Regularized M-estimators are used in diverse areas of science and engineering to fit high-dimensional models with some low-dimensional structure. Usually the low-dimensional structure is encoded by the presence of the (unknown) parameters in some low-dimensional model subspace. In such settings, it is desirable for est…
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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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48 results for “consistent estimate”
Consistent estimator derived for confounding strength in observational data.
problem Estimating confounding strength in observational data is challenging due to unobserved confounders.
method Derived and adapted a consistent estimator using tools from random matrix theory.
result The original estimator is not consistent, but an adapted one is.
MIC consistently estimates dependence in large datasets.
problem Estimating dependence between variable pairs in large datasets.
method Proving consistency of MIC as an estimator.
result MIC is a consistent estimator of population statistic MIC*.
Paper develops a consistent estimator for discrete mixture models.
problem Estimating mixing probability density in discrete mixture models.
method Develops an consistent estimator under specific conditions.
result Consistent estimation of mixing probability density for every density .
Algorithm estimates nonparametric mixtures from grouped data.
problem Estimating identifiable nonparametric mixture models from grouped observations.
method Oracle inequality for weighted kernel density estimators and general consistency result.
result Consistent estimation of mixture components from grouped observations.
Paper explores grafting consistent estimators to improve Random Forest consistency.
problem Ensuring Random Forests are consistent despite their performance.
method Grafting consistent estimators onto a shallow CART.
result Grafted estimators provide a consistency guarantee and perform well empirically.
Uniform consistency proven for spatial distribution and depth estimators in any dimension.
problem Uniform consistency of spatial distribution and depth estimators in arbitrary dimensions.
method Proof of uniform -consistency using sample size as the only dependency.
result Consistency rate is independent of dimension and sample size .
We introduce Fisher consistency in the sense of unbiasedness as a desirable property for estimators of class prior probabilities. Lack of Fisher consistency could be used as a criterion to dismiss estimators that are unlikely to deliver precise estimates in test datasets under prior probability and more general dataset…
Kernel ridge regression imputation with consistent variance estimation for handling missing data.
problem Handling missing data in statistical analysis.
method Kernel ridge regression imputation combined with entropy method for variance estimation.
result Root-n consistency of the imputation estimator in a Sobolev space setting.
New algorithm estimates causal effects for non-Gaussian data.
problem Estimating causal effects in non-Gaussian distributions.
method Generalized k-Triangle Faithfulness Assumption and Edge Estimation Algorithm.
result Uniformly consistent estimates of causal effects.
If pricing kernels are assumed non-negative then the inverse problem of finding the pricing kernel is well-posed. The constrained least squares method provides a consistent estimate of the pricing kernel. When the data are limited, a new method is suggested: relaxed maximization of the relative entropy. This estimator …
In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the estimator using a few variables by l1-type penalized estimation. We see that the…
Improved nonparametric regression with debiasing for root-n consistency.
problem Challenges in achieving root-n consistency and normal distribution for nonparametric estimators.
method Debiasing technique by adding a correction term to nonparametric estimators.
result Achieves root-n consistency and asymptotic normality.
This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimator…
Laplacian Constrained Precision Matrix Estimation: Existence and High Dimensional Consistencystat.ML
Paper proves conditions for estimating precision matrices with Laplacian constraints.
problem Estimating high-dimensional precision matrices with Laplacian constraints.
method Minimizing Stein's loss with conditions on graph connectivity and Laplacian constraints.
result High-dimensional consistency achieved with Laplacian constraints, independent of graph structure.
The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving this consistency. However, -consistency of doubly robust estimators is…
Consistent estimator for mixtures of nonparametric elliptical distributions helps cluster analysis.
problem Consistency of maximum likelihood estimator for mixtures of nonparametric elliptical distributions.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for mixtures of elliptically-symmetric distributions under nonparametric .
result Components of the estimator correspond to well-separated components of the underlying distribution .
