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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for conditional distribution learning

A new method for learning conditional distributions using ODEs and neural networks.

problem Learning conditional distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Conditional Föllmer Flow, discretized with Euler's method, using nonparametric velocity estimation.
result Effective approximation of target conditional distributions, with convergence results for Wasserstein-2 distance.

CSI method learns conditional distributions by estimating flow equations.

problem Learning conditional distributions in generative models.
method Estimates probability flow equations to transport reference to target distribution.
result Derives explicit expressions for conditional drift and score functions.

Many machine learning tasks, such as learning with invariance and policy evaluation in reinforcement learning, can be characterized as problems of learning from conditional distributions. In such problems, each sample xx itself is associated with a conditional distribution p(zx)p(z|x) represented by samples $\{z_i\}_{i=1…

2016-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method for estimating tropical cyclone intensity distribution using deep learning.

problem Lack of full accounting of prediction variability in single-point forecasts.
method Smooth model over target and covariates, logistic transformation for conditional density, case-control sampling approximation.
result Method provides insights into predicted response behavior, improving decision-making and policy.

We introduce the Neural Conditioner (NC), a self-supervised machine able to learn about all the conditional distributions of a random vector XX. The NC is a function NC(xa,a,r)NC(x \cdot a, a, r) that leverages adversarial training to match each conditional distribution P(XrXa=xa)P(X_r|X_a=x_a). After training, the NC generalizes to …

2019-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for conditional sampling using paired Wasserstein Autoencoders.

problem Conditional sampling from complex data distributions.
method Derive a novel loss function for Wasserstein Autoencoders to enable sampling from OT-type couplings.
result Learned cost-optimal transport maps and conditional sampling from an OT-type coupling.

We introduce a new model for building conditional generative models in a semi-supervised setting to conditionally generate data given attributes by adapting the GAN framework. The proposed semi-supervised GAN (SS-GAN) model uses a pair of stacked discriminators to learn the marginal distribution of the data, and the co…

2017-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

CAN learns conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.

problem Learning conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
method CAN framework with LGN and CIGN architectures, equipped with an intervention mechanism.
result CAN generates both interventional and conditional samples without needing the causal graph.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.

problem Traditional mediation analysis focuses on summary contrasts, missing complex distributional changes.
method DCMA learns conditional generative models for mediators and outcome, reconstructing interventional distributions via Monte Carlo simulation.
result DCMA captures both summary effects and rich distributional contrasts like energy distance and Wasserstein distance.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze complex treatment effects on outcome distributions.

problem Analyzing complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms through outcome-level summary contrasts.
method Generative learning framework for identifying and estimating treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.
result Reconstructs interventional outcome distributions via Monte Carlo forward simulation, capturing both summary and distributional contrasts.

Unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning.

problem Nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning problems.
method Generative learning framework with deep neural networks to estimate a conditional generator.
result The approach estimates a regression function and a conditional generator simultaneously, providing good prediction intervals.

New method uses generative models to estimate aleatoric uncertainty without strict data restrictions.

problem Estimating aleatoric uncertainty with limited data distribution or dimensionality.
method Conditional generative models and two metrics for measuring distributional discrepancies.
result Metrics accurately measure conditional distributional discrepancies and train competitive models.

We present a simple generative framework for learning to predict previously unseen classes, based on estimating class-attribute-gated class-conditional distributions. We model each class-conditional distribution as an exponential family distribution and the parameters of the distribution of each seen/unseen class are d…

2017-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative models learn distributions, new method finds inputs matching desired conditional distributions.

problem Designing inputs that produce specific conditional distributions, not just points.
method Conditional Distribution Matching (CDM) and MLGD-F algorithm.
result MLGD-F reliably recovers inputs matching diverse user-specified conditional distributions.

In this paper, we describe the "implicit autoencoder" (IAE), a generative autoencoder in which both the generative path and the recognition path are parametrized by implicit distributions. We use two generative adversarial networks to define the reconstruction and the regularization cost functions of the implicit autoe…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New CPS model tackles conditional probability shift in machine learning.

problem Discrepancy between source and target distributions in machine learning.
method Conditional Probability Shift Model (CPSM) using multinomial regression and EM algorithm.
result Superior balanced classification accuracy on target data compared to existing methods.

Generative model learns conditional distributions on collective variable levels.

problem Modeling conditional probability distributions on collective variable levels.
method General and efficient learning approach, data enrichment strategy.
result Effective generative models on different level-sets of collective variables.

Study selective classification with halfspaces, achieving error bounds under Gaussian distributions.

problem Modeling relationships in subsets of data defined by selection rules.
method Sparse linear classifiers for subsets defined by halfspaces, focusing on Gaussian feature distributions.
result First PAC-learning algorithm for homogeneous halfspace selectors with error guarantee $\bigO*{\sqrt{\mathrm{opt}}}$.

A new model optimizes portfolios by learning stock return distributions conditioned on factors.

problem Optimizing portfolios with high-dimensional asset-specific factors.
method Conditional Diffusion Transformer architecture linking each asset's return to its factor vector.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in mean-variance and mean-CVaR optimization.

