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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2575147711,028 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for conditional mean function

Investigates conditional Chisini means and their application to risk measures.

problem Existence of conditional nonlinear means for bounded random variables.
method Defines a mean as a solution to a functional equation induced by T, and provides conditions for the existence of a unique solution.
result Characterizes the scalarization of conditional Risk Measures.

Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying function of interest whose conditional mean was observed is a challenging inferenc…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new method to analyze the distributional effects of treatments.

problem Analyzing the full distributional impact of treatments beyond just the mean.
method Uses kernel conditional mean embeddings and U-statistic regression to investigate the CoDiTE.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method through experiments.

The paper proves uniqueness of evolving graphs by mean curvature flow under specific conditions.

problem Proving uniqueness of entire graphs evolving by mean curvature flow.
method Analyzes graphs of locally Lipschitz functions and rotationally symmetric solutions, proving uniqueness under uniform lower bounds and proper graphs.
result Uniqueness of entire graphs evolving by mean curvature flow under specified conditions.

New tests for binary classification regression functions without distribution assumptions.

problem Testing regression functions in binary classification without distributional assumptions.
method Conditional kernel mean embeddings and resampling-based framework.
result Distribution-free hypothesis tests with exact type I error control.

Special Liouville metrics with Ricci-like conditions are determined by elliptic functions.

problem Characterizing Liouville metrics with Ricci-like conditions in complex space forms.
method Analyzing necessary conditions for induced metrics of parallel mean curvature surfaces and proving the existence of specific Liouville metrics.
result Explicit determination of special Liouville metrics with Ricci-like conditions by elliptic functions.

The paper examines conditions for linearity in a conditional mean estimator under vector Poisson noise.

problem Conditions for linearity of the conditional mean estimator in vector Poisson noise.
method Analyzes prior distributions and their impact on the conditional mean estimator's linearity.
result The only prior distribution that induces linearity is a product gamma distribution, and non-zero dark current parameter prevents linearity.

GAAVI offers anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.

problem Inference on the conditional mean function for high confidence decisions.
method Asymptotic anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
result Achieves asymptotic type-I error guarantees, power one, and optimal sample complexity.

The study examines continuous mean curvature functions on manifolds without conjugate points.

problem Understanding properties of manifolds with specific curvature functions.
method Analyzing simply connected Riemannian manifolds with continuous horospherical mean curvature functions.
result Compact rank one manifolds without conjugate points are locally symmetric spaces of negative curvature.

New existence results for curvature problem on balls with specific conditions.

problem Existence of solutions for a prescribed mean curvature problem on a ball.
method Combining critical points at infinity approach with Morse theory.
result New existence results for higher dimensional case n5n\geq 5 under pinching conditions.

Probit Monotone BART estimates binary outcomes using monotonic functions.

problem Estimating conditional mean functions for binary outcomes with monotonicity constraints.
method Proposes a new BART variant that incorporates monotonicity constraints for binary outcomes.
result Allows for more precise estimation of monotonic functions in binary outcome models.

In this note we study a large class of mean curvature type flows of graphs in product manifold N×RN\times R where N is a closed Riemann- ian manifold. Their speeds are the mean curvature of graphs plus a prescribed function. We establish long time existence and uniformly convergence of those flows with a barrier conditi…

2017-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores rigidity of hypersurfaces with constant shifted curvature functions in hyperbolic space.

problem Rigidity of hypersurfaces with constant shifted curvature functions in hyperbolic space.
method Characterizations and rigidity investigations for hypersurfaces with constant weighted shifted mean curvatures or ratios.
result Rigidity results for hypersurfaces with constant linear combinations of weighted shifted mean curvatures and radially symmetric shifted mean curvatures.

New method optimizes portfolio weights as functions, outperforming traditional approaches.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights in mean-variance models.
method Functional optimization approach, treating weights as functions of past values.
result Gradient-ascent algorithms can solve functional optimization problems for mean-variance portfolio management.

We prove that the leaves of an inverse mean curvature flow provide a foliation of a future end of a cosmological spacetime NN under the necessary and sufficent assumptions that NN satisfies a future mean curvature barrier condition and a strong volume decay condition. Moreover, the flow parameter tt can be used to d…

2004-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves a problem in Riemannian geometry for scalar-flat metrics with boundary conditions.

problem Finding a conformal metric with zero scalar curvature and prescribed boundary mean curvature.
method Construction of local test functions to resolve open cases and establish new solvability conditions.
result Established new solvability conditions for the problem.

We study the line bundle mean curvature flow on Kähler surfaces under the hypercritical phase and a certain semipositivity condition. We naturally encounter such a condition when considering the blowup of Kähler surfaces. We show that the flow converges smoothly to a singular solution to the deformed Hermitian-Yang-Mil…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Graphs with bounded anisotropic mean curvature are regular almost everywhere.

problem Understanding the regularity of graphs with anisotropic mean curvature.
method Proving regularity for mm-dimensional Lipschitz graphs with anisotropic mean curvature bounded in LpL^p.
result Graphs with bounded anisotropic mean curvature are regular almost everywhere.

