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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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106212318424 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for conditional reasoning

Large language models can't efficiently reason conditionally in a distribution-free setting.

problem Impossibility of conditional PAC-efficient reasoning in large language models.
method Proof of impossibility in a distribution-free setting for non-atomic input spaces.
result Any algorithm achieving conditional PAC efficiency must defer to the expert model with high probability.

Achieving artificial visual reasoning - the ability to answer image-related questions which require a multi-step, high-level process - is an important step towards artificial general intelligence. This multi-modal task requires learning a question-dependent, structured reasoning process over images from language. Stand…

2017-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a general-purpose conditioning method for neural networks called FiLM: Feature-wise Linear Modulation. FiLM layers influence neural network computation via a simple, feature-wise affine transformation based on conditioning information. We show that FiLM layers are highly effective for visual reasoning - an…

2017-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Alpha-R1 uses LLMs to reason about economic factors and news for better alpha screening.

problem Challenges in data-driven investment strategies due to signal decay and regime shifts.
method Reinforcement learning trained on 8B parameters to evaluate alpha relevance under changing market conditions.
result Empirically outperforms benchmark strategies and shows improved robustness to alpha decay.

A new method for math reasoning that allows for iterative correction.

problem Standard reasoning models commit to each token and cannot recover from early errors.
method Generative framework with latent thought vectors for iterative self-correction.
result 30 rethinking iterations surpass baselines with 15 times more parameters.

VTA combines verbal and latent reasoning for accurate stock time-series forecasts.

problem Challenges in combining textual analysis with time-series data for financial forecasting.
method Converts stock price data into textual annotations, optimizes reasoning trace using inverse MSE, conditions time-series model outputs on reasoning attributes.
result VTA achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy and interpretable reasoning traces.

This work identifies and mitigates reasoning shortcuts in Neuro-Symbolic models.

problem Neuro-Symbolic models can achieve high accuracy by using unintended concepts.
method Characterized reasoning shortcuts as unintended optima of the learning objective and identified four key conditions.
result Reasoning shortcuts are difficult to mitigate, casting doubt on NeSy solutions' trustworthiness and interpretability.

A conformal procedure improves CoT reasoning by aggregating reasoning paths and calibrating abstention rules.

problem Aggregation uncertainty in chain-of-thought reasoning makes correct answers less reliable.
method Introduces a conformal procedure for CoT reasoning that uses weighted score aggregation and abstention rules.
result Achieves higher selective accuracy with abstention, reducing confident-error rate.

Hybrid deep architectures with reasoning layers show promising convergence and generalization properties.

problem Understanding the theoretical foundations of hybrid deep architectures with reasoning layers.
method Analyzing the interplay between algorithm layers and neural components in deep architectures.
result Properties of algorithm layers are closely related to the approximation and generalization abilities of end-to-end models.

Dynamic abstention improves LLM accuracy by selectively terminating unpromising reasoning.

problem LLMs waste compute on incorrect responses, leading to inefficiency.
method Formal reinforcement learning framework with abstention reward parameter.
result Dynamic abstention outperforms natural baselines in selective accuracy.

New causal versions of MaxEnt and PIR avoid paradoxical probability updates.

problem Paradoxical probability updates in causal MaxEnt and PIR.
method Separate constraints into cause-specific and mechanism-specific restrictions.
result Causal MaxEnt avoids paradoxical updates and aligns with Information Geometric Causal Inference.

REALFIN benchmarks financial reasoning by removing implicit assumptions, revealing model weaknesses.

problem Models struggle when implicit assumptions are missing, leading to incorrect answers.
method Developed a bilingual benchmark that systematically removes essential premises from financial questions.
result General-purpose models over-commit, while finance-specialized models fail to identify missing premises.

Self-supervised method improves representation learning for better accuracy.

problem Improving representation learning without manual annotation.
method Proposes a novel self-supervised formulation of relational reasoning.
result Self-supervised relational reasoning outperforms state-of-the-art models by 14% in accuracy.

Unified CI test for categorical and ordinal data maintains power in high dimensions.

problem Rapid degradation of statistical power in existing CI tests for high-dimensional conditioning variables.
method Unified CI test for categorical and ordinal data, maintaining reasonable calibration and power in high dimensions.
result Our test outperforms existing baselines in model testing and structure learning for dense directed graphical models.

For autonomous vehicles (AVs) to behave appropriately on roads populated by human-driven vehicles, they must be able to reason about the uncertain intentions and decisions of other drivers from rich perceptual information. Towards these capabilities, we present a probabilistic forecasting model of future interactions b…

2019-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In the framework of standard static space times, we state a family of sufficient or necessary conditions for a set of physically reasonable energy and convergence conditions in relativity and related theories. We concentrate our study on questions about the sub-harmonicity of the warping function, the scalar curvature …

2009-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.

problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.

In this paper, we prove a Morse index theorem for the index form of even order linear Hamiltonian systems on the closed interval with reasonable self-adjoint boundary conditions. The highest order term is assumed to be nondegenerate.

