Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.
problem Corporate resilience and its types in turbulent markets.
method Quantitative analysis of earnings expectations and implied discount rates.
result Evidence of workplace resilience amplification by financial status in the COVID-19 era.
Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.
problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.
We provide a methodology, resilient feature engineering, for creating adversarially resilient classifiers. According to existing work, adversarial attacks identify weakly correlated or non-predictive features learned by the classifier during training and design the adversarial noise to utilize these features. Therefore…
Measures financial resilience using BSDEs and their properties.
problem Measuring financial resilience in dynamic risk environments.
method Developed stochastic calculus for BSDEs with jumps, revealing resilience rate as expectation of generator.
result Resilience rate can be represented as expectation of BSDE generator, revealing properties of dynamic risk measures.
Python tool assesses European agricultural production resilience.
problem Estimating resilience of European agricultural production systems.
method Python software to compute annual production resilience indicator.
result Demonstrates resilience of European agricultural production.
This paper measures financial market resilience in China and identifies key uncertainties.
problem Measuring financial market resilience in China.
method Quantitative analysis of total financial market and sub-markets, Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach.
result Financial market resilience in China is event-driven and influenced by geopolitical risks, economic and trade policy uncertainty, and U.S.-China tensions.
The resilience of low-degree Rademacher chaos is studied, providing probabilistic lower bounds.
problem Understanding how much a Rademacher chaos can withstand adversarial sign-flips without significant probability changes.
method Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree.
result Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree, especially meaningful for constant degree.
New model shows negative resilience can improve trading efficiency.
problem Optimal trade execution in limit order books with negative resilience.
method Stochastic order book model with negative resilience.
result Negative resilience can lead to more efficient trading.
The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges monetary exposures between them. Our model captures the strong degree of heterog…
Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.
problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.
Study on academic finance evolution over 30 years.
problem Understanding changes in academic finance research over time.
method Analysis of 32 finance journals from 1992 to 2021 using Structural Topic Model.
result Most journals have become more generalist over time, covering more topics.
Paper presents a new method for better financial market forecasting.
problem Traditional investment strategies fail to capture market nuances and risks.
method Combines deep learning, factor integration, and correlated stock analysis.
result Enhanced diversification and performance capture in financial markets.
Financial markets can be seen as complex systems that are constantly evolving and sensitive to external disturbance, such as systemic risks and economic instabilities. Analysis of resilient market performance, therefore, becomes useful for investors. From a systems perspective, this paper proposes a novel function-base…
ResiliNet improves distributed neural network inference resilience.
problem Physical node failures in distributed neural networks cause performance drops.
method Skip hyperconnection and failout technique.
result ResiliNet provides inference resiliency for distributed neural networks.
The paper introduces a US crime index to assess financial losses from property and cyber crimes.
problem Lack of indices evaluating crime's financial impact on investments.
method Developed an index-based insurance portfolio using FBI financial losses data.
result Real estate, ransomware, and government impersonation are major risk contributors.
New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.
problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.
New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.
problem Bi-criteria combinatorial optimization with noisy function evaluations.
method Introducing (α,β,δ,extttN)-resilience and developing a black-box framework. result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation for bi-criteria bandit problems.
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.
problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.
Paper tackles Byzantine resilience in distributed multi-task learning.
problem Resilience of distributed algorithms in the presence of Byzantine agents.
method Online weight assignment rule based on accumulated loss and filtering.
result Aggregation with proposed weight assignment rule improves expected regret.
This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.
problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.
Ray tracing sampler improves neural network sampling efficiency and resilience.
problem Sampling neural network posterior distributions efficiently and robustly.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo using ray tracing through likelihood space.
result Significantly higher resilience to gradient heating compared to HMC.
Improved deep neural network generalization through noise resilience.
problem Understanding and predicting generalization error of deep neural networks.
method Noise resilience measures to predict generalization error.
result Secured 5th position in the PGDL competition at NeurIPS 2020.
CyBeR-0 optimizes federated learning with Byzantine resilience and reduced communication costs.
problem Byzantine attacks and communication inefficiency in federated learning.
method Transformed robust aggregation for zero-order optimization under client heterogeneity.
result CyBeR-0 achieves stable performance with minimal communication costs and reduced memory usage.
Firms' collaboration networks can decline but remain resilient.
problem Resilience of firms' collaboration networks during decline.
method Analysis of 21,500 R&D collaborations over 25 years, simulating drop-out cascades.
result Firms' collaboration networks can adapt to mitigate decline and recover.
A methodology for resilience analysis of Capsule Networks under approximation errors.
problem Resilience of Capsule Networks under approximation errors.
method Modeling and analyzing approximation errors in Capsule Networks' inference.
result Capsule Networks are more resilient to errors during dynamic routing than other stages.
