New method produces coherent forecasts for long-range data.
arXiv research
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End-to-end deep model for coherent probabilistic forecasts in hierarchical time series.
Predicts coherence from quantum heat engine noise using machine learning.
Proving that next-token prediction makes language models generate coherent long documents.
Supervised topic models are often sought to balance prediction quality and interpretability. However, when models are (inevitably) misspecified, standard approaches rarely deliver on both. We introduce a novel approach, the prediction-focused topic model, that uses the supervisory signal to retain only vocabulary terms…
Method guarantees coherent factuality for language model outputs in reasoning tasks.
C-HMCNN(h) improves HMC classification by leveraging class hierarchy.
Improved prediction of hierarchical time series using structured regularization.
ConvNP improves SP prediction with translation equivariance and coherent samples.
Electronic Health Record (EHR) data can be represented as discrete counts over a high dimensional set of possible procedures, diagnoses, and medications. Supervised topic models present an attractive option for incorporating EHR data as features into a prediction problem: given a patient's record, we estimate a set of …
Text documents are structured on multiple levels of detail: individual words are related by syntax, but larger units of text are related by discourse structure. Existing language models generally fail to account for discourse structure, but it is crucial if we are to have language models that reward coherence and gener…
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
A machine learning framework predicts self-induced stochastic resonance in neurons.
Recognizing facial expressions from static images or video sequences is a widely studied but still challenging problem. The recent progresses obtained by deep neural architectures, or by ensembles of heterogeneous models, have shown that integrating multiple input representations leads to state-of-the-art results. In p…
Theoretical work shows integrating coherent reasoning improves LLM performance and error correction.
We present a new model DrNET that learns disentangled image representations from video. Our approach leverages the temporal coherence of video and a novel adversarial loss to learn a representation that factorizes each frame into a stationary part and a temporally varying component. The disentangled representation can …
A new video prediction model treats videos as continuous processes, reducing sampling steps and improving efficiency.
A model of music needs to have the ability to recall past details and have a clear, coherent understanding of musical structure. Detailed in the paper is a deep reinforcement learning architecture that predicts and generates polyphonic music aligned with musical rules. The probabilistic model presented is a Bi-axial LS…
HierarchicalForecast provides a Python framework for coherent hierarchical forecasting.
Defines coherent manifolds and their quantum applications.
CoRe method improves time series forecasting coherency without strict constraints.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
We analyze why some models resist unlearning using linear stability theory.
Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.
Generates coherent 3D scenes from monocular videos without supervision.
The paper argues for prioritizing identifying structure over complex models for scientific discovery.
The transition amplitudes between coherent states on a coherent state manifold are expressed in terms of the embedding of the coherent state manifold into a projective Hilbert space. Consequences for the dimension of projective Hilbert space and a simple geometric interpretation of Calabi's diastasis follows.
We use mathematical induction to prove that the horizontal composition in the class of coherently diagonal complexes is indeed a binary operation. That is to say, the embedding of two coherently diagonal complexes in an alternating planar diagram produces a coherently diagonal complex.
Model uses LLMs to process numerical data guided by natural language descriptions.
Paper constructs Chern character for coherent sheaves.
The paper constructs minimal coherent filling pairs on surfaces.
Sparse coding in learned dictionaries has been established as a successful approach for signal denoising, source separation and solving inverse problems in general. A dictionary learning method adapts an initial dictionary to a particular signal class by iteratively computing an approximate factorization of a training …
The assessment of co-movement among metals is crucial to better understand the behaviors of the metal prices and the interactions with others that affect the changes in prices. In this study, both Wavelet Analysis and VARMA (Vector Autoregressive Moving Average) models are utilized. First, Multiple Wavelet Coherence (M…
Paper defines dynamical coherence for flows and proves it under specific conditions.
Develops equivariant Chern characters for coherent sheaves with group actions.
New metric -coherence measures gradient alignment during training, revealing surprising memorization patterns.
Diffusion models learn hierarchical composition rules from data.
We present a method for identifying the coherent structures associated with individual Lagrangian flow trajectories even where only sparse particle trajectory data is available. The method, based on techniques in spectral graph theory, uses the Coherent Structure Coloring vector and associated eigenvectors to analyze t…
We study a space of coherent risk measures M_phi obtained as certain expansions of coherent elementary basis measures. In this space, the concept of ``Risk Aversion Function'' phi naturally arises as the spectral representation of each risk measure in a space of functions of confidence level probabilities. We give nece…
Generates coherent storybooks from plain text using diffusion models.
Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of matrix entries in the context of these low-rank approximations and other sampling-…
A realization of coherent state Lie algebras by first-order differential operators with holomorphic polynomial coefficients on Kähler coherent state orbits is presented. Explicit formulas involving the Bernoulli numbers and the structure constants for the semisimple Lie groups are proved.
Develops non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation.
We propose a pricing technique based on coherent risk measures, which enables one to get finer price intervals than in the No Good Deals pricing. The main idea consists in splitting a liability into several parts and selling these parts to different agents. The technique is closely connected with the convolution of coh…
The coherent states are viewed as a powerful tool in differential geometry. It is shown that some objects in differential geometry can be expressed using quantities which appear in the construction of the coherent states. The following subjects are discussed via the coherent states: the geodesics, the conjugate locus a…
We emphasize some properties of coherent state groups, i.e. groups whose quotient with the stationary groups, are manifolds which admit a holomorphic embedding in a projective Hilbert space. We determine the differential action of the generators of the representation of coherent state groups on the symmetric Fock space…
Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.
For homogeneous simply connected Hodge manifolds it is proved that the set of coherent vectors orthogonal to a given one is the divisor responsible for the homogeneous holomorphic line bundle of the coherent vectors. In particular, for naturally reductive spaces, the divisor is the cut locus.