Clusters cryptocurrency market states via cross correlation analysis.
problem Analyse cryptocurrency market dynamics.
method Cross correlation structure analysis over 5 years.
result Cryptocurrency market clusters into 4 states.
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48 results for “complex correlation structures”
This study analyzes cryptocurrency market dynamics using a novel -dependent detrended cross-correlation method.
problem Capturing correlations at varying fluctuation amplitudes and time scales in complex systems.
method Extends traditional metrics with -dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient ρ(q,s) and MSTs.
result Significant shifts in network structures during major disruptions, leading to decentralized correlations.
CADGMM detects anomalies by capturing complex correlations in data.
problem Detecting anomalies in complex, unstructured data.
method CADGMM uses a graph structure to encode correlations, then a dual-encoder to learn low-dimensional latent space, followed by a Gaussian Mixture Model for anomaly detection.
result CADGMM effectively detects anomalies in real-world datasets.
Multivariate functional data from a complex system are naturally high-dimensional and have complex cross-correlation structure. The complexity of data structure can be observed as that (1) some functions are strongly correlated with similar features, while some others may have almost no cross-correlations with quite di…
Zooming into market statesq-fin.ST
We analyze the daily stock data of the Nasdaq Composite index in the 22-year period 1992-2013 and identify market states as clusters of correlation matrices with similar correlation structures. We investigate the stability of the correlation structure of each state by estimating the statistical fluctuations of correlat…
Improved sample complexity for Gaussian Mixture Models using Pair Correlation Factor.
problem Understanding the sample complexity of Gaussian Mixture Models.
method Introducing Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) to measure clustering of component means and improving sample complexity bounds.
result The Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) more accurately determines the difficulty of parameter recovery in Gaussian Mixture Models.
Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena, as do the influential stocks (leaders) and sectors (communities), during market e…
This paper introduces anti-correlation networks to study China's stock market.
problem Previous studies ignored anti-correlation in financial networks.
method Constructed weighted temporal anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
result Unveiled differences in topological measurements between anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
Structure of international trade hypergraphsphysics.soc-ph
Study the structure of international trade through hypergraphs.
problem Understanding the complex relationships in international trade networks.
method Analyzing the mean hyperdegree of adjacent vertices and decomposing correlation properties.
result Identifies bias in trade relationships not visible in pairwise networks.
The properties of q-dependent cross-correlation matrices of stock market have been analyzed by using the random matrix theory and complex network. The correlation structures of the fluctuations at different magnitudes have unique properties. The cross-correlations among small fluctuations are much stronger than those a…
Study analyzes landscape complexity of empirical loss functions with correlated data.
problem Understanding the complexity of loss landscapes in machine learning with structured data.
method Kac-Rice formula and random matrix theory applied to high-dimensional empirical loss functions.
result Characterizes the average number of critical points in loss functions with structured data.
Study analyzes stock market correlations using multivariate distributions.
problem Capturing the correlation structure of complex, non-stationary systems.
method Applied Random Matrix Model to empirical data of 479 US stocks.
result Described and quantified changes in empirical distributions due to non-stationarity.
Improved eigenvalue distribution method for financial data.
problem Noise and complexity in financial markets.
method Matrix H theory, hierarchical structure, informational cascade.
result Captures a larger fraction of data variance in financial markets.
We consider the problem of learning the structure of Ising models (pairwise binary Markov random fields) from i.i.d. samples. While several methods have been proposed to accomplish this task, their relative merits and limitations remain somewhat obscure. By analyzing a number of concrete examples, we show that low-comp…
Coarse graining correlation matrices according to macrostructures: Financial markets as a paradigmq-fin.ST
Financial markets analyzed by reducing correlation matrix complexity.
problem Understanding complex financial market correlations.
method Coarse graining Pearson correlation matrices into Guhr matrices by market sectors.
result Significant reduction in the number of relevant variables.
