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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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12243547 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for compound options

Study short-maturity VIX and European option prices with jumps.

problem Analyzing VIX and European options with jumps in short-maturity models.
method Local-stochastic volatility models with compound Poisson jumps, leading-order asymptotics in closed-form.
result Closed-form solutions for VIX and European option prices in short-maturity models.

New MC-Tree method combines Monte Carlo and binomial tree for option pricing and CVA.

problem Combining Monte Carlo and binomial tree methods for accurate and efficient option pricing and CVA calculations.
method MC-Tree method that mixes Monte Carlo and binomial tree parameters, using maximum entropy distributions for compound densities.
result MC-Tree method provides accurate and efficient option pricing and CVA calculations.

The paper develops Hawkes-based models for LOB and applies them to European, spread, and basket option pricing.

problem Developing accurate models for pricing options in the context of limit order books (LOB).
method Introduces multivariate Hawkes processes and their limit theorems, applies to European, spread, and basket options.
result Hawkes-based models provide more market forecast information than classical models.

A stochastic model for pure-jump diffusion (the compound renewal process) can be used as a zero-order approximation and as a phenomenological description of tick-by-tick price fluctuations. This leads to an exact and explicit general formula for the martingale price of a European call option. A complete derivation of t…

2012-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper prices long-term options with a reflecting barrier model.

problem Pricing long-term options with asset price limits.
method Model asset price as geometric Brownian motion with a lower reflecting barrier, pricing options using compound options.
result Option prices can be determined using standard risk-neutral arguments, and hedging strategies are available.

We investigate the pricing of cliquet options in a jump-diffusion model. The considered option is of monthly sum cap style while the underlying stock price model is driven by a drifted Lévy process entailing a Brownian diffusion component as well as compound Poisson jumps. We also derive representations for the density…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.

problem Analyzing Asian options pricing in models with jumps and local volatility.
method Asymptotic analysis for short maturity, considering fixed and floating strike options.
result Explicit results for Asian option prices in several models, including Merton, double-exponential, and Variance Gamma models.

Optimizing option exercise policies based on variance optimal martingale measure can lead to unappealing results.

problem Optimizing American option exercise policies under the variance optimal martingale measure can result in unappealing policies.
method Optimizing option exercise policies under the variance optimal martingale measure, then anchoring to the resulting value of this policy.
result Optimizing option exercise policies based on the variance optimal martingale measure can lead to unappealing results.

Derives a pricing formula for VIX options using a new stochastic volatility model.

problem Pricing VIX options under a new stochastic volatility model with volatility clustering.
method Derives a semi-analytical pricing formula using the Heston-Hawkes model with an independent compound Hawkes process.
result Derives an explicit expression for VIX^2 as a linear combination of variance and Hawkes intensity.

Develops a PIDE framework for option pricing with stochastic volatility and jumps.

problem Option pricing under stochastic volatility and jumps.
method PIDE framework derived from Lévy-type process, implemented via finite-difference discretization with FFT for nonlocal jump operator, calibrated using GMM.
result Stochastic volatility accounts for most pricing improvement, reducing implied-volatility RMSE by 39% compared to Black-Scholes.

In the present paper we present a finite element approach for option pricing in the framework of a well-known stochastic volatility model with jumps, the Bates model. In this model the asset log-returns are assumed to follow a jump-diffusion model where the jump component consists of a Levy process of compound Poisson …

2008-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper shows robustness of Hilbert space-valued stochastic volatility models to perturbations.

problem Robustness of Hilbert space-valued stochastic volatility models to measurement or approximation errors.
method Quantifying the error induced by volatility perturbations and studying robustness of volatility process with finite dimensional approximations.
result Explicit bounds for the induced error in terms of approximation of the underlying parameter.

Study prices energy derivatives using specific stochastic processes.

problem Pricing energy derivatives in markets driven by specific stochastic processes.
method Calculated characteristic functions, derived non-arbitrage conditions, and developed efficient algorithms for simulation.
result Developed methods for pricing various energy contracts.

Based on the concept of self-decomposable random variables we discuss the application of a model for a pair of dependent Poisson processes to energy facilities. Due to the resulting structure of the jump events we can see the self-decomposability as a form of cointegration among jumps. In the context of energy faciliti…

2015-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study estimates Medallion's compounded return before fees at 31.8%.

problem Incorrectly using yearly returns for compounding leads to overestimation of fund performance.
method Used fund sizes and trading profits to estimate compounded return; used manager's wealth as proxy for Simons.
result Annualized compounded return of Medallion before fees is likely under 35%

Characterizes measures preserving compound mixed renewal process properties.

problem Preserving compound mixed renewal process properties under different probability measures.
method Characterization of progressively equivalent probability measures.
result Any compound mixed renewal process can be converted into a compound mixed Poisson process through a change of measures.

We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix E\underline{\underline{E}} onto a non-random vector. The scaling index E\underline{\underline{E}} models prices of the individual financial asse…

2006-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…

2011-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We study T. Cover's rebalancing option (Ordentlich and Cover 1998) under discrete hindsight optimization in continuous time. The payoff in question is equal to the final wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best of some finite set of (perhaps levered) rebalancing rules determined in hindsight. A r…

2019-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

High throughput screening of compounds (chemicals) is an essential part of drug discovery [7], involving thousands to millions of compounds, with the purpose of identifying candidate hits. Most statistical tools, including the industry standard B-score method, work on individual compound plates and do not exploit cross…

2017-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we introduce a new model for the risk process based on general compound Hawkes process (GCHP) for the arrival of claims. We call it risk model based on general compound Hawkes process (RMGCHP). The Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and the Functional Central Limit Theorem (FCLT) are proved. We also study the ma…

2017-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Semi-supervised learning improves QSAR model predictions for novel compounds.

problem Improving model predictions for compounds not in the training set and adjusting for selection bias.
method Semi-supervised learning framework to estimate model quality and adjust for selection bias.
result Predictions for novel compounds are improved by accounting for compound similarity and selection bias.

New Riemannian geometry for Compound Gaussian distributions applied to efficient change detection.

problem Change detection in multivariate image times series.
method Developed a recursive approach based on Riemannian optimization.
result Optimal performance achieved with computational efficiency.

ChemGrapher uses deep learning to automatically convert chemical compound images into accurate graphs.

problem Automatically converting chemical compound images into accurate graphs with correct bond multiplicity and stereochemical information.
method Developed a deep neural network model for optical compound recognition, including segmentation and classification models.
result Significant error reductions in bond multiplicity and stereochemical information compared to existing tools.

The study improves compound selection in in silico screening by focusing on model's ability to predict desirable outcomes.

problem Improving compound selection in in silico screening to reduce errors and enhance generalization.
method Extending learning theory, the study analyzes the impact of selection policies on generalization and proposes a method to mitigate challenges.
result Generalization can be enhanced by considering a model's ability to predict the fraction of desired outcomes in a batch.

The paper develops generalization bounds for deep compound Gaussian neural networks.

problem Developing theoretical guarantees for the performance of deep neural networks.
method Novel generalization error bounds using a compound Gaussian prior and Dudley's integral.
result Theoretical bounds show generalization error scales O(nln(n))\mathcal{O}(n\sqrt{\ln(n)}) in signal dimension and O((NetworkSize)3/2)\mathcal{O}((Network Size)^{3/2}) in network size.