunately, traditional clustering methods have resulted in many hundreds of clusters, with a given consumer often associated with several clusters, making it diff…
Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a data-efficient method for global black-box optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate fitness function. BO typically assumes that computation cost of BO is cheap, but experiments are time consuming or costly. In practice, this allows us to optimize ten or fewer critical parameters in up to…
Study finds consumers are more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.
problem Understanding consumer demand during livestreaming lifecycle.
method Examined consumer demand for live events and recorded versions using data from a livestreaming platform.
result Demand is more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.
A new ride-hailing subsidy system uses deep causal networks to estimate consumer elasticity.
problem Estimating consumer elasticity with subsidies in ride-hailing industry.
method Introduces a consumer subsidizing system using deep causal networks to address confounding effects.
result Effective in estimating the uplift effect of subsidies without confounding.
New method improves reliability of recommender systems in face of fake accounts and manipulation.
problem Improving reliability of recommender systems in the presence of fake accounts and manipulation.
method Robust Discrete Matrix Completion (RDMC) method designed to handle sparse rating data and manipulation.
result Evaluations show RDMC offers a statistically-sound blueprint for future studies on recommender systems.
Theoretical models of the strong nuclear interaction contain unknown coupling constants (parameters) that must be determined using a pool of calibration data. In cases where the models are complex, leading to time consuming calculations, it is particularly challenging to systematically search the corresponding paramete…
CROCS clusters consumer behaviour from smart meters, capturing variability and robustness.
problem Insufficient consumer segmentation in existing clustering methods.
method Two-stage clustering framework: first stage clusters daily load profiles, second stage uses WSMD for set-to-set comparison.
result CROCS captures intra-consumer variability and robustness to anomalies and missing data.
Bayesian optimization speeds up parameter reconstruction in optical nano-metrology.
problem Efficiently reconstructing parameters from time-consuming measurements in optical nano-metrology.
method Combines Bayesian optimization and curve fitting for faster, more efficient model fitting.
result The presented Bayesian Target Vector Optimization scheme achieves similar reconstruction performance with fewer model function calls.
In coming years residential consumers will face real-time electricity tariffs with energy prices varying day to day, and effective energy saving will require automation - a recommender system, which learns consumer's preferences from her actions. A consumer chooses a scenario of home appliance use to balance her comfor…
New method learns credit prices offline without interaction.
problem Dynamic pricing of consumer credit.
method Offline deep reinforcement learning with Q-Learning.
result Effective personalized pricing policy learned without online interaction.