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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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136273409545 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for conditional testing

Develops hypothesis tests for conditional distributions using learning-theoretic bounds.

problem Testing differences in conditional distributions and functionals.
method Transforming learning-theoretic bounds into hypothesis tests for conditional expectations.
result Establishes comprehensive foundation for conditional testing, including theoretical guarantees and practical implementations.

A new method tests conditional independence by transforming it into an unconditional problem using transport maps.

problem Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third.
method Constructing transport maps to transform conditional independence into unconditional independence, estimating these maps from data using conditional continuous normalizing flow models.
result The proposed method is validated through simulations and real-data analysis, demonstrating practical effectiveness.

Paper introduces a new test for conditional independence using weighted partial copulas.

problem Testing conditional independence between variables.
method The approach uses a weighted partial copula function and a bootstrap procedure to compute regions of rejection.
result The proposed test has competitive power compared to existing methods.

New method uses CDMs to improve CI testing without distributional assumptions.

problem Testing conditional independence when the conditional distribution is unknown.
method Uses conditional diffusion models (CDMs) to approximate XZX|Z and a classifier-based CMI estimator.
result Proposed method performs better than GAN-based CI tests and controls type I and II errors.

DIET tests conditional independence using marginal dependence measures of residual information.

problem Computational intractability of conditional randomization tests (CRTs).
method DIET avoids fitting large models by leveraging marginal independence statistics of information residuals.
result DIET achieves higher power than other tractable CRTs on synthetic and real benchmarks.

A new test for conditional independence in discretized data.

problem Testing conditional independence when only discretized observations are available.
method Proposes a conditional independence test designed for discretized observations, using bridge equations to recover latent variables' information.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed test through theoretical and empirical validation.

Private CI tests for continuous Z with privacy constraints.

problem Testing conditional independence under differential privacy constraints.
method Developed two private CI testing procedures based on generalized covariance and conditional randomization tests.
result First private CI tests with rigorous theoretical guarantees for continuous Z.

New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.

problem Testing conditional independence of XX and YY given ZZ.
method Proposes a non-parametric testing procedure using GNNs to sample from marginal conditional distributions.
result Test statistic is doubly robust against GNN approximation errors.

This work identifies redundant tests in conditional-independence-based discovery that can improve graphical model accuracy.

problem Reliability and sensitivity of conditional-independence-based discovery algorithms.
method Analysis of redundant tests and their impact on error detection and correction.
result Redundant tests can improve graphical model accuracy but not all are beneficial.

Unified CI test for categorical and ordinal data maintains power in high dimensions.

problem Rapid degradation of statistical power in existing CI tests for high-dimensional conditioning variables.
method Unified CI test for categorical and ordinal data, maintaining reasonable calibration and power in high dimensions.
result Our test outperforms existing baselines in model testing and structure learning for dense directed graphical models.

New insights into CI tests reveal key factors for practical performance.

problem Understanding and improving CI tests in practical applications.
method Investigation of the Kernel-based Conditional Independence (KCI) test and analysis of its practical behavior.
result Errors in conditional mean embedding estimates and appropriate conditioning kernel selection are crucial for CI tests.

LCIT tests conditional independence using latent representations.

problem Detecting conditional independencies in statistical and machine learning tasks.
method Generative framework for learning latent representations of target variables X and Y, then testing for remaining dependencies.
result LCIT outperforms state-of-the-art baselines consistently under different metrics and settings.

FastKCI speeds up KCI tests for causal inference on large datasets.

problem Cubic computational complexity of kernel-based conditional independence tests.
method Mixture-of-experts approach with parallel Gaussian process inference.
result Substantial computational speedups with maintained statistical power.

Unified framework for structure learning via conditional independence testing.

problem Optimal structure learning and conditional independence testing.
method Established a fundamental connection and reduction between structure learning and conditional independence testing.
result Optimal rates for structure learning are determined by conditional independence testing rates.

New algorithm reduces conditional independence tests needed for causal discovery.

problem Efficiently infer causal relations from observational data.
method Established an algorithm with complexity pO(s)p^{\mathcal{O}(s)} tests.
result Achieves exponent-optimality up to a logarithmic factor in terms of conditional independence tests.

New theoretical tools simplify kernel-based tests analysis.

problem Asymptotic behavior of kernel-based tests in various scenarios.
method Avoids complex expansions and limit theorems, works directly with Hilbert spaces random functionals.
result Framework leads to simpler analysis with minimal regularity conditions.

New method tests CMI using deep neural networks for high-dimensional data.

problem Testing conditional mean independence in high-dimensional settings.
method Population CMI measure and bootstrap-based testing with deep generative neural networks.
result Strong empirical performance and versatility in various scenarios.

Proposes a new test for validating multivariate dynamic regression models.

problem Inadequate exogeneity conditions for conventional model specification tests in dynamic systems.
method Develops a generalized Durbin estimator for multiple-equation systems with dynamic dependencies, and constructs Wald tests.
result Bootstrap-based Wald tests improve finite-sample size control and validate the null hypothesis in multifactor models.

Develops non-parametric tests for group symmetry in data.

problem Lack of statistical tests for group symmetry in data.
method Formulates and implements non-parametric tests for distributional symmetry under specified groups.
result Develops tests for conditional invariance/equivariance and applies them to real-world data.

FMCIT accelerates CI tests for causal discovery, maintaining power and efficiency.

problem High computational complexity in CI tests limits practical applicability of causal discovery methods.
method Flow Matching-based Conditional Independence Test (FMCIT) that leverages flow matching for fast CI tests.
result FMCIT effectively controls type-I error and maintains high testing power under the alternative hypothesis.

GAAVI offers anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.

problem Inference on the conditional mean function for high confidence decisions.
method Asymptotic anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
result Achieves asymptotic type-I error guarantees, power one, and optimal sample complexity.

ECCIT improves conditional independence tests by calibrating for miscalibration.

problem Inaccurate frequentist guarantees in CITs, especially in small samples and misspecified models.
method Empirically Calibrated Conditional Independence Tests (ECCIT) that optimize and correct for miscalibration.
result ECCIT achieves valid FDR with higher power than existing calibration strategies.

The article proposes a deep learning method to test and infer the Markov property in time series data.

problem Testing and inferring the Markov property in high-dimensional time series data.
method Deep conditional generative learning to estimate conditional density functions and derive a doubly robust test statistic.
result The test controls the type-I error asymptotically and has power approaching one.

Proposes a new method using GANs for testing conditional independence.

problem High-dimensional conditional independence testing in statistics and machine learning.
method Double GANs framework to learn conditional distributions, then construct a test statistic.
result The test statistic is doubly robust and has asymptotic power approaching one.

New method tests conditional independence using spectral representations.

problem Untestable conditional independence in many settings.
method Spectral representations of partial covariance operators, bi-level contrastive learning.
result Asymptotic validity and power guarantees for CI testing.

New methods for CI testing under model misspecification.

problem Challenges in CI testing with misspecified models.
method Proposes new approximations and upper bounds for testing errors of regression-based CI tests.
result Introduces the Rao-Blackwellized Predictor Test (RBPT) robust against misspecified inductive biases.

Estimates and tests treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.

problem Treatment effects on entire outcome distributions, not just averages.
method Proposes a novel estimand and doubly robust estimator, develops a test.
result First test with provably valid type 1 error guarantees in this setting.