Study analyzes impact of concentrated liquidity on trading fees and provider returns.
problem Impact of concentrated liquidity on trading fees and provider returns.
method Comparison of average liquidity provider returns before and after concentrated liquidity introduction; quantification of fundamental strategies performance.
result Concentrated liquidity strategies outperform in certain trading pairs and market conditions.
Market impact is reduced when orders are filled with concentrated counterparts.
problem Market impact increases with a large number of trading counterparts.
method Analyzed London Stock Exchange data to show concentrated trading impacts market price.
result Concentrated trading reduces market impact when matched with similarly concentrated counterparts.
Investors trade based on shifting prices, leading to market inefficiencies.
problem Market inefficiencies due to trading behavior and financial dynamics.
method Analyzes trading strategies and market dynamics.
result Arbitrage opportunities arise from concentrated ownership and low collateral requirements.
Blockchain scaling reduces gas fees, allowing more frequent liquidity updates and concentration.
problem Adverse selection risk and high gas fees on decentralized exchanges.
method Instrumental variables analysis using blockchain scaling solutions (Arbitrum, Polygon) as instruments.
result Higher repositioning intensity and precision lead to greater liquidity concentration, benefiting small trades.
This thesis studies CPMMs with CL, developing strategies for LTs and LPs.
problem Trading mechanisms and strategies for CPMMs with CL.
method Formalizes CPMMs with CL, develops strategies using market data and models.
result Derives optimal strategies for LTs and LPs in CPMMs with CL.
The article provides formulas to hedge impermanent loss in decentralized markets.
problem Impermanent loss in concentrated liquidity provision in decentralized markets.
method Analytical characterizations and static replication formulas using European calls or puts.
result Static replication formulas accurately hedge impermanent loss.
Develops a mathematical model for CLMM dynamics in DeFi.
problem Analyzing CLMMs in continuous time trading.
method Modeling CLMM dynamics as measure-valued processes, examining three arbitrage models.
result Trading fees limit admissible price processes, impacting CLMM design.
A new definition of events of game-theoretic probability zero in continuous time is proposed and used to prove results suggesting that trading in financial markets results in the emergence of properties usually associated with randomness. This paper concentrates on "qualitative" results, stated in terms of order (or or…
Study factors affecting liquidity on decentralized exchanges, introducing new metrics.
problem Understanding and predicting liquidity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Analyzes platform, blockchain, token pair, and liquidity pool factors; introduces new metrics.
result Identifies how various factors affect liquidity through concentration and total value locked.
In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based mo…
Achieving robustness to distributional shift is a longstanding and challenging goal of computer vision. Data augmentation is a commonly used approach for improving robustness, however robustness gains are typically not uniform across corruption types. Indeed increasing performance in the presence of random noise is oft…
Framework to generalize impermanent loss for decentralized exchanges.
problem Difficult analysis of impermanent loss due to diverse market maker algorithms and fee structures.
method Developed a framework to generalize impermanent loss for constant function market makers with optional concentrated liquidity.
result Identified conditions for profitability of liquidity provisioning.
Model analyzes trading frictions in cap-and-trade markets, showing how they interact to affect market effectiveness.
problem Analyzing how trading frictions impact cap-and-trade market effectiveness.
method Developed a dynamic stochastic model with multiple trading frictions, characterized access choices in closed form, and quantified using EU ETS data.
result Trading frictions interact to amplify or dampen market responses, and their combined effect is non-additive.
Paper develops a risk scoring framework for tokenized RWA markets.
problem Tokenized assets may not reflect true risk due to illiquidity and concentration.
method Develops a risk scoring framework based on observable indicators.
result Assets with limited transfer activity and concentrated ownership have high empirical risk.
Trade networks, across which countries distribute their products, are crucial components of the globalized world economy. Their structure is strongly heterogeneous across products, given the different features of the countries which buy and sell goods. By using a diversified pool of indicators from network science and …
RAmmStein optimizes liquidity management in AMMs by learning to rebalance efficiently.
problem Optimal control of concentrated liquidity in decentralized exchanges.
method Formulates as an optimal control problem, uses Deep Reinforcement Learning with HJB-QVI.
result Achieves highest net ROI (1.60%) compared to greedy strategies, reduces rebalancing frequency by 85%.
