arXiv research

Paper examines costs of using wrong price impact models in trading.

This article provides a simple explanation of the asymptotic concavity of the price impact of a meta-order via the microstructural properties of the market. This explanation is made more precise by a model in which the local relationship between the order flow and the fundamental price (i.e. the local price impact) is …

Optimal trading strategy under market resistance and concave price impact model.

A new model predicts price concavity and reversion after metaorder execution.

The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We show that isochronic (constant trading time) MI is slightly convex, and isochoric (constant trading volume) MI is…

Estimates self- and cross-impact concavity and decay patterns in financial markets.

The paper studies price impacts in asset liquidation markets.

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with respectively the trade arrival self-excitation, the price changes mean reversion…

Optimal trading strategy derived for nonlinear price impact models.

New model explains why metaorder impact estimation is hard with public data.

Our goal in this paper is to study the market impact in a market in which the order flow is autocorrelated. We build a model which explains qualitatively and quantitatively the empirical facts observed so far concerning market impact. We define different notions of market impact, and show how they lead to the different…

We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of metaorder size, i.e., the impact per share of large metaorders is smaller than that…

Algorithm generates realistic metaorders from public trade data.

We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity $g$) as a proxy for liquidity. This leads to a Price Impact Surface which depends on both volume $ω$ and $g$. The dependence …

In this study, we extend the optimal execution problem with convex market impact function studied in Kato (2014) to the case where the market impact function is S-shaped, that is, concave on $[0, \bar {x}_0]$ and convex on $[\bar {x}_0, \infty )$ for some $\bar {x}_0 \geq 0$. We study the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-…

It is known that the impact of transactions on stock price (market impact) is a concave function of the size of the order, but there exists little quantitative theory that suggests why this is so. I develop a quantitative theory for the market impact of hidden orders (orders that reflect the true intention of buying an…

The practice of valuation by marking-to-market with current trading prices is seriously flawed. Under leverage the problem is particularly dramatic: due to the concave form of market impact, selling always initially causes the expected leverage to increase. There is a critical leverage above which it is impossible to e…

Revisiting Trade-sign Long-memory and Square-root Law price impact

We revisit the "epsilon-intelligence" model of Toth et al.(2011), that was proposed as a minimal framework to understand the square-root dependence of the impact of meta-orders on volume in financial markets. The basic idea is that most of the daily liquidity is "latent" and furthermore vanishes linearly around the cur…

Study examines market impact of small orders in futures contracts.

This study examines how earnings announcements affect option volatility and pricing.

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for modelling stochastic interactions between agents, based on a herding process corrected b…

Investigates how rebalancing frequency and transaction costs affect log-optimal portfolios.

We suggest that the broad distribution of time scales in financial markets could be a crucial ingredient to reproduce realistic price dynamics in stylised Agent-Based Models. We propose a fractional reaction-diffusion model for the dynamics of latent liquidity in financial markets, where agents are very heterogeneous i…

ICCNLS models complex relationships as convex and concave components.

Dynamic pricing policy converges to Nash equilibrium with low regret.

The main results are two characterisations of log-concave densities in terms of the collection of lift zonoids corresponding to a peacock. These notions are recalled and connected to arbitrage-free asset pricing in financial mathematics.

Theory of price impact on bond term structure.

New method finds arbitrage opportunities in fluctuating asset bands.

Most modern financial markets use a continuous double auction mechanism to store and match orders and facilitate trading. In this paper we develop a microscopic dynamical statistical model for the continuous double auction under the assumption of IID random order flow, and analyze it using simulation, dimensional analy…

Study utility indifference pricing in a Bachelier model with small linear price impact.

Study liquidity impact on spread option pricing.

Modeling market makers' quoting strategies to understand price impact.

Develops SPT with price impact, deriving formulas for wealth and arbitrage conditions.

The asymmetric price impact between the institutional purchases and sales of 32 liquid stocks in Chinese stock markets in year 2003 is carefully studied. We analyze the price impact in both drawup and drawdown trends with consecutive positive and negative daily price changes, and test the dependence of the price impact…

We consider a broker who has to place a large order which consumes a sizable part of average daily trading volume. The broker's aim is thus to minimize execution costs he incurs from the adverse impact of his trades on market prices. By contrast to the previous literature, see, e.g., Obizhaeva and Wang (2005), Predoiu,…

Study optimal liquidation under high risk aversion and small price impact.

Investors' strategies in a market influenced by price impact are analyzed, showing aggressive behavior when impact exceeds a critical point.

Investigates cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.

We solve the superhedging problem for European options in an illiquid extension of the Black-Scholes model, in which transactions have transient price impact and the costs and the strategies for hedging are affected by physical or cash settlement requirements at maturity. Our analysis is based on a convenient choice of…

Measures price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.

We report on the occurrence of an anomaly in the price impacts of small transaction volumes following a change in the fee structure of an electronic market. We first review evidence for the existence of a master curve for price impact on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). On attempting to re-estimate a master curve…

The common wisdom argues that, in general, large trades cause large price changes, while small trades cause small price changes. However, for extremely large price changes, the trade size and news play a minor role, while the liquidity (especially price gaps on the limit order book) is a more influencing factor. Hence,…

The price impact for a single trade is estimated by the immediate response on an event time scale, i.e., the immediate change of midpoint prices before and after a trade. We work out the price impacts across a correlated financial market. We quantify the asymmetries of the distributions and of the market structures of …

Estimates cross-impact on derivatives markets using E-Mini futures and options.

Equity auctions show linear price impact up to a large volume, then non-linear.

We solve in closed-form an equilibrium model in which a finite number of exponential investors continuously consume and trade with price-impact. Compared to the analogous Pareto-efficient equilibrium model, price-impact has an amplification effect on risk-sharing distortions that helps resolve the interest rate puzzle …

New data improves market impact estimation methods.