A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We introduce a simple analysis of the structural complexity of infinite-memory processes built from random samples of stationary, ergodic finite-memory component processes. Such processes are familiar from the well known multi-arm Bandit problem. We contrast our analysis with computation-theoretic and statistical infer…
Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process is uncorrelated with its complex conjugate. This assumption is a good model of th…
New algorithms extract low-dimensional representations from sequential data, revealing insights into complex processes.
problem Challenges in extracting low-dimensional representations from sequential, high-dimensional, sparse, and noisy data.
method Developed new clustering algorithms based on Block Markov Chains theory, validated on real-world data.
result These algorithms can successfully extract low-dimensional representations from real-world sequential data, revealing insights into complex processes.
Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data, standard strategies for sparsifying the model can prevent the approximation of …
We develop a complexity measure for large-scale economic systems based on Shannon's concept of entropy. By adopting Leontief's perspective of the production process as a circular flow, we formulate the process as a Markov chain. Then we derive a measure of economic complexity as the average number of bits required to e…
Complex numbers have long been favoured for digital signal processing, yet complex representations rarely appear in deep learning architectures. RNNs, widely used to process time series and sequence information, could greatly benefit from complex representations. We present a novel complex gated recurrent cell, which i…
The construction of synthetic complex-valued signals from real-valued observations is an important step in many time series analysis techniques. The most widely used approach is based on the Hilbert transform, which maps the real-valued signal into its quadrature component. In this paper, we define a probabilistic gene…
Inspired by constructions in complex geometry we introduce a thermodynamic framework for Monge-Ampère equations on real tori. We show convergence in law of the associated point processes and explain connections to complex Monge-Ampère equations and optimal transport.
Percolation on complex networks has been used to study computer viruses, epidemics, and other casual processes. Here, we present conditions for the existence of a network specific, observation dependent, phase transition in the updated posterior of node states resulting from actively monitoring the network. Since tradi…
This paper introduces a novel framework for modeling temporal events with complex longitudinal dependency that are generated by dependent sources. This framework takes advantage of multidimensional point processes for modeling time of events. The intensity function of the proposed process is a mixture of intensities, a…
This paper provides an algorithm for simulating improper (or noncircular) complex-valued stationary Gaussian processes. The technique utilizes recently developed methods for multivariate Gaussian processes from the circulant embedding literature. The method can be performed in O(nlog2n) operations, where…
Develops scalable model for learning velocity fields in complex traffic scenarios.
problem Learning heterogeneous and dynamic velocity fields in complex traffic scenarios.
method Nonparametric Bayesian modeling with hierarchical Dirichlet process and infinite hidden Markov model, Gaussian process prior, and scalable approximate inference.
result Demonstrates effective scalability and applicability to real-world traffic data.
Formalizes identifying information to answer key questions about machine learning from uncertain and novel observations.
problem Understanding and quantifying information from uncertain and novel observations in machine learning.
method Formalizes identifying information, defines hypothesis identification and sample complexity, and proves sample complexity properties for various data-generating processes.
result Proves the information theoretic characteristics of hypothesis identification and sample complexity, and shows how to compute identifying information and novel information.