We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade imbalances of the European countries. These measures are the network (or indire…
Survey on risk-aware multi-armed bandits for better decision-making.
problem Risk measures in multi-armed bandits for better decision-making.
method Review of existing research, definition of risk-aware bandit problems, and algorithms for minimizing regret and identifying best arms.
result Consolidation and summarization of existing research on risk measures in multi-armed bandits.
Barren plateaus are not an average-case phenomenon, but a highly non-unique problem.
problem Avoiding barren plateaus in neural network training
method First-moment framework for initialization strategies
result Many families of inequivalent initialization strategies can avoid concentration
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
Models assess how USDA orange production forecasts impact FCOJ market decisions.
problem High volatility in FCOJ futures due to limited U.S. orange production.
method Developed models to assess the impact of USDA October orange production forecasts on FCOJ market participants.
result Probabilistic forecasts of USDA production forecast error can reduce FCOJ price volatility.
Agent-based model simulates speculative electronic market with price bubbles.
problem Understanding speculative behavior and price bubbles in electronic markets.
method Agent-based model with two types of traders: mean reverting and speculative.
result Speculative traders lead to increased volatility and price deviations from fundamental value.
Paper develops privacy-preserving federated learning for nonsmooth objectives.
problem Solving nonsmooth objective functions in a privacy-preserving manner.
method Zero-concentrated differential privacy (zCDP) with Gaussian noise, distributed ADMM, and approximation of augmented Lagrangian.
result The algorithm achieves a competitive privacy-accuracy trade-off and converges to the exact solution.
We study how network structure affects the dynamics of collateral in presence of rehypothecation. We build a simple model wherein banks interact via chains of repo contracts and use their proprietary collateral or re-use the collateral obtained by other banks via reverse repos. In this framework, we show that total col…
With this study we want to test the validity of the well known "Verdoorn's Law" which considers the relationship between the growth of productivity and output in the case of the Portuguese economy at a regional and sectoral levels (NUTs II) for the period 1995-1999. The importance of some additional variables in the or…
This paper treats prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems to quantify uncertainty and identify event outcomes.
problem Uncertainty and identifiability in prediction market outcomes from price-volume histories.
method Formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems, introduces a log-odds observation model, and derives posterior uncertainty quantification and identifiability criteria.
result Explicit diagnostics for informative and stable inference regimes, and validation through synthetic data experiments.
Paper introduces EO_k for quantifying accuracy-fairness trade-offs in FRL.
problem Tackles the trade-off between accuracy and fairness in FRL.
method Kernel-based formulation of EO criterion for FRL.
result Offers a unified analytical characterization of fairness tradeoffs.
Paper optimizes liquidity provision in decentralized finance markets.
problem Strategic LPs face predictable losses and concentration risk in CL pools.
method Derive optimal liquidity provision strategy based on fees, PL, and concentration risk.
result Optimal strategy increases fee revenue and profit from marginal rate changes.
Study analyzes EU ETS carbon market dynamics, revealing inefficiencies and anomalies.
problem Inefficiencies and anomalies in EU ETS trading and pricing mechanisms.
method Empirical analysis using AR-GARCH model and weighted network analysis.
result Heterogeneous and sometimes counter-intuitive elasticities in price-volume relationships.
The mutual fund industry manages about a quarter of the assets in the U.S. stock market and thus plays an important role in the U.S. economy. The question of how much control is concentrated in the hands of the largest players is best quantitatively discussed in terms of the tail behavior of the mutual fund size distri…
Centralized exchanges influence staking behavior and decentralization in Proof of Stake blockchain ecosystems.
problem How do centralized exchanges affect staking behavior and decentralization in Proof of Stake blockchain ecosystems?
method Formulate a continuous-time mean field model of miners as validators and traders in a centralized market.
result Centralized trading activities enhance staking participation and promote decentralization through market incentives.
