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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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285785113 · May 202619922001200920182026
48 results for composite outcomes

New method for causal inference with complex treatment compositions.

problem Estimating causal effects with compositional treatments.
method Kernel-based covariate functional balancing approach.
result Achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency without requiring consistent estimation of weights.

Bayesian optimization learns DM preferences for multi-outcome experiments.

problem Optimizing expensive experiments with unknown utility functions and multiple outcomes.
method Alternates preference learning and Bayesian optimization, using pairwise comparisons.
result Preference exploration strategies improve Bayesian optimization performance.

DEBIAS learns causal effects from psychiatric longitudinal data by optimizing outcome weights.

problem Causal inference challenges in psychiatric longitudinal data due to symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding.
method DEBIAS algorithm that optimizes outcome weights to maximize durable treatment effects and minimize confounding.
result DEBIAS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in recovering causal effects for clinically interpretable composite outcomes.

BoTier optimizes experiments by balancing multiple objectives hierarchically.

problem Balancing multiple competing objectives in scientific experiments.
method Composite objective that flexibly represents a hierarchy of preferences over outcomes and parameters.
result Demonstrates robust applicability across various use cases and seamless integration.

Study causal effects on humans in mixed human-AI systems with unobserved unit types.

problem Estimating causal effects on humans in systems with unobserved unit types and interaction networks.
method Assumed human-AI prior, causal message passing (CMP) framework, subpopulation analysis.
result Consistently recover human-specific causal effects using subpopulations with varying expected human composition and treatment exposure.

LUQ-Learning adapts Q-learning for healthcare decisions considering patient preferences.

problem Optimizing treatment decisions for multivariate outcomes based on individual preferences.
method Latent Utility Q-Learning (LUQ-Learning) framework that adapts Q-learning for composite outcomes.
result LUQ-Learning achieves highly competitive performance compared to alternative methods in simulations.

New model identifies microbial subcommunities robustly, accounting for cross-sample heterogeneity.

problem Inference in LDA is sensitive to the number of subcommunities and often creates artificial ones.
method Incorporates logistic-tree normal (LTN) model into LDA to account for cross-sample heterogeneity.
result Restores robustness of inference and identifies meaningful subcommunities.

Optimizes treatment duration to maximize quality-adjusted lifetime.

problem Balancing risks and benefits in clinical decision making.
method Proposes a weighted estimating equation to adjust for confounding and informative censoring, and a nonparametric estimator for mean counterfactual quality-adjusted lifetime.
result Shows the optimal time for percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy insertion in ALS patients.

This paper characterizes exp-concavity of proper composite losses and transforms mixable losses into exp-concave ones.

problem Understanding and transforming mixable losses into exp-concave ones for better online prediction strategies.
method Characterization of exp-concavity, mixability condition, and approximation approach for multi-class losses.
result Complete characterization of exp-concavity for proper composite losses and transformation of mixable losses into exp-concave ones.

Kernel-based learning predicts ICU escalation from COVID-19 chest X-rays.

problem Predicting ICU escalation from chest X-rays using complex data patterns.
method Generalized Linear Models with Integrated Multiple Additive Regression with Kernels (GLIMARK).
result GLIMARK effectively predicts ICU escalation from chest X-rays.

This paper treats prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems to quantify uncertainty and identify event outcomes.

problem Uncertainty and identifiability in prediction market outcomes from price-volume histories.
method Formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems, introduces a log-odds observation model, and derives posterior uncertainty quantification and identifiability criteria.
result Explicit diagnostics for informative and stable inference regimes, and validation through synthetic data experiments.

Adding data can sometimes hurt model performance in multi-source healthcare tasks.

problem Identifying when adding more data helps or hinders model outcomes in multi-source healthcare tasks.
method Identified the Data Addition Dilemma, demonstrated empirically observed trade-offs, introduced distribution shift heuristics.
result Adding data can sometimes reduce model performance due to distribution shift.

This research tackles group fairness in predictive process monitoring by ensuring predictions are independent of sensitive group membership.

problem Predictive models using biased historical data can perpetuate unfair behavior in new cases.
method Investigates independence through metrics like ΔDP and a composite loss function balancing predictive performance and fairness.
result Proposes and validates a composite loss function for training models that balance fairness and performance.

New framework shows diverse training data improves subgroup and overall performance.

problem Lack of understanding how diverse training data affects subgroup and overall performance.
method Casts data collection as part of the learning process, analyzes dataset compositions, and guides dataset design.
result Diverse representation in training data improves subgroup and overall performance.

DCMIX learns channel importance for high content imaging.

problem Lack of channel importance information in deep learning-based image analysis.
method Image blending concepts with alpha compositing for arbitrary channels.
result DCMIX learns biologically relevant channel importance without sacrificing prediction performance.

The paper proposes a method to ensure fairness in machine learning models.

problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models powered by supervised learning.
method Optimal affine transport and Wasserstein-2 barycenter to characterize the Pareto frontier between prediction error and statistical disparity.
result The proposed method effectively balances prediction accuracy and fairness, as demonstrated by numerical simulations.