We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the estimation of such processes using constrained and penalized estimators. As an applica…
Improves consistency of weighted averaging estimators in active learning.
problem Consistency issues in weighted averaging estimators under active learning.
method Enforces random sampling through an augmented active learning algorithm.
result Generalizes Stone's Theorem for consistency of estimators under active learning.
The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is provably impossible. However, it is shown that a consistent clustering method may …
Paper establishes MLE consistency for market microstructure models.
problem Estimating parameters in partially observed diffusion models.
method Tractable sufficient condition for MLE consistency based on stationary distribution.
result Maximum likelihood estimators are consistent for market microstructure parameters.
Neyman-Scott is a classic example of an estimation problem with a partially-consistent posterior, for which standard estimation methods tend to produce inconsistent results. Past attempts to create consistent estimators for Neyman-Scott have led to ad-hoc solutions, to estimators that do not satisfy representation inva…
Proposes a robust estimator for RD designs.
problem Estimating treatment effects in RD designs.
method Doubly robust estimator combining two estimators.
result Enhances robustness of treatment effect estimators.
Sharpe Ratio Analysis in High Dimensions: Residual-Based Nodewise Regression in Factor Modelsq-fin.PM
New method for Sharpe ratio analysis in high dimensions using residual-based nodewise regression.
problem Consistency of Sharpe ratio estimators in high-dimensional portfolios.
method Residual-based nodewise regression for estimating precision matrix of errors and returns.
result Consistent Sharpe ratio estimators in various portfolio settings.
Estimates multiple related causal graphs with shared causal order.
problem Discovering multiple related Gaussian DAGs with shared causal order.
method Proposes a -regularized MLE for joint estimation of linear structural equation models.
result Joint estimator achieves better sample complexity and consistency in causal order recovery.
Estimates means in metric spaces using quantization.
problem No practical estimator for Fréchet means in all metric spaces.
method Introduced estimators based on random quantization and data-driven partitioning.
result Universal consistency of estimators across separable metric spaces and Banach spaces.
In the knowledge that the ex-post performance of Markowitz efficient portfolios is inferior to that implied ex-ante, we make two contributions to the portfolio selection literature. Firstly, we propose a methodology to identify the region of risk-expected return space where ex-post performance matches ex-ante estimates…
We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly linear time estimator which consistently estimates the true regression vector, e…
On the Consistency of Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Probabilistic Principal Component Analysisstat.ML
New approach resolves ambiguity in PPCA model's maximum likelihood estimation.
problem Ambiguity in maximum likelihood estimation of PPCA model due to rotational symmetry.
method Using quotient topological spaces, the approach resolves ambiguity and shows consistency of the maximum likelihood solution.
result Maximum likelihood solution is consistent in an appropriate quotient Euclidean space.
New method estimates precision matrices without models, achieving dense, consistent, and model-free properties.
problem Lack of methods that are dense, consistent, and model-free for precision matrix estimation.
method General class of estimators that unify dense, consistent, and model-free properties within a nonasymptotic framework.
result Ridgeless regression exhibits the double descent phenomenon, establishing a precision matrix analogue to linear regression's double descent.
New method estimates graphons from multiple networks with high accuracy and low complexity.
problem Estimating graphon function from multiple networks with different node sets and sizes.
method Histogram-based estimator that aligns nodes across all networks.
result High accuracy and low computational complexity achieved.
Paper proposes robust LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model, proving consistency and normality.
problem Estimation of parameters in 2D sinusoidal models with outliers or heavy-tailed noise.
method Least absolute deviation (LAD) estimators for robust parameter estimation.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model parameters.
Paper introduces new regression methods for consistent estimation of biophysical parameters.
problem Estimating biophysical parameters while respecting auxiliary variables.
method Linear and nonlinear kernel-based regression models with consistency constraints.
result Models provide closed-form solutions and successfully estimate chlorophyll content.