2005-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework integrates spectral deconvolution with expert reasoning for robust peak estimation.

problem Challenges in extracting meaningful peaks from noisy or complex spectra.
method Bayesian spectral deconvolution coupled with a physical-property regression layer.
result Recovery of weak peaks in poly(lactic acid) IR spectra related to degradation rates.

Causal reasoning has been an indispensable capability for humans and other intelligent animals to interact with the physical world. In this work, we propose to endow an artificial agent with the capability of causal reasoning for completing goal-directed tasks. We develop learning-based approaches to inducing causal kn…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes finite-time singularities in Spin(7)-structure flows using Shi-type estimates.

problem Analyzing finite-time singularities in Spin(7)-structure flows.
method Proves Shi-type derivative estimates and shows that Λ(x,t) must blow up at finite-time singularities.
result Establishes a general analytic framework for studying Spin(7)-structure flows.

The paper develops a theory for iterative self-improvement of models, proving conditions for better performance with easy-to-hard curricula.

problem Lack of theoretical foundation for iterative self-improvement in practical settings.
method Modeling self-improvement as maximum-likelihood fine-tuning on reward-filtered distributions and proving finite-sample guarantees.
result Explicit feedback loop and conditions for better performance with easy-to-hard curricula.

AdaBoost is one of the most popular ML algorithms. It is simple to implement and often found very effective by practitioners, while still being mathematically elegant and theoretically sound. AdaBoost's interesting behavior in practice still puzzles the ML community. We address the algorithm's stability and establish m…

2012-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based on the assumption that all variables have been jointly measured in a single dat…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Power-SMC reduces inference latency for training-free LLM reasoning.

problem Training-free LLM reasoning with low latency.
method Power-SMC, a training-free Sequential Monte Carlo scheme targeting sequence-level power distribution.
result Power-SMC reduces inference latency from 16-28× to 1.4-3.3× over baseline decoding.

We showed how to use trained neural networks to perform Bayesian reasoning in order to solve tasks outside their initial scope. Deep generative models provide prior knowledge, and classification/regression networks impose constraints. The tasks at hand were formulated as Bayesian inference problems, which we approximat…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New research challenges the independence assumption in neurosymbolic learning, leading to overconfident predictions and unrepresentable uncertainty.

problem The independence assumption in neurosymbolic learning systems can lead to overconfident predictions and hinder uncertainty quantification.
method The study proves the limitations of the independence assumption and introduces new loss functions that are non-convex and difficult to optimise.
result Neurosymbolic learning systems using the independence assumption are prone to overconfidence and cannot represent uncertainty over multiple valid options.

In an independence model, the triplets that represent conditional independences between singletons are called elementary. It is known that the elementary triplets represent the independence model unambiguously under some conditions. In this paper, we show how this representation helps performing some operations with in…

2016-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

LaTRO optimizes latent reasoning in LLMs without external reward.

problem Training LLMs to perform complex reasoning tasks.
method Formulates reasoning as latent distribution sampling and optimizes via variational approaches.
result LLMs improve reasoning and evaluation quality through self-improvement.

Auto-CEI improves LLM reasoning by balancing assertiveness and conservativeness.

problem Hallucinations and laziness in LLM reasoning tasks.
method Expert Iteration explores reasoning trajectories, guiding incorrect paths back on track and promoting appropriate 'I don't know' responses.
result Auto-CEI achieves superior alignment in logical reasoning, mathematics, and planning tasks.

UCPO improves diversity in reinforcement learning models, maintaining high accuracy.

problem RLVR objectives often lead to diversity collapse, reducing coverage of correct solutions.
method UCPO adds a conditional uniformity penalty to GRPO, redistributing probability mass.
result UCPO improves Pass@K and diversity while maintaining competitive Pass@1 accuracy.

We show that under reasonable conditions, the spines of the handlebodies of a strongly irreducible Heegaard splitting will intersect a closed ball in a graph which is isotopic into the boundary of the ball. This is in some sense a generalization of the results by Scharlemann on how a strongly irreducible Heegaard split…

2004-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves motion planning for quadcopters by learning and reasoning about controller performance.

problem Improving motion planning for quadcopters with safety margins and execution reliability.
method Introspective learning and reasoning to correct execution bias and improve collision checking.
result Substantial reduction in safety margins for motion actions, leading to safer execution.

Inferring new facts from existing knowledge graphs (KG) with explainable reasoning processes is a significant problem and has received much attention recently. However, few studies have focused on relation types unseen in the original KG, given only one or a few instances for training. To bridge this gap, we propose Co…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers learn multi-step reasoning through gradient descent.

problem Understanding how transformers solve symbolic multi-step reasoning tasks.
method Theoretical analysis of gradient descent dynamics and multi-phase training.
result Trained one-layer transformers can solve both backward and forward reasoning tasks with generalization guarantees.