In this paper, we present a hypergraph neural networks (HGNN) framework for data representation learning, which can encode high-order data correlation in a hypergraph structure. Confronting the challenges of learning representation for complex data in real practice, we propose to incorporate such data structure in a hy…
We introduce a method to learn a hierarchy of successively more abstract representations of complex data based on optimizing an information-theoretic objective. Intuitively, the optimization searches for a set of latent factors that best explain the correlations in the data as measured by multivariate mutual informatio…
The paper analyzes Nordic stock markets' correlation structures and regime shifts.
problem Understanding and exploiting regime shifts in Nordic stock markets.
method Examined two decades of daily data for OMXS30, OMXC20, and OMXH25 universes; proposed an adaptive portfolio allocation framework.
result Documented pronounced regime dependence in rolling correlation matrices; proposed an adaptive portfolio allocation framework.
World currency network constitutes one of the most complex structures that is associated with the contemporary civilization. On a way towards quantifying its characteristics we study the cross correlations in changes of the daily foreign exchange rates within the basket of 60 currencies in the period December 1998 -- M…
Financial markets are highly correlated systems that reveal both the inter-market dependencies and the correlations among their different components. Standard analyzing techniques include correlation coefficients for pairs of signals and correlation matrices for rich multivariate data. In the latter case one constructs…
The paper explores local-correlation models for pricing complex financial contracts.
problem Calibrating synthetic quanto forward contracts and composite options.
method Design on-line calibration procedures for local and stochastic volatility models.
result Calibration performance of local-correlation models compared to simpler approximations.
The statistical dependencies which independent component analysis (ICA) cannot remove often provide rich information beyond the linear independent components. It would thus be very useful to estimate the dependency structure from data. While such models have been proposed, they usually concentrated on higher-order corr…
Study uses topological signatures to quantify financial market complexity.
problem Capturing temporal organization beyond volatility measures.
method Null validated topological approach using norm of persistence landscapes.
result Persistence landscape norms reveal dynamical structure during market stress.
In this paper we provide evidence that financial option markets for equity indices give rise to non-trivial dependency structures between its constituents. Thus, if the individual constituent distributions of an equity index are inferred from the single-stock option markets and combined via a Gaussian copula, for examp…
Diffusion models learn simple statistics before complex ones, revealing a sample complexity exponent.
problem Understanding the learning dynamics of diffusion models.
method Empirical observations and theoretical analysis of diffusion models and denoisers.
result Diffusion models learn simple statistics (pair-wise correlations) at linear sample complexity, while higher-order statistics (e.g., fourth cumulant) require cubic sample complexity.
We analyze the spectral properties of correlation matrices between distinct statistical systems. Such matrices are intrinsically non symmetric, and lend themselves to extend the spectral analyses usually performed on standard Pearson correlation matrices to the realm of complex eigenvalues. We employ some recent random…
This paper looks into the analysis of the long-range auto-correlations and cross-correlations in bond market. Based on Detrended Moving Average (DMA) method, empirical results present a clear evidence of long-range persistence that exists in one year scale. The degree of long-range correlation related to maturities has…
We uncover scaling laws and statistical structure in complex datasets.
problem Understanding universal traits in complex datasets.
method Analogizing data to physical systems, using statistical physics and RMT.
result Real-world datasets and Gaussian data with long-range correlations share the same RMT universality class.
The study of the critical dynamics in complex systems is always interesting yet challenging. Here, we choose financial market as an example of a complex system, and do a comparative analyses of two stock markets - the S&P 500 (USA) and Nikkei 225 (JPN). Our analyses are based on the evolution of crosscorrelation struct…
Study uses detrended cross-correlation to analyze cryptocurrency market, revealing robust collective modes and distinguishing interdependencies.
problem Nonstationarity, long-range memory, and heavy-tailed fluctuations obscure traditional correlations in complex systems.
method Constructs detrended correlation matrices using multifractal detrended cross-correlation coefficient to emphasize different fluctuations.
result Detrending and fluctuation analysis reveal distinct spectral properties from random case, identifying market and sectoral components.
Paper analyzes sample complexity for offline RL with deep ReLU networks.
problem Theoretical analysis of sample complexity for offline RL with deep ReLU networks.
method Establishes sample complexity for offline RL with deep ReLU networks, considering Besov dynamic closure and correlated structure.
result First theoretical characterization of sample complexity for offline RL with deep neural network function approximation.
We investigate the properties of correlation based networks originating from economic complex systems, such as the network of stocks traded at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The weaker links (low correlation) of the system are found to contribute to the overall connectivity of the network significantly more than t…
Estimation in Rotationally Invariant Generalized Linear Models via Approximate Message Passingstat.ML
New AMP algorithms for rotationally invariant models with reduced complexity.
problem Signal estimation in generalized linear models with arbitrary spectral design matrices.
method Rotationally invariant approximate message passing (AMP) algorithms.
result Performance close to Vector AMP with significantly lower complexity.