A new method uses Schrödinger bridges for deep conditional generative learning.

problem Learning conditional distributions with additional information.
method Schrödinger bridge approach with discretized SDE and deep neural network.
result Generated samples have higher quality and can estimate conditional density.

Meta-learning improves with explicit modeling of task covariate distributions.

problem Ignoring the relationship between task covariates and conditional distributions limits meta-learning performance.
method Introducing a hierarchical Bayesian model that leverages samples from the marginal task covariates to better infer optimal parameters.
result Our method outperforms initialization-based meta-learning on popular classification benchmarks.

New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.

problem Limitations in recent multimodal autoencoders restrict their quality on complex datasets.
method Proposes a multistage training process with variational inference and Normalizing Flows, leveraging shared modality information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

This work improves transferability by considering conditional distributions in feature representations.

problem Improving transferability across multiple domains by considering conditional distributions.
method Introducing von Neumann conditional divergence to quantify the functional dependence between features and desired response.
result Favorable performance in terms of smaller generalization error and less catastrophic forgetting.

cCorrGAN approximates conditional correlation matrices using GANs.

problem Learning empirical conditional distributions in the elliptope of correlation matrices.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) applied to correlation matrices.
result Validated through Monte Carlo simulations in finance.

A new test statistic measures discrepancy between conditional distributions.

problem Measuring the discrepancy between two conditional distributions.
method Proposes a Bregman matrix divergence-based statistic that avoids explicit distribution estimation.
result The new statistic inherits high-order statistics and demonstrates utility in multi-task learning, concept drift detection, and feature selection.

This paper introduces a neural operator for probabilistic conditioning.

problem Probabilistic conditioning of random variables XX given YY.
method Develops a single operator that maps any joint density to its conditional, approximated by neural operators.
result Neural operators can approximate the conditioning operator to arbitrary accuracy.

Markov networks (MNs) are a powerful way to compactly represent a joint probability distribution, but most MN structure learning methods are very slow, due to the high cost of evaluating candidates structures. Dependency networks (DNs) represent a probability distribution as a set of conditional probability distributio…

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural-Kernel CME tackles scalability and expressiveness challenges in conditional distribution representation.

problem Scalability and expressiveness challenges in kernel conditional mean embeddings.
method Combines deep learning with CMEs using a neural network optimization framework.
result Achieves competitive and often superior performance in conditional density estimation and RL.

A novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression using conditional diffusion models.

problem Nonparametric regression with efficient sampling and accurate estimation.
method Conditional diffusion model for learning conditional distributions, integrating sampling and regression into a unified generative framework.
result Established optimal convergence rates in the Wasserstein distance and convergence guarantees for the bootstrap procedure.

Transfer learning aims to learn robust classifiers for the target domain by leveraging knowledge from a source domain. Since the source and the target domains are usually from different distributions, existing methods mainly focus on adapting the cross-domain marginal or conditional distributions. However, in real appl…

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes training data distribution for better model performance across various deployment conditions.

problem Improving model accuracy when deployed with parameters far from training data.
method Developed adaptive algorithms based on bilevel or alternating optimization in the space of probability measures.
result Optimized training distributions lead to models with improved sample complexity and robustness to distribution shift.

A new method learns continuous guidance weights to improve diffusion model quality and distributional alignment.

problem Improving perceptual quality and distributional alignment of samples from conditional diffusion models.
method Learned continuous guidance weights ωc,(s,t)ω_{c,(s,t)} are used to minimize distributional mismatch and reward guided sampling.
result Improvements in Fréchet inception distance (FID) for image generation and better image-prompt alignment in text-to-image applications.

Proposes methods to identify and estimate counterfactual distributions with confounding.

problem Estimating counterfactual distributions in the presence of confounding.
method Nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation using conditional copulas and machine learning.
result Valid inference for individual-level effects and nonparametric identifiability of latent confounding subspace.

New insights show coverage conditions are crucial for efficient online reinforcement learning.

problem The role of coverage conditions in determining sample complexity of offline reinforcement learning.
method Established a connection between coverage conditions and sample efficiency in online reinforcement learning.
result Coverability, a structural property of MDPs, enables sample-efficient exploration in online reinforcement learning.

Neural Processes (NPs) (Garnelo et al 2018a;b) approach regression by learning to map a context set of observed input-output pairs to a distribution over regression functions. Each function models the distribution of the output given an input, conditioned on the context. NPs have the benefit of fitting observed data ef…

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses CDMs to improve CI testing without distributional assumptions.

problem Testing conditional independence when the conditional distribution is unknown.
method Uses conditional diffusion models (CDMs) to approximate XZX|Z and a classifier-based CMI estimator.
result Proposed method performs better than GAN-based CI tests and controls type I and II errors.

New method improves meta-learning performance by task-specific initialization.

problem Difficulties in generalizing and achieving theoretical guarantees in conditional meta-learning.
method Structured prediction approach for task-specific initialization.
result TASML improves performance of existing meta-learning models.

Improved learning theory for kernel distribution regression with two-stage sampling.

problem Distribution regression problem and two-stage sampling setting.
method Kernel methods, near-unbiased condition, new error bounds, convergence rates.
result Strictly improved convergence rates for three important classes of kernels.