This paper investigates the resilience and robustness of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policies to adversarial perturbations in the state space. We first present an approach for the disentanglement of vulnerabilities caused by representation learning of DRL agents from those that stem from the sensitivity of the DR…
We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-timestamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity commonality through the degree of ex…
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
New framework boosts neural network performance and resilience.
problem Susceptibility of compact neural network implementations to system disturbances.
method Realistic crossbar simulations and Mosaics framework to re-use synaptic connections.
result Compact neural networks are noise-immune and perform well under disturbances.
Mitigates faults in DNNs by clipping activation values, improving their resilience.
problem Fault tolerance of DNNs in safety-critical applications.
method Clipping activation functions to reduce impact of faulty weights.
result Significant improvement in classification accuracy (68.92%) for fault mitigation.
We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an application of this limit theorem, we explain how to reduce portfolio choice in highly-re…
Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are beyond the ability of commonly used methods to process the data within a reasona…
This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.
problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.
Model uses Navier-Stokes equations to assess liquidity and systemic risk.
problem Traditional models fail to capture real market fluctuations and extreme events.
method Develops and validates a mathematical model based on Navier-Stokes equations, incorporating 13 macroeconomic and financial parameters.
result Model effectively describes liquidity dynamics, systemic risk, and extreme scenarios.
Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.
problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.
TensorFI injects faults in TensorFlow programs to assess their reliability.
problem Ensuring reliability of machine learning systems in safety-critical domains.
method TensorFI is a flexible fault injection framework for TensorFlow applications.
result TensorFI evaluates the resilience of 12 ML programs, including autonomous vehicle DNNs.
Ranger improves DNNs' fault resilience without re-computation.
problem Transient faults in DNNs cause errors, reducing reliability.
method Range restriction to transform critical faults to benign faults.
result Significant improvement in error resilience (3x to 50x) with no accuracy loss.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
Quantum algorithms for CVaR portfolio optimization face trade-offs between hardware coherence and expressibility.
problem Quantum algorithmic resilience for CVaR portfolio optimization
method WS-QAOA vs. HE-VQNN
result WS-QAOA provides exact theoretical mapping but suffers from hardware decoherence, while HE-VQNN preserves hardware coherence but lacks expressibility.
Predictive Q-learning algorithm for IoT networks with human operators.
problem Resilient and predictive actions for IoT networks with faulty components.
method Predictive and resilient Q-learning algorithm considering historical data and human operator feedback.
result Optimal scheduling policies avoiding attacked locations and faults.
Cryptos remained resilient after SVB's collapse, contrary to expectations.
problem Impact of SVB collapse on crypto markets.
method Factual summary, sentiment analysis, and market performance examination.
result Cryptocurrencies showed resilience after SVB's collapse.
Adaptive learning model forecasts financial prices using order book data.
problem Forecasting high-frequency financial time series with non-stationary data.
method Adaptive learning model based on order book data, with stationarity and non-stationarity considerations.
result The model outperforms top fixed models and improves forecasting accuracy.
One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default contagion. Using sparse random graphs to model the financial network, asymptotic met…
In order-driven markets, limit-order book (LOB) resiliency is an important microscopic indicator of market quality when the order book is hit by a liquidity shock and plays an essential role in the design of optimal submission strategies of large orders. However, the evolutionary behavior of LOB resilience around liqui…
LiuBei is a resilient ML algorithm that tolerates Byzantine workers and servers without trusting any component.
problem Byzantine failures in distributed ML solutions.
method Byzantine-resilient ML algorithm that aggregates gradients and replicates parameter servers, using a filtering mechanism and scatter/gather protocol.
result LiuBei achieves Byzantine resilience to both servers and workers and guarantees convergence, with an accuracy loss of around 5% and a 24% convergence overhead.
Introduces an artificial cyber lab to test and identify cyber resilience measures.
problem Systemic cyber risks and their control methods.
method Classical contagion models and artificial cyber lab simulations.
result Identified two classes of measures: security- and topology-based interventions.
New algorithm trains binary-activation, multi-level RNNs for noise-resilient, ADC-/DAC-free PIM inference.
problem Training noise-resilient, ADC-/DAC-free neural networks.
method Binary activations and multi-level weights for eNVM-based processing-in-memory circuits.
result Higher accuracy and noise resilience for recurrent networks compared to existing methods.
Our knowledge about the evolution of guarantee network in downturn period is limited due to the lack of comprehensive data of the whole credit system. Here we analyze the dynamic Chinese guarantee network constructed from a comprehensive bank loan dataset that accounts for nearly 80% total loans in China, during 01/200…