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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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108215323430 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for consistency guarantees

This paper tackles deferral learning with multiple experts, providing strong theoretical guarantees.

problem Optimizing input assignment to experts balancing accuracy and computational cost.
method Introducing new surrogate loss functions and efficient algorithms with strong theoretical learning guarantees.
result Realizable HH-consistency, HH-consistency bounds, and Bayes-consistency for deferral learning.

Study provides guarantees for kernel clustering under non-parametric mixtures.

problem Statistical guarantees for kernel-based clustering without strong assumptions.
method Non-parametric mixture models, kernel-based clustering, consistency guarantees.
result Necessary and sufficient separability conditions for consistent clustering recovery.

Unified surrogate loss framework for multi-label learning with strong consistency guarantees.

problem Improving consistency and accounting for label correlations in multi-label learning.
method Introducing multi-label logistic loss and extending it to comprehensive multi-label comp-sum losses, proving strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
result Unified surrogate loss framework benefiting from strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.

The paper proves statistical consistency and fairness guarantees for a plug-in algorithm.

problem Establishing statistical guarantees for fairness-aware binary classification.
method Proves statistical consistency and derives finite sample guarantees for the plug-in algorithm.
result The plug-in algorithm is statistically consistent and guarantees fairness and differential privacy.

Paper provides statistical guarantees for GNNs in link prediction.

problem Link prediction accuracy in graph neural networks.
method Proposes a linear GNN architecture (LG-GNN) and derives statistical guarantees.
result LG-GNN produces consistent estimators for edge probabilities and has better detection of high-probability edges.

Consistency models accelerate generation with theoretical guarantees.

problem Empirical success of consistency models without theoretical justification.
method Theoretical analysis of consistency models mapping inputs to arbitrary points.
result Achieve KL divergence of order O(ε2) O(\varepsilon^2) with $ O\left(\log\left(\frac{d}{\varepsilon} ight) ight) $ iterations.

Quick Shift is a popular mode-seeking and clustering algorithm. We present finite sample statistical consistency guarantees for Quick Shift on mode and cluster recovery under mild distributional assumptions. We then apply our results to construct a consistent modal regression algorithm.

2017-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified theoretical guarantees for distribution-free changepoint detection and testing.

problem Distribution-free changepoint inference with finite-sample validity and consistency.
method Distribution-free changepoint localization using conformal p-values with theoretical guarantees.
result Unified distribution-free guarantees for changepoint detection, localization, and testing.

New method improves consistency in preference learning for neural networks.

problem Inconsistent surrogate losses in preference learning for neural networks.
method Formulated a margin-shifted ranking framework and introduced Structure-Aware HH-consistency.
result Proved superior consistency guarantees for capacity-bounded models using heavy-tailed surrogates.

New method interpolates training data and is consistent for various data distributions.

problem Establishing generalization guarantees for ensemble methods in the interpolating regime.
method Developed manifold-Hilbert kernel for Riemannian manifolds and used it in ensemble classification.
result Consistent ensemble classification method for broad data distributions.

Unified framework for certifying LLM reliability without extra supervision.

problem Improving reliability of large language models without additional supervision.
method Unified framework using majority voting and Martingale Majority Certificate (MMC).
result Certifiable inference in LLMs with statistical guarantees and adaptive stopping rules.

This work proposes validation diagnostics for SBI algorithms using Normalizing Flows.

problem Lack of appropriate validation methods for SBI algorithms with complex, high-dimensional data.
method Develops validation diagnostics based on Normalizing Flows with theoretical guarantees.
result Offers theoretical guarantees on consistency of NF-based estimators.

This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimator…

2014-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper certifies AI reliability via sampling and calibration, providing exact guarantees.

problem Ensuring trust in black-box AI systems' outputs.
method Self-consistency sampling and conformal calibration.
result Reliability levels derived from these methods offer finite-sample guarantees.

Study of estimation errors in surrogate loss minimizers, providing stronger guarantees than existing methods.

problem Estimation errors in surrogate loss minimizers for various hypothesis sets.
method Detailed study of H\mathscr{H}-consistency estimation error bounds, proving general theorems for distribution-dependent and independent settings.
result Explicit bounds for zero-one and adversarial losses, showing enhancements under distributional assumptions.

The matching of multiple objects (e.g. shapes or images) is a fundamental problem in vision and graphics. In order to robustly handle ambiguities, noise and repetitive patterns in challenging real-world settings, it is essential to take geometric consistency between points into account. Computationally, the multi-match…

2018-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In distributed ML applications, shared parameters are usually replicated among computing nodes to minimize network overhead. Therefore, proper consistency model must be carefully chosen to ensure algorithm's correctness and provide high throughput. Existing consistency models used in general-purpose databases and moder…

2013-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

TAMD prevents degeneracy in finite mixtures, offering strong guarantees but modest practical improvements.

problem Degeneracy in maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures.
method Transcendental regularization with analytic barrier functions.
result Strong theoretical guarantees (identifiability, consistency, robustness) but modest practical improvements.

We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent surrogates. Our key technical contribution consists in a new lower bound on the ca…

2018-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on top-kk classification with new loss functions and algorithms.

problem Improving multi-class classification accuracy and cardinality trade-off.
method Introducing cardinality-aware loss functions and deriving their consistency bounds.
result New cardinality-aware algorithms for top-kk classification.

Triangular flows ensure statistical consistency and fast rates in generative modeling.

problem Ensuring statistical consistency and fast rates in generative models.
method Statistical guarantees and sample complexity bounds for triangular flow models using empirical process theory.
result Established statistical consistency and finite sample convergence rates for Kullback-Leibler estimator of Knöthe-Rosenblatt measure coupling.