We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient and inefficient markets still persists even when agents trade on widely spread …
We study a financial model with a non-trivial price impact effect. In this model we consider the interaction of a large investor trading in an illiquid security, and a market maker who is quoting prices for this security. We assume that the market maker quotes the prices such that by taking the other side of the invest…
We advocate the use of Agnostic Allocation for the construction of long-only portfolios of stocks. We show that Agnostic Allocation Portfolios (AAPs) are a special member of a family of risk-based portfolios that are able to mitigate certain extreme features (excess concentration, high turnover, strong exposure to low-…
This work explores the relationship between expressivity and generalization in GNNs.
problem Understanding the trade-off between expressivity and generalization in GNNs.
method Introducing a novel framework that connects GNN generalization to the variance in graph structures they can capture.
result Theoretical findings align with empirical results, offering a deeper understanding of how expressivity enhances GNN generalization.
Over-the-counter markets are at the center of the postcrisis global reform of the financial system. We show how the size and structure of such markets can undergo rapid and extensive changes when participants engage in portfolio compression, a post-trade netting technology. Tightly-knit and concentrated trading structu…
High-speed computerized trading, often called "high-frequency trading" (HFT), has increased dramatically in financial markets over the last decade. In the US and Europe, it now accounts for nearly one-half of all trades. Although evidence suggests that HFT contributes to the efficiency of markets, there are concerns it…
Paper proposes a hybrid RL algorithm that combines offline and online data without needing reward info.
problem How to efficiently use online data to improve RL policies using only offline data.
method A three-stage hybrid RL algorithm that uses reward-agnostic exploration and model-based offline RL.
result The hybrid RL algorithm outperforms both pure offline and pure online RL in sample complexity.
The paper analyzes how open-end fund sales affect prices and returns.
problem How open-end fund sales impact prices and returns.
method Continuous-time market-clearing model to derive expected-return restrictions.
result Forced-sale pressure predicts actual fund selling and positive returns.
Firms with different ownership structures could be argued to have different levels of efficiency.Highly concentrated firms are expected to be more efficient as this type of ownership structure may alleviate the conflict of interest between managers and shareholders.In Malaysia, public-listed firms have been found to ha…
Paper addresses DP in bandits, focusing on zCDP and providing private algorithms.
problem Privacy concerns in recommender systems using user-sensitive data.
method Formalizes and compares different DP adaptations to bandits, proposes private algorithms for various bandit settings.
result Private algorithms ensure negligible privacy costs compared to non-private regret.
Backtesting framework for CLMMs on Uniswap V3 reduces reward estimation error.
problem Estimating rewards for CLMMs in Uniswap V3 liquidity pools.
method Parametric model for liquidity distribution, historical data analysis.
result Error in reward estimation less than 1% for each pool.
Theory for algebraic data on categories via concentration structures.
problem Defining algebraic structures on categories.
method Introducing concentration structures and concentration monoids.
result Every group can be represented as a concentration monoid of a trivial category.
Blockchain markets with paid-priority trading can lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
problem Discrete clearing and paid-priority in blockchain markets lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
method Developed a model to evaluate the viability of blockchain markets under discrete clearing and paid-priority.
result Paid-priority ordering induces endogenous selection, leading to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
ABM simulates OTC government bond market dynamics, enhancing liquidity and stability.
problem Understanding and ensuring market stability and liquidity in OTC government bond markets.
method Developed a bespoke ABM to simulate market-maker interactions and test hypotheses.
result Greater agent diversity enhances market liquidity and reducing market-making costs improves stability.
Study coevolutionary trading-agent dynamics in continuous strategies.
problem Understanding adaptive trading-agent interactions in complex markets.
method Experimental study of adaptive automated trading agents in a continuous strategy space.
result High-dimensional coevolutionary dynamics pose challenges in market analysis.
New risk measures improve portfolio diversification and stability.
problem Concentration risk in traditional portfolio optimization methods.
method Equal-correlation portfolio strategy with mathematical optimization.
result Improved risk diversification and stable returns.
Paper addresses concentration of distances for fractional quasi p-norms, identifying conditions for concentration and anti-concentration.
problem Understanding concentration of distances for fractional quasi p-norms in high dimensions.
method Analyzes conditions for concentration and anti-concentration of distances for fractional quasi p-norms.
result Identifies conditions for concentration and anti-concentration of fractional quasi p-norms, ruling out some approaches and specifying conditions for control.