A new ML-based filter improves data assimilation for nonlinear systems.

problem Improving data assimilation for nonlinear systems using ensemble methods.
method Developed a machine learning-based conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) integrating ANN and linear functions.
result ML-EnCMF outperforms EnKF and likelihood-based EnCMF in nonlinear systems.

The study improves VaR forecast accuracy by modeling conditional quantile dynamics.

problem Improving the accuracy of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts for time-varying quantiles.
method Time-varying modeling of VaR, evaluation via simulation, asymmetric Mean Absolute Deviation loss function.
result Substantial improvements in forecasting conditional quantiles by maintaining predicted quantile unchanged.

Gradient estimate for harmonic functions with boundary condition proved.

problem Proving gradient estimates for harmonic functions with boundary conditions.
method Using weighted ff-harmonic functions and infinite dimensional Bakry-Emery Ricci tensor.
result Gradient estimates for positive ff-harmonic functions with Dirichlet boundary condition.

The bias of the sample means of the arms in multi-armed bandits is an important issue in adaptive data analysis that has recently received considerable attention in the literature. Existing results relate in precise ways the sign and magnitude of the bias to various sources of data adaptivity, but do not apply to the c…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New principles for collapsing law-invariant functionals to means, extending beyond convexity.

problem Conditions for law-invariant functionals to reduce to means.
method Establishing collapse to the mean principles for non-convex functionals.
result General principles apply beyond convexity, including quasiconvex and Choquet integrals.

The paper proves functions related to mean field equations on surfaces are Morse functions under certain conditions.

problem Analyzing the Morse property of functions related to mean field equations on surfaces.
method Examining functions of the form \( f_g(x) \) on a smooth compact surface \( \Sigma \) with boundary, proving the existence of a metric \( \widetilde{g} \) close to \( g \) making \( f_{\widetilde{g}} \) a Morse function.
result For any Riemannian metric \( g \), there exists a metric \( \widetilde{g} \) arbitrarily close to \( g \) and in the conformal class of \( g \) such that \( f_{\widetilde{g}} \) is a Morse function.

This paper considers the prescribed zero scalar curvature and mean curvature problem on the n-dimensional Euclidean ball for n3n \geq 3. Given a rotationally symmetric function H:BnRH:\partial B^{n}\rightarrow R, in this work, we will prove that if H(r)H'(r) changes signs where H>0H>0 and H(r)H(r) also satisfies a flatness con…

2013-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows price bubbles can exist even with heterogeneous beliefs.

problem Equilibrium price formation in markets with different belief groups.
method Analyzes continuous time asset trading with heterogeneous investors and mean reverting asset.
result Price bubbles may not form even with heterogeneous beliefs, contrary to initial expectations.

To devise efficient solutions for approximating a mean partition in consensus clustering, Dimitriadou et al. [3] presented a necessary condition of optimality for a consensus function based on least square distances. We show that their result is pivotal for deriving interesting properties of consensus clustering beyond…

2016-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for shrinkage, thresholding, and regularization in normal mean estimation and linear regression.

problem Estimation of normal mean in multivariate settings with correlated observations.
method Approximate risk minimization over a functional class of shrinkage-thresholding rules.
result Unified estimator NOMAD for shrinkage, thresholding, and regularization.

Proposes a new framework for deep learning conditional mean estimation with confidence regions.

problem Lack of asymptotic properties in deep nonparametric regression models.
method Transforms deep estimation into conditional diffusion model for conditional mean estimation.
result Developed end-to-end convergence rate and asymptotic normality for conditional diffusion model.

We consider a multi-armed bandit problem with covariates. Given a realization of the covariate vector, instead of targeting the treatment with highest conditional expectation, the decision maker targets the treatment which maximizes a general functional of the conditional potential outcome distribution, e.g., a conditi…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The purpose of this paper is to study immersed surfaces in the product spaces M2(κ)×R\mathbb{M}^2(κ)\times\mathbb{R}, whose mean curvature is given as a C1C^1 function depending on their angle function. This class of surfaces extends widely, among others, the well-known theory of surfaces with constant mean curvature. In th…

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified q-learning for mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.

problem Continuous-time q-learning in mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.
method Proposed decoupled Iq-function for unified policy evaluation in MFG and MFC problems; unified q-learning algorithm based on test policies and averaged martingale orthogonality condition.
result Unified policy evaluation rule for MFG and MFC problems based on decoupled Iq-function.

New method tests CMI using deep neural networks for high-dimensional data.

problem Testing conditional mean independence in high-dimensional settings.
method Population CMI measure and bootstrap-based testing with deep generative neural networks.
result Strong empirical performance and versatility in various scenarios.