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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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15294458 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for consumer demand

Study improves retail demand forecasting by integrating macroeconomic data.

problem Lack of accurate demand forecasting due to incomplete data.
method Enriched time series data with macroeconomic variables; compared regression and machine learning models.
result Improved accuracy in predicting retail demand through comprehensive data integration.

Study finds consumers are more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

problem Understanding consumer demand during livestreaming lifecycle.
method Examined consumer demand for live events and recorded versions using data from a livestreaming platform.
result Demand is more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

New method estimates consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

problem Estimating consumer surplus from observational data, especially in AI-driven pricing.
method Cumulative Propensity Weights (CPW) and Augmented CPW (ACPW) estimators.
result Validated methods for estimating consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

Dynamic pricing aims to match power supply and demand in an energy transition.

problem Mismatch between renewable energy supply and consumer demand.
method Formalizes decision-making problem, designs forecasting models, and statistical demand response models.
result Dynamic pricing can synchronise power supply and demand effectively.

CROCS clusters consumer behaviour from smart meters, capturing variability and robustness.

problem Insufficient consumer segmentation in existing clustering methods.
method Two-stage clustering framework: first stage clusters daily load profiles, second stage uses WSMD for set-to-set comparison.
result CROCS captures intra-consumer variability and robustness to anomalies and missing data.

Learning customer preferences from an observed behaviour is an important topic in the marketing literature. Structural models typically model forward-looking customers or firms as utility-maximizing agents whose utility is estimated using methods of Stochastic Optimal Control. We suggest an alternative approach to stud…

2017-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and demographic factors. Furthermore crisis may trigger different behaviors which re…

2017-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Consumer Demand Response (DR) is an important research and industry problem, which seeks to categorize, predict and modify consumer's energy consumption. Unfortunately, traditional clustering methods have resulted in many hundreds of clusters, with a given consumer often associated with several clusters, making it diff…

2017-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on the real-time wholesale electricity prices to the end consumers, and is shown t…

2011-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.

problem Accurate short-term load forecasting at low aggregation levels for market participants.
method Probabilistic portfolio optimization of residential households' demand using ARMA-GARCH models or KDE forecasts.
result Seasonal Residual approach outperforms others in accuracy and efficiency.

Study copyright's impact on creative industries using AI-generated fonts.

problem Estimating supply and demand in creative industries with AI-generated content.
method Neural network embeddings, spatial regression, event-study analyses, structural model of supply and demand.
result Copyright can raise consumer welfare by encouraging product relocation.

There are few papers about the consumption pattern of the Portuguese wine, using econometrics techniques. This work, pretend to analyze the consumers behavior of the wine produced in Portugal, determining the demand equation with panel data methods. There were used statistical data available in the Alentejo Regional Wi…

2012-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an agent-based model that combines both spot and balancing electricity markets. From this model, we develop a multi-agent simulation to study the integration of the consumers' flexibility into the system. Our study identifies the conditions that real-time prices may lead to higher electricity costs,…

2017-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses CVAE to simulate tariff impacts on electricity consumption.

problem Simulating tariff impacts on household electricity consumption.
method CVAE-based clustering and generation of consumption profiles.
result CVAE method can reproduce rebound and side effects in consumption profiles.

Motivated by the ever-increasing demands for limited communication bandwidth and low-power consumption, we propose a new methodology, named joint Variational Autoencoders with Bernoulli mixture models (VAB), for performing clustering in the compressed data domain. The idea is to reduce the data dimension by Variational…

2019-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal online learning for joint pricing and resource allocation.

problem Maximizing net profit in dynamic pricing and resource allocation with stochastic demand.
method Developed an efficient algorithm using a Lower-Confidence Bound (LCB) meta-strategy over multiple OCO agents.
result Achieved ildeO(Tmn) ilde{O}(\sqrt{Tmn}) regret, optimal with respect to time horizon TT.

We study continuous time Bertrand oligopolies in which a small number of firms producing similar goods compete with one another by setting prices. We first analyze a static version of this game in order to better understand the strategies played in the dynamic setting. Within the static game, we characterize the Nash e…

2010-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The purpose of this paper is to identify the immediate and future retailer response to wholesale stockouts. We perform a statistical analysis of historical customer order and delivery data of a local tool wholesaler and distributor, whose customers are retailers, over a period of four years. We investigate the effect o…

2019-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.

problem Innovative financial systems pose challenges to traditional regulatory frameworks.
method Formulating regulatory structures that balance innovation and consumer protection.
result Regulatory frameworks are essential for leveraging crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic growth.

New method identifies algo trading strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.

problem Determining if algo trading strategies consume or provide liquidity.
method Analyzes trade and price history to classify strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.
result Identifies net liquidity consumption or provision of algo trading strategies.

Smart grid uses deep learning to optimize household energy use.

problem Optimizing household energy use under real-time pricing schemes.
method Multi-agent deep actor-critic learning for decentralized agents with partial observability.
result Deep reinforcement learning reduces peak-to-average energy consumption and costs.

New method improves sales forecasting accuracy using tensor factorization.

problem Improving sales forecasting accuracy in retail businesses.
method Advanced Temporal Latent-factor Approach to Sales forecasting (ATLAS) using tensor factorization.
result Accurate and individualized prediction for sales across multiple stores and products.

In this paper, a Wide Learning architecture is proposed that attempts to automate the feature engineering portion of the machine learning (ML) pipeline. Feature engineering is widely considered as the most time consuming and expert knowledge demanding portion of any ML task. The proposed feature recommendation approach…

2016-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines how fashion consumption affects self-confidence and buying behavior in Iranian consumers.

problem Understanding the role of self-confidence in fashion buying behavior.
method A questionnaire was used to collect data from 400 consumers in Tehran's clothing market. Structural equations and factor analysis were employed to test the model.
result Interest in fashion, personal taste, utilitarianism, and new products positively impact self-confidence, and self-confidence positively impacts fashion buying behavior.

Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.

problem Understanding and managing consumer behavior in high-dimensional data.
method Non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) to extract multi-timescale expenditure patterns.
result Consumption patterns are characterized based on spending behavior over different timescales.