As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known effect Z, i.e., E(Y|X, Z) = E(Y|Z). Assuming that E(Y|Z) and Z are linearly related, …
New method tests CMI using deep neural networks for high-dimensional data.
problem Testing conditional mean independence in high-dimensional settings.
method Population CMI measure and bootstrap-based testing with deep generative neural networks.
result Strong empirical performance and versatility in various scenarios.
New insights into CI tests reveal key factors for practical performance.
problem Understanding and improving CI tests in practical applications.
method Investigation of the Kernel-based Conditional Independence (KCI) test and analysis of its practical behavior.
result Errors in conditional mean embedding estimates and appropriate conditioning kernel selection are crucial for CI tests.
We offer a new, rigorous approach to conditional mean embeddings without operator constraints.
problem Lack of rigorous, operator-free approach to conditional mean embeddings.
method Measure-theoretic approach to conditional mean embeddings.
result Natural regression interpretation and universal consistency of empirical estimates.
We study inverse mean curvature flows of starshaped, mean convex hypersurfaces in warped product manifolds with a positive warping factor φ(r). If φ′(r)>0 and φ′′(r)≥0, we show that these flows exist for all times, remain starshaped and mean convex. Plus the positivity of φ′′(r) and …
Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing via two-stage regression
problem Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing
method BLITZ (Broad-to-Local Independence Testing via residualiZation)
result Better null calibration than fast kernel, random-feature, and regression-based competitors
This work develops a non-parametric test for relational independence in non-i.i.d. data.
problem Testing independence in relational systems where data samples are not i.i.d.
method Kernel mean embedding for relational variables, consistent non-parametric scalable kernel test.
result Empirically validated effectiveness compared to state-of-the-art tests.
New method aggregates Gaussian experts by detecting conditional independence violations.
problem Aggregation of dependent Gaussian experts leads to sub-optimal solutions.
method Uses Gaussian graphical model to detect and correct conditional independence violations.
result Improves aggregation of Gaussian experts, outperforming SOTA DGP approaches.
The paper explores how semantic independence can be captured in text embeddings using partial orthogonality.
problem Capturing semantic independence in text embeddings.
method Developed a theory and methods based on partial orthogonality to demonstrate semantic independence.
result Partial orthogonality captures semantic independence in text embeddings.
The paper tests semantic importance in opaque models using betting.
problem Precise statistical guarantees for semantic concepts in black-box models.
method Formalizes global and local statistical importance via conditional independence and SKIT.
result Shows effectiveness and flexibility of the framework on various models.
We study the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector X given a sample of N independent, identically distributed points. We introduce a new estimator that achieves a purely sub-Gaussian performance under the only condition that the second moment of X exists. The estimator is based on a novel concept of a…
We consider mean curvature flow of an initial surface that is the graph of a function over some domain of definition in Rn. If the graph is not complete then we impose a constant Dirichlet boundary condition at the boundary of the surface. We establish longtime-existence of the flow and investigate the projection of…
New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.
problem Testing conditional independence of X and Y given Z. method Proposes a non-parametric testing procedure using GNNs to sample from marginal conditional distributions.
result Test statistic is doubly robust against GNN approximation errors.
New framework extends ICA for non-independent variables, identifying pairwise mean independence.
problem Non-independent variables complicating ICA recovery.
method Algebraic recovery algorithm based on least-squares optimization over the orthogonal group.
result Pairwise mean independence is identifiable, robust to independence constraints.
Identifying components and estimating mixing weights in unlabeled finite mixtures under marginal independence.
problem Identifying components and estimating mixing weights in unlabeled finite mixtures.
method Proving structural results and extending them to observable mixtures.
result Identifying components and estimating mixing weights under marginal independence.
Alternative solvability criterion for minimal surface equations and mean curvature flow.
problem Solvability of Dirichlet problem for minimal surface equation in non-mean convex domains.
method Introduces a structural condition from a second-order ODE to construct boundary barriers, applicable to unbounded domains and Hadamard manifolds.
result Allows solvability under geometric hypotheses different from classical Jenkins-Serrin theory, applicable to Euclidean space and mean curvature flow.
