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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3877115153 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for competence gap

We propose a randomized block-coordinate variant of the classic Frank-Wolfe algorithm for convex optimization with block-separable constraints. Despite its lower iteration cost, we show that it achieves a similar convergence rate in duality gap as the full Frank-Wolfe algorithm. We also show that, when applied to the d…

2012-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, deep learning researchers have focused on how to find the interpretability behind deep learning models. However, today cognitive competence of human has not completely covered the deep learning model. In other words, there is a gap between the deep learning model and the cognitive mode. How to evaluate…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Specialists tolerate defects to gain flexibility, which can be removed when needed.

problem The economic benefits and limitations of deliberately tolerating defects in decision-making.
method Analyzes the conditions under which defects can be kept and removed, using economic models and structural analysis.
result A defect is profitably removable if certain conditions are met, and the premium is the support function of the class's ROC set.

Specialists tolerate defects to gain flexibility, which can be removed when needed.

problem The economic benefits and limits of deliberately tolerating defects in decision-making.
method Analyzes the economic position of keeping and removing defects, using a coupling lemma and structural economic models.
result A defect is profitably removable if the detector-relevant distinction survives a restriction and the advantage condition holds.

We present MLRG Deep Curvature suite, a PyTorch-based, open-source package for analysis and visualisation of neural network curvature and loss landscape. Despite of providing rich information into properties of neural network and useful for a various designed tasks, curvature information is still not made sufficient us…

2019-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques aim to select locally competent classifiers for the classification of each new test sample. Most DES techniques estimate the competence of classifiers using a given criterion over the region of competence of the test sample (its the nearest neighbors in the validation set). T…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimating machine learning performance 'in the wild' is both an important and unsolved problem. In this paper, we seek to examine, understand, and predict the pointwise competence of classification models. Our contributions are twofold: First, we establish a statistically rigorous definition of competence that general…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic regressor selection (DRS) systems work by selecting the most competent regressors from an ensemble to estimate the target value of a given test pattern. This competence is usually quantified using the performance of the regressors in local regions of the feature space around the test pattern. However, choosing …

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the main strengths of online algorithms is their ability to adapt to arbitrary data sequences. This is especially important in nonparametric settings, where performance is measured against rich classes of comparator functions that are able to fit complex environments. Although such hard comparators and complex e…

2020-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvivalBoost improves prediction of event times in competing risks scenarios.

problem Predicting event times in scenarios with multiple possible outcomes.
method Developed a strictly proper censoring-adjusted scoring rule for stochastic optimization of competing risks.
result SurvivalBoost outperforms 12 state-of-the-art models across various metrics.

Survival analysis in the presence of multiple possible adverse events, i.e., competing risks, is a pervasive problem in many industries (healthcare, finance, etc.). Since only one event is typically observed, the incidence of an event of interest is often obscured by other related competing events. This nonidentifiabil…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.

problem Ad hoc and subjective selection of clustering structures by domain experts.
method Formalize expert knowledge and requirements with competency questions.
result Competency questions improve reproducibility and evaluation of clustering applications.

This paper uses neural networks to accurately model competing risks in survival analysis.

problem Ignoring competing risks leads to biased survival estimation in machine learning models.
method The paper introduces constrained monotonic neural networks to model each competing survival distribution.
result The method ensures exact likelihood maximization with reduced computational cost.

Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.

problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with competing events.
method Outcome modeling approach using plug-in estimators for potential outcomes.
result Competing events introduce new challenges for HTE estimation.

HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.

problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.

PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.

problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.

New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.

problem Discrete failure time data in survival analysis.
method Proposes a new estimation procedure for discrete-time survival analysis with competing events.
result Offers advantages over existing procedures and integrates regularized regression methods.

Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive multiplicity as the ability of a prediction problem to admit competing models with confl…

2019-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Maximising the detection of intrusions is a fundamental and often critical aim of perimeter surveillance. Commonly, this requires a decision-maker to optimally allocate multiple searchers to segments of the perimeter. We consider a scenario where the decision-maker may sequentially update the searchers' allocation, lea…

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

ERAPS builds prediction sets for time-series data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in complex machine learning methods for time-series data.
method ERAPS is an ensemble-based framework for constructing prediction sets for time-series data, allowing unknown dependencies within features and responses.
result ERAPS demonstrates valid marginal and conditional coverage and yields smaller prediction sets than competing methods.

Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …

2018-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper estimates personalized treatment effects in medical settings with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effectiveness for specific events in the presence of alternative event types.
method Meta-learners combining Cox regression or random survival forests for risk modeling and elastic net regression or random forests for direct CATE modeling.
result Compared meta-learners in multiple simulation settings, providing practical guidance for model selection.

CoPhy-PGNN tackles competing PG losses in neural networks for solving eigenvalue problems.

problem Solving eigenvalue problems with competing physics-guided loss functions.
method Learning generalizable solutions using a novel approach to handle competing PG losses.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach in quantum mechanics and electromagnetic propagation.

Study designs steering rewards for MFGs with unknown dynamics and model uncertainty.

problem Designing incentives for large populations of agents in MFGs with uncertain model details.
method Developed optimistic exploration algorithms for agents with no-adaptive regret behaviors.
result Sub-linear regret guarantees for cumulative gaps between agent behaviors and desired outcomes.

Paper introduces Decentralized Non-stationary Competing Bandits ( exttt{DNCB}) for dynamic matching markets.

problem Understanding dynamic two-sided matching markets with competing agents.
method Proposes a decentralized asynchronous learning algorithm ( exttt{DNCB}) for non-stationary environments.
result Obtains sub-linear (logarithmic) regret of exttt{DNCB} in dynamic settings.

SSH-Net: A Deep Neural Network for Predicting Failure Time Distribution Functions under Competing Risks with GPU Data

problem Predicting failure time distribution functions under competing risks
method Structured Segmented Hazard Deep Neural Network (SSH-Net)
result Prediction accuracy validated through simulation studies and GPU data

Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
method Censoring Unbiased Transformations (CUTs) for survival outcomes with and without competing risks.
result Consistent estimates of heterogeneous cumulative incidence effects and total effects using HTE learners.

FinRLlama wins FinRL Challenge 2024 by fine-tuning LLMs with market data.

problem Lack of contextual alignment for financial market applications in traditional LLMs.
method Fine-tuning LLaMA-3.2-3B-Instruct model with custom RLMF prompt design integrating historical data and reward feedback.
result RLMF-tuned FinRLlama framework outperforms baseline methods in signal consistency and trading outcomes.

Random forest models predict CLABSI risk in hospital admissions, with static models performing similarly to dynamic ones.

problem Predicting CLABSI risk in hospital admissions using EHR data with competing risks.
method Comparison of static and dynamic random forest models for binary, multinomial, survival, and competing risks outcomes.
result Static and dynamic random forest models perform similarly in predicting CLABSI risk, with multinomial models having the lowest computation times.

SurvTRACE uses transformers to analyze survival times with competing events.

problem Analyzing survival times with multiple competing events and confounders.
method Transformer-based model for survival analysis, handling competing events and confounders.
result SurvTRACE outperforms existing methods in multi-event scenarios.

Per-pixel ground-truth depth data is challenging to acquire at scale. To overcome this limitation, self-supervised learning has emerged as a promising alternative for training models to perform monocular depth estimation. In this paper, we propose a set of improvements, which together result in both quantitatively and …

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The Surprise index assesses autonomous systems' competency in uncertain environments.

problem Evaluating competency of autonomous systems in dynamic, uncertain environments.
method Surprise index, a measure that quantifies system performance based on available data.
result The Surprise index can be computed for dynamic systems with Gaussian marginal distributions.