Novel framework for uncertainty quantification in metric spaces.

problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models with metric responses.
method Developed algorithms for large datasets, agnostic to predictive models, with asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees.
result Asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees for special cases, demonstrated in clinical applications.

New methods lift weak supervision to structured prediction, providing robustness guarantees.

problem Applying weak supervision techniques to structured prediction problems.
method Introducing pseudo-Euclidean embeddings, tensor decompositions, and invariants for consistent noise rate estimation.
result Generalization guarantees nearly identical to those for models trained on clean data.

This paper provides theoretical guarantees for SPCA using the Elastic Net.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for the SPCA algorithm.
method Revisited and improved the SPCA algorithm of Zou et al. (2006) using the Elastic Net.
result Both algorithms can recover the principal subspace consistently under mild conditions.

Proposes a method to learn sparse deep neural networks with theoretical guarantees.

problem Over-parameterized deep neural networks cause training, prediction, and interpretation difficulties.
method Frequentist-like method for sparse DNNs under Bayesian framework.
result Consistent sparse DNNs with at most O(n/log(n))O(n/\log(n)) connections.

Study on HH-consistency bounds for machine learning surrogates.

problem Estimating target loss error relative to surrogate loss error in machine learning.
method Developed HH-consistency bounds for various surrogates and loss functions.
result Stronger guarantees than existing methods, offering distribution-dependent and -independent bounds.

This research provides theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter estimation in complex network dynamical systems.

problem Theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter estimation in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems.
method Formulating the system's evolution in a measure transport perspective, proposing a theoretical framework for estimating hyperparameters with mean-type observations.
result A nonasymptotic bound for the deviation of hyperparameter estimates in inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems with respect to network population size.

Stable and consistent model alignment for language models without assuming human preference models.

problem Lack of statistical consistency in existing alignment methods.
method Relative density ratio optimization between preferred and mixture of preferred and non-preferred data distributions.
result Our approach achieves statistical consistency and stability, providing tighter convergence guarantees.

This thesis tackles learning with multi-class abstention and multi-expert deferral, improving model reliability and efficiency.

problem Improving model reliability and efficiency in large language models (LLMs) by leveraging multiple experts.
method Developed new surrogate losses and consistency guarantees for multi-class classification and regression with deferral.
result Strong consistency guarantees for surrogate losses in multi-class classification and regression with deferral.

Novel bounds improve TD learning consistency in RL.

problem Analyzing Temporal Difference learning's performance.
method High-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for Markov chain induced martingales.
result Sharp high-probability consistency guarantee for TD learning, matching asymptotic variance up to logarithmic factors.

In many structured prediction problems, complex relationships between variables are compactly defined using graphical structures. The most prevalent graphical prediction methods---probabilistic graphical models and large margin methods---have their own distinct strengths but also possess significant drawbacks. Conditio…

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on calibration and consistency of adversarial surrogate losses.

problem Designing robust classifiers with theoretical guarantees.
method Extensive analysis of H-calibration and H-consistency of adversarial surrogate losses.
result Some convex loss functions and supremum-based convex losses are not H-calibrated for important hypothesis sets.

This paper selects features in deep neural networks with theoretical guarantees.

problem Feature selection in deep neural networks with unknown nonlinear functions.
method Reformulate neural networks as index models, estimate feature sets using Stein's formula, and apply screening-and-selection mechanism.
result Consistent feature selection with theoretical guarantees, even in high-dimensional settings.

Algorithm reconstructs triangle-free networks from data, certifying correctness.

problem Reconstructing triangle-free dynamic networks from observational data.
method Developed an algorithm for triangle-free networks, providing guarantees on correctness.
result Algorithm either certifies correctness or outputs a sparser graph with no false positives.

The paper studies consistency of surrogate loss procedures under constrained classifiers.

problem Consistency of surrogate loss approaches under constrained classifiers without correct specification.
method The paper develops theoretical results and hinge loss based procedures for a constrained classification problem.
result Hinge losses are the only surrogate losses that preserve consistency in second-best scenarios.

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter, and consistency of the estimator is established in the well specified case. In ex…

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.

problem Designing optimal pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
method Dynamic utility model, stochastic domain, overlapping generations, time-consistent decision criterion.
result Optimal investment/pension policy computed for a general framework.

Adaptive Bayesian quadrature (ABQ) is a powerful approach to numerical integration that empirically compares favorably with Monte Carlo integration on problems of medium dimensionality (where non-adaptive quadrature is not competitive). Its key ingredient is an acquisition function that changes as a function of previou…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces Bellman-consistent pessimism to improve offline reinforcement learning without overly pessimistic bias.

problem Offline reinforcement learning's challenge of discovering good policies without exhaustive exploration.
method Introduces Bellman-consistent pessimism for function approximation, improving sample complexity and adaptability.
result Improves sample complexity by O(d)\mathcal{O}(d) in the action space finite case, and automatically adapts to bias-variance tradeoff.

New framework for learning from imbalanced data with theoretical guarantees.

problem Class imbalance in machine learning, especially in multi-class problems.
method Theoretical framework and new margin loss function for imbalanced classification.
result Proves strong HH-consistency of the proposed margin loss function.

The paper explores conditions for predicting optimization performance.

problem Lack of formal theoretical guarantees linking prediction and optimization performance.
method Exploring conditions for asymptotic convergence and exact quantification of optimization performance.
result Explicit theoretical relationship between prediction and optimization performance.