Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jan 199319922001200920172026
48 results for competence estimation

Paper improves competence estimation of machine learning models.

problem Estimating machine learning performance in real-world scenarios.
method ALICE Score: a pointwise competence estimator considering distributional, data, and model uncertainty.
result Significant improvements in competence prediction over state-of-the-art methods.

Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.

problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with competing events.
method Outcome modeling approach using plug-in estimators for potential outcomes.
result Competing events introduce new challenges for HTE estimation.

Survival analysis in the presence of multiple possible adverse events, i.e., competing risks, is a pervasive problem in many industries (healthcare, finance, etc.). Since only one event is typically observed, the incidence of an event of interest is often obscured by other related competing events. This nonidentifiabil…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
method Censoring Unbiased Transformations (CUTs) for survival outcomes with and without competing risks.
result Consistent estimates of heterogeneous cumulative incidence effects and total effects using HTE learners.

PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.

problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.

The paper estimates personalized treatment effects in medical settings with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effectiveness for specific events in the presence of alternative event types.
method Meta-learners combining Cox regression or random survival forests for risk modeling and elastic net regression or random forests for direct CATE modeling.
result Compared meta-learners in multiple simulation settings, providing practical guidance for model selection.

This paper uses neural networks to accurately model competing risks in survival analysis.

problem Ignoring competing risks leads to biased survival estimation in machine learning models.
method The paper introduces constrained monotonic neural networks to model each competing survival distribution.
result The method ensures exact likelihood maximization with reduced computational cost.

New method estimates survival risks without strong proportional hazard assumptions.

problem Time-to-event prediction with censored data and competing risks.
method Jointly learns deep nonlinear representations for fully parametric survival regression.
result Demonstrates benefits in real-world datasets with different censoring levels.

Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …

2018-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.

problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.

New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.

problem Discrete failure time data in survival analysis.
method Proposes a new estimation procedure for discrete-time survival analysis with competing events.
result Offers advantages over existing procedures and integrates regularized regression methods.

Dynamic regressor selection (DRS) systems work by selecting the most competent regressors from an ensemble to estimate the target value of a given test pattern. This competence is usually quantified using the performance of the regressors in local regions of the feature space around the test pattern. However, choosing …

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques aim to select locally competent classifiers for the classification of each new test sample. Most DES techniques estimate the competence of classifiers using a given criterion over the region of competence of the test sample (its the nearest neighbors in the validation set). T…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvivalBoost improves prediction of event times in competing risks scenarios.

problem Predicting event times in scenarios with multiple possible outcomes.
method Developed a strictly proper censoring-adjusted scoring rule for stochastic optimization of competing risks.
result SurvivalBoost outperforms 12 state-of-the-art models across various metrics.

Proposes a privacy-preserving method for survival function estimation.

problem Privacy leakage in survival function estimation using sensitive data.
method Differential privacy framework applied to Kaplan-Meier estimator and related metrics.
result The method provides utility and strong privacy guarantees with real-world data.

We revisit the classical decision-theoretic problem of weighted expert voting from a statistical learning perspective. In particular, we examine the consistency (both asymptotic and finitary) of the optimal Nitzan-Paroush weighted majority and related rules. In the case of known expert competence levels, we give sharp …

2013-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Mathematical approach assesses human resource competences accurately.

problem Accurate assessment and representation of human resource competences.
method Detailed quantification scheme and mathematical approach.
result Flexible tools for optimal job assignment and recruitment.

SurvLatent ODE predicts VTE risk for cancer patients, outperforming current methods.

problem Predicting clinical outcomes from irregularly sampled EHR data with competing events.
method Neural ODE-based Recurrent Neural Networks (ODE-RNN) for flexible survival time estimation.
result SurvLatent ODE outperforms Khorana Risk scores for VTE risk prediction.

The study proposes a framework to accept OOD data based on competence scores.

problem Silent failures in Domain Generalization where models reject OOD data without proper justification.
method A learning to reject framework using proxy incompetence scores to predict trustworthiness.
result Increasing incompetence scores are predictive of reduced accuracy, but not always favorable for accuracy/rejection trade-off.

New methods reveal consensus and dissensus in network partitions.

problem Degenerate community detection methods often yield multiple competing answers.
method Comprehensive set of methods to characterize and summarize complex populations of partitions.
result It is not possible to obtain a consistent answer from point estimates when the distribution is heterogeneous.

We propose a partially linear additive Gaussian graphical model (PLA-GGM) for the estimation of associations between random variables distorted by observed confounders. Model parameters are estimated using an L1L_1-regularized maximal pseudo-profile likelihood estimator (MaPPLE) for which we prove n\sqrt{n}-sparsisten…

2019-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new test for validating multivariate dynamic regression models.

problem Inadequate exogeneity conditions for conventional model specification tests in dynamic systems.
method Develops a generalized Durbin estimator for multiple-equation systems with dynamic dependencies, and constructs Wald tests.
result Bootstrap-based Wald tests improve finite-sample size control and validate the null hypothesis in multifactor models.

TraCeR uses transformers to analyze survival data with longitudinal covariates.

problem Handling longitudinal covariates and assessing model calibration in survival analysis.
method Transformer-based survival analysis framework with factorized self-attention architecture.
result TraCeR achieves significant performance improvements over state-of-the-art methods.

Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.

problem Ad hoc and subjective selection of clustering structures by domain experts.
method Formalize expert knowledge and requirements with competency questions.
result Competency questions improve reproducibility and evaluation of clustering applications.

HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.

problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.

PaRCE estimates model confidence for CNNs across various uncertainties.

problem Limited holistic approach to estimating perception model confidence in CNNs.
method Probabilistic and reconstruction-based competency estimation.
result PaRCE best distinguishes between various types of samples and regions.

Estimates input from output of nonlinear systems using ANN.

problem Estimating unknown compositional input from system output.
method Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for nonlinear system inversion.
result ANNs can compete with optimal bounds for linear systems and demonstrate promising results for nonlinear systems.

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian approaches and scales easily to millions of data points. It provides additional features …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The output scores of a neural network classifier are converted to probabilities via normalizing over the scores of all competing categories. Computing this partition function, ZZ, is then linear in the number of categories, which is problematic as real-world problem sets continue to grow in categorical types, such as …

2015-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

There is tremendous interest in precision medicine as a means to improve patient outcomes by tailoring treatment to individual characteristics. An individualized treatment rule formalizes precision medicine as a map from patient information to a recommended treatment. A treatment rule is defined to be optimal if it max…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on factor models and shrinkage. Recent work of Ledoit and Wolf has extended the sh…

2016-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

CoPhy-PGNN tackles competing PG losses in neural networks for solving eigenvalue problems.

problem Solving eigenvalue problems with competing physics-guided loss functions.
method Learning generalizable solutions using a novel approach to handle competing PG losses.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach in quantum mechanics and electromagnetic propagation.

Paper introduces Decentralized Non-stationary Competing Bandits ( exttt{DNCB}) for dynamic matching markets.

problem Understanding dynamic two-sided matching markets with competing agents.
method Proposes a decentralized asynchronous learning algorithm ( exttt{DNCB}) for non-stationary environments.
result Obtains sub-linear (logarithmic) regret of exttt{DNCB} in dynamic settings.

SSH-Net: A Deep Neural Network for Predicting Failure Time Distribution Functions under Competing Risks with GPU Data

problem Predicting failure time distribution functions under competing risks
method Structured Segmented Hazard Deep Neural Network (SSH-Net)
result Prediction accuracy validated through simulation studies and GPU data