Graph Mixture Density Networks model multimodal data on graphs.
problem Challenging conditional density estimation problems with structured data.
method Combining mixture models and graph representation learning.
result Significant improvement in likelihood of epidemic outcomes.
Conditional diffusion models can approximate target distributions well with Gaussian-mixture reverse kernels.
problem Approximating target distributions in conditional diffusion models.
method Using finite Gaussian mixtures with ReLU-network logits as reverse kernels, reducing the problem to static conditional density approximation.
result The resulting neural reverse-kernel class is dense in conditional KL divergence under exact terminal matching.
Deep neural networks converge to Gaussian mixtures as layer width increases.
problem Understanding the distribution of outputs from deep neural networks.
method Proof and experiments with a simple model showing the convergence of neural network outputs to Gaussian mixtures.
result Neural networks converge to Gaussian mixtures as the width of the last hidden layer increases.
This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of kernel functions centered at a subset of training points. The weights are deter…
Study identifies components of unknown interventions in a mixture.
problem Identify components of a mixture of unknown interventions on a causal Bayesian Network.
method Construct example showing components not identifiable. Prove identifiability under mild conditions. Develop efficient algorithm for recovery. Analyze performance in simulation.
result Components of a mixture of unknown interventions can be uniquely identified under certain conditions.
We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating samples. Computation of likelihood is an important aspect of our models. Expectation-…
MD-CGAN models forecast time series with probabilistic posterior distributions.
problem Limited applications of GANs in time series forecasting, especially with probabilistic predictions.
method Mixture Density Conditional Generative Adversarial Model (MD-CGAN) using Gaussian mixture output.
result MD-CGAN outperforms benchmarks, especially in noisy time series.
A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via neural networks(Neal 1992), noisy-OR gates (Neal 1992, Diez 1993)and decision tre…
The paper proposes a neural network model for estimating conditional mixture Weibull distributions with right-censored data.
problem Survival analysis with right-censored data in predictive maintenance and health fields.
method A neural network architecture is developed to estimate two-parameter Weibull distributions conditionally to features, extending to a finite mixture of Weibull distributions.
result The model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world datasets and can consider any survival time horizon.
InClass nets use neural networks to estimate CIMMs without assuming fixed parameters.
problem Nonparametric estimation of conditional independence mixture models.
method Independent classifier neural networks (NNs) for multi-class classification.
result Nonparametric identifiability conditions for bivariate CIMMs.
Generative model captures hubs and dense communities in social networks.
problem Capturing both hubs and dense communities in social networks.
method Graphon mixture model with a new condition on sparse graphs.
result Estimation of hub normalized degree and graphon for sparse components.
Gradient-free method improves predictive accuracy for probabilistic models.
problem Balancing computational efficiency and robust predictive performance in deep learning.
method CAVI-CMN, a gradient-free variational method for conditional mixture networks.
result CAVI-CMN achieves competitive and often superior predictive accuracy compared to MLE with backpropagation.
Study calculates tail risk for various mixture distributions.
problem Estimating tail risk for complex distribution mixtures.
method Analyzes tail conditional expectation for location-scale mixtures of elliptical distributions.
result Developed methods for calculating tail risk in various distributions.
Generative model prices basket options efficiently.
problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.
We consider high-dimensional distribution estimation through autoregressive networks. By combining the concepts of sparsity, mixtures and parameter sharing we obtain a simple model which is fast to train and which achieves state-of-the-art or better results on several standard benchmark datasets. Specifically, we use a…
The paper develops a learning theory for neural network-based CHARME models.
problem Developing a learning theory for CHARME models using neural networks.
method Proves the stationarity and ergodicity of CHARME models under weak conditions, then applies neural networks to derive strong consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of NN-based estimators of CHARME model weights and biases under weak conditions.
In many applications, multivariate samples may harbor previously unrecognized heterogeneity at the level of conditional independence or network structure. For example, in cancer biology, disease subtypes may differ with respect to subtype-specific interplay between molecular components. Then, both subtype discovery and…
Isolating individual instruments in a musical mixture has a myriad of potential applications, and seems imminently achievable given the levels of performance reached by recent deep learning methods. While most musical source separation techniques learn an independent model for each instrument, we propose using a common…
Study of two-layer NNs under Gaussian mixtures data, proving polynomial models equivalent to neural networks.
problem Training and generalization performance of two-layer NNs under structured Gaussian mixture data.
method Asymptotic analysis of two-layer NNs after one gradient descent step under Gaussian mixture data assumption.
result High-order polynomial models equivalent to nonlinear neural networks under certain conditions.
Bayesian neural networks with dependent weights converge to Gaussian mixtures.
problem Limitations of standard Gaussian priors in neural networks.
method Posterior analysis with Gaussian likelihood for networks with dependent weights.
result Posterior distribution identified in the wide-width limit, ensuring invertibility of random covariance matrix.
A new method identifies sub-populations in unlabelled heterogeneous data by accounting for co-features.
problem Estimating sub-populations in unlabelled heterogeneous data with co-features.
method Mixture of Conditional Gaussian Graphical Models (CGGM) with penalized EM algorithm.
result The method successfully identifies sub-populations disrupted by co-features.
SLOGAN improves GANs' conditional generation by balancing latent attribute distributions.
problem Imbalanced latent attribute distributions in GANs.
method Stein latent optimization with a Gaussian mixture prior and contrastive loss.
result SLOGAN achieves state-of-the-art unsupervised conditional generation performance.
The paper uses Gaussian mixture models for Bayesian networks and proposes an optimization algorithm.
problem Modeling nodes in Bayesian networks with complex distributions.
method Gaussian mixture models combined with double iteration algorithm.
result The double iteration algorithm optimizes Gaussian mixture models effectively.
Paper proves identifiability and consistency of hub model for network inference.
problem Identifying network structure from group behavior.
method Hub model and variants, proving identifiability and consistency under mild conditions.
result Identifiability and estimation consistency of hub model and its variants proved.
New algorithms improve Gaussian mixture model estimation in DFL with heterogeneous data.
problem Bias in EM algorithm for Gaussian mixtures in DFL with heterogeneous data.
method MNEM and semi-MNEM algorithms integrating historical and partially labeled data.
result MNEM and semi-MNEM achieve asymptotic efficiency and improved convergence.
Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient tree-based matching algorithm to construct image-like feature maps from high-fidelity m…
Bayesian networks learn sub-population differences from data.
problem Inference from a single network structure can be misleading when data populations are heterogeneous.
method A mixture of Bayesian networks where component probabilities depend on individual characteristics.
result Identifies both network structures and demographic predictors of sub-population membership.
Paper extends information theory for efficient probabilistic modeling.
problem Efficient and data-efficient non-parametric density estimation.
method Structured generative model (SGM) using Rényi's information.
result SGM improves mutual information estimation and generative adversarial networks.
A Bernoulli Mixture Model (BMM) is a finite mixture of random binary vectors with independent dimensions. The problem of clustering BMM data arises in a variety of real-world applications, ranging from population genetics to activity analysis in social networks. In this paper, we analyze the clusterability of BMMs from…
Algorithm estimates nonparametric mixtures from grouped data.
problem Estimating identifiable nonparametric mixture models from grouped observations.
method Oracle inequality for weighted kernel density estimators and general consistency result.
result Consistent estimation of mixture components from grouped observations.
Refined analysis of Mitra's algorithm for discrete mixtures.
problem Classifying general discrete mixture distribution models.
method Spectral clustering tailored to bipartite stochastic block models.
result Improved separation conditions for probability distributions.
Improves sequence modeling with a flow-based recurrent mixture density network.
problem Sequence modeling and sequence-to-sequence mapping applications.
method Generalized recurrent mixture density networks using normalized flow transformations.
result Significantly improved fit to image sequences measured by log-likelihood.
A new method for fast Bayesian mixture model estimation.
problem Estimating Bayesian mixture models is computationally challenging.
method Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) framework for mixture models.
result The method provides fast inference for mixture models.
Motivated by problems in data clustering, we establish general conditions under which families of nonparametric mixture models are identifiable, by introducing a novel framework involving clustering overfitted \emph{parametric} (i.e. misspecified) mixture models. These identifiability conditions generalize existing con…
This work investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood for improved uncertainty quantification.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in neural networks.
method Investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood instead of variational inference.
result The proposed method leads to stochastic networks with increased predictive variance, improved robustness, and higher entropy on out-of-distribution data.
Paper optimizes clustering for multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.
problem Optimizing clustering in multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.
method Two-stage method: tensor-based initialization and likelihood-based refinement.
result Achieves minimax optimal error rate for multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.
Paper proposes a new method for estimating mixture proportions without irreducibility assumption.
problem Estimating mixture proportions when component distributions are not irreducible.
method Developed a resampling-based meta-algorithm that adapts existing MPE algorithms to non-irreducible settings.
result Empirical results show improved estimation performance compared to baseline methods and regrouping-based algorithms.
The paper extends sequences while preserving statistical properties using a mixture model.
problem Extending sequences while retaining their statistical properties.
method Auto-regressive Sequence Extension Mixture Model (SEMM) using deep learning.
result The mixture model outperforms traditional neural networks in sequence extension with statistical property retention.
Paper finds conditions for benign overfitting in neural networks.
problem Benign overfitting in leaky ReLU two-layer neural networks.
method Established directional convergence and classification error bounds.
result Benign overfitting occurs with high probability on mixture data.
GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.
problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Robust learning mixtures of linear regressions improve robustness.
problem Improving robustness in learning mixtures of linear regressions.
method Connecting mixtures of linear regressions and mixtures of Gaussians with thresholding for a quasi-polynomial time algorithm.
result The algorithm has significantly better robustness than previous results.
We introduce RNADE, a new model for joint density estimation of real-valued vectors. Our model calculates the density of a datapoint as the product of one-dimensional conditionals modeled using mixture density networks with shared parameters. RNADE learns a distributed representation of the data, while having a tractab…
Optimal model averaging for conditional generative models improves performance across various data types.
problem Multiple plausible generators for conditional distributions can vary in performance.
method Sample-based maximum mean discrepancy, static model averaging, and mixture-of-experts model averaging.
result MoEMA improves over competing baselines across various data types.
Parallel recordings of neural spike counts have revealed the existence of context-dependent noise correlations in neural populations. Theories of population coding have also shown that such correlations can impact the information encoded by neural populations about external stimuli. Although studies have shown that the…
Proposes a new model for mixed membership in Gaussian mixture.
problem Limited to single component membership in Gaussian mixture models.
method Mixed membership sub-Gaussian model, spectral algorithm.
result Estimation error can be made arbitrarily small with high probability.
This paper studies clustering and embedding in high-dimensional Gaussian mixture block models.
problem Clustering and embedding in high-dimensional Gaussian mixture block models.
method Spectral clustering and embedding algorithms for graphs sampled from Gaussian mixture block models.
result Performance analysis of spectral clustering and embedding algorithms for 2-component spherical Gaussian mixtures.
A method for identifying NPWARX models with arbitrary domains using probabilistic mixture models.
problem Identifying hybrid system models with discontinuous maps.
method Probabilistic mixture model with a neural network for nonlinear partitioning and Expectation Maximization for parameter estimation.
result Demonstrated on a nonlinear piece-wise problem with discontinuous maps.
The paper stabilizes invertible neural networks by using Gaussian mixture models.
problem Invertible neural networks can have exploding Lipschitz constants, leading to numerical errors.
method The authors use Gaussian mixture models to stabilize the latent distribution of invertible neural networks.
result Numerical simulations confirm that this modification improves sampling quality in multimodal applications.