The paper provides consistency results for KDE on manifolds with irregular kernels.
problem Analyzing density estimation on manifolds with complex kernels.
method Strong uniform consistency with rates for KDE on Riemannian manifolds with Riemann integrable kernels.
result Strong uniform consistency with rates for KDE on manifolds.
Score matching fails for general point processes, a new estimator improves accuracy.
problem Score matching estimators fail for general point processes.
method Introduced a weighted score matching estimator for point processes.
result The weighted score matching estimator accurately estimates model parameters on synthetic and real data.
The paper proves ML estimators are strongly consistent for identifying edge weights in BAR models.
problem Identifying edge weights in Bernoulli Autoregressive (BAR) models.
method Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation for two variants of BAR models.
result ML estimators are strongly consistent for edge weight identification.
Consistent model selection for spiked Wigner model via AIC-type criteria.
problem Estimating the number of spiked eigenvalues in the spiked Wigner model.
method AIC-type model selection criteria with parameters γ.
result Strong consistency for γ > 2 and weak consistency for γ = 2 + δ_N.
MR estimator simplifies causal inference by combining models without hyperparameter tuning.
problem Difficulty in choosing optimal hyperparameters for neural network models in causal inference.
method Multiply Robust (MR) estimator that combines multiple first-step models.
result MR estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal under certain conditions.
We address the problem of estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous Markov chain given only noisy, aggregate data. This arises when a population of individuals behave independently according to a Markov chain, but individual sample paths cannot be observed due to limitations of the observation process or the need…
Spectral density matrix estimation of multivariate time series is a classical problem in time series and signal processing. In modern neuroscience, spectral density based metrics are commonly used for analyzing functional connectivity among brain regions. In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic theory for regularize…
Consistency of the kernel density estimator requires that the kernel bandwidth tends to zero as the sample size grows. In this paper we investigate the question of whether consistency is possible when the bandwidth is fixed, if we consider a more general class of weighted KDEs. To answer this question in the affirmativ…
Subbagging estimation for big data reduces memory usage while maintaining statistical consistency.
problem Memory constraints in analyzing massive datasets.
method Randomly subsample the data, aggregate estimators from subsamples, and use incomplete U-statistics theory.
result Subbagging estimator achieves -consistency and asymptotic normality under certain conditions.
Study optimal transport for stationary processes, estimating joinings and costs.
problem Optimal transport for stationary stochastic processes.
method Introduced estimators for optimal joinings and costs, established consistency and error rates.
result Consistent estimators of optimal joinings and costs under mild and stronger mixing assumptions.
We formalize AURC and develop estimators for SC systems.
problem Evaluation of SC systems' performance.
method Formal statistical formulation, Monte Carlo methods, plug-in estimators.
result Plug-in estimators are consistent, with low bias and bounded MSE.
Observational cohort studies with oversampled exposed subjects are typically implemented to understand the causal effect of a rare exposure. Because the distribution of exposed subjects in the sample differs from the source population, estimation of a propensity score function (i.e., probability of exposure given basel…
Paper proposes a method to efficiently estimate structural breaks in cointegrating regressions.
problem Estimating structural breaks in cointegrating regressions is challenging due to inconsistency of group lasso.
method Adaptive group lasso procedure using a first step group lasso estimation of diverging breakpoint candidates to produce weights for a second estimation.
result The adaptive group lasso estimator delivers consistent parameter changes and oracle properties.
Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.
problem State estimation in systems with noisy measurements and non-Gaussian noise.
method Recursive KalmanNet uses a recurrent neural network to estimate states with consistent error covariance, optimizing for Gaussian negative log-likelihood.
result Recursive KalmanNet outperforms conventional Kalman filters and deep learning-based estimators in non-Gaussian noise conditions.
Distributional Results for Thresholding Estimators in High-Dimensional Gaussian Regression Modelsmath.ST
We study the distribution of hard-, soft-, and adaptive soft-thresholding estimators within a linear regression model where the number of parameters k can depend on sample size n and may diverge with n. In addition to the case of known error-variance, we define and study versions of the estimators when the error-varian…