We study the problem of recovering the structure underlying large Gaussian graphical models or, more generally, partial correlation graphs. In high-dimensional problems it is often too costly to store the entire sample covariance matrix. We propose a new input model in which one can query single entries of the covarian…
We present a new method for articulating scale-dependent topological descriptions of the network structure inherent in many complex systems. The technique is based on "Partition Decoupled Null Models,'' a new class of null models that incorporate the interaction of clustered partitions into a random model and generaliz…
We study the dependency and causality structure of the cryptocurrency market investigating collective movements of both prices and social sentiment related to almost two thousand cryptocurrencies traded during the first six months of 2018. This is the first study of the whole cryptocurrency market structure. It introdu…
Two new methods for analyzing repeated measures data using embeddings into Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces.
problem Analyzing complex data structures with multiple features over time.
method Two generalizations of canonical correlation analysis for repeated measures data using embeddings into Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces.
result Consistency rates for transformation and correlation estimators, relaxing common assumptions.
The inference of correlated signal fields with unknown correlation structures is of high scientific and technological relevance, but poses significant conceptual and numerical challenges. To address these, we develop the correlated signal inference (CSI) algorithm within information field theory (IFT) and discuss its n…
Stock price movement reveals complex interdependencies that are simplified through linear correlation.
problem Exploring the spectral dynamics of the Indonesian capital market using structural network representations.
method Combining three dependency estimators (Pearson, MI adaptive binning, and MI-kNN) with two graph filtering schemes (MST and PMFG) and four community decoders.
result MI adaptive binning is shown to be more proportional than kNN for detecting residual information.
Research examines correlations of complex logarithms of lattice points, showing level repulsion and Poissonian behavior.
problem Analyzing correlations of complex logarithms of lattice points.
method Proving existence of pair correlation functions and examining behavior at various scalings.
result Level repulsion observed at linear scaling, Poissonian behavior at sublinear scalings.
Many recent developments in network analysis have focused on multilayer networks, which one can use to encode time-dependent interactions, multiple types of interactions, and other complications that arise in complex systems. Like their monolayer counterparts, multilayer networks in applications often have mesoscale fe…
Study topological correlators for SYM on four-manifolds, deriving explicit formulae and confirming S-duality.
problem Topological correlation functions of , SYM on four-manifolds.
method Coupling to a Spin^c structure, deriving explicit formulae, and confirming S-duality.
result Topological correlators are mock modular forms for .
Hierarchical representation of socio-economic complex systems according to minimal sapnning treesq-fin.GN
We investigate hierarchical structure in various complex systems according to Minimum Spanning Tree methods. Firstly, we investigate stock markets where the graphis obtained from the matrix of correlations coefficient computed between all pairs of assets by considering the synchronous time evolution of the difference o…
The sum-of-correlations (SUMCOR) formulation of generalized canonical correlation analysis (GCCA) seeks highly correlated low-dimensional representations of different views via maximizing pairwise latent similarity of the views. SUMCOR is considered arguably the most natural extension of classical two-view CCA to the m…
Paper forecasts stock correlations using a hybrid model combining graph neural networks and transformers.
problem Improving stock correlation forecasts for better portfolio management.
method Hybrid model combining Transformer and graph attention networks for forecasting residual deviations from historical data.
result The hybrid model reduces correlation forecasting error compared to rolling-window estimates.
We started from computer experiments with simple one-dimensional ergodic dynamical systems called interval exchange transformations. Correlators in these systems decay as a power of time. In the simplest non-trivial case the exponent is equal to 1/3. We found a formula connecting characteristic exponents with explicit …
A new method captures higher-order interactions in data clusters.
problem Accurately characterizing complex higher-order variable interactions.
method Local Correlation Explanation (CorEx) method: clustering and total correlation.
result Captures higher-order interactions at a local scale.
We show how to analyze and interpret the correlation structures, the conditional expectation values and correlation coefficients of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. We study implied default distributions for the iTraxx-CJ tranches and some popular probabilistic models, including the Gaussian copula model, Beta …