A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper estimates personalized treatment effects in medical settings with competing risks.
HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.
A competing market model with a polyvariant profit function that assumes "zeitnot" stock behavior of clients is formulated within the banking portfolio medium and then analyzed from the perspective of devising optimal strategies. An associated Markov process method for finding an optimal choice strategy for monovariant…
Learning representations with diversified information remains as an open problem. Towards learning diversified representations, a new approach, termed Information Competing Process (ICP), is proposed in this paper. Aiming to enrich the information carried by feature representations, ICP separates a representation into …
A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter, and consistency of the estimator is established in the well specified case. In ex…
Spirals are not shortest paths in certain sub-Riemannian geometries.
Efficient human resource management needs accurate assessment and representation of available competences as well as effective mapping of required competences for specific jobs and positions. In this regard, appropriate definition and identification of competence gaps express differences between acquired and required c…
Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques aim to select locally competent classifiers for the classification of each new test sample. Most DES techniques estimate the competence of classifiers using a given criterion over the region of competence of the test sample (its the nearest neighbors in the validation set). T…
Estimating machine learning performance 'in the wild' is both an important and unsolved problem. In this paper, we seek to examine, understand, and predict the pointwise competence of classification models. Our contributions are twofold: First, we establish a statistically rigorous definition of competence that general…
Dynamic regressor selection (DRS) systems work by selecting the most competent regressors from an ensemble to estimate the target value of a given test pattern. This competence is usually quantified using the performance of the regressors in local regions of the feature space around the test pattern. However, choosing …
Proposes a new test for validating multivariate dynamic regression models.
Comprisk simplifies competing-risks analysis in Python.
SurvivalBoost improves prediction of event times in competing risks scenarios.
Survival analysis in the presence of multiple possible adverse events, i.e., competing risks, is a pervasive problem in many industries (healthcare, finance, etc.). Since only one event is typically observed, the incidence of an event of interest is often obscured by other related competing events. This nonidentifiabil…
Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.
This paper uses neural networks to accurately model competing risks in survival analysis.
Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.
PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.
New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.
Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive multiplicity as the ability of a prediction problem to admit competing models with confl…
Model assesses loan profitability under changing credit conditions.
In Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques, only the most competent classifiers are selected to classify a given query sample. Hence, the key issue in DES is how to estimate the competence of each classifier in a pool to select the most competent ones. In order to deal with this issue, we proposed a novel dynamic e…
Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …
Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel conditional independence test in a predictive setting, and show that it achieves bet…
CoPhy-PGNN tackles competing PG losses in neural networks for solving eigenvalue problems.
Paper introduces Decentralized Non-stationary Competing Bandits ( exttt{DNCB}) for dynamic matching markets.
SSH-Net: A Deep Neural Network for Predicting Failure Time Distribution Functions under Competing Risks with GPU Data
In this article three models of firms interaction on the market are described. One of these models is described by using a differential equation and by Lotka-Volterra model, where the equation has a different form. Also, there are models of non-competing and competing firms. The article presents an algorithm for solvin…
Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
Random forest models predict CLABSI risk in hospital admissions, with static models performing similarly to dynamic ones.
SurvTRACE uses transformers to analyze survival times with competing events.
The stability analysis of socioeconomic systems has been centered on answering whether small perturbations when a system is in a given quantitative state will push the system permanently to a different quantitative state. However, typically the quantitative state of socioeconomic systems is subject to constant change. …
B.-Y. Chen famously conjectured that every submanifold of Euclidean space with harmonic mean curvature vector is minimal. In this note we establish a much more general statement for a large class of submanifolds satisfying a growth condition at infinity. We discuss in particular two popular competing natural interpreta…
New method estimates survival risks without strong proportional hazard assumptions.
The recent trend for acquiring big data assumes that possessing quantitatively more and qualitatively finer data necessarily provides an advantage that may be critical in competitive situations. Using a model complex adaptive system where agents compete for a limited resource using information coarse-grained to differe…
In dynamic selection (DS) techniques, only the most competent classifiers, for the classification of a specific test sample are selected to predict the sample's class labels. The more important step in DES techniques is estimating the competence of the base classifiers for the classification of each specific test sampl…
We introduce a new class of nonstationary kernels, which we derive as covariance functions of a novel family of stochastic processes we refer to as string Gaussian processes (string GPs). We construct string GPs to allow for multiple types of local patterns in the data, while ensuring a mild global regularity condition…
Recent discussion in the public sphere about algorithmic classification has involved tension between competing notions of what it means for a probabilistic classification to be fair to different groups. We formalize three fairness conditions that lie at the heart of these debates, and we prove that except in highly con…
Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific quantiles of the target quantity and do not provide the full conditional distri…
The Surprise index assesses autonomous systems' competency in uncertain environments.
Conditional kernel mean embeddings are nonparametric models that encode conditional expectations in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While they provide a flexible and powerful framework for probabilistic inference, their performance is highly dependent on the choice of kernel and regularization hyperparameters. Neve…
Two-layer model studies reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.
SurvLatent ODE predicts VTE risk for cancer patients, outperforming current methods.
Despite being very effective in several classification tasks, Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques can select classifiers that classify all samples in the region of competence as being from the same class. The Frienemy Indecision REgion DES (FIRE-DES) tackles this problem by pre-selecting classifiers that correc…
Study shows competition feedback can make ML predictors biased towards specific user groups.
Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.
Dynamic ensemble selection (DES) techniques work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. Hence, the key issue in DES is the criterion used to estimate the level of competence of the classifiers in pre…
A new method for pricing European options in changing market conditions.