A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Kaggle competitions offer valuable insights for business forecasting.
The real estate is a pillar industry of China's national economy. Due to changes in policy and market conditions, the real estate companies are facing greater pressures to survive in a competitive environment. They must improve their financial competitiveness. Based on the conceptual framework of financial competitiven…
New framework promotes reproducible, domain-agnostic reinforcement learning algorithms.
First ABAW 2020 Competition analyzes affective behavior tasks.
A competition increases financial transaction models' robustness against attacks.
Data competitions rely on real-time leaderboards to rank competitor entries and stimulate algorithm improvement. While such competitions have become quite popular and prevalent, particularly in supervised learning formats, their implementations by the host are highly variable. Without careful planning, a supervised lea…
The M5 competition tackles overdispersed retail sales forecasting with GAMLSS.
The authors propose a parametric model called the arena model for prediction in paired competitions, i.e. paired comparisons with eliminations and bifurcations. The arena model has a number of appealing advantages. First, it predicts the results of competitions without rating many individuals. Second, it takes full adv…
We study the growth dynamics of the size of manufacturing firms considering competition and normal distribution of competency. We start with the fact that all components of the system struggle with each other for growth as happened in real competitive bussiness world. The detailed quantitative agreement of the theory w…
New paper finds strategic trade centralization benefits firms, while naive centralization often harms them.
We organized a competition on Autonomous Lifelong Machine Learning with Drift that was part of the competition program of NeurIPS 2018. This data driven competition asked participants to develop computer programs capable of solving supervised learning problems where the i.i.d. assumption did not hold. Large data sets w…
Proposes CoPO, a new policy optimization method for competitive games.
Two-layer model studies reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.
This work bridges competitive learning with gradient-based learning for faster feature extraction.
The Tangent Works team participated in GEFCom 2017 to test its automatic model building strategy for time series known as Tangent Information Modeller (TIM). Model building using TIM combined with historical temperature shuffling resulted in winning the competition. This strategy involved one remaining degree of freedo…
Machine learning competition predicts spacecraft collision risks.
We study online convex optimization in a setting where the learner seeks to minimize the sum of a per-round hitting cost and a movement cost which is incurred when changing decisions between rounds. We prove a new lower bound on the competitive ratio of any online algorithm in the setting where the costs are -strong…
Adaptive learning rate improves FTRL's performance in online learning.
LLMs can collude in market divisions, maximizing profits.
The origin of economic crises is a key problem for economics. We present a model of long-run competitive markets to show that the multiplicity of behaviors in an economic system, over a long time scale, emerge as statistical regularities (perfectly competitive markets obey Bose-Einstein statistics and purely monopolist…
This paper presents the first two editions of Visual Doom AI Competition, held in 2016 and 2017. The challenge was to create bots that compete in a multi-player deathmatch in a first-person shooter (FPS) game, Doom. The bots had to make their decisions based solely on visual information, i.e., a raw screen buffer. To p…
State-space models win a forecasting competition for unstable data.
HMCNAS generates competitive neural architectures without human-defined parameters.
Sentiment analysis (SA) is a task related to understanding people's feelings in written text; the starting point would be to identify the polarity level (positive, neutral or negative) of a given text, moving on to identify emotions or whether a text is humorous or not. This task has been the subject of several researc…
Study shows how competition affects learning in matching markets, proving it's possible to balance stability, fairness, and regret.
AlgoPerf competition evaluates neural network training speed-ups.
This study examines how DMMs affect market liquidity and competition.
This paper evaluates the impact of the power extent on price in the electricity market. The competitiveness extent of the electricity market during specific times in a day is considered to achieve this. Then, the effect of competitiveness extent on the forecasting precision of the daily power price is assessed. A price…
The study analyzes games and social hierarchies, incorporating luck and depth of competition.
Study examines machine learning competitions' impact on AI development.
Bayesian rating system for large competitions improves prediction and efficiency.
MineRL Competition reduced reinforcement learning sample needs.
In this paper we study the problem of acoustic scene classification, i.e., categorization of audio sequences into mutually exclusive classes based on their spectral content. We describe the methods and results discovered during a competition organized in the context of a graduate machine learning course; both by the st…
This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.
Modeling dealer competition, internalisation and externalisation impact market dynamics and costs.
Paper tackles online optimization with memory and competitive control.
We consider a novel multi-armed bandit framework where the rewards obtained by pulling the arms are functions of a common latent random variable. The correlation between arms due to the common random source can be used to design a generalized upper-confidence-bound (UCB) algorithm that identifies certain arms as $non-c…
In this paper, the optimal pricing strategy in Avellande-Stoikov's for a monopolistic dealer is extended to a general situation where multiple dealers are present in a competitive market. The dealers' trading intensities, their optimal bid and ask prices and therefore their spreads are derived when the dealers are info…
We consider online algorithms under both the competitive ratio criteria and the regret minimization one. Our main goal is to build a unified methodology that would be able to guarantee both criteria simultaneously. For a general class of online algorithms, namely any Metrical Task System (MTS), we show that one can sim…
In this study, we investigate the use of global information to speed up the learning process and increase the cumulative rewards of reinforcement learning (RL) in competition tasks. Within the actor-critic RL, we introduce multiple cooperative critics from two levels of the hierarchy and propose a reinforcement learnin…
Most sales applications are characterized by competition and limited demand information. For successful pricing strategies, frequent price adjustments as well as anticipation of market dynamics are crucial. Both effects are challenging as competitive markets are complex and computations of optimized pricing adjustments…
Model predicts growth competition on curved surfaces.
Study competitive energy markets using stochastic impulse games.
Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.
Market competition depends on computational complexity, P != NP makes it impossible.
Researchers improved Minecraft game performance using imitation learning.
Model predicts competition between similar products in sales.
The NIPS 2018 Adversarial Vision Challenge is a competition to facilitate measurable progress towards robust machine vision models and more generally applicable adversarial attacks. This document is an updated version of our competition proposal that was accepted in the competition track of 32nd Conference on Neural In…