This work is an analytical and numerical study of the composition of several fractals into one and of the relation between the composite dimension and the dimensions of the component fractals. In the case of composition of standard IFS with segments of equal size, the composite dimension can be expressed as a function …

2014-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New geometric approach for analyzing compositional data like gut microbiomes.

problem Analyzing non-negative compositional data with relative values only.
method Reinterpret compositional data as quotient topology of a sphere, using spherical harmonics and reflection group actions.
result Construction of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) for compositional data.

Adversarial weight perturbations can inject backdoors into trained neural models.

problem Security risk of using publicly available trained models due to backdoors.
method Extended adversarial perturbations to model weights, using a composite loss and projected gradient descent.
result Adversarial weight perturbations can be successfully injected with very small changes, exposing security risks across various tasks.

Study on deep neural networks using branching processes and Mehler's formula.

problem Understanding the mathematical role of activation functions in compositional neural networks.
method Connection between compositional kernels and branching processes via Mehler's formula; new random features algorithm.
result Explicit formulas for eigenvalues of compositional kernels quantify complexity.

We establish conditions for compositional generalization in machine learning.

problem Achieving compositional generalization in machine learning models.
method We reformulate compositionality as a property of the data-generating process and derive mild conditions on the training distribution and model architecture.
result Our theoretical framework enables compositional generalization under mild conditions.

Unified framework for hybrid learning and optimization via active inference.

problem Sequential decisions in black-box evaluations requiring both task improvement and uncertainty reduction.
method Pragmatic Curiosity (PraC) framework that evaluates queries by balancing information gain and pragmatic value.
result Unified approach reduces decision risk and improves coverage of critical regions without task-specific rules.

Develops methods for causal inference in compositional data using instrumental variables.

problem Interpreting summary statistics like diversity indices as causal effects in compositional data.
method Statistical data transformations and regression techniques tailored for compositional data.
result Advantages and limitations of the proposed methods demonstrated on synthetic and real microbiome data.

In classical field theory, the composite fibred manifolds Y -> Z -> X provides the adequate mathematical formulation of gauge models with broken symmetries, e.g., the gauge gravitation theory. This work is devoted to connections on composite fibred manifolds. In particular, we get the horizontal splitting of the vertic…

1994-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The p-index improves investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.

problem Improving investment performance for stocks using the p-index.
method Comparing different p-ratio strategies and empirical efficient frontiers for SSE and NYSE stocks.
result The p-index enhances investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.

Model predicts composite structures assembly quality with input uncertainty.

problem Accurate prediction of dimensional deviations and residual stress in composite structures assembly.
method Neural Network Gaussian Process considering input uncertainty.
result NNGPIU model outperforms other methods for nonsmooth, nonlinear responses.

New algorithm reduces complexity for optimizing complex machine learning tasks.

problem Optimizing complex machine learning objectives like reinforcement learning and portfolio management.
method Developed SARAH-Compositional algorithm using Stochastic Recursive Gradient Descent.
result Achieved optimal IFO complexity bounds for stochastic compositional optimization.

This paper introduces compositional data analysis for financial ratios, improving industry-level analysis.

problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios at industry level.
method Compositional data analysis techniques for financial ratios.
result Improved analysis of financial ratios using compositional data methods.

Study challenges neural models in compositional learning tasks.

problem Challenges in neural models for compositional and relational learning.
method Introduced ConceptWorld environment for generating images from compositional concepts, tested various neural architectures.
result Neural models struggle with longer compositional chains and substitutivity tests.

SCL discovers compositional structures in analogical reasoning tasks.

problem Discovering compositional structures in analogical reasoning tasks like Raven's Progressive Matrices.
method Proposes Scattering Compositional Learner (SCL) that composes neural networks in sequence.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on RPM datasets with significant improvements.

Paper develops momentum schemes with variance reduction for non-convex composition optimization.

problem Lack of convergence guarantee and efficient momentum design in existing algorithms.
method Develops various momentum schemes with SPIDER-based variance reduction.
result Achieves near-optimal sample complexity and linear convergence rate.

Model estimates foreign exchange reserve compositions of undisclosed central banks.

problem Limited information on central bank reserve compositions hinders analysis.
method Hidden Markov Model relating portfolio valuation to exchange rates.
result China's reserve composition likely matches global average, while Singapore holds fewer US dollars.

In this paper we study n-composition series of affine manifolds. One composition series are classified using gerbe theory. It is natural to think that n-composition series must be classified using n-gerbe theory. In the last section of this, we propose a notion of abelian n-gerbe theory

2001-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proves composite neural networks outperform their components under certain conditions.

problem Understanding the performance of composite neural networks.
method Theoretical investigation of a composite neural network combining pre-trained models.
result A composite neural network, with high probability, performs better than any of its pre-trained components.

A new geometry-preserving method for interpreting compositional data.

problem Statistical challenges in high-dimensional compositional data.
method Geometry-preserving framework for dimension reduction of compositional data.
result Identification of a central compositional subspace for compositional predictors.

RICH models scenes as hierarchical tree to learn and generate complex compositions.

problem Learning compositional structures between parts and objects in natural scenes.
method RICH uses a latent scene graph to organize entities into a tree structure and employs a top-down inference approach.
result RICH learns and generates complex scene hierarchies from unlabeled data.