New method recovers causal order from dependent data.
problem Causal discovery methods fail with shared volatility or common scale effects.
method Linear Mean-Independent Acyclic Model (LiMIAM) with mean-independence restrictions.
result Compatible causal order can be recovered from dependent disturbances.
Variational Bayes (VB), also known as independent mean-field approximation, has become a popular method for Bayesian network inference in recent years. Its application is vast, e.g. in neural network, compressed sensing, clustering, etc. to name just a few. In this paper, the independence constraint in VB will be relax…
Paper establishes sufficient condition for comparing linear combinations of infinite-mean risks.
problem Comparing linear combinations of infinite-mean risks under stochastic dominance.
method Introduced a new class of distributions and used majorization order to compare weights.
result Linear combinations of random variables are stochastically larger when their weight vectors are smaller in majorization order.
Half-AVAE enhances VAE for underdetermined ICA with adversarial training.
problem Challenges in ICA under underdetermined conditions.
method Encoder-free VAE with adversarial networks and EE terms.
result Half-AVAE outperforms baseline models in underdetermined ICA.
Develops a dynamic mean field theory for reinforcement learning.
problem Finite state and action Bayesian reinforcement learning in large state spaces.
method Analogies with statistical physics, interpreting probabilities as couplings and values as spins, solving mean field equations.
result State-action values are statistically independent in the asymptotic state space limit, with exact or approximate equations for computation.
We give a sufficient condition, with no restrictions on the mean curvature, under which the conformal method can be used to generate solutions of the vacuum Einstein constraint equations on compact manifolds. The condition requires a so-called global supersolution but does not require a global subsolution. As a consequ…
A new method tests variable significance without assuming model correctness.
problem Testing variable significance in the presence of complex interactions.
method Flexible nonparametric or machine learning methods to estimate conditional mean independence.
result Achieves minimax optimal rate in nonparametric testing problem.
We develop a mean-field theory for multi-component ICA in high dimensions.
problem Understanding multi-component ICA in high-dimensional settings.
method Asymptotically exact mean-field theory for multi-component online ICA.
result Explicit learnability boundaries and competition conditions linking step size, data moments, and initialization.
This work provides a computationally efficient and statistically consistent moment-based estimator for mixtures of spherical Gaussians. Under the condition that component means are in general position, a simple spectral decomposition technique yields consistent parameter estimates from low-order observable moments, wit…
A new method tests conditional independence by transforming it into an unconditional problem using transport maps.
problem Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third.
method Constructing transport maps to transform conditional independence into unconditional independence, estimating these maps from data using conditional continuous normalizing flow models.
result The proposed method is validated through simulations and real-data analysis, demonstrating practical effectiveness.
Paper relaxes independence assumption for non-centered data.
problem Failing to account for dependencies in data leads to model failures.
method Proposes 'Kronecker-sum-structured mean' assumption to relax zero-mean requirement.
result Models with nonconvex but unimodal log-likelihoods can be solved efficiently.
We study 'meta-dependence' in conditional independence tests across different empirical distributions.
problem Understanding the breakdown of conditional independence properties in finite data.
method Geometric intuition and information projections to measure meta-dependence between conditional independences.
result We provide a measure of meta-dependence that consolidates findings across synthetic and real-world data.
We solve a class of control problems with fuel constraint by means of the log-Laplace transforms of J-functionals of Dawson-Watanabe superprocesses. This solution is related to the superprocess solution of quasilinear parabolic PDEs with singular terminal condition. For the probabilistic verification proof, we develo…
Develops a new framework for conditional independence.
problem Generalizing previous notions of conditional independence.
method Introduces transition probability spaces and transitional random variables.
result Satisfies all desired relevance relations except symmetry.
Paper optimizes approximating high-dimensional diffusions by independent coordinates.
problem Optimizing approximations of high-dimensional diffusions by independent coordinates.
method Introduces independent projection as optimal for two criteria.
result Independent projection is optimal for two criteria related to entropy and convergence.
In an independence model, the triplets that represent conditional independences between singletons are called elementary. It is known that the elementary triplets represent the independence model unambiguously under some conditions. In this paper, we show how this representation helps performing some operations with in…
Determinantal point process have recently been used as models in machine learning and this has raised questions regarding the characterizations of conditional independence. In this paper we investigate characterizations of conditional independence. We describe some conditional independencies through the conditions on t…
New method allows generating independent data matrices from summary statistics.
problem Generating independent data matrices from summary statistics like mean and covariance.
method Thinning a Wishart random matrix based on sample mean and covariance.
result It is possible to generate two independent data matrices from summary statistics.
Paper proves a generalized Penrose conjecture for flat initial data.
problem Proving the generalized Penrose conjecture for flat initial data.
method Developed a new geometric evolution called the σ-inverse mean curvature flow. result Established the inequality for outermost generalized apparent horizons.
Conditional independence testing is an important problem, especially in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Due to the curse of dimensionality, testing for conditional independence of continuous variables is particularly challenging. We propose a Kernel-based Conditional Independence test (KCI-test), by con…
Measuring conditional independence is one of the important tasks in statistical inference and is fundamental in causal discovery, feature selection, dimensionality reduction, Bayesian network learning, and others. In this work, we explore the connection between conditional independence measures induced by distances on …
TCRI improves domain generalization by enforcing conditional independence constraints.
problem Limitations of existing domain generalization methods due to incomplete constraints.
method TCRI implements regularizers motivated by conditional independence constraints.
result TCRI achieves cross-domain stability and outperforms baselines in worst-domain accuracy.
The paper characterizes optimal dynamic portfolios for a modified mean-variance utility.
problem Optimal dynamic portfolio choice for a modified mean-variance utility.
method Complete characterization under minimal assumptions, no restrictions on asset return moments.
result Maximal MMV utility is linked to the monotone Sharpe ratio, with global squared MSR as the nominal yield.
We consider N Bernoulli random variables, which are independent conditional on a common random factor determining their probability distribution. We show that certain expected functionals of the proportion LN of variables in a given state converge at rate 1/N as N→∞. Based on these results, we …
New test for conditional independence using kernel embeddings.
problem Testing conditional independence in high-dimensional settings.
method Analytic kernel embeddings, asymptotic distribution.
result New test outperforms existing methods in high-dimensional settings.
Paper introduces a new test for conditional independence using weighted partial copulas.
problem Testing conditional independence between variables.
method The approach uses a weighted partial copula function and a bootstrap procedure to compute regions of rejection.
result The proposed test has competitive power compared to existing methods.
The constraints arising from DAG models with latent variables can be naturally represented by means of acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs). Such graphs contain directed and bidirected arrows, and contain no directed cycles. DAGs with latent variables imply independence constraints in the distribution resulting from a…
Randomly initialized wide neural networks with zero-mean activations are nearly independent, potentially solving AI interpretability limits.
problem Measuring the limits of AI interpretability.
method Randomly initialized neural networks with large width and zero-mean activation functions.
result Neural networks with zero-mean activations are nearly independent, solving the computational no-coincidence conjecture.
The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a …
LCIT tests conditional independence using latent representations.
problem Detecting conditional independencies in statistical and machine learning tasks.
method Generative framework for learning latent representations of target variables X and Y, then testing for remaining dependencies.
result LCIT outperforms state-of-the-art baselines consistently under different metrics and settings.
We introduce a novel conditional density estimation model termed the conditional density operator (CDO). It naturally captures multivariate, multimodal output densities and shows performance that is competitive with recent neural conditional density models and Gaussian processes. The proposed model is based on a novel …
Reasoning based on causality, instead of association has been considered as a key ingredient towards real machine intelligence. However, it is a challenging task to infer causal relationship/structure among variables. In recent years, an Independent Mechanism (IM) principle was proposed, stating